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The transmission mechanism of household lifestyle to energy consumption from the input-output subsystem perspective: China as an example.

Authors :
Liu, Manzhi
Huang, Xiaorong
Chen, Zhizhi
Zhang, Linlin
Qin, Ying
Liu, Liyuan
Zhang, Shiru
Zhang, Mengya
Lv, Xueqing
Zhang, Yanqin
Source :
Ecological Indicators. Mar2021, Vol. 122, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.
Publication Year :
2021

Abstract

• Household indirect energy consumption is decomposed by input-output subsystem method. • Indirect consumption is 1.3 and 1.65 times of direct in 2012 and 2017 respectively. • Coal indirect consumption accounts for 50.2%, 54.6% in 2012 and 2017 respectively. • Spillover effect is the most one among the four components. • Ferrous metal smelting and rolling sector is most affected by household activities. In recent years, China's rapid economic development and steady growth of household consumption have contributed to the continuous growth of energy consumption. In addition to considering direct household energy consumption, the indirect effects of people's consumption activities on energy consumption in other productive sectors can't be ignored. According to the input-output analysis framework and consumer lifestyle analysis, this paper mainly studies the direct and indirect consumption of energy by Chinese household consumption ways and the relationship between energy structure and lifestyle. From the perspective of structural analysis, the input-output subsystem model (scale component, own internal component, feed-back component and spillover component) is used to analyze the energy supply and demand relations among 36 sectors of the national economy related to the lives of household in 2012 and 2017, revealing the change trend and transmission mechanism. This paper also focuses on the impact of household consumption ways on energy consumption of industrial sector and changing consumer lifestyles on energy saving, meanwhile it also forecasts China's future household energy consumption under four scenarios. The results show that in 2012 and 2017, total consumption of energy which is influenced by household consumption ways in China is 28461.82 PJ and 44759.96 PJ, respectively, accounting for 26.9% and 34.1% of total consumption of final energy. The indirect energy consumption is 1.3 times and 1.65 times of direct, respectively. The coal consumption accounts for the majority of indirect energy consumption. The smelting and pressing of ferrous metals is the industrial sector which is most affected by the household consumption ways. The scale component, own internal component, feed-back component and spillover component has accounted for 18.5%, 1.3%, 0.1% and 80.0%, from 17.5%, 2.0%, 0.2% and 80.3% of energy consumption in total, respectively. Under the four scenario development modes (NN, NA, LN and LA), it is predicted that the indirect energy consumption in household life in 2025 is 43740.56PJ, 34922.93PJ, 39149.37PJ and 31257.28PJ, respectively. The implementation of low-carbon consumption mode and the accelerated decline of energy intensity will help to reduce energy consumption. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1470160X
Volume :
122
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Ecological Indicators
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
148186906
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.107234