Relevance vector machine for tool wear prediction.

• A novel tool wear predictive model based on KPCA_IRBF and RVM is developed. • KPCA_IRBF helps to improve the prediction accuracy of RVM. • KPCA_IRBF helps to ameliorate the confidence interval (CI) of RVM. • CI is an extra advantage over the traditional methods such as PLS, ANN and SVM. • In comparison with SVM, RVM has high sparseness and comparable prediction accuracy. In order to realize real-time and accurate monitoring of the tool wear in machining process, this paper presents a tool wear predictive model based on the integrated radial basis function based kernel principal component analysis (KPCA_IRBF) and relevance vector machine (RVM). The traditional methods such as partial least squares regression (PLS), artificial neural network (ANN) and support vector machine (SVM) can only provide predicted values which have no probabilistic significance. As a sparse probabilistic model, RVM can provide both the predicted value and the corresponding confidence interval (CI). However, the existence of process noises and redundancy will seriously affect the prediction accuracy and the stability of CI. As a new dimension-increment technique, KPCA_IRBF helps to weaken the negative effects of process noises and redundancy by increasing the dimensionality of monitoring features. The fused features obtained by KPCA_IRBF are more sensitive to the change of tool wear. Two different cutting experiments are carried out to verify the effectiveness of KPCA_IRBF in improving the prediction accuracy and ameliorating the CI of RVM. The experimental results show that KPCA_IRBF can reduce the root mean square error (RMSE) of RVM by more than 30% and compress the average width of CI by more than 90%. To further show the advantages of RVM, the traditional methods such as PLS, ANN and SVM are also utilized to realize tool wear prediction. This paper lays the foundation for the application of RVM to industrial field. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]