EVALUACIÓN DE AMENAZA POR SEQUÍA EN EL DEPARTAMENTO DE CÓRDOBA, COLOMBIA.

Water scarcity in areas with abundant rainfall due to drought is, in a sense, contradictory; however, the effects of such a situation can have dramatic consequences on the productivity and development of communities. This work, derived from a finished research and financed with resources of the authors, evaluated the threat by drought in the department of Cordoba, Colombia, by means of the Standardized Index of Precipitation (SPI), for a critical scenario defined by the maximum intensities of events with occurrence of two years of return, using the information of 40 meteorological stations; evaluating the SPI to scales of 3 and 6 months and characterizing this index in terms of intensity, duration, frequency and magnitude. The results show the occurrence of droughts of moderate intensity, with frequency of 58 % and 56 % in quarterly and semestral scale respectively, resulting in threat by drought in medium and high categories for some areas of the department; which indicates that, although on the study area there are registered abundant rainfalls, it can be presented scarcity of the resource in the long term caused by droughts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]