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Efficient flood risk assessment and communication are essential for responding to increasingly recurrent flash floods. However, access to high-end data center computing is limited for stakeholders. This study evaluates the accuracy-speed trade-off of a hydraulic model by (i) assessing the potential acceleration of high-performance computing in PCs versus server-CPUs and GPUs, (ii) examining computing time evaluation and prediction indicators, and (iii) identifying variables controlling the computing time and their impact on the 2D hydrodynamic models' accuracy using an actual flash flood event as a benchmark. GPU-computing is found to be 130× and 55× faster than standard and parallelized CPU-computing, respectively, saving up to 99.5% of the computing time. The model's number of elements had the most significant impact, with

Flash floods induced by torrential rainfalls are considered one of the most dangerous natural hazards, due to their sudden occurrence and high magnitudes, which may cause huge damage to people and properties. This study proposed a novel modeling approach for spatial prediction of flash floods based on the tree intelligence-based CHAID (Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detector)random subspace, optimized by biogeography-based optimization (the CHAID-RS-BBO model), using remote sensing and geospatial data. In this proposed approach, a forest of tree intelligence was constructed through the random subspace ensemble, and, then, the swarm intelligence was employed to train and optimize the model. The Luc Yen district, located in the northwest mountainous area of Vietnam, was selected as a case study. For this circumstance, a flood inventory map with 1866 polygons for the district was prepared based on Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery and field surveys with handheld GPS. Then, a geospatial database with ten influencing variables (land use/land cover, soil type, lithology, river density, rainfall, topographic wetness index, elevation, slope, curvature, and aspect) was prepared. Using the inventory map and the ten explanatory variables, the CHAID-RS-BBO model was trained and verified. Various statistical metrics were used to assess the prediction capability of the proposed model. The results show that the proposed CHAID-RS-BBO model yielded the highest predictive performance, with an overall accuracy of 90% in predicting flash floods, and outperformed benchmarks (i.e., the CHAID, the J48-DT, the logistic regression, and the multilayer perception neural network (MLP-NN) models). We conclude that the proposed method can accurately estimate the spatial prediction of flash floods in tropical storm areas.

A case study examining Bayesian techniques for assessing parameter and predictive uncertainty of semiarid flash flood events is presented here. The focus is on testing a fully distributed rainfall-runoff model (i.e., AFFDEF) linked with Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) samplers to simulate four semiarid flash flood events with varying rainfall durations (<24 h) and amounts (>20 mm). MCMC samplers showed consistent behaviors with the a priori assumption and successfully improved performances on complex and multivariate search problems of semiarid flood simulation over the Abol-Abbas watershed, Iran. Analysis suggests that parameters associated with infiltration and interception capacity along with the contributing area threshold for the digital river network were the key model parameters and were more influential on the shape and volume of the flood hydrograph. Model predictive uncertainty was heavily dominated by error and bias in the soil water storage capacity, which reflects inadequate representation of the upper soil zone processes in the AFFDEF distributed model. Overall, the modeling results revealed that a fat-tailed Gaussian distribution using the standard least-squares (SLS) error assumption yielded improved estimates of parameter and predictive uncertainty for the semiarid flood events. This case study emphasizes the importance of proper statistical representation of the residual error distribution as a basis to improve parameter and predictive uncertainty. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Despite the availability of weather radar data at high spatial (1 km2) and temporal (5-15 min) resolution, ground-based rain gauges continue to be necessary for accurate estimation of storm rainfall input to catchments during flash flood events, especially in mountainous catchments. Given economical considerations, a long-standing problem in catchment hydrology is to establish optimal placement of a small number of rain gauges to acquire data on both rainfall depth and spatiotemporal variability of intensity during extreme storm events. Using weather radar observations and a dense network of 40 tipping bucket rain gauges, this study examines whether it is possible to determine a reliable 'best' set of rain gauge locations for the Sabino Canyon catchment near Tucson, Arizona, USA, given its complex topography and dominant storm track pattern. High-quality rainfall data are used to evaluate all possible configurations of a 'practical' network having from one to four rain gauges. A multicriteria design strategy is used to guide rain gauge placement, by simultaneously minimizing the residual percent bias and maximizing the coefficient of correlation between the estimated and true mean areal rainfall and minimizing the normalized spatial mean squared error between the estimated and true spatiotemporal rainfall distribution. The performance of the optimized rain gauge network was then compared against randomly designed network ensembles by evaluating the quality of streamflows predicted using the Kinematic Runoff and Erosion (KINEROS2) event-based rainfall-runoff model. Our results indicate that the multicriteria strategy provided a robust design by which a sparse but accurate network of rain gauges could be implemented for semiarid basins such as the one studied. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Flash floods induced by torrential rainfalls are considered one of the most dangerous natural hazards, due to their sudden occurrence and high magnitudes, which may cause huge damage to people and properties. This study proposed a novel modeling approach for spatial prediction of flash floods based on the tree intelligence-based CHAID (Chi-square Automatic Interaction Detector)random subspace, optimized by biogeography-based optimization (the CHAID-RS-BBO model), using remote sensing and geospatial data. In this proposed approach, a forest of tree intelligence was constructed through the random subspace ensemble, and, then, the swarm intelligence was employed to train and optimize the model. The Luc Yen district, located in the northwest mountainous area of Vietnam, was selected as a case study. For this circumstance, a flood inventory map with 1866 polygons for the district was prepared based on Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery and field surveys with handheld GPS. Then, a geospatial database with ten influencing variables (land use/land cover, soil type, lithology, river density, rainfall, topographic wetness index, elevation, slope, curvature, and aspect) was prepared. Using the inventory map and the ten explanatory variables, the CHAID-RS-BBO model was trained and verified. Various statistical metrics were used to assess the prediction capability of the proposed model. The results show that the proposed CHAID-RS-BBO model yielded the highest predictive performance, with an overall accuracy of 90% in predicting flash floods, and outperformed benchmarks (i.e., the CHAID, the J48-DT, the logistic regression, and the multilayer perception neural network (MLP-NN) models). We conclude that the proposed method can accurately estimate the spatial prediction of flash floods in tropical storm areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]