Probabilistic bearing capacity of spudcan foundations under combined loading in spatially variable soils.

Spudcan foundations are widely used in the offshore gas and oil industry to support mobile jack-up drilling rigs. During the service period, the spudcan foundations need to resist large vertical-horizontal-moment (VHM) loads that are transmitted from the superstructure. The bearing capacity of foundations in complicated stress conditions is usually based on VHM failure envelopes. These are commonly constructed by using numerical methods where the soil properties are assumed to be deterministic, ignoring the inherent spatial variability. This paper investigates the influence of spatially variable undrained shear strength and embedment depth on the capacity of spudcan foundations under VHM combined loads. The linearly increasing undrained shear strength with depth obeying log-normal distribution was taken into account. Probabilistic failure envelops were constructed to analyse the effect of spatial variability on the bearing capacity of spudcan foundations at various embedment depths when subjected to different combinations of VHM loads. The influence of horizontal scale of fluctuation for a specific embedment depth was also investigated. The results indicated that under combined loading the embedment depth significantly influenced the shape and size of failure envelopes. The probability of failure at each embedment depth based on the obtained probabilistic failure envelopes was intuitionally represented by means of a factor of safety, which can provide specific guidance for foundation reliable designs. • A non-stationary random field model was established. • Uniaxial ultimate bearing capacities were analyzed and VHM failure envelopes were constructed for various embedment depths. • Factors of safety were provided. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]