10 results on '"short-run effects"'
Search Results
2. The Uneven Short-Run Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Foreign Direct Investment.
- Author
-
Wright, Roxana and Wu, Chen
- Subjects
FOREIGN investments ,COVID-19 pandemic ,REGIONAL development ,TREND analysis ,ECONOMIC impact - Abstract
This study examines short-run economic and business impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic as a global disruption event. The purpose is to build propositions about specific subnational FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) developments in the short-term of global disturbance. We approach the investigation by reviewing FDI outcomes in the year prior and in the first year of the pandemic, at the U.S. national and subnational levels, and through the lens of local characteristics and FDI outcomes in the state of New Hampshire. Our methods include distribution and frequency analyses on two sets of data: secondary data on FDI and trade at the state level, and primary data as direct observations on firm activities in New Hampshire. Our leading method is the evaluation of data aimed at triangulating and consequently generating a set of propositions that explain phenomena observed in relation to short-term effects of disruption. Our methodological tools consist of an in-focus instance of the phenomena in one state, as a particular case for verifying the validity of our propositions, and comparisons with available data across states to establish the reliability of the proposed consequences. Our analysis provides evidence for subnational heterogeneity of global disruption impact. Our interstate trend analysis and unique data on FDI-related activities in New Hampshire reveal how foreign businesses respond to the external shock of global disruption in the short-run. We use our insights to propose that established regional supply chains and differences in local advantages determine varying FDI outcomes across subnational locations. As a result, we set forth three calls-to-action for regional policymakers: the development of initiatives to support strong trade and FDI-outcomes at all times and in preparation for global disruption; the promotion and facilitation of firms' access to markets; and the implementation of actions that encourage the establishment of regional supply chains. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Inequality and Economic Growth: Bridging the Short-run and the Long-run
- Author
-
Grijalva, Diego F.
- Subjects
growth ,inequality ,short-run effects ,medium-run effects ,long-run effects ,GMM Estimation - Abstract
I analyze the effect of inequality on growth over different time-frames. In a large cross-country dataset for the period 1950-2007 I find evidence of a short-run (5-year periods) and medium-run (10-year periods) inverse-U relationship between inequality and growth. In the long-run (20-year periods), however, inequality has a negative effect on growth in poor countries, and a positive effect in rich ones. Finally, in the 37-year period (1970-2007) higher inequality is associated with a lower rate of growth. Thus, while some (but not much) inequality is good for growth, the negative effect of inequality on growth becomes dominant over longer time-frames.
- Published
- 2011
4. Effect of exchange rate policy on GDP and GDP components: The Kyrgyz Republic Case
- Author
-
Fuat SEKMEN and Nurbek MADMAROV
- Subjects
exchange rate regimes ,som ,external shocks ,ARDL ,GDP ,GDP components ,short-run effects ,long-run effects ,Business ,HF5001-6182 ,Economic theory. Demography ,HB1-3840 ,Economics as a science ,HB71-74 - Abstract
The choice of exchange rate regimes in the countries to take advantage of stabilization policies was quite difficult. After the breakdown of the USSR, the KR among the former member countries in the Central Asia was the first to introduce its national currency on 10th of May 1993. After that time, it has done several adjustments in the exchange rate policy to preserve the value of the som from external shocks. In the study, the effectiveness of the exchange rate policy on GDP and GDP components is examined by using the ARDL model by Pesaran et al. (2001). The estimation results show that the depreciation of som has positive significant short- and long-run effects on GDP growth. However, while it has insignificant effect on most of the GDP component variables in the short-run, it has negative significant long-run effect.
- Published
- 2018
5. The Cointegrated VAR Methodology
- Author
-
Juselius, Katarina
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
6. The Uneven Short-Run Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Foreign Direct Investment
- Author
-
Chen Wu and Roxana Wright
- Subjects
COVID-19 ,global disruption ,FDI ,short-run effects ,national and subnational ,market reaction - Abstract
This study examines short-run economic and business impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic as a global disruption event. The purpose is to build propositions about specific subnational FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) developments in the short-term of global disturbance. We approach the investigation by reviewing FDI outcomes in the year prior and in the first year of the pandemic, at the U.S. national and subnational levels, and through the lens of local characteristics and FDI outcomes in the state of New Hampshire. Our methods include distribution and frequency analyses on two sets of data: secondary data on FDI and trade at the state level, and primary data as direct observations on firm activities in New Hampshire. Our leading method is the evaluation of data aimed at triangulating and consequently generating a set of propositions that explain phenomena observed in relation to short-term effects of disruption. Our methodological tools consist of an in-focus instance of the phenomena in one state, as a particular case for verifying the validity of our propositions, and comparisons with available data across states to establish the reliability of the proposed consequences. Our analysis provides evidence for subnational heterogeneity of global disruption impact. Our interstate trend analysis and unique data on FDI-related activities in New Hampshire reveal how foreign businesses respond to the external shock of global disruption in the short-run. We use our insights to propose that established regional supply chains and differences in local advantages determine varying FDI outcomes across subnational locations. As a result, we set forth three calls-to-action for regional policymakers: the development of initiatives to support strong trade and FDI-outcomes at all times and in preparation for global disruption; the promotion and facilitation of firms’ access to markets; and the implementation of actions that encourage the establishment of regional supply chains.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
7. A non-structural approach to assess competitive conditions in container liner shipping market: 2009-2014
- Author
-
Enna Hirata
- Subjects
long-run effects ,demand elasticities ,CLS ,Transportation ,Management Science and Operations Research ,dynamic model ,competitive ,Monopolistic competition ,CLs upper limits ,container liner shipping ,competitive conditions ,Management of Technology and Innovation ,short-run effects ,shipping market ,Econometrics ,monopolistic ,non-structural ,Business and International Management ,shipping ,Structural approach ,Panzar-Rosse h-statistic ,logistics ,competition degree ,Container (abstract data type) ,transport ,Business ,Liner shipping - Abstract
This paper aims to assess the demand elasticities and competitive conditions in container liner shipping (henceforth: CLS) market. Using a dynamic model, the regression results reveal that the degree of competition measured by Panzar-Rosse (P-R) H statistic varies from 0.37 to 0.97 for the period of 2009 to 2014. It implies that CLS market can be described as displaying monopolistic competitive behaviour. The conclusion is consistent with previous studies conducted for earlier periods; moreover, the increasing trend of P-R H statistic value implies increasing degree of competition in the industry. The findings contribute to the understanding of theoretical explanation of competitive condition in latest CLS market. Unlike other studies, this paper establishes a dynamic model that makes it possible to measure both short-run and long-run effects.
- Published
- 2018
8. Does monitoring deter future cheating? The case of external examiners in Italian schools
- Author
-
Giorgio Brunello, Maria De Paola, Marco Bertoni, and Marco Alberto De Benedetto
- Subjects
Persistence (psychology) ,Economics and Econometrics ,Random assignment ,Cheating ,Testing ,05 social sciences ,Education ,External monitoring ,Short-run effects ,Test score ,0502 economics and business ,050207 economics ,Psychology ,Finance ,050205 econometrics ,Clinical psychology - Abstract
We use the repeated random assignment of external examiners to schools in Italy to investigate whether the effect of external monitoring on test score manipulation persists over time. We find that this effect is still present in the tests taken one year after exposure to the examiners. In the second year after exposure, however, this effect disappears, suggesting that persistence is short lived.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
9. Trade effects of exchange rates and their volatility: Chile and New Zealand
- Author
-
Huchet-Bourdon, Marilyne and Korinek, Jane
- Subjects
taux de change ,coût d'amortissement ,volatilité ,nouvelle zélande ,chili ,exchange rate ,new zealand ,chile ,small open economies ,Chilean peso ,new zealand dollar ,volatility ,trade ,trade in agriculture ,short-run effects ,long-run effects ,garch volatility ,trade deficit ,depreciation ,currency movements ,real exchange rate ,exchange rate appreciation ,exchange hedging ,commerce agroalimentaire - Abstract
Trade deficits and surpluses are sometimes attributed to intentionally low or high exchange rate levels. The impact of exchange rate levels on trade has been much debated but the large body of existing empirical literature does not suggest an unequivocally clear picture of the trade impacts of changes in exchange rates. In addition, much of the evidence on this subject considers currencies of large economies, and overwhelmingly the United States.This study examines the impact of exchange rates and their volatility on trade flows in two small, open economies Chile and New Zealand with three major trading partners, in two broadly defined sectors agriculture on the one hand and manufacturing and mining on the other. It finds that exchange volatility impacts trade flows in the small, open economies more than was found for larger economies. Findings do not clearly indicate the direction of the impact, i.e.whether this volatility increases or decreases trade in all countries and sectors. Exchange rate levels, on the other hand, affect trade in both agriculture and manufacturing and mining sectors although their magnitude differs depending on the trading partner and sector. Moreover, this study indicates that a depreciation in the exchange rates in Chile and New Zealand would not lead to a strong change in their trade balances with three main trading partners across the board.
- Published
- 2012
10. Modeling the Effectiveness of Hourly Direct-Response Radio Commercials
- Author
-
Kiygi Calli, M. (Meltem), Weverbergh, M. (Marcel), Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (Philip Hans), Kiygi Calli, M. (Meltem), Weverbergh, M. (Marcel), and Franses, Ph.H.B.F. (Philip Hans)
- Abstract
The authors investigate the impact of direct-response commercials on incoming calls at a national call center. To this end, the authors analyze the data of a fast service for repairs of (parts of) a durable consumption good in Flanders, Belgium. The authors have access to data at the 15 minute interval covering 30 months in which 5172 radio commercials were broadcasted on six radio stations at various times of the day and at with differing commercial lengths. Their model is a two-level model, where the first-level estimates of the short-run and long-run effects are correlated with various aspects of the commercial is the second level. Their main conclusion is that GRPs are the key drivers of the effectiveness of commercials.
- Published
- 2008
Catalog
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.