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EXTREME VALUE ANALYSIS WITHOUT THE LARGEST VALUES: WHAT CAN BE DONE?

Authors :
Zou, Jingjing
Davis, Richard A.
Samorodnitsky, Gennady
Source :
Probability in the Engineering & Informational Sciences. Apr2020, Vol. 34 Issue 2, p200-220. 21p.
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

In this paper, we are concerned with the analysis of heavy-tailed data when a portion of the extreme values is unavailable. This research was motivated by an analysis of the degree distributions in a large social network. The degree distributions of such networks tend to have power law behavior in the tails. We focus on the Hill estimator, which plays a starring role in heavy-tailed modeling. The Hill estimator for these data exhibited a smooth and increasing "sample path" as a function of the number of upper order statistics used in constructing the estimator. This behavior became more apparent as we artificially removed more of the upper order statistics. Building on this observation we introduce a new version of the Hill estimator. It is a function of the number of the upper order statistics used in the estimation, but also depends on the number of unavailable extreme values. We establish functional convergence of the normalized Hill estimator to a Gaussian process. An estimation procedure is developed based on the limit theory to estimate the number of missing extremes and extreme value parameters including the tail index and the bias of Hill's estimator. We illustrate how this approach works in both simulations and real data examples. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02699648
Volume :
34
Issue :
2
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Probability in the Engineering & Informational Sciences
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
142340168
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0269964818000542