Freshwater Transport Over the Northeast Greenland Shelf in Fram Strait.

We assess the contribution of flow over the Northeast Greenland Shelf (NEGS) to the total freshwater transport (FWT) through the Fram Strait. We analyze available observations since 2013 consisting of hydrographic sections, new mooring data, and surface‐geostrophic velocity and ERA5 winds. We provide first seasonal estimates of the FWT over the entire shelf and find a net southward FWT between 47 and 56 mSv (reference salinity 34.9), or ∼40%–45% of the total FWT through the Fram Strait. In summer, the long‐term mean FWT east of 8°W cumulates to 27 mSv southward, there is no trend toward increasing FWT, and new mooring data show a large seasonal cycle. We show that the NEGS contributes significantly to the Arctic freshwater outflow, however, uncertainty is high. To close the Arctic freshwater budget and provide better FWT estimates to the North Atlantic, sustained year‐round observations on the NEGS are essential. Plain Language Summary: We use new observations since 2013 to calculate transport over the Northeaster Greenland Shelf for the first time, and investigate how much it adds to the transport of the East Greenland Current over the shelf break which is monitored by moorings. Over most of the shelf, direct observations of ocean properties are limited to summer. Thus, we use remote‐sensing and wind reanalysis data, with shelf‐wide and year‐round coverage, but higher uncertainty, to estimate the year‐round transport of low‐salinity water (freshwater, less than 34.9) over the entire shelf. We find that on the shelf, freshwater transport is at least 40% of the total in Fram Strait. Still, uncertainty is high and year‐round, direct observations in the western part of the shelf are required to provide accurate estimates for the Arctic freshwater outflow. Key Points: Summer freshwater transport (FWT) over the shelf cumulates to −27 mSv and shows no trend in timeNew mooring data on the shelf at 10.1°W show a very large seasonal cycleYear‐round FWT over the shelf is estimated to ∼−52 mSv or 43% of the total freshwater outflow from the Fram Strait [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]