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Dynamo theory and perspectives of forecasting solar cycles.

Authors :
Sokoloff, Dmitry
Source :
Journal of Atmospheric & Solar-Terrestrial Physics. Sep2018, Vol. 176, p10-14. 5p.
Publication Year :
2018

Abstract

Various approaches to forecasting the solar cycle based on solar dynamo models are considered. The importance of separating predictions of catastrophic events such as the Maunder minimum, predictions of general trends in solar activity between Grand minima, and forecasts of the next cycle, based on current knowledge of previous cycles is noted. The role of fluctuations of dynamo drivers for the forecast is emphasized. The polar magnetic field in the current cycle is considered as a natural predictor of the amplitude of the following cycle. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
13646826
Volume :
176
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Journal of Atmospheric & Solar-Terrestrial Physics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
131185365
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jastp.2017.03.011