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A mixed frequency approach for exchange rates predictions.

Authors :
Mattera, Raffaele
Misuraca, Michelangelo
Scepi, Germana
Spano, Maria
Source :
Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis. May2021, Vol. 14 Issue 1, p230-253. 24p.
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

Selecting an appropriate statistical model to forecast exchange rates is still today a relevant issue for policymakers and central bankers. The socalled Meese and Rogoff puzzle assesses that exchange rate fluctuations are unpredictable. In the literature, a lot of studies tried to solve the puzzle finding both alternative predictors (e.g., interest rates, price levels) and statistical models based on temporal aggregation. In this paper, we propose an approach based on mixed frequency models to overcome the lack of information caused by temporal aggregation. We show the effectiveness of our approach with an application to CAD/USD exchange rate predictions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20705948
Volume :
14
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
151888456
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1285/i20705948v14n1p230