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23 results on '"prognoosimine (maj.)"'

1. Past entrepreneurial misbehaviour as a predictor of firm default

Author

Tamm, Anne-Liis, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
economic behaviour, previous entrepreneurial behaviour, logistic regression, non-financial variables, logistiline regressioon, predictive models, ettevõtja väärkäitumine, pankrotid, failure, mitte-finantsilised muutujad, keskmise suurusega ettevõtted, medium-sized enterprises, väikeettevõtted, bankruptcies, reporting delays, majanduskäitumine, aastaaruannetega hilinemised, ebaedu, small enterprises, magistritööd, economic forecasting, prognoosmudelid, prognoosimine (maj.), master's theses
Published
2021

2. Prediction of subsidised firm failure with financial ratios, tax arrears and annual report delays

Author

Hermann, Gerda, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tänav, Tõnis, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
insolvency, aastaaruanded, rahandussuhtarvud, agricultural enterprises, maksuvõlad, põllumajandusettevõtted, statistical analysis, magistritööd, economic forecasting, maksejõuetus, financial ratios, prognoosimine (maj.), statistiline analüüs, annual reports, master's theses, tax arrears
Published
2021

3. Prediction of bank loan defaults with financial ratios, tax arrears and annual report delays

Author

Kohv, Keijo, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
makseraskused, aastaaruanded, rahandussuhtarvud, bank loans, predictive models, regressioonanalüüs, regression analysis, maksuvõlad, tehisõpe, automatic learning, magistritööd, economic forecasting, pangalaenud, prognoosmudelid, financial ratios, payment difficulties, prognoosimine (maj.), annual reports, master's theses, tax arrears
Published
2020

4. Forecasting corporate permanent insolvency with financial ratios and tax arrears

Author

Valgenberg, Germo, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
permanent insolvency, magistritööd, rahandussuhtarvud, economic forecasting, maksejõuetus, lineaarsed mudelid, linear models, financial ratios, prognoosimine (maj.), master's theses
Published
2020

5. Corporate tax arrears prediction based on monthly time series of tax arrears

Author

Siimon, Õie Renata, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
tehisõpe, automatic learning, analysis of time series, magistritööd, economic forecasting, aegridade analüüs, prognoosmudelid, predictive models, prognoosimine (maj.), maksuvõlad, master's theses, tax arrears
Published
2020

6. Early warning system for financial crisis: application of random forest

Author

Wanyama, Geofrey, Eratalay, Mustafa Hakan, juhendaja, Alfieri, Luca, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
financial crises, finantskriisid, magistritööd, economic forecasting, prognoosimine (maj.), master's theses
Abstract

The study identifies important variables in detecting the likely occurrence of a financial crisis 1 to 3 years from its onset . We do this by implementing random forest on Macroeconomic Historical time series data set for 16 developed countries from 1870-2016. By comparing the misclassification error for logistic regression to that obtained for random forest, we show that random forest outperforms logistic regression under the out-of-sample setting for long historical macroeconomic data set. Using the SMOTE technique, we show that minimising class imbalance in the data set improves the performance of random forest. The results show that important variables for detecting a financial crisis 1 to 3 years from its onset vary from country to country. Some similarities are however also observed. Credit and money price variables for instance emerge as very important predictors across a number of countries.

Published
2020

7. Failure prediction of European high-tech companies

Author

Klaas, Hannes, Vals, Ivo, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
technology companies, logistiline regressioon, prediction, Euroopa, regressioonanalüüs, regression analysis, failure, logistic regressioon, manufacturing, tootmissektor, statistical analysis, ebaedu, tehnoloogiaettevõtted, magistritööd, economic forecasting, prognostika, prognoosimine (maj.), statistiline analüüs, master's theses
Abstract

The aim of this thesis is to develop a model for predicting the failure of high-tech and mediumhigh tech companies from different European countries. This study uses firm-level data from the Bureau van Dijk’s Amadeus database and includes the financial information of 32,929 firms. The data were collected from the financial statements of the companies for the period 2012–2017 and logistic regression was used as the analysis method. Findings indicate that the accuracies of individual variables across countries are not very high and there are large differences in the accuracies of individual ratios when comparing non-failed and failed firms. Aggregate accuracies for all ratios within country and across countries show that the most accurate predictions are obtained for non-failed firms using the ratios for the preceding two years combined. The practical value of this work lies in the knowledge of the relevant variables, which allows companies to focus in a timely manner on aspects that have determined failure in the past. Subsequent works should attempt to use a larger sample of European countries and include other variables in addition to financial ratios.

Published
2020

8. Success and failure factors of post-contest performance of Ajujaht Start-up Competition prizewinners

Author

Aloel, Joosep, Kantšukov, Mark, juhendaja, Vissak, Tiia, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
äriideed, mixed methods, business starts, magistritööd, economic forecasting, floating a company, business ideas, idufirmad, ettevõtte asutamine, prognoosimine (maj.), kombineeritud uurimismeetodid, master's theses
Published
2020

9. Profiling of registered unemployed

Author

Gratian, Allan, Võrk, Andres, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
unemployed labour force, unemployment, tööpuudus, econometric models, magistritööd, economic forecasting, töötud, prognoosimine (maj.), majandusmudelid, master's theses
Published
2019

10. Prediction of loan defaults using financial ratios, payment behaviour and manager’s characteristics

Author

Bogdanova, Jelena, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
maksevõime, makseraskused, rahandussuhtarvud, regressioonanalüüs, business intelligence, regression analysis, credit solvency, magistritööd, economic forecasting, financial ratios, payment difficulties, prognoosimine (maj.), ärianalüüs, master's theses
Published
2019

11. Forecasting US inflation using machine learning methods

Author

Kolomiiets, Kateryna, Eratalay, Hakan. M, juhendaja, Netšunajev, Aleksei, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
Ameerika Ühendriigid, United States of America, tehisõpe, automatic learning, neurovõrgud, statistical methods, inflatsioon, magistritööd, economic forecasting, inflation, artificial neural networks, prognoosimine (maj.), statitistilised meetodid, master's theses
Published
2018

13. Corporate bankruptcy prediction of Estonian firms

Author

Lääne, Kerttu, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
ettevõtted, Eesti, magistritööd, prognoosmudelid, prognoosimine (maj.), majandusmudelid, pankrotid, masters' theses
Published
2017

14. Krediidi tagasimakse käitumise prognoosimine tarbija finantskirjaoskuse taseme kaudu

Author

Themas, Ergo, Kindsiko, Eneli, juhendaja, Lukason, Oliver, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond, and Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond

Subjects
maksevõime, bakalaureusetööd, tarbijakrediit, tehisõpe, finantskäitumine, finantskirjaoskus, küsitlusuuringud, prognoosimine (maj.), majandusmudelid, laenud
Published
2017

16. Prognoosimine Google otsingu märksõnade sageduse abil aegridade meetoditega

Author

Matkur, Margus, Võrk, Andres, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Sotsiaalteaduste valdkond

Subjects
majandusnäitajad, protsessid, magistritööd, majandusprognoosid, Google (tarkvara), otsingumootorid, prognostika, infootsing, aegridade analüüs, prognoosmudelid, prognoosimine (maj.)
Published
2017

19. Forecasting inflation using Phillips curve

Author

Gabrielyan, Diana, Uusküla, Lenno, juhendaja, Masso, Jaan, juhendaja, and Tartu Ülikool. Majandusteaduskond

Subjects
Rootsi, Phillipsi kõver, inflatsioon, magistritööd, prognoosimine (maj.), master's theses
Published
2016

23. Riigikassa rahavoogude prognoosimine

Author

Allik, Kris, Ääremaa, Kuldev, juhendaja, Tartu Ülikool. Matemaatika-informaatikateaduskond, and Tartu Ülikool. Matemaatilise statistika instituut

Subjects
matemaatiline statistika, bakalaureusetööd, riigirahandus, rahakäive, Eesti, prognostika, statistilised meetodid, riigikassa, prognoosimine (maj.)
Abstract

https://www.ester.ee/record=b5371060*est

Published
2009

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