Evaluating vector winds in the Asian-Australian monsoon region simulated by 37 CMIP5 models.

Vector wind plays a crucial role in shaping regional climate through transferring energy and moisture. In this study, we evaluate 37 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models and multi-model ensembles (MME) in terms of the climatological mean state, annual cycle, and interannual variability of vector winds in the Asian-Australian monsoon (A-AM) region. Unlike most previous studies those assessed meridional and zonal wind separately, we treat vector wind as a whole by employing a recently developed vector field evaluation method. The results are summarized as follows: (1) MME exhibits the best performance in reproducing the climatological mean of vector winds, followed by CESM1-CAM5 and three MPI-ESM models. However, models still show significant biases characterized by overestimated lower level vector winds and its spatial variation. The biases are mainly rooted in the anomaly components of vector winds and are observed in the regions with complex topography. (2) CMIP5 models can well simulate the annual cycle of upper-tropospheric vector winds, especially in the extratropical regions, but show large biases and dispersion over complex terrains in the lower troposphere. (3) MME still outperforms individual model for the simulation of interannual variance of vector winds, although most CMIP5 models overestimate the strength of vector wind variability in the lower troposphere. (4) Model skills in simulating climatological means, annual cycle, and interannual variability are positively correlated with each other to a certain degree over the A-AM region, suggesting an improvement in climatological mean may lead to a better simulation in the annual cycle or interannual variability of vector winds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]