IMPACTOS DO CRÉDITO RURAL SOBRE A PRODUÇÃO LEITEIRA NO ESTADO DE RONDÔNIA, 1990-2015.

The milk is a product that has a large economic stake in Brazil, the main dairy regions are concentrated in the South and Southeast. However, the state of Rondônia, in the North region, has increased its production and currently ranks among the ten largest milk producers in the country. In this context, the credit has its relevance in the financing of agricultural activities, influencing the growth. The paper analyzes the influence of rural credit in the growth of milk production in the state of Rondônia during the period 1990-2015. For this, we used the shift-share method to decompose the variables of growth rates milk production, breeding of cows milked and productivity. Subsequently, data obtained from the Statistical Rural Credit Yearbook of the Central Bank of Brazil (BACEN) and the Municipal Livestock Survey of the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) were analyzed using descriptive statistics and correlation, in order to observe the financing behavior, in addition, were used for comparison purposes, the data of Constitutional Fund for North financing (FNO) obtained from the Bank of Amazon. The geometric rate of production growth was 6,85% per year, as growth rates in the number of cows milked and productivity were, respectively, 4,95% and 1,8% per annum. The correlation of variables with the credit was positive, getting close values. The elasticity coefficient- credit was higher at the effect in the number of cows milked (0.0785) than in milk productivity (0.0410), showing the sensitivity of this variable to financing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]