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A STUDY ON THE ENSEMBLE FORECAST REAL-TIME CORRECTION METHOD.
- Source :
-
Journal of Tropical Meteorology . Mar2018, Vol. 24 Issue 1, p42-48. 7p. - Publication Year :
- 2018
-
Abstract
- Using real-time correction technology for typhoons, this paper discusses real-time correction for forecasting the track of four typhoons during 2009 and 2010 in Japan, Beijing, Guangzhou, and Shanghai. It was determined that the short-time forecast effect was better than the original objective mode. By selecting four types of integration schemes after multiple mode path integration for those four objective modes, the forecast effect of the multi-mode path integration is better, on average, than any single model. Moreover, multi-mode ensemble forecasting has obvious advantages during the initial 36h. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- *TYPHOONS
*FORECASTING
*TECHNOLOGY
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 10068775
- Volume :
- 24
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Journal of Tropical Meteorology
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 137636448
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.16555/j.1006-8775.2018.01.004