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Objective Information about prognostic outcomes can be of great help for people with prediabetes and for physicians in the face of scientific controversy about the cutoff point for defining prediabetes. We aimed to estimate different prognostic outcomes in people with prediabetes. Design Prospective cohort of subjects with prediabetes according to American Diabetes Association guidelines. Main Outcome measures The probabilities of diabetes onset versus non-onset, the odds against diabetes onset, and the probability of reverting to normoglycemia according to different prediabetes categories were calculated. Results The odds against diabetes onset ranged from 29:1 in individuals with isolated FPG of 100–109 mg/dL to 1:1 in individuals with FPG 110–125 mg/dL plus HbA1c 6.0–6.4%. The probability of reversion to normoglycemia was 31.2% (95% CI 24.0–39.6) in those with isolated FPG 100–109 mg/dL and 6.2% (95% CI 1.4–10.0) in those with FPG 110–125 mg/dL plus HbA1c 6.0–6.4%. Of every 100 participants in the first group, 97 did not develop diabetes and 31 reverted to normoglycemia, while in the second group those figures were 52 and 6. Conclusions Using odds of probabilities and absolute numbers might be useful for people with prediabetes and physicians to share decisions on potential interventions.Key points Communicating knowledge on the course of the disease to make clinical decisions is not always done appropriately. Prediabetes is an example where risk communication is important because the prognosis of subjects with prediabetes is very heterogeneous. Depending on fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c levels, the odds of probabilities against diabetes onset ranged from 29: 1 to 1: 1. Depending on fasting plasma glucose and HbA1c levels, the number of subjects in 100 who revert to normoglycemia ranged from 31 to 6. Using probabilities and number absolutes on the prognosis of prediabetes may be useful for people with prediabetes and physicians to share decisions on potential interventions.

Abstract Healthy lifestyle interventions and drug therapies are proven to have a positive preventative influence on normal glucose regulation in prediabetes. However, little is known on the specific role that these factors play on reversion to normal glycemia according to type of prediabetes. We used data from the Observational prospective cohort study, The Cohort study in Primary Health Care on the Evolution of Patients with Prediabetes from 2012 to 2015. A total of 1184 individuals aged 30–74 years old were included and classified based on the ADA in three mutually exclusive groups using either fasting plasma glucose (FPG) levels (from 100 to 125 mg/dl, FPG group), HbA1c (5.7–6.4%, HbA1c group) or both impaired parameters. Information on lifestyle factors and biochemical parameters were collected at baseline. Reversion to normal glucose regulation was calculated at third year of follow-up. Relationship of lifestyle factor and type of prediabetes with reversion were estimated using odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) adjusting by different groups of confounders. Proportion of reversion rates were 31% for FPG group, 31% for HbA1c group and 7.9% for both altered parameters group, respectively. Optimal life style factors such as BMI

Healthy lifestyle interventions and drug therapies are proven to have a positive preventative influence on normal glucose regulation in prediabetes. However, little is known on the specific role that these factors play on reversion to normal glycemia according to type of prediabetes. We used data from the Observational prospective cohort study, The Cohort study in Primary Health Care on the Evolution of Patients with Prediabetes from 2012 to 2015. A total of 1184 individuals aged 30–74 years old were included and classified based on the ADA in three mutually exclusive groups using either fasting plasma glucose (FPG) levels (from 100 to 125 mg/dl, FPG group), HbA1c (5.7–6.4%, HbA1c group) or both impaired parameters. Information on lifestyle factors and biochemical parameters were collected at baseline. Reversion to normal glucose regulation was calculated at third year of follow-up. Relationship of lifestyle factor and type of prediabetes with reversion were estimated using odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) adjusting by different groups of confounders. Proportion of reversion rates were 31% for FPG group, 31% for HbA1c group and 7.9% for both altered parameters group, respectively. Optimal life style factors such as BMI < 25 kg/m2[OR (95% CI): 1.90 (1.20–3.01)], high adherence to Mediterranean diet 1.78 (1.21–2.63) and absence of abdominal obesity 1.70 (1.19–2.43) were the strongest predictors for reversion to normal glucose. However, those did not modify the ORs of reversion to normal glucose. Taking as reference those with both impaired parameters, subjects with FPG impairment (FPG group) had an OR of 4.87 (3.10–7.65) and 3.72 (2.39–5.78) for HbA1c group. These estimates remained almost the same after further adjustment for biochemical parameters and lifestyle factors (4.55(2.84–7.28) and 3.09 (1.92–4.97), respectively). Optimal lifestyle factors showed to be a positive predictor for reversion to normal glucose regulation however, the differences of reversion risk according type of prediabetes are not explained by lifestyle factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: The study aimed to evaluate the effect of age on diabetes incidence by general and central adiposity after 3-year follow-up in adults with prediabetes.Methods: Data were taken from a cohort of 1,184 subjects with prediabetes included in The Cohort Study in Primary Health Care on the Evolution of Patients with Prediabetes (PREDAPS). General adiposity was defined using body mass index (BMI), and central adiposity was defined with waist circumference and waist to height ratio. Data were analyzed by age groups 30 to 59 and 60 to 74 years. The association between adiposity and diabetes incidence was assessed using hazard ratios (HR).Results: Adjusting for sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyles, and metabolic parameters, diabetes HR for central adiposity based on the waist circumference clinical cutoff were 2.14 (1.12-4.09) and 1.48 (0.80-2.74) for people aged 30 to 59 and 60 to 74 years, respectively. In the model additionally adjusted for BMI, diabetes HR were 2.65 (1.24-5.65) and 1.33 (0.68-2.59), respectively. The use of a 1-SD increase rather than cutoff points did not alter this pattern. Similar findings were observed with central adiposity based on waist to height ratio.Conclusions: The association of central adiposity with type 2 diabetes incidence was lower for people in the older age group than for those in the younger age group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aims: We studied the role of lifestyle factors associated to type 2 diabetes (T2DM) onset according to type of prediabetes.Methods: We used data from the observational prospective cohort study in Primary Health Care on the Evolution of Patients with Prediabetes in Spain (PREDAPS). Participants were classified by American Diabetes Association criteria using either fasting plasma glucose levels (100-125 mg/dL) (group 1), HbA1c (5.7%-6.4%) (group 2) or both impaired parameters (group 3). Relationship between lifestyles and diabetes onset according to prediabetes at third year of follow up were estimated by Hazard Ratios (HRs) using three sequential models.Results: Incidence rate of diabetes was 2.27 cases per 1000 person-years (95% CI: 1.4-3.6) for group 1, 1.18 (95% CI: 0.65-2.13) for group 2 and 6.68 (95% CI: 5.71-8.23) for group 3. The most important risk factors were: abdominal obesity (HR: 2.29 (95% CI: 1.49-3.52)) and hypertension (HR: 2.16 (95% CI: 1.41-3.30)). Using as reference group 2, group 3 had a HR of 5.82 (3.13-10.82) and 1.83 (95% CI: 0.85-3.93) for group 1, estimates remained constant when adjusting by lifestyle and metabolic factors.Conclusions: Lifestyle and metabolic do not seem to explain the differences on T2DM onset by type of prediabetes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

OBJECTIVES:We evaluated the ability of the Fatty Liver Index (FLI), a surrogate marker of hepatic steatosis, to predict the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D) at 3 years follow-up in a Spanish cohort with prediabetes from a prospective observational study in primary care (PREDAPS). METHODS:FLI was calculated at baseline for 1,142 adult subjects with prediabetes attending primary care centers, and classified into three categories: FLI 60 and FLI ≥60, respectively. The most significant variables increasing the risk of developing T2D were metabolic syndrome (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.02; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.14-4.26) and FLI ≥60 (HR = 4.52; 95%CI = 2.10-9.72). Moreover, FLI ≥60 was independently associated with T2D incidence: the HR was 4.97 (95% CI: 2.28-10.80) in the base regression model adjusted by sex, age and educational level, and 3.21 (95%CI: 1.45-7.09) in the fully adjusted model. CONCLUSIONS:FLI may be considered an easy and valuable early indicator of high risk of incident T2D in patients with prediabetes attended in primary care, which could allow the adoption of effective measures needed to prevent and reduce the progression of the disease.