Modeling Hurricane Exposure in a Caribbean Lower Montane Tropical Wet Forest: The Effects of Frequent, Intermediate Disturbances and Topography on Forest Structural Dynamics and Composition.

Frequent intermediate disturbances can produce qualitatively different spatial heterogeneity and environmental variability than large infrequent disturbances, which facilitates the coexistence of disparate species types. We hypothesized that species coexistence will be maximized at sites exposed to recurring hurricanes with intermediate frequencies and effects. Consequently, we sought to determine if exposure vulnerability (EV) from three hurricanes with intermediate effects and frequencies (Ivan-2004, Dennis-2005 and Dean-2007), or the interaction between exposure and topography, could be used to explain forest structural dynamics and composition. We used data obtained in 2006 and 2012 from within 45, 25 × 25 m (2.8125 ha) permanent sample plots, established according to a randomized block design, and stratified according to elevation and aspect/sites (NE and SW facing ridges) in a tropical montane wet forest, John Crow Mountains, Jamaica. There was a significant reduction in basal area (BA) (14%), tree volume (10%), and density (26%) and there was a negative shift in the height profile of trees. Understory light (2008), stem density, and mortality increased with EV but decreased with aspect. The NE aspect/sites had higher EV after Dean and the other hurricanes. Consequently, BA, volume and density increased significantly for light-demanding species at the NE sites, but declined significantly overall with minimal changes at SW sites. Moreover, diversity was significantly higher at sites with higher EV for the three hurricanes. The frequent hurricanes with intermediate effects may have therefore maintained/increased spatial heterogeneity, which promoted the coexistence of species with disparate life histories at more exposed sites. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]