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This paper presents a new formulation for intentional controlled islanding (ICI) of power transmission grids based on mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) DC optimal power flow (OPF) model. We highlight several deficiencies of the most well-known formulation for this problem and propose new enhancements for their improvement. In particular, we propose a new alternative optimization objective that may be more suitable for ICI than the minimization of load shedding, a new set of island connectivity constraints, and a new set of constraints for DC OPF with switching, and a new MILP heuristic to find initial feasible solutions for ICI. It is shown that the proposed improvements help to reduce the final optimality gaps as compared to the benchmark model on several test instances., Comment: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2022.108588

With the growing number of severe system disturbances and blackouts around the world, controlled system separation is becoming an increasingly important system integrity protection scheme (SIPS) to save the electric power system from a complete or partial disintegration. A successful controlled splitting approach should at least tackle the following two well-known and interrelated problems: "when to split?" and "where to split?". Multiple previous publications consider these problems separately, and even those pursuing a combined approach propose solutions with limited applicability. In this paper, we are proposing a novel PMU-based detector of loss of synchronism that utilizes generator rotor angles and speeds to promptly detect rotor angle instabilities over a wide area. Moreover, we are showing how our loss of synchronism detection principle can be coupled with the known controlled splitting techniques to form an integrated defense scheme against unintentional loss of synchronism. The performance of this wide-area SIPS is demonstrated on the IEEE 39-bus test power system for various types of unstable conditions., Comment: (C) 2023 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works

This paper aims at assessing the power system reliability by estimating loss of load (LOL) index using mutual information based Bayesian approach. Reliability analysis is a key component in the design, analysis and tuning of complex structure like electrical power system. Consideration is given to rare events while constructing the Bayesian network, which provides reliable estimates of probability distribution function of LOL with lesser computing effort. Also, the ranking of load components due to loss of load is evaluated. The RBTS and IEEE RTS-24 systems are used as test cases., Comment: 6 pages, 9 figures, 2 tables, PowerTech, 2015 IEEE Eindhoven

Future electricity consumption is fundamentally uncertain and dependent on many variables such as economic activity, weather, electricity rates and demand side management. The stochasticity of system load as well as power generation from renewable energy sources (RES) (i.e., wind and solar) poses special challenges to power system planners. Increasing penetration levels of wind and solar exacerbate the uncertainty and variability that must be addressed in coming years, and can be extremely relevant to power system planners. With this paper, pathways for multivariate dependence modeling using vine copula is proposed which includes both electrical load and power generation from RES., Comment: 5 pages, 2 figures, 2 algorithm tables

This paper discusses about future challenges in terms of big data and new technologies. Utilities have been collecting data in large amounts but they are hardly utilized because they are huge in amount and also there is uncertainty associated with it. Condition monitoring of assets collects large amounts of data during daily operations. The question arises "How to extract information from large chunk of data?" The concept of "rich data and poor information" is being challenged by big data analytics with advent of machine learning techniques. Along with technological advancements like Internet of Things (IoT), big data analytics will play an important role for electric utilities. In this paper, challenges are answered by pathways and guidelines to make the current asset management practices smarter for the future., Comment: 13 pages, 3 figures, Proceedings of 12th World Congress on Engineering Asset Management (WCEAM) 2017

Long-term load forecasting plays a vital role for utilities and planners in terms of grid development and expansion planning. An overestimate of long-term electricity load will result in substantial wasted investment in the construction of excess power facilities, while an underestimate of future load will result in insufficient generation and unmet demand. This paper presents first-of-its-kind approach to use multiplicative error model (MEM) in forecasting load for long-term horizon. MEM originates from the structure of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model where conditional variance is dynamically parameterized and it multiplicatively interacts with an innovation term of time-series. Historical load data, accessed from a U.S. regional transmission operator, and recession data for years 1993-2016 is used in this study. The superiority of considering volatility is proven by out-of-sample forecast results as well as directional accuracy during the great economic recession of 2008. To incorporate future volatility, backtesting of MEM model is performed. Two performance indicators used to assess the proposed model are mean absolute percentage error (for both in-sample model fit and out-of-sample forecasts) and directional accuracy., Comment: 19 pages, 11 figures, 3 tables