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Background: The adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) population is growing and risk prediction is important to predict adverse outcome and consult patients during their lifecourse. Objectives: This study aims to describe the long-term prognostic value of blood biomarkers in ACHD. Methods: In this prospective observational cohort study, 602 patients with moderate or complex ACHD were included (median age 32.5 years [IQR: 24.7-41.2], 42% female, 90% New York Heart Association I). N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitive-troponin T, growth differentiation factor 15, high-sensitive-C-reactive protein, suppression of tumorigenicity-2 and galectin-3, as well as full blood count, renal function, LDL, and HDL were measured. Cox models were applied to relate the selected biomarkers with the primary end point of all-cause mortality and secondary end point of mortality or heart failure. Standardized HRs adjusted for relevant prognostic factors, including age, sex, and complexity of diagnosis, were reported. Results: Abnormal biomarker levels were present in 424 (70.4%) patients. During a median follow-up of 10.1 years, 41 (6.8%) patients died and 81 (13.5%) developed heart failure. Associations were observed between the primary and secondary end point and red cell distribution width, NT-proBNP, and growth differentiation factor 15. In a multibiomarker model, only NT-proBNP remained associated with mortality (HR: 2.74; 95% CI: 2.01-3.74). NT-proBNP significantly improved the C-statistic of the clinical prediction model (0.85-0.92). Based on NT-proBNP alone, low-risk patients could be identified. Patients with NT-proBNP <76 ng/L showed a 10-year heart failure-free survival of 98.5%. Conclusions: Blood biomarkers have prognostic value in ACHD. NT-proBNP improves risk prediction and is able to identify low-risk patients. Its routine use should be implemented in ACHD.

Objective This study aims to compare aortic morphology between repaired coarctation patients and controls, and to identify aortic morphological risk factors for hypertension and cardiovascular events (CVEs) in coarctation patients. Methods Repaired coarctation patients with computed tomography angiography (CTA) or magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) were included, followed-up and compared with sex-matched and age-matched controls. Three-dimensional aortic shape was reconstructed using patients' CTA or MRA, or four-dimensional flow cardiovascular magnetic resonance in controls, and advanced geometrical characteristics were calculated and visualised using statistical shape modelling. In patients, we examined the association of geometrical characteristics with (1) baseline hypertension, using multivariable logistic regression; and (2) cardiovascular events (CVE, composite of aortic complications, coronary artery disease, ventricular arrhythmias, heart failure hospitalisation, stroke, transient ischaemic attacks and cardiovascular death), using multivariable Cox regression. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method selected the most informative multivariable model. Results Sixty-five repaired coarctation patients (23 years (IQR 19-38)) were included, of which 44 (68%) patients were hypertensive at baseline. After a median follow-up of 8.7 years (IQR 4.8-15.4), 27 CVEs occurred in 20 patients. Aortic arch dimensions were smaller in patients compared with controls (diameter p<0.001, wall surface area p=0.026, volume p=0.007). Patients had more aortic arch torsion (p<0.001) and a higher curvature (p<0.001). No geometrical characteristics were associated with hypertension. LASSO selected left ventricular mass, male sex, tortuosity and age for the multivariable model. Left ventricular mass (p=0.014) was independently associated with CVE, and aortic tortuosity showed a trend towards significance (p=0.070). Conclusion Repaired coarctation

Background: Adults with a systemic right ventricle (sRV) are at a high risk for heart failure (HF) hospitalization and mortality. Bioactive adrenomedullin (bio-ADM) has been proposed as a marker of congestion and prognosis in patients with cardiovascular disease. We aimed to evaluate the association between bio-ADM and mortality and HF events in sRV patients. Methods: Plasma bio-ADM was measured by a novel immunoassay in plasma of 85 sRV patients. A composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and HF events was used as outcome. HF events were defined as onset or progression of HF signs or symptoms requiring hospitalization, initiation or intensification of therapy. Multivariable Cox regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between bio-ADM and outcome. Results: The mean age of the patients was 37 ± 9 years and 65% were male. Patients with higher plasma bio-ADM concentrations were more often treated with diuretics (p = 0.007), possibly because of signs and/or symptoms of congestion. During a median follow-up of 10.2 years, 33.7% of the patients reached the endpoint. After adjustment for age and N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-pro BNP), higher bio-ADM levels were associated with a higher risk of the composite endpoint (hazard ratio: 2.09 [95%-confidence interval: 1.15–3.78]). Bio-ADM improved risk prediction when added to NT-proBNP and age (C-statistic improved from 0.748 to 0.776 [p = 0.03]). Conclusions: Bio-ADM can be considered as a marker of congestion and independent predictor of death and HF events in adult patients with a sRV. Moreover, in terms of risk prediction, it has added value to NT-proBNP.

Therapies for inoperable chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) include balloon pulmonary angioplasty (BPA) and PH-specific medical therapy. This study compares survival and its predictors before and after the introduction of BPA. BPA was independently associated with survival; however, there was no difference in overall survival between the two cohorts.

OBJECTIVES: Congenital supravalvular aortic stenosis (SVAS) is a rare form of congenital outflow tract obstruction and long-term outcomes are scarcely reported. This study aims to provide an overview of outcomes after surgical repair for congenital SVAS. METHODS: A systematic review of published literature was conducted, including observational studies reporting long-term clinical outcome (>2 years) after SVAS repair in children or adults considering >20 patients. Early risks, late event rates and time-to-event data were pooled and entered into a microsimulation model to estimate 30-year outcomes. Life expectancy was compared to the age-, sex- and origin-matched general population. RESULTS: Twenty-three publications were included, encompassing a total of 1472 patients (13 125 patient-years; pooled mean follow-up: 9.0 (6.2) years; median follow-up: 6.3 years). Pooled mean age at surgical repair was 4.7 (5.8) years and the most commonly used surgical technique was the single-patch repair (43.6%). Pooled early mortality was 4.2% (95% confidence interval: 3.2-5.5%) and late mortality was 0.61% (95% CI: 0.45-0.83) per patient-year. Based on microsimulation, over a 30-year time horizon, it was estimated that an average patient with SVAS repair (mean age: 4.7 years) had an observed life expectancy that was 90.7% (95% credible interval: 90.0-91.6%) of expected life expectancy in the matched general population. The microsimulation-based 30-year risk of myocardial infarction was 8.1% (95% credible interval: 7.3-9.9%) and reintervention 31.3% (95% credible interval: 29.6-33.4%), of which 27.2% (95% credible interval: 25.8-29.1) due to repair dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: After surgical repair for SVAS, 30-year survival is lower than the matched-general-population survival and the lifetime risk of reintervention is considerable. Therefore, lifelong monitoring of the cardiovascular system and in particular residual stenosis and coronary obstruction is recommended.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the clinical outcome and quality of life up to 50 years after surgical atrial septal defect (ASD) closure at young age. Primary outcome is defined as MACE (all-cause mortality, cardiac re-interventions, ischemic stroke, endocarditis, heart failure and symptomatic arrhythmia).METHODS: Single-center, longitudinal cohort-study evaluating 135 consecutive patients who underwent ASD-closure before the age of 15 years between 1968 and 1980. Participants were invited for extensive cardiac evaluation and assessment of quality-of-life every 10 years.RESULTS: Eighty patients (86%) of 93 eligible survivors were included in this study (mean age 52 ± 5 years (range 41-63), 40% male). Median follow-up since surgery was 45 years (range 40-51). Cumulative survival after 50 years was 86% and comparable to the normal Dutch population. Cumulative event-free survival after 45 and 50-years was 59% and 46% respectively (re-intervention in 6, symptomatic arrhythmia in 25, and pacemaker implantation in 10 patients). Right ventricular ejection fraction on CMR was diminished in 6%. Exercise capacity was normal in 77%. There was no pulmonary hypertension. NT-proBNP was elevated in 61%. Quality of life was comparable with the general population. No predictors for late events were identified.CONCLUSION: Long-term survival after surgical ASD-closure in childhood is good and not statistically different at 50 years compared to the normal Dutch population. Re-intervention rate is low, there is no pulmonary hypertension. Right ventricular function was diminished in 6%, exercise capacity was good and stable over time with quality of life comparable to the general population. However, supraventricular tachycardia is common.

Aims: The prognostic value of functional tricuspid valve regurgitation (TR) in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) remains undetermined. This study primarily aims to quantify the prognostic role of TR in relation to right ventricle (RV) dysfunction on clinical outcomes and secondarily the evolution of TR and RV dysfunction over time. Methods: Adult PAH or CTEPH patients diagnosed by right heart catheterization were included. Exclusion criteria were prevalent patients and age < 18 years. The primary endpoint was a composite of death or lung transplantation. Longitudinal evolution of TR and RV dysfunction were modelled with generalized mixed-effect models, which were inserted in a cox model under the joint-modelling framework in order to investigate the association of TR and RV dysfunction with the endpoint. Results: We included 76 PAH and 44 CTEPH patients (median age:59, females:62 %), with a mean follow-up of 3.2 ± 2.1 years. 31 patients reached the endpoint (2 transplant, 29 mortality). On average the probability of moderate-to-severe TR decreased during follow-up, whereas the probability of moderate-to-severe RV dysfunction remained stable. The cumulative effect of moderate-to-severe TR (HRper day 1.01 95 %CI[1.00–1.01],P < 0.001) and moderate-to-severe RV dysfunction (HRper day: 1.01 95 %CI[1.00–1.01],P < 0.001) was associated with the endpoint in univariable joint-models. In a multivariable joint-model with both the evolutions of TR and RV dysfunction only TR remained significant (HR per day: 1.01 95 %CI[1.00–1.01],P < 0.001). Conclusion: Persistent moderate-to-severe tricuspid valve regurgitation during follow-up predicts adverse outcomes and might be a better predictor of lung transplantation and mortality compared to right ventricle dysfunction.