2,267 results on '"energy modeling"'
Search Results
2. Assessing the behavioral realism of energy system models in light of the consumer adoption literature
- Author
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Ball-Burack, Ari, Sun, Ruixiao, Stack, Stephen, Ou, Shiqi (Shawn), Bose, Ranjan, and Yang, Hung-Chia
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- 2025
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3. Spatio-temporal load shifting for truly clean computing
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Riepin, Iegor, Brown, Tom, and Zavala, Victor M.
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- 2025
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4. Design considerations for the marinisation of offshore direct air capture
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Foxall, Ryan, Ishaq, Haris, and Crawford, Curran
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- 2025
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5. Challenges and opportunities of integrating greenhouse gas emissions in building energy codes
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Arceo, Aldrick, Derakthi, Mohammad, Hinoporos, Frank, O’Brien, William, Boyle, Sheryl, Touchie, Marianne, and Wills, Adam D.
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- 2025
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6. Optimal energy storage configuration to support 100 % renewable energy for Indonesia
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Amiruddin, Ahmad, Liebman, Ariel, Dargaville, Roger, and Gawler, Ross
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- 2024
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7. Data-driven characterization of cooling needs in a portfolio of co-located commercial buildings
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Naeem, Aqsa, Benson, Sally M., and de Chalendar, Jacques A.
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- 2024
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8. Overcoming the central planner approach – Bilevel optimization of the European energy transition
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Shu, David Yang, Reinert, Christiane, Mannhardt, Jacob, Leenders, Ludger, Lüthje, Jannik, Mitsos, Alexander, and Bardow, André
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- 2024
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9. Multi-objective optimal design and performance analysis of a residential microgrid
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Ghodusinejad, Mohammad Hasan, Peirov, Setareh, Yousefi, Hossein, and Astaraei, Fatemeh Razi
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- 2024
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10. Real-time outdoor experiment and performance analysis of dual-coil heat exchanger integrated thermal energy storage
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Fadzlin, Wan Afin, Hasanuzzaman, M., and Rahim, Nasrudin Abd
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- 2024
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11. Decarbonization pathways for Qatar: A sectoral approach for energy transition
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Al-Noaimi, Fadi, Al-Ansari, Tareq, and Bicer, Yusuf
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- 2025
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12. Incorporating carbon sequestration toward a water-energy-food-carbon planning with uncertainties
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Zuo, Qiting, Li, Qianwen, Yang, Lan, Jing, Rui, Ma, Junxia, and Yu, Lei
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- 2023
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13. Modeling and disaggregating hourly effects of weather on sectoral electricity demand
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Nick MacMackin, Miller, Lindsay, and Carriveau, Rupp
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- 2019
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14. Simple Energy Model for Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles: Model Development and Testing.
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Ahn, Kyoungho and Rakha, Hesham A.
- Subjects
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FUEL cell efficiency , *FUEL cells , *ENERGY consumption , *HYDROGEN as fuel , *CONSUMPTION (Economics) - Abstract
Hydrogen fuel cell vehicles (HFCVs) are a promising technology for reducing vehicle emissions and improving energy efficiency. Due to the ongoing evolution of this technology, there is limited comprehensive research and documentation regarding the energy modeling of HFCVs. To address this gap, the paper develops a simple HFCV energy consumption model using new fuel cell efficiency estimation methods. Our HFCV energy model leverages real-time vehicle speed, acceleration, and roadway grade data to determine instantaneous power exertion for the computation of hydrogen fuel consumption, battery energy usage, and overall energy consumption. The results suggest that the model's forecasts align well with real-world data, demonstrating average error rates of 0.0% and −0.1% for fuel cell energy and total energy consumption across all four cycles. However, it is observed that the error rate for the UDDS drive cycle can be as high as 13.1%. Moreover, the study confirms the reliability of the proposed model through validation with independent data. The findings indicate that the model precisely predicts energy consumption, with an error rate of 6.7% for fuel cell estimation and 0.2% for total energy estimation compared to empirical data. Furthermore, the model is compared to FASTSim, which was developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), and the difference between the two models is found to be around 2.5%. Additionally, instantaneous battery state of charge (SOC) predictions from the model closely match observed instantaneous SOC measurements, highlighting the model's effectiveness in estimating real-time changes in the battery SOC. The study investigates the energy impact of various intersection controls to assess the applicability of the proposed energy model. The proposed HFCV energy model offers a practical, versatile alternative, leveraging simplicity without compromising accuracy. Its simplified structure reduces computational requirements, making it ideal for real-time applications, smartphone apps, in-vehicle systems, and transportation simulation tools, while maintaining accuracy and addressing limitations of more complex models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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15. Energy and cost analysis of composite-insulated rooftops for sustainable buildings in Indian climatic conditions.
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Shrimali, Ruchita, Agrawal, Naveen Kumar, and Agrawal, Kamal Kumar
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GREENHOUSE gas mitigation , *HEAT radiation & absorption , *CHOICE (Psychology) , *SUSTAINABLE buildings , *BUILDING envelopes - Abstract
The largest influences on a building's cooling and heating load come from heat absorption and loss through building surfaces. Most of the heat gain is absorbed by a structure's roof. Applying insulation to building envelopes is an efficient approach to cut back on heating and cooling energy use as well as the damaging effects of the construction industry on the environment. As a result, it is extremely important to choose the right insulation material and determine the ideal insulation thickness. Eight diverse cities with a range of climatic variables that are spread over several Indian areas (geometric coordinates) are the starting point for this investigation. To overcome the constraints of the various climate typology representing the diverse climatic circumstances present in India, a generic method is proposed, considering the numerous climatic parameters for eight selected Indian locations. The subject of the project is the analysis of a composite insulation layer made from a combination of chosen seven insulating materials, each of which has a unique property. This building roof envelope is examined using ANSYS software and e-Quest building energy modeling. The results of simulations over the course of the whole year show a significant decrease in energy use and CO2 emissions. By altering the thickness of the created envelope, the annual energy need is decreased for each of the seven trials in the range of 30–90%. A decrease in heat flow results in sustainable buildings and a low-carbon future by lowering temperatures by 19 degrees and cutting greenhouse gas emissions by 90% to 96%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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16. Energy-Efficient and Cost-Effective Approaches through Energy Modeling for Hotel Building.
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Agharid, Alya Penta, Permana, Indra, Singh, Nitesh, Wang, Fujen, and Gustiyana, Susan
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THERMAL insulation ,ENERGY auditing ,AIR conditioning ,VENTILATION ,CONSUMERS ,ENERGY consumption of buildings - Abstract
Hotel buildings are currently among the largest energy consumers in the world. Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning are the most energy-intensive building systems, accounting for more than half of total energy consumption. An energy audit is used to predict the weak points of a building's energy use system. Various factors influence building energy consumption, which can be modified to achieve more energy-efficient strategies. In this study, an existing hotel building in Central Taiwan is evaluated by simulating several scenarios using energy modeling over a year. Energy modeling is conducted by using Autodesk Revit 2025. It was discovered from the results that arranging the lighting schedule based on the ASHRAE Standard 90.1 could save up to 8.22% of energy consumption. And then the results also revealed that changing the glazing of the building into double-layer low-emissivity glass could reduce energy consumption by 14.58%. While the energy consumption of the building could also be decreased to 7.20% by changing the building orientation to the north. Meanwhile, moving the building location to Northern Taiwan could also minimize the energy consumption of the building by 3.23%. The results revealed that the double layer offers better thermal insulation, and low-emissivity glass can lower energy consumption, electricity costs, and CO
2 emissions by up to 15.27% annually. While adjusting orientation and location can enhance energy performance, this approach is impractical for existing buildings, but this could be considered for designing new buildings. The results showed the relevancy of energy performance to CO2 emission production and electricity expenses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
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17. Optimizing renewable energy systems through artificial intelligence: Review and future prospects.
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Ukoba, Kingsley, Olatunji, Kehinde O., Adeoye, Eyitayo, Jen, Tien-Chien, and Madyira, Daniel M.
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RENEWABLE energy sources ,RENEWABLE energy transition (Government policy) ,ENERGY management ,PROSPECTING ,ARTIFICIAL intelligence - Abstract
The global transition toward sustainable energy sources has prompted a surge in the integration of renewable energy systems (RES) into existing power grids. To improve the efficiency, reliability, and economic viability of these systems, the synergistic application of artificial intelligence (AI) methods has emerged as a promising avenue. This study presents a comprehensive review of the current state of research at the intersection of renewable energy and AI, highlighting key methodologies, challenges, and achievements. It covers a spectrum of AI utilizations in optimizing different facets of RES, including resource assessment, energy forecasting, system monitoring, control strategies, and grid integration. Machine learning algorithms, neural networks, and optimization techniques are explored for their role in complex data sets, enhancing predictive capabilities, and dynamically adapting RES. Furthermore, the study discusses the challenges faced in the implementation of AI in RES, such as data variability, model interpretability, and real-time adaptability. The potential benefits of overcoming these challenges include increased energy yield, reduced operational costs, and improved grid stability. The review concludes with an exploration of prospects and emerging trends in the field. Anticipated advancements in AI, such as explainable AI, reinforcement learning, and edge computing, are discussed in the context of their potential impact on optimizing RES. Additionally, the paper envisions the integration of AI-driven solutions into smart grids, decentralized energy systems, and the development of autonomous energy management systems. This investigation provides important insights into the current landscape of AI applications in RES. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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18. Hybrid modeling approach for precise estimation of energy production and consumption based on temperature variations
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Wulfran Fendzi Mbasso, Reagan Jean Jacques Molu, Ambe Harrison, Mukesh Pushkarna, Fritz Nguemo Kemdoum, Emmanuel Fendzi Donfack, Pradeep Jangir, Pierre Tiako, and Milkias Berhanu Tuka
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Energy modeling ,Temperature impact ,Hybrid models ,Polynomial regression ,Sinusoidal functions ,Energy consumption ,Medicine ,Science - Abstract
Abstract This study introduces an advanced mathematical methodology for predicting energy generation and consumption based on temperature variations in regions with diverse climatic conditions and increasing energy demands. Using a comprehensive dataset of monthly energy production, consumption, and temperature readings spanning ten years (2010–2020), we applied polynomial, sinusoidal, and hybrid modeling techniques to capture the non-linear and cyclical relationships between temperature and energy metrics. The hybrid model, which combines sinusoidal and polynomial functions, achieved an accuracy of 79.15% in estimating energy consumption using temperature as a predictor variable. This model effectively captures the seasonal and non-linear consumption patterns, demonstrating a significant improvement over conventional models. In contrast, the polynomial model for energy production, while yielding partial accuracy (R² = 0.65), highlights the need for more advanced techniques to fully capture the temperature-dependent nature of energy production. The results indicate that temperature variations significantly affect energy consumption, with higher temperatures driving increased energy demand for cooling, while lower temperatures affect production efficiency, particularly in systems like hydropower. These findings underscore the necessity for integrating sophisticated models into energy planning to ensure resilience in energy systems amidst climate variability. The study offers critical insights for policymakers to optimize energy generation and distribution in response to changing climatic conditions.
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- 2024
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19. Optimal Integration of Renewable Energy, Energy Storage, and Indonesia's Super Grid.
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Amiruddin, Ahmad, Dargaville, Roger, and Gawler, Ross
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GRID energy storage , *CLEAN energy , *RENEWABLE energy transition (Government policy) , *ENERGY storage , *SUSTAINABILITY - Abstract
This paper examines the optimal integration of renewable energy (RE) sources, energy storage technologies, and linking Indonesia's islands with a high-capacity transmission "super grid", utilizing the PLEXOS 10 R.02 simulation tool to achieve the country's goal of 100% RE by 2060. Through detailed scenario analysis, the research demonstrates that by 2050, Indonesia could be on track to meet this target, with 62% of its energy generated from RE sources. Solar PV could play a dominant role, contributing 363 GW, or 72.3% of the total installed capacity out of over 500 GW. The study highlights that lithium-ion batteries, particularly with 4 h of storage, were identified as the most suitable energy storage option across various scenarios, supporting over 1000 GWh of storage capacity. The introduction of a super grid is shown to reduce the average energy generation cost to around USD 91/MWh from the current USD 98/MWh. These findings underscore the potential of a strategic combination of RE, optimized energy storage, and grid enhancements to significantly lower costs and enhance energy security, offering valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders for Indonesia's transition to a sustainable energy future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
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20. Hybrid modeling approach for precise estimation of energy production and consumption based on temperature variations.
- Author
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Mbasso, Wulfran Fendzi, Molu, Reagan Jean Jacques, Harrison, Ambe, Pushkarna, Mukesh, Kemdoum, Fritz Nguemo, Donfack, Emmanuel Fendzi, Jangir, Pradeep, Tiako, Pierre, and Tuka, Milkias Berhanu
- Subjects
INDEPENDENT variables ,CONSUMPTION (Economics) ,CLIMATE change ,LOW temperatures ,HIGH temperatures - Abstract
This study introduces an advanced mathematical methodology for predicting energy generation and consumption based on temperature variations in regions with diverse climatic conditions and increasing energy demands. Using a comprehensive dataset of monthly energy production, consumption, and temperature readings spanning ten years (2010–2020), we applied polynomial, sinusoidal, and hybrid modeling techniques to capture the non-linear and cyclical relationships between temperature and energy metrics. The hybrid model, which combines sinusoidal and polynomial functions, achieved an accuracy of 79.15% in estimating energy consumption using temperature as a predictor variable. This model effectively captures the seasonal and non-linear consumption patterns, demonstrating a significant improvement over conventional models. In contrast, the polynomial model for energy production, while yielding partial accuracy (R² = 0.65), highlights the need for more advanced techniques to fully capture the temperature-dependent nature of energy production. The results indicate that temperature variations significantly affect energy consumption, with higher temperatures driving increased energy demand for cooling, while lower temperatures affect production efficiency, particularly in systems like hydropower. These findings underscore the necessity for integrating sophisticated models into energy planning to ensure resilience in energy systems amidst climate variability. The study offers critical insights for policymakers to optimize energy generation and distribution in response to changing climatic conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. Analysis and Modelling for Industrial Energy Efficiency in the Cosmetics Industry: A Real Industrial Case in an Italian Manufacturing Company.
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Rocca, Roberto, Perossa, Daniele, and Fumagalli, Luca
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INDUSTRIAL energy consumption ,CLEAN energy ,ENERGY industries ,ENERGY consumption ,INDUSTRIAL efficiency - Abstract
Economic and environmental issues translating into energy costs and pollution within the production environment are increasingly attracting attention. Industrial Energy Efficiency (IEE) is gaining ever-higher importance within production environments. Since cosmetic consumers and companies are becoming increasingly sensitive to sustainability, the cosmetic field is working to reduce the environmental and social impact along the whole supply chain. Furthermore, IEE actions in business processes can lead to several medium- and long-term economic and environmental benefits. This paper is the first work in the literature presenting a real-case application of energy analysis and modeling to achieve better energy performances in a cosmetics production process. Thus, in the body of knowledge, it contributes by providing a real case of good practice to be benchmarked for future IEE interventions in cosmetics manufacturing processes. The work has been conducted by analyzing the production process's energy consumption and developing an energy model of a selected machine (i.e., a turbo-emulsifier). The analysis and modeling performed aimed at assessing the different operational phases of the machine and evaluating the different behaviors of the data. Finally, the results allowed us to propose possible improvements to be applied to the production process to achieve better energy performances. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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22. A Cross-Layer Approach to Analyzing Energy Consumption and Lifetime of a Wireless Sensor Node.
- Author
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Ojeda, Fernando, Mendez, Diego, Fajardo, Arturo, Becker, Maximilian Gottfried, and Ellinger, Frank
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WIRELESS sensor nodes ,WIRELESS communications ,TELECOMMUNICATION ,NETWORK performance ,COMMUNICATION methodology ,WIRELESS sensor networks - Abstract
Several wireless communication technologies, including Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), are essential for Internet of Things (IoT) applications. WSNs employ a layered framework to govern data exchanges between sender and recipient, which facilitates the establishment of rules and standards. However, in this conventional framework, network data sharing is limited to directly stacked layers, allowing manufacturers to develop proprietary protocols while impeding WSN optimization, such as energy consumption minimization, due to non-directly stacked layer effects on network performance. A Cross-Layer (CL) framework addresses implementation, modeling, and design challenges in IoT systems by allowing unrestricted data and parameter sharing between non-stacked layers. This holistic approach captures system dynamics, enabling network design optimization to address IoT network challenges. This paper introduces a novel CL modeling methodology for wireless communication systems, which is applied in two case studies to develop models for estimating energy consumption metrics, including node and network lifetime. Each case study validates the resulting model through experimental tests, demonstrating high accuracy with less than 3% error. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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23. Energy Performance of LR-FHSS: Analysis and Evaluation.
- Author
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Sanchez-Vital, Roger, Casals, Lluís, Heer-Salva, Bartomeu, Vidal, Rafael, Gomez, Carles, and Garcia-Villegas, Eduard
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- *
ENERGY consumption , *CONSUMPTION (Economics) , *INTERNET of things , *HARDWARE - Abstract
Long-range frequency hopping spread spectrum (LR-FHSS) is a pivotal advancement in the LoRaWAN protocol that is designed to enhance the network's capacity and robustness, particularly in densely populated environments. Although energy consumption is paramount in LoRaWAN-based end devices, this is the first study in the literature, to our knowledge, that models the impact of this novel mechanism on energy consumption. In this article, we provide a comprehensive energy consumption analytical model of LR-FHSS, focusing on three critical metrics: average current consumption, battery lifetime, and energy efficiency of data transmission. The model is based on measurements performed on real hardware in a fully operational LR-FHSS network. While in our evaluation, LR-FHSS can show worse consumption figures than LoRa, we find that with optimal configuration, the battery lifetime of LR-FHSS end devices can reach 2.5 years for a 50 min notification period. For the most energy-efficient payload size, this lifespan can be extended to a theoretical maximum of up to 16 years with a one-day notification interval using a cell-coin battery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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24. Long-term electrical energy demand forecasting by using artificial intelligence/machine learning techniques.
- Author
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Ozdemir, Gulcihan
- Subjects
- *
METAHEURISTIC algorithms , *PARTICLE swarm optimization , *KRIGING , *ARTIFICIAL intelligence , *ELECTRIC power consumption - Abstract
Forecasting of long-term annual electricity demand is studied utilizing historical data for electrical energy consumption and socio-economic indicators—gross domestic product, population, import and export values for the case of Turkey between 1975 and 2020. A quadratic model for electrical energy consumption was applied to define the relation between the historical and predicted data. This model used metaheuristic algorithms; genetic algorithms (GA), differential evolution (DE), particle swarm optimization (PSO), artificial intelligence (AI) approaches; neural networks (NN), and adaptive network fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS), and machine learning (ML) applications; all models undergo testing, but the top four models—stepwise linear regression (SLR), NN, Gaussian process regression (GPR) with exponential, and GPR with squared exponential—are selected for additional research to determine the best forecasting model based on their forecasting performance. Comparing the finalized models SLR produced the best forecasting model with a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value of 2.36%, followed by GA with 2.97%. Turkey's yearly electrical energy consumption is projected under three possible scenarios through 2030. Finding the most appropriate forecasting model among the models studied for long-term electrical energy forecasting is ultimately the primary goal of this research. Simulations are done on the MATLAB™ platform. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
25. LCA Operational Carbon Reduction Based on Energy Strategies Analysis in a Mass Timber Building.
- Author
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Hemmati, Moein, Messadi, Tahar, Gu, Hongmei, and Hemmati, Mahboobeh
- Abstract
Buildings play a significant role in the rise of energy consumption and carbon emissions. Building operations are responsible for 28% of the world's carbon emissions. It is crucial, therefore, to evaluate the environmental impact of various buildings' operational phase in order to implement sustainable strategies for the mitigation of their energy usage and associated carbon footprint. While numerous studies have been conducted to determine the carbon footprint of conventional building operation phases, there are still a lack of actual data on the operational carbon (OC) emissions of mass timber buildings. There is also a lack of research pertaining to the operational carbon of buildings within larger campuses and their inherent energy usage. This study, therefore, aims to quantify empirical data on the carbon footprint of a mass timber building, using, as a case study, the recent Adohi Hall building, situated at the University of Arkansas, Fayetteville. The study also aims to examine and identify the best energy use scenarios for the campus building under consideration. The research team obtained data on Adohi Hall's energy consumption, fuel input usage, and other utilities (such as water, electricity, chilled water, and natural gas) accounting for the operation of the building from 2021 to 2023, a span of three years. The University of Arkansas Facilities Management (FAMA) provided the data. The study relies on the life cycle assessment (LCA) as its primary approach, with SimaPro 9, Ecoinvent v3.7 database, DataSmart, version 2023.1 and the U.S. Life Cycle Inventory (USLCI) database utilized to model the energy and water consumption of Adohi Hall during the operational phase (B6 & B7). The results indicate 4496 kg CO
2 eq emissions associated with the operation per square meter of Adohi Hall over its 50-year lifespan. The study also examines various scenarios of fuel sources leading to carbon emissions and provides insights into reduction strategies during the operational phase of buildings. Among them, the electricity based on a cleaner fuel source diversification, according to realistic expectations and technological advancements projections, results in a 17% reduction in Adohi Hall's OC. Due to the usage of the combined heat and power (CHP) plant on the campus of the University of Arkansas as a complementary source of electricity and heating for Adohi Hall, the resulting carbon emission is approximately 21% (20.73%) less when compared to similar buildings in the same city but outside the campus. The study, therefore, reveals that CHP plant development is a highly effective strategy for building OC reduction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
26. EAHE-D: A dataset for modeling and performance evaluation of earth to air heat exchangerszenodo
- Author
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Youssef Alidrissi, Marouane Wakil, Mehdi Najib, Samir Idrissi Kaitouni, Mohamed Oualid Mghazli, and Mohamed Bakhouya
- Subjects
Energy efficient buildings ,Thermal comfort ,Earth to air heat exchanger ,Simulations and performance evaluation ,Energy modeling ,Passive design ,Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics ,R858-859.7 ,Science (General) ,Q1-390 - Abstract
Integrating natural ventilation with Earth-to-Air Heat Exchangers (EAHE) is an innovative approach that effectively combines the benefits of both systems to enhance indoor environments while reducing energy consumption and operational costs. Many studies focus on reducing reliance on conventional heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems by optimizing the use of EAHE and natural ventilation in buildings to improve occupant comfort. However, these studies require actual datasets for systems’ design and optimization. This work aims to provide such a dataset using a deployed EAHE with in-situ measurements. The dataset is available in its original form, allowing users to perform data preprocessing according to their specific needs. Additionally, we offer a processed version of the dataset, which can be used to further investigate the effectiveness of EAHE deployment in buildings and its integration with other passive and active systems, aiming to enhance energy efficiency while maintaining occupant comfort.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
27. Distributed desalination using solar energy: A technoeconomic framework to decarbonize nontraditional water treatment
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Menon, Akanksha K, Jia, Mingxin, Kaur, Sumanjeet, Dames, Chris, and Prasher, Ravi S
- Subjects
Chemical Engineering ,Engineering ,Affordable and Clean Energy ,Climate Action ,energy modeling ,energy resources ,energy sustainability ,engineering ,water resources engineering - Abstract
Desalination using renewable energy offers a route to transform our incumbent linear consumption model to a circular one. This transition will also shift desalination from large-scale centralized coastal facilities toward modular distributed inland plants. This new scale of desalination can be satisfied using solar energy to decarbonize water production, but additional considerations, such as storage and inland brine management, become important. Here, we evaluate the levelized cost of water for 16 solar desalination system configurations at 2 different salinities. For fossil fuel-driven plants, we find that zero-liquid discharge is economically favorable to inland brine disposal. For renewable desalination, we discover that solar-thermal energy is superior to photovoltaics due to low thermal storage cost and that energy storage, despite being expensive, outperforms water storage as the latter has a low utilization factor. The analysis also yields a promising outlook for solar desalination by 2030 as solar generation and storage costs decrease.
- Published
- 2023
28. Оцінка енергоспоживання будівель на основі енергетичного моделювання з врахуванням мінливості природного повітрообміну.
- Author
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Білоус, І. Ю., Гетманчук, Г. О., and Гурєєв, М. В.
- Subjects
ENERGY consumption forecasting ,HOME energy use ,ENERGY consumption ,HEATING load ,AIR conditioning - Abstract
The article is dedicated to assessing the energy consumption of a residential building, considering actual natural air exchange rates obtained through experimental measurements. The study investigates the impact of variable air exchange rates on heating loads and overall heating energy consumption. For this purpose, a 3D model of an apartment was developed using DesignBuilder software, and dynamic modeling of energy flows was performed in the EnergyPlus environment. The object of the study was a oneroom apartment in a family dormitory of Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute in Kyiv. The calculations were based on field data on carbon dioxide levels, which allowed for the consideration of actual conditions of air infiltration and exfiltration. The research established that the influence of natural air exchange significantly depends on external climatic conditions, such as temperature, wind speed, and direction, which shape the dynamic nature of infiltration and exfiltration. During the modeling, mechanisms of air movement between the apartment's rooms were accounted for, including the changes in air-flow directions depending on wind direction. The study compared the modeling results for different air exchange scenarios: using normative values and actual data, allowing for an evaluation of energy-saving potential. The article presents modeling results alongside normative indicators in accordance with standards such as DBN V.2.2-15:2019, DSTU 9190:2022, EN 15251:2011, and ASHRAE 62.2-2022. The difference in annual heating energy consumption between Ukrainian and international standards reached 18%. The findings demonstrate that under actual air exchange conditions, heating energy savings could amount to 5.4% (3.7 million Gcal) compared to DSTU B EN 15251:2011 standards and 7.7% (5.2 million Gcal) compared to DBN V.2.2-15:2019 standards during the heating season. The article's conclusions confirm the feasibility of considering actual air exchange parameters in the process of building energy modeling to ensure more accurate energy consumption forecasts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Modeling and mapping solar energy production with photovoltaic panels on Politecnico di Torino university campus.
- Author
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Usta, Yasemin, Carioni, Giovanni, and Mutani, Guglielmina
- Abstract
Educational institutions have significant impacts on the society and environment they are inhabiting, and they can have a big role in influencing various development fields, including sustainability. The environmental sustainability of universities was critically analyzed recently. These bodies can contribute to the sustainability of cities due to their social role in shaping the future generations. The aim of this work is to analyze Urban Building Energy Modeling with a place-based approach using the open-source software QGIS in predicting energy production with photovoltaic solar technologies on the rooftops of the central university campus of Politecnico di Torino. This modeling can help in assessing the energy security and affordability of current and future sustainable scenarios considering their impact on climate change. This study evaluates the accuracy of urban scale QGIS-based energy modeling with a comparison of measured data available from the monitoring activity of LivingLab of Politecnico di Torino, the free tool PVGIS, and the web tools of ENEA. The QGIS modeling accuracy depends on the different precisions of the Digital Surface Model used to describe the built environment (i.e., 1 m or 5 m) and the climate input data (monthly and annual diffuse-to-global radiation and Linke turbidity factor). Moreover, this assessment can be used to map the results of new photovoltaic systems improving the energy and environmental performance of university campuses. The results of this work shed light on the significance of different input data for energy simulation tools at neighborhood-urban scale. The result shown accuracies in PV production of 10 to 37% with different spatial resolutions of the 3D built environment and of 14 to 15.2% for temporal resolution of solar irradiation variables. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Usability and fitness testing for building performance simulation tools.
- Author
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Attia, Shady, El-Degwy, Aly, and Attia, Maha
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BUILDING performance ,SUSTAINABLE design ,SUSTAINABLE buildings ,COMPUTER software developers ,SUSTAINABLE urban development ,SUSTAINABLE architecture - Abstract
Architects and engineers who seek design decision aid for sustainable building and city design frequently experience decisional conflict and require support across the design process. Building performance simulations have become central to supporting the design process, but little is known about the fit and usability of simulation tools and the factors influencing the implementation of simulation-based design in practice. This paper presents a novel framework for simulation tool usability called USER-FIT. The framework defines usability based on ISO definitions, a review of evidence in the literature, and our experience supporting the development of the framework. USER-FIT provides six measures for modelers and software developers to test how a simulation tool is useful, usable, and satisfactory for the intended users to inform sustainable design decision-making. Further research and testing are needed to support better the acquisition and implantation of usability testing for building performance simulation tools and applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
31. Modified Equivalent Compression Stress Block for Normal-Strength Concrete Flexural Design using Energy Modeling.
- Author
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El-Gohary, Hamdy A.
- Subjects
STRAINS & stresses (Mechanics) ,CONCRETE blocks ,ENERGY consumption ,REINFORCED concrete ,STRESS-strain curves ,REINFORCING bars - Abstract
The equivalent stress block is recommended for use in the design of reinforced concrete sections to simplify the analysis of the composite behavior of concrete and steel reinforcement. In most current codes, a rectangular equivalent stress block is provided. The design parameters of the equivalent block were recommended many years ago. Due to the importance of the equivalent stress block concept, numerous investigations have been performed to increase its accuracy. In the current paper, an exploration of the rectangular equivalent stress block has been carried out using the energy modeling approach. Energy modeling is a new general approach for studying the behavior of concrete elements. In this method, the energy consumed (work done) can be determined by integrating the force-displacement diagram (in the current study this will be the concrete stress-strain curve in compression). Schematic and equivalent stress-strain curves for concrete in uniaxial compression provided in most current codes and relevant textbooks were considered in this research. The codes taken into account in the current study are ACI-318-19, Canadian Code CSA A23.3-04, Eurocode EC-2, and Chinese standard GB 500 10 - 2002. The energy consumed by these curves for different values of concrete strength has been compared with numerous experimental results. This comparison shows that the results of the equivalent stress block provided in most of the considered current codes are conservative. Applying the energy modeling for the considered experimental stress-strain curves a modified equivalent stress block is recommended for practical use. The results of the proposed equivalent stress block are in good agreement with the experimental ones. The ratio between the predicted total energy engaging the proposed model and the total energy calculated for the experimental results ranges between 0.95 and 1.08 with a mean value equal to unity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
32. Integration of Electric Vehicles and Renewable Energy in Indonesia's Electrical Grid.
- Author
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Amiruddin, Ahmad, Dargaville, Roger, Liebman, Ariel, and Gawler, Ross
- Subjects
- *
RENEWABLE energy sources , *ELECTRIC power distribution grids , *CLEAN energy , *ELECTRIC vehicles , *ENERGY consumption , *SUSTAINABILITY - Abstract
As the global transition toward sustainable energy gains momentum, integrating electric vehicles (EVs), energy storage, and renewable energy sources has become a pivotal strategy. This paper analyses the interplay between EVs, energy storage, and renewable energy integration with Indonesia's grid as a test case. A comprehensive energy system modeling approach using PLEXOS is presented, using historical data on electricity generation, hourly demand, and renewable energy, and multiple scenarios of charging patterns and EV adoption. Through a series of scenarios, we evaluate the impact of different charging strategies and EV penetration levels on generation capacity, battery storage requirements, total system cost, renewable energy penetration, and emissions reduction. The findings reveal that optimized charging patterns and higher EV adoption rates, compared to no EVs adoption, led to substantial improvements in renewable energy utilization (+4%), emissions reduction (−12.8%), and overall system cost (−9%). While EVs contribute to reduced emissions compared to conventional vehicles, non-optimized charging behavior may lead to higher total emissions when compared to scenarios without EVs. The research also found the potential of vehicle to grid (V2G) to reduce the need for battery storage compared to zero EV (−84%), to reduce emissions significantly (−23.7%), and boost penetration of renewable energy (+10%). This research offers valuable insights for policymakers, energy planners, and stakeholders seeking to leverage the synergies between EVs and renewable energy integration to pursue a sustainable energy future for Indonesia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
33. Modeling and Evaluation of Near Real-Time Carbon Emission Footprint Accounting for Flexible Operation of Coal-Fired Power Units
- Author
-
Li, Haoran, Li, Bo, Xu, Dongjie, Angrisani, Leopoldo, Series Editor, Arteaga, Marco, Series Editor, Chakraborty, Samarjit, Series Editor, Chen, Shanben, Series Editor, Chen, Tan Kay, Series Editor, Dillmann, Rüdiger, Series Editor, Duan, Haibin, Series Editor, Ferrari, Gianluigi, Series Editor, Ferre, Manuel, Series Editor, Jabbari, Faryar, Series Editor, Jia, Limin, Series Editor, Kacprzyk, Janusz, Series Editor, Khamis, Alaa, Series Editor, Kroeger, Torsten, Series Editor, Li, Yong, Series Editor, Liang, Qilian, Series Editor, Martín, Ferran, Series Editor, Ming, Tan Cher, Series Editor, Minker, Wolfgang, Series Editor, Misra, Pradeep, Series Editor, Mukhopadhyay, Subhas, Series Editor, Ning, Cun-Zheng, Series Editor, Nishida, Toyoaki, Series Editor, Oneto, Luca, Series Editor, Panigrahi, Bijaya Ketan, Series Editor, Pascucci, Federica, Series Editor, Qin, Yong, Series Editor, Seng, Gan Woon, Series Editor, Speidel, Joachim, Series Editor, Veiga, Germano, Series Editor, Wu, Haitao, Series Editor, Zamboni, Walter, Series Editor, Tan, Kay Chen, Series Editor, Chen, Zhe, editor, Yang, Wenming, editor, and Chen, Hao, editor
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
34. TulipaProfileFitting.jl: A Julia package for fitting renewable energy time series profiles
- Author
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Diego A. Tejada-Arango, Abel S. Siqueira, Özge Özdemir, and Germán Morales-España
- Subjects
Renewable energy profiles ,Capacity factors ,Energy modeling ,Availability profiles ,Full load hours ,Renewable source potential ,Computer software ,QA76.75-76.765 - Abstract
This paper introduces the TulipaProfileFitting.jl package, a tool developed in Julia to generate renewable energy profiles that fit a given capacity factor of full load hours. It addresses the limitations of naive methods in adjusting existing profiles to match improved technology efficiency, particularly in scenarios lacking detailed weather data or technology specifications. By formulating the problem mathematically, the package provides a computationally efficient solution for creating realistic renewable energy profiles based on existing data. It ensures that the adjusted profiles realistically reflect the improvements in technology efficiency, making it an essential tool for energy modelers in analyzing future energy systems.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Is there a case for a coal moratorium in Indonesia? Power sector optimization modeling of low-carbon strategies
- Author
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Kalim U. Shah, Pravesh Raghoo, and Philipp Blechinger
- Subjects
Scenario analysis ,OSeMOSYS ,Energy modeling ,Energy planning ,Indonesia ,Renewable energy sources ,TJ807-830 - Abstract
Indonesia is one of the fastest growing economies in the world, with an electricity system reliant on fossil fuels and renewable electricity contributing a small portion of their growing demand. In this study, an optimization approach is utilized to analyze different policy-driven pathways for Indonesia's long-term electricity planning by formulating different scenarios based on current policy discussions and changes in the power sector. Through an optimization model, several scenarios incorporating multiple changes such as cost reductions of technologies, halting coal capacity beyond the current pipeline, and carbon taxation schemes are built. The findings show the magnitude of transformation needed to achieve net zero goals and consolidate the discussion around halting coal capacity addition beyond currently planned in terms of technical, environmental, and economic aspects. These findings will be useful to electricity sector policymakers and planners as Indonesia continues along its sustainable economic development pathway.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
36. Hierarchical approach to evaluating storage requirements for renewable-energy-driven grids.
- Author
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Mahmud, Zabir, Shiraishi, Kenji, Abido, Mahmoud Y, Sánchez-Pérez, Pedro Andrés, and Kurtz, Sarah R
- Subjects
Energy management ,Energy modeling ,Energy policy ,Affordable and Clean Energy ,Climate Action - Abstract
Energy storage can accelerate the decarbonization of the electrical grid. As useful energy storage technologies are developed, investors and manufacturers want to determine the needs for storage in a wide range of scenarios. In this study, we introduce a strategy for identifying the types of storage that will be most valuable to the grid given specific generation and load profiles. This method estimates the annual minimum number of cycles for each storage, how long each holds the charge, and charging and discharging rates for an idealized system, giving insight into tomorrow's complex systems. We demonstrate the proposed hierarchical approach and quantify how many fewer times wind-driven grids cycle the storage at night compared with solar-driven grids, as well as how winter-dominant wind generation and latitude-tilt solar may reduce the need for seasonal storage. Also, we quantify how higher discharging rates are required for energy storage products that cycle most frequently.
- Published
- 2023
37. A review of building digital twins to improve energy efficiency in the building operational stage
- Author
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Andres Sebastian Cespedes-Cubides and Muhyiddine Jradi
- Subjects
Digital twin ,Energy efficiency ,Operation ,Maintenance ,Building Information Modeling (BIM) ,Energy Modeling ,Energy industries. Energy policy. Fuel trade ,HD9502-9502.5 - Abstract
Abstract The majority of Europe’s building stock consists of facilities built before 2001, presenting a substantial opportunity for energy efficiency improvements during their operation and maintenance phase. Digitalizing these buildings with digital twin technology can significantly enhance their energy efficiency. Reviewing the applications and trends of digital twins in this context is beneficial to understand the current state of the art and the specific challenges encountered when applying this technology to older buildings. This study focuses on the application of digital twins in building operations and maintenance (O & M), emphasizing energy efficiency throughout the building lifetime. A systematic process to select 21 pertinent use-case studies was performed, complemented by an analysis of six enterprise-level digital twin solutions. This was followed by an overview of general characteristics, thematic classification, detailed individual study analyses, and a comparison of digital twin solutions with commercial tools. Five main applications of digital twins were identified and examined: component monitoring, anomaly detection, operational optimization, predictive maintenance and simulation of alternative scenarios. The paper highlights challenges like the reliance on Building Information Modeling (BIM) and the need for robust data acquisition systems. These limitations hinder the implementation of digital twins, in particular in existing buildings with no digital information available. It concludes with future research directions emphasizing the development of methods not solely reliant on BIM data, integration challenges, and potential enhancements through AI and machine learning applications.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
38. Analysis of Energy Efficiency Opportunities for a Public Transportation Maintenance Facility—A Case Study.
- Author
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Higgins, Jordan, Ramnarayan, Aditya, Family, Roxana, and Ohadi, Michael
- Subjects
- *
ENERGY consumption , *ENERGY auditing , *GREENHOUSE gases , *BUILDING envelopes , *GREENHOUSE gas mitigation - Abstract
A comprehensive energy audit of a light rail maintenance facility was performed to assess its energy performance and identify potential scope for improvements. The facility's energy use intensity (EUI) for 2022 was 404 kWh/m2—more than double the benchmark EUI for maintenance facilities (151 kWh/m2) recommended by EnergyStar. Furthermore, the load factor was 0.22—significantly lower than the recommended minimum of 0.75 for an efficient building. The energy audit encompassed an in-depth evaluation of the facility's structural and operational characteristics, comprising HVAC systems, lighting, the building envelope, and energy-intensive machinery. An energy model of the facility was developed to emulate the facility's energy performance in 2022. Following the energy model's validation, an analysis was conducted to identify opportunities for improving energy efficiency. Post-implementation of energy efficiency measures for the facility, the projected annual reductions are 1086 MWh of electricity, 5034 GJ of natural gas, utility savings of USD 162,402, and net GHG emissions reductions of 584 metric tons of CO2e. A subsequent 30% reduction in EUI to 283.6 kWh/m2 could be achieved with an 86% improvement in load factor, that is, increasing it from 0.22 to 0.41. This study emphasizes the need for energy audits and modeling for maintenance facilities to reduce Scope 1 and 2 emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
39. Agnostic Energy Consumption Models for Heterogeneous GPUs in Cloud Computing.
- Author
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Alnori, Abdulaziz, Djemame, Karim, and Alsenani, Yousef
- Subjects
CONSUMPTION (Economics) ,ENERGY consumption ,ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,CLOUD computing ,VIRTUAL machine systems ,GRAPHICS processing units - Abstract
The adoption of cloud computing has grown significantly among individuals and in organizations. According to this growth, Cloud Service Providers have continuously expanded and updated cloud-computing infrastructures, which have become more heterogeneous. Managing these heterogeneous resources in cloud infrastructures while ensuring Quality of Service (QoS) and minimizing energy consumption is a prominent challenge. Therefore, unifying energy consumption models to deal with heterogeneous cloud environments is essential in order to efficiently manage these resources. This paper deeply analyzes factors affecting power consumption and employs these factors to develop power models. Because of the strong correlation between power consumption and energy consumption, the influencing factors on power consumption, with the addition of other factors, are considered when developing energy consumption models to enhance the treatment in heterogeneous infrastructures in cloud computing. These models have been developed for two Virtual Machines (VMs) containing heterogeneous Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) architectures with different features and capabilities. Experiments evaluate the models through a cloud testbed between the actual and predicted values produced by the models. Deep Neural Network (DNN) power models are validated with shallow neural networks using performance counters as inputs. Then, the results are significantly enhanced by 8% when using hybrid inputs (performance counters, GPU and memory utilization). Moreover, a DNN energy-agnostic model to abstract the complexity of heterogeneous GPU architectures is presented for the two VMs. A comparison between the standard and agnostic energy models containing common inputs is conducted in each VM. Agnostic energy models with common inputs for both VMs show a slight enhancement in accuracy with input reduction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
40. Power Consumption Analysis of a Prototype Lightweight Autonomous Electric Cargo Robot in Agricultural Field Operation Scenarios.
- Author
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Loukatos, Dimitrios, Arapostathis, Vasileios, Karavas, Christos-Spyridon, Arvanitis, Konstantinos G., and Papadakis, George
- Subjects
- *
AGRICULTURAL robots , *SPACE robotics , *ELECTRIC vehicle industry , *DIGITAL transformation , *FREIGHT & freightage , *NUTRITIONAL requirements , *AUTONOMOUS robots , *MOBILE robots - Abstract
The continuous growth of the urban electric vehicles market and the rapid progress of the electronics industry create positive prospects towards fostering the development of autonomous robotic solutions for covering critical production sectors. Agriculture can be seen as such, as its digital transformation is a promising necessity for protecting the environment, and for tackling the degradation of natural resources and increasing nutritional needs of the population on Earth. Many studies focus on the potential of agricultural robotic vehicles to perform operations of increased intelligence. In parallel, the study of the activity footprint of these vehicles can be the basis for supervising, detecting the malfunctions, scaling up, modeling, or optimizing the related operations. In this regard, this work, employing a prototype lightweight autonomous electric cargo vehicle, outlines a simple and cost-effective mechanism for a detailed robot's power consumption logging. This process is conducted at a fine time granularity, allowing for detailed tracking. The study also discusses the robot's energy performance across various typical agricultural field operation scenarios. In addition, a comparative analysis has been conducted to evaluate the performance of two different types of batteries for powering the robot for all the operation scenarios. Even non-expert users can conduct the field operation experiments, while directions are provided for the potential use of the data being collected. Given the linear relationship between the size and the consumption of electric robotic vehicles, the energy performance of the prototype agricultural cargo robot can serve as a basis for various studies in the area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
41. A review of building digital twins to improve energy efficiency in the building operational stage.
- Author
-
Cespedes-Cubides, Andres Sebastian and Jradi, Muhyiddine
- Subjects
DIGITAL twins ,ENERGY consumption ,MACHINE learning ,BUILDING information modeling ,DATA acquisition systems ,BUILDING maintenance - Abstract
The majority of Europe's building stock consists of facilities built before 2001, presenting a substantial opportunity for energy efficiency improvements during their operation and maintenance phase. Digitalizing these buildings with digital twin technology can significantly enhance their energy efficiency. Reviewing the applications and trends of digital twins in this context is beneficial to understand the current state of the art and the specific challenges encountered when applying this technology to older buildings. This study focuses on the application of digital twins in building operations and maintenance (O & M), emphasizing energy efficiency throughout the building lifetime. A systematic process to select 21 pertinent use-case studies was performed, complemented by an analysis of six enterprise-level digital twin solutions. This was followed by an overview of general characteristics, thematic classification, detailed individual study analyses, and a comparison of digital twin solutions with commercial tools. Five main applications of digital twins were identified and examined: component monitoring, anomaly detection, operational optimization, predictive maintenance and simulation of alternative scenarios. The paper highlights challenges like the reliance on Building Information Modeling (BIM) and the need for robust data acquisition systems. These limitations hinder the implementation of digital twins, in particular in existing buildings with no digital information available. It concludes with future research directions emphasizing the development of methods not solely reliant on BIM data, integration challenges, and potential enhancements through AI and machine learning applications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
42. On the optimization of the interconnection of photovoltaic modules integrated in vehicles
- Author
-
Javier Macías, Rebeca Herrero, Luis Javier San José, Rubén Núñez, and Ignacio Antón
- Subjects
Energy Modeling ,Engineering ,Science - Abstract
Summary: The design of photovoltaic modules for vehicle-integrated photovoltaics (VIPVs) must consider specific operating conditions like partial shading. Module cell interconnection topology must demonstrate resilience to such conditions to maximize energy generation without compromising shadow-free performance, manufacturing complexity, or cost. This study presents a modeling tool for VIPV, calculating effective irradiance on the VIPV surface using Light Detection And Ranging (LiDAR) point clouds to estimate the direct component and sky images for the diffuse irradiance. Subsequently, energy generated by the VIPV module is computed using circuit simulation software. Different module topologies regarding cell number, size, interconnections, and bypass diodes have been analysed. Results show significant daily energy production variations under partial shading conditions for different configurations (up to 41%). While integrating a large number of bypass diodes (160) offers optimal performance, this configuration may be impractical due to manufacturing complexity. However, similar results are achievable with appropriate configurations containing parallel branches and only 8 bypass diodes.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
43. Urban Digital Twin and Energy Modeling – Experiences and case study analyses
- Author
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Danila Longo, Beatrice Turillazzi, Rossella Roversi, Stefano Lilla, Carlo Alberto Nucci, Andrea Costa, and Alessandro Piccinini
- Subjects
urban digital twin ,energy transition ,energy modeling ,climate neutrality ,decarbonisation ,Architecture ,NA1-9428 - Abstract
The transition towards sustainable and digital cities is a complex challenge with crucial implications for citizen well-being. In this context, the concept of an Urban Digital Twin (UDT) emerges as an innovative resource, although the methodologies and technologies applied are still at an initial stage. This article explores the use of the UDT in the context of energy transition, focusing on the experience of Bologna, an Italian city committed to climate neutrality by 2030. Experimentation in specific case studies demonstrates how the UDT enables data analysis and scenario simulation to optimise energy efficiency and promote decarbonisation, facilitates data collection and integration, overcomes privacy issues, and enables multi-stakeholder governance. Article info Received: 18/03/2024; Revised: 10/04/2024; Accepted: 20/04/2024
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
44. Current status, challenges, and prospects of data-driven urban energy modeling: A review of machine learning methods
- Author
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Prajowal Manandhar, Hasan Rafiq, and Edwin Rodriguez-Ubinas
- Subjects
Energy modeling ,Load forecasting ,Smart meter ,Data-driven ,Electrical engineering. Electronics. Nuclear engineering ,TK1-9971 - Abstract
Urban energy modeling is essential in planning electricity generation and efficiently managing electric power systems. Various urban energy models were developed for several energy-driven applications, including emission reduction, retrofit analysis, and forecasting. Electricity load forecasts help to estimate the load demand and effectively aid in power system operation and balancing. The accuracy of load forecasts at high temporal and spatial resolution can impact system planning and operation. Therefore, it is essential to know the factors that affect the accuracy of these forecasts and how they can be improved regarding the current state of the art. This article reviews the recent literature on data-driven electricity load forecasts in three steps. First, different phases of the review process are explained to select and analyze recent literature on machine learning-based short-term load forecasts. Then various aspects of load forecasting techniques have been reviewed, addressing their advantages, disadvantages, temporal resolution, and performance. Finally, the review covers the current challenges in load forecasting and describes the reasons for performance degradation and lower accuracy. Based on the reviewed literature, it was found that temperature, user load profiles, and proper management of input data highly affect load forecast accuracy. In addition, shortcomings of existing performance evaluation metrics make the applicability of those techniques questionable. Finally, we conclude the review by highlighting the necessary actions to improve load forecast accuracy that are relatively unexplored and can be used as a reference for future research on accurate load forecasts.
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
45. Analysis and Modelling for Industrial Energy Efficiency in the Cosmetics Industry: A Real Industrial Case in an Italian Manufacturing Company
- Author
-
Roberto Rocca, Daniele Perossa, and Luca Fumagalli
- Subjects
industrial energy efficiency ,energy modeling ,energy consumption analysis ,energy data ,cosmetics industry ,sustainable cosmetics ,Chemistry ,QD1-999 - Abstract
Economic and environmental issues translating into energy costs and pollution within the production environment are increasingly attracting attention. Industrial Energy Efficiency (IEE) is gaining ever-higher importance within production environments. Since cosmetic consumers and companies are becoming increasingly sensitive to sustainability, the cosmetic field is working to reduce the environmental and social impact along the whole supply chain. Furthermore, IEE actions in business processes can lead to several medium- and long-term economic and environmental benefits. This paper is the first work in the literature presenting a real-case application of energy analysis and modeling to achieve better energy performances in a cosmetics production process. Thus, in the body of knowledge, it contributes by providing a real case of good practice to be benchmarked for future IEE interventions in cosmetics manufacturing processes. The work has been conducted by analyzing the production process’s energy consumption and developing an energy model of a selected machine (i.e., a turbo-emulsifier). The analysis and modeling performed aimed at assessing the different operational phases of the machine and evaluating the different behaviors of the data. Finally, the results allowed us to propose possible improvements to be applied to the production process to achieve better energy performances.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
46. A Cross-Layer Approach to Analyzing Energy Consumption and Lifetime of a Wireless Sensor Node
- Author
-
Fernando Ojeda, Diego Mendez, Arturo Fajardo, Maximilian Gottfried Becker, and Frank Ellinger
- Subjects
cross-layer design ,energy modeling ,energy evaluation ,power measurement ,wireless sensor networks ,Technology - Abstract
Several wireless communication technologies, including Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), are essential for Internet of Things (IoT) applications. WSNs employ a layered framework to govern data exchanges between sender and recipient, which facilitates the establishment of rules and standards. However, in this conventional framework, network data sharing is limited to directly stacked layers, allowing manufacturers to develop proprietary protocols while impeding WSN optimization, such as energy consumption minimization, due to non-directly stacked layer effects on network performance. A Cross-Layer (CL) framework addresses implementation, modeling, and design challenges in IoT systems by allowing unrestricted data and parameter sharing between non-stacked layers. This holistic approach captures system dynamics, enabling network design optimization to address IoT network challenges. This paper introduces a novel CL modeling methodology for wireless communication systems, which is applied in two case studies to develop models for estimating energy consumption metrics, including node and network lifetime. Each case study validates the resulting model through experimental tests, demonstrating high accuracy with less than 3% error.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
47. Analysis of proton exchange membranes for fuel cells based on statistical theory and data mining
- Author
-
Hong Wang and Liang Yang
- Subjects
Membranes ,Energy Modeling ,Science - Abstract
Summary: Fuel cells (FCs) have attracted widespread attention as a highly efficient, clean, and renewable energy conversion technology. Proton exchange membrane (PEM), as one of the core components of FCs, plays a crucial role, and a comprehensive summary of its development is essential for promoting rapid progress in the field of sustainable energy. This article provides a comprehensive review of the development status and research trends of PEMs over the past twenty-eight years, based on statistical analysis and data mining techniques. Price, sustainability, stability, and compatibility issues are the main challenges faced by current PEMs used in FCs research. The current research focuses mainly on the characterization, performance optimization, enhancement mechanisms, and applications of PEMs in FCs. This review provides a systematic summary of PEM materials, serving as a valuable reference for the development, application, and promotion of new PEM materials in FCs.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
48. Integrated multimodel analysis reveals achievable pathways toward reliable, 100% renewable electricity for Los Angeles
- Author
-
Jaquelin Cochran, Paul Denholm, Meghan Mooney, Daniel Steinberg, Elaine Hale, Garvin Heath, Bryan Palmintier, David Keyser, Devonie Oleson, Doug Arent, Henry Horsey, Anthony Fontanini, Matteo Muratori, Jennie Jorgenson, Vikram Ravi, Brady Cowiestoll, Ben Sigrin, Kelsey Horowitz, Himanshu Jain, Matt Irish, Scott Nicholson, George Ban-Weiss, and Harvey Cutler
- Subjects
renewable energy ,energy modeling ,reliability analysis ,demand response ,solar photovoltaics ,resource adequacy ,Environmental sciences ,GE1-350 ,Ecology ,QH540-549.5 - Abstract
Summary: Climate change has prompted many communities to set targets for carbon-free power supplies, but they often lack data-driven strategies to achieve them. We present a comprehensive analysis of an entirely renewable electric power system that can maintain operating reliability and resource adequacy using detailed models of the city of Los Angeles power grid. In consultation with the operating utility, the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP), and the local community, we develop four supply scenarios across three demand projections to analyze which types of infrastructure and operational changes would achieve reliable electricity at least cost. We find that a reliable, 100%-renewable power system yielding more than $1 billion annually in health and climate co-benefits is achievable. Solar can supply most future energy needs, while combustion turbines that use renewable, storable carbon-neutral fuels are key to maintaining reliability. This study provides a replicable methodology that other jurisdictions globally can follow. Science for society: Communities and businesses nationwide have set ambitious goals to combat climate change by generating 100% of their electricity from carbon-free or renewable energy sources. Until now, there has been no comprehensive analysis of the possible pathways to achieve these goals on the scale needed to power the largest US cities. Here, we present findings from the Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100), a thorough and wide-reaching assessment of the factors needed to make a fully renewable utility system operate reliably and deliver adequate electricity to more than 4 million residents. Our analysis uses detailed models of the city’s power grid to examine not just renewable resource options and technical solutions related to generation, transmission, and distribution systems but also the balance of supply and demand, variability and reliability, and affordability and viability—all through the lens of changing demographics and climate conditions.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
49. Equity-based carbon neutral plan induces cross-regional coal leakage and industrial relocation
- Author
-
Ziqiao Zhou, Xiaotian Ma, Silu Zhang, Chaoyi Guo, Xiaorui Liu, Lin Zhang, and Yang Xie
- Subjects
Earth sciences ,Engineering ,Energy management ,Energy Modeling ,Science - Abstract
Summary: China as a major coal-consuming economy faces the challenge of balancing economic development and carbon neutrality goal. This paper incorporates both efficiency-based and equity-based carbon neutrality policies into a numerical model to quantitatively assess how coal reduction under various carbon-neutral policies affects energy mix, economic growth, and industrial structures by 2060. Results show the nationwide coal intensity will ultimately plunge by over 95% from 2017 to 2060, mainly attributed to the coal-phasing-out in most industries. National Gross Domestic Product losses reaches 4,951 billion USD in efficiency-based scenarios by 2060, and the economic losses are even more severe in less developed provinces, especially provinces in Northern China. Although the equity-based policy can reduce the economic burden for the Northern China, the equity-based policy is accompanied by a significant regional shift in coal across the country: eastern coal-intense industries will be relocated northward, leading to increases in embodied coal consumption.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
50. Evaluating the social benefits and network costs of heat pumps as an energy crisis intervention
- Author
-
Yihong Zhou, Chaimaa Essayeh, Sarah Darby, and Thomas Morstyn
- Subjects
Energy management ,Energy modeling ,Energy systems ,Social sciences ,Science - Abstract
Summary: Fuel poverty, a pressing issue affecting social prosperity, has been exacerbated during the energy crisis triggered by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. This problem can be more severe for off-gas regions. Our study investigates heat pumps (HPs) as a cost-effective alternative to off-gas heating to alleviate fuel poverty in England and Scotland. We analyze regional fuel poverty rates and the associated greenhouse gas emission reduction by replacing all off-gas heating with HPs, observing positive effects under pre-crisis and crisis conditions, with existing government support for HP upfront costs. HP rollout can burden distribution networks especially for certain regions, but our correlation analysis shows that high benefits do not always come with network costs at the regional level, and we identify “priority” regions with low costs and high benefits. These findings provide valuable insights for policymakers to address fuel poverty and reach decarbonization. The methodology is adaptable to other countries with appropriate datasets.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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