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Natural hazard information and migration across cities: evidence from the anticipated Nankai Trough earthquake.
- Source :
-
Population & Environment . Jun2020, Vol. 41 Issue 4, p452-479. 28p. 9 Charts, 4 Graphs, 2 Maps. - Publication Year :
- 2020
-
Abstract
- This paper examines the effects of the 2012 revisions to the damage predictions of an anticipated Nankai Trough megathrust earthquake on subsequent inter-municipality migration in Japan's coastal areas. We find that an increase in predicted tsunami height—rather than anticipated seismic movements—after the 2012 revision is associated with a subsequent reduction in net migration. While the reducing effect of tsunami predictions on in-migration persisted throughout the study period, the effect on out-migration was only temporary. Moreover, working-age people are more likely to respond to tsunami risk and avoid moving to municipalities with a high tsunami risk after the revisions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 01990039
- Volume :
- 41
- Issue :
- 4
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Population & Environment
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 143700404
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-020-00346-6