1. An Effective Method for Forecasting Electrical Load Data Using Temporal Convolution Attention-based Long Short-Term Memory.
- Author
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Siddappa, Sridhar Hassan
- Subjects
ARTIFICIAL neural networks ,ELECTRICAL load ,LONG short-term memory ,FAST Fourier transforms ,LOAD management (Electric power) ,ELECTRIC power systems - Abstract
Electric load forecasting plays a significant role in electric power systems for numerous applications, in terms of specific time horizons like Demand Side Management (DSM), grid stability, optimal operations, and Longterm strategic planning. However, inaccurate forecasts minimize the power supply safety, affecting the social and economic activities, security, and national defense. Therefore, Temporal Convolutional Attention-based Long Short- Term Memory (TCA-LSTM) is proposed for accurately forecasting electric load using Deep Learning (DL). By including an attention mechanism in an LSTM approach, the proposed technique focuses more on parameters with greater weights. Initially, the power load dataset is employed to evaluate the proposed approach. The obtained data is then pre-processed by utilizing the min-max normalization to reduce the impact of outliers. Then, the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) technique is performed to extract the dominant amplitude-frequency. At last, the TCA-LSTM is used to accurately forecast the electric load. The proposed TCA-LSTM achieves a better Mean Square Error (MSE) of 0.002, 0.0074, and 1.5047 respectively in Godishala, Warangal, and Vijayawada, compared to the existing techniques namely, Regression Tree (RT), Principle Component Analysis with Recurrent Neural Network (PCA-RNN), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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