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Smog in China has been a major issue in recent years. As the main component of smog, PM 2.5 has received a lot of attention from the public, as the pollution caused by PM 2.5 is believed to have negative impacts in many aspects. Accordingly, modeling PM 2.5 concentrations has become research of interest for the sake of future prediction and control. Based on the data collected from monitoring stations nationwide, we find that PM 2.5 concentrations show both spatial and temporal dependency. In this paper, we adopt a grouped spatial-temporal model to depict the distribution of PM 2.5 , capturing the spatial heterogeneity in the patterns of PM 2.5 concentrations. An estimation method based on the EM algorithm is used since the group label assignment is unknown, and the results are further explained. Finally, an outlier detection procedure based on the grouped spatial-temporal model is presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Studies on the conditional relationships between PM2.5 concentrations among different regions are of great interest for the joint prevention and control of air pollution. Because of seasonal changes in atmospheric conditions, spatial patterns of PM2.5 may differ throughout the year. Additionally, concentration data are both non‐negative and non‐Gaussian. These data features pose significant challenges to existing methods. This study proposes a heterogeneous graphical model for non‐negative and non‐Gaussian data via the score matching loss. The proposed method simultaneously clusters multiple datasets and estimates a graph for variables with complex properties in each cluster. Furthermore, our model involves a network that indicate similarity among datasets, and this network can have additional applications. In simulation studies, the proposed method outperforms competing alternatives in both clustering and edge identification. We also analyse the PM2.5 concentrations' spatial correlations in Taiwan's regions using data obtained in year 2019 from 67 air‐quality monitoring stations. The 12 months are clustered into four groups: January–March, April, May–September and October–December, and the corresponding graphs have 153, 57, 86 and 167 edges respectively. The results show obvious seasonality, which is consistent with the meteorological literature. Geographically, the PM2.5 concentrations of north and south Taiwan regions correlate more respectively. These results can provide valuable information for developing joint air‐quality control strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Air pollution (mainly PM2.5) is one of the main environmental problems about air quality. Air pollution prediction and early warning is a prerequisite for air pollution prevention and control. However, it is not easy to accurately predict the long-term trend because the collected PM2.5 data have complex nonlinearity with multiple components of different frequency characteristics. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning predictor, in which the PM2.5 data are decomposed into components by empirical mode decomposition (EMD) firstly, and a convolutional neural network (CNN) is built to classify all the components into a fixed number of groups based on the frequency characteristics. Then, a gated-recurrent-unit (GRU) network is trained for each group as the sub-predictor, and the results from the three GRUs are fused to obtain the prediction result. Experiments based on the PM2.5 data from Beijing verify the proposed model, and the prediction results show that the decomposition and classification can develop the accuracy of the proposed predictor for air pollution prediction greatly.

Air pollution (mainly PM2.5) is one of the main environmental problems about air quality. Air pollution prediction and early warning is a prerequisite for air pollution prevention and control. However, it is not easy to accurately predict the long-term trend because the collected PM2.5 data have complex nonlinearity with multiple components of different frequency characteristics. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning predictor, in which the PM2.5 data are decomposed into components by empirical mode decomposition (EMD) firstly, and a convolutional neural network (CNN) is built to classify all the components into a fixed number of groups based on the frequency characteristics. Then, a gated-recurrent-unit (GRU) network is trained for each group as the sub-predictor, and the results from the three GRUs are fused to obtain the prediction result. Experiments based on the PM2.5 data from Beijing verify the proposed model, and the prediction results show that the decomposition and classification can develop the accuracy of the proposed predictor for air pollution prediction greatly. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]