Peeling an onion: the "refugee crisis" from a historical perspective.

This paper asks a simple question: why did Western and other European politicians become so alarmed and, in some cases, downright apocalyptic at the rise of asylum seekers in 2014-16, especially compared to the previous refugee crisis in the 1990s? This paper argues that in 2014/2015, a "perfect storm" developed, bringing together factors that in the past had been largely unrelated and then converged with new ones. Peeling the onion of societal discontent with migrants and refugees has revealed five necessary and sufficient conditions: (1) discomfort with immigration and integration of colonial and labour migrants from North Africa and Turkey (1970-80s); (2) growing social inequality and widespread pessimism about globalization (1980s-); (3) A growing discomfort with Islam (1990s-); (4) Islamist terrorism (2000s-) and (5) the rise of radical right populist parties (2000s). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]