O aumento do imposto sobre a propriedade de veículo automotores em tempo de recessão econômica e o reflexo na sua arrecadação.

Purpose: The objective of this research was to analyze the behavior of the Tax on the Ownership of Automotive Vehicles (IPVA) in relation to the increase of its rates in 2016 during the Brazilian economic recession started at the end of 2014. Methodology: Using a quantitative panel data analysis of the 26 states of the Brazilian Federation and the Federal District between 2004 and 2016, the research was based on the theory of public choices, tax capacity and elasticity of tax revenue, proposing a regressive model to estimate the reflection of the IPVA rate increase during the economic recession in the tax collection, using as variables the IPVA collection by licensed vehicles, GDP per capita, population size and the unemployment rate. Results: The results obtained point to a saturation of the economic capacity of the taxpayers of that tax, corroborating the hypothesis that the economic recession may have affected the contributory capacity, so that the increase of the IPVA rate during the economic recession may have favored its defaulting the tax. Contributions of the Study: The study can contribute to broaden the understanding of the consequences related to fluctuations in tax burden and the decision-making process in the public sector regarding the adoption of a fiscal policy that strives for efficiency and balance, between tax burden and taxpayers' economic capacity, with In order to counteract trends in economic depression and inflation in economic cycles, it is necessary to reduce the tax burden, so that the collection remains at the level to maintain budget balance and attention to expected public spending. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]