21 results on '"disequilibrium models"'
Search Results
2. Goldfeld, Stephen (1940–1995)
- Author
-
Quandt, Richard E. and Macmillan Publishers Ltd
- Published
- 2018
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Disequilibrium in behavior analysis: A disequilibrium theory redux.
- Author
-
Jacobs, Kenneth W., Morford, Zachary H., and King, James E.
- Subjects
- *
REINFORCEMENT (Psychology) , *STIMULUS generalization , *REINFORCEMENT learning , *BEHAVIOR analysts , *BEHAVIOR , *PREDICTION theory , *THEORY - Abstract
Highlights • The response deprivation hypothesis culminated in the disequilibrium approach. • The disequilibrium models predict reinforcement and punishment effects. • Disequilibrium conditions are distinguished from motivating operations. • The effects of disequilibrium conditions on generalization and maintenance are considered. • The disequilibrium approach increases the precision with which behavior analysts can predict and control behavior. Abstract Disequilibrium theory is an approach to reinforcement that reconsiders the putative response strengthening prowess of stimuli. This disequilibrium approach—the pinnacle of the response deprivation hypothesis—reliably predicts changes in behavior without reference to a response strengthening process. While the strengthening model of reinforcement has received renewed and critical appraisal in behavior analysis, its appraisers have not fully considered the role that a disequilibrium conceptualization might play in their respective theories of reinforcement. In this essay we celebrate William Timberlake's legacy by elucidating the assumptions of disequilibrium theory and by exploring its predictions and implications within behavior analysis. We treat the disequilibrium approach to reinforcement as the theory of reinforcement in behavior analysis, and in doing so, we distinguish disequilibrium conditions from motivating operations and explore future directions regarding the potential to predict generalization and maintenance outcomes. The disequilibrium approach to reinforcement is not a mere deprivation operation used for the purposes of establishing a stimulus as a "reinforcer," as it is a general theory of behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. The effects of response disequilibrium on social media use: A laboratory analogue.
- Author
-
Jacobs, Kenneth W., Klapak, Brian, Morford, Zachary H., and Snyder, Ryan
- Subjects
- *
SOCIETAL reaction , *BEHAVIORAL assessment , *SOCIAL media , *CONDITIONED response , *TIME management - Abstract
Response disequilibrium is the perturbation of unconstrained behavior with a contingency. For example, the imposition of advertisements before or after viewing TikTok videos. The purpose of this laboratory analogue was to determine the effects of two such response disequilibrium conditions: (1) which required participants to view 5 s increments of advertisements to access 2 s increments of TikTok videos and (2) which required participants to view 5 s increments of TikTok videos to access 15 s increments of advertisements. The disequilibrium condition in (1) is called a response deficit due to the restricted access to TikTok videos relative to baseline while (2) is called a response excess due to the overabundance of advertisements relative to baseline. Additionally, participants had access to a third activity that was freely available throughout. Participants could browse images of TikTok video thumbnails while in deficit and excess. As predicted, participants increased their viewing of advertisements when TikTok was in deficit and decreased their viewing of TikTok when advertisements were in excess. Furthermore, some participants substituted TikTok with browsing during the excess of advertisements. This investigation has implications for a behavioral economic analysis of social media use and the contingency management of time spent on these platforms. • Time spent viewing advertisements increased when TikTok videos were in deficit. • Time spent viewing TikTok videos decreased when advertisements were in excess. • Time spent browsing video thumbnails increased when advertisements were in excess. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
5. A DISEQUILIBRIUM MODEL FOR LEI-DENOMINATED NON-GOVERNMENTAL CREDIT IN ROMANIA
- Author
-
Cristian-Florin Dănănău
- Subjects
Non-governmental credit ,Disequilibrium models ,Maximum likelihood ,Co-integration ,Credit crunch ,General Works - Abstract
We empirically investigate through an econometric approach the Romanian credit market, namely the lei-denominated part of it, and the factors that interact with it. The main goal is to assess whether a credit crunch ocurred in Romania during the economic crisis. To this end we employ the disequilibrium model framework, set up in economic literature some 40 years ago. Our investigation takes into consideration the main macroeconomic determinants of this market, that interact with demand and supply. Our approach has in view the macroeconomic variables such as output, interest rates and foreign currency credit. The demand and supply function are estimated through the maximization of a certain maximum likelihood function. The final conclusion is that, based on the estimated model, one cannot detect a credit crunch in the after-crisis period. This paper’s results show that empirically-constructed disequilibrium models can be used to properly describe the behavior of the lei-denominated credit market, by taking necessary precautions.
- Published
- 2015
6. Estimation of Bank’s Credit Demand and Supply Functions in Iran
- Author
-
Mahmood Khataei, Sepideh Khatibi, and Nierehsadat Gharshi
- Subjects
bank’s credit ,disequilibrium models ,switching regression ,iran ,Business ,HF5001-6182 ,Capital. Capital investments ,HD39-40.7 - Abstract
In this paper, we study the restricting factors leading to the disequilibrium condition in the Iranian market for bank’s credit using the switching regression model for the period 1353-1383 (1974-2004). The results of our study show that the real banking interest rate, real money supply, real banks reserves in central bank, and monetary base have significant relationship with credit supply. Also, the estimation of credit demand shows a positive relationship between the lag of the real deposits and credit demand. The interesting point is the insignificant relationship between the credit demand and the banking interest rate in the study period, but a high significant relationship between supply and the banking interest rate . This implies that the restricting factor in the credit market is the supply side which has always been less than the demand. An estimation of the market clearing banking interest rates in comparison with the real observed interest rates in recent years also confirms the result .
- Published
- 2007
7. Credit Conditions in Pakistan: Supply Constraints or Demand Deficiencies?
- Author
-
Ahmed, Jameel
- Subjects
PRIVATE sector ,PRICE inflation ,SUPPLY & demand ,LOANS ,ECONOMIC activity - Abstract
This paper attempts to pin down the key drivers of demand for and supply of real private sector credit in Pakistan. I use both the equilibrium and disequilibrium econometric frameworks, specifically tackling the issue of lack of consistency and/or efficiency of joint estimators in the former via the three-stage least squares technique. On the demand side, I find that higher economic activity provides stimulus to credit whereas inflation dampens it. The stock market seems to play a dual role: as a source of alternative financing, a bullish market negatively impacts credit while, as an indicator of economic expectations, it provides a positive impetus. On the supply side, banks' lending capacity is found to be the major driver of credit while government borrowing has a crowding-out effect. Pakistan currently faces supply constraints, which might put an additional check on capacity utilization by firms, thus damaging growth prospects. The results have important policy implications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2016
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
8. A DISEQUILIBRIUM MODEL FOR LEI-DENOMINATED NON-GOVERNMENTAL CREDIT IN ROMANIA.
- Author
-
DĂNĂNĂU, Cristian-Florin
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMETRICS , *CENTRAL banking industry ,ROMANIAN economy - Abstract
We empirically investigate through an econometric approach the Romanian credit market, namely the lei-denominated part of it, and the factors that interact with it. The main goal is to assess whether a credit crunch ocurred in Romania during the economic crisis. To this end we employ the disequilibrium model framework, set up in economic literature some 40 years ago. Our investigation takes into consideration the main macroeconomic determinants of this market, that interact with demand and supply. Our approach has in view the macroeconomic variables such as output, interest rates and foreign currency credit. The demand and supply function are estimated through the maximization of a certain maximum likelihood function. The final conclusion is that, based on the estimated model, one cannot detect a credit crunch in the after-crisis period. This paper's results show that empirically-constructed disequilibrium models can be used to properly describe the behavior of the lei-denominated credit market, by taking necessary precautions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
9. Restricción Creditica en Ecuador: un análisis con modelos de desequilibrio
- Author
-
Gómez Domínguez, Dolores, Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Economía e Historia Económica, Márquez Ordóñez, Andrea, Gómez Domínguez, Dolores, Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Economía e Historia Económica, and Márquez Ordóñez, Andrea
- Abstract
El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo identificar la existencia de estrangulamiento crediticio, por el lado de la oferta o por el lado de la demanda, en los periodos de inestabilidad económica en el Ecuador durante los años 2006 – 2016. Se utilizó un modelo de desequilibrio estimado mediante Máxima Verosimilitud cuyos resultados demuestran la existencia de exceso de demanda o “credit crunch” durante el I trimestre del año 2009 y el IV trimestre del 2015. Los resultados indican que todas las variables incluidas tanto en la ecuación de la oferta como de la demanda son estadísticamente significativas; en cuanto a los signos esperados, la tasa de morosidad y la variación del precio del petróleo, por el lado de la oferta; y, la tasa de desempleo y la inflación, por el lado de la demanda se comportan de forma contraria a lo esperado, justificándose este comportamiento en función de rasgos característicos de la economía ecuatoriana., The present investigation aims to identify the existence of credit rationing, on the supply or on the demand side, in periods of economic instability in Ecuador during the years 2006 - 2016. It was used a disequilibrium model and it was estimated through Maximum Likelihood, the results show the existence of excess demand or "credit crunch" during the first trimestrer of 2009 and fourth trimestrer of 2015. The results indicate that all the variables included. in both the supply and demand equations, are statistically significant; regarding the expected signs, the non-performing loans rate and the oil price variation, on the supply side; and the unemployment rate and inflation, on the demand side, behave contrary to expectations, justifying this behavior based on characteristic features of the Ecuadorian economy.
- Published
- 2020
10. Credit Market as a "Mirror" of the Economic System: A Disequilibrium Approach.
- Author
-
Cristian-Florin, Dănănău and Ciprian-Antoniade, Alexandru
- Subjects
ECONOMETRIC models ,FINANCIAL market reaction ,MACROECONOMICS ,DETERMINANTS (Mathematics) ,BANKING industry ,ECONOMIC systems - Abstract
We investigate through an econometric approach the credit market and the factors that interact with it. Our investigation tries to put into discussion the main macroeconomic determinants of credit market in Romania. Our approach is chiefly centered around es-sential macroeconomic variables related to industrial output, interest in banking indus-try, as well as to stock market aggregate in-dicators. This paper's results show that dis-equilibrium models can be used to properly model and describe, in the medium and short-run, the behavior of the credit market as a whole, by taking necessary precautions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2012
11. The diffusion of mobile telephony in Italy and the UK: An empirical investigation.
- Author
-
Massini, Silvia
- Subjects
DIFFUSION of innovations ,TECHNOLOGICAL innovations ,CREATIVE ability in technology ,TECHNOLOGY transfer ,CELL phones ,TELEPHONE systems - Abstract
Since its appearance mobile telephony has shown a remarkably fast diffusion pattern in most advanced countries. This paper investigates technological and economic factors that have influenced the diffusion process of cellular phones, in particular the diffusion speed and the upper limit. The epidemic model widely used in diffusion studies is summarised and discussed highlighting the evolutionary disequilibrium nature of diffusion processes. Moreover, the econometric specification of some of the models distinguishes between long-run relationships and short-run adjustments to a continuously evolving pattern. We find that the new digital technology, which coincides with increased competition in both Italy and the UK, has made the process faster and increased the saturation level in Italy, but not in the UK; in Italy only the decreasing price of the handset has affected the diffusion process, whereas we find that, in addition to that, decreasing tariffs and increasing consumption expenditures have been significant in shaping the diffusion process of mobile telephony in the UK. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
12. Restricción Creditica en Ecuador: un análisis con modelos de desequilibrio
- Author
-
Márquez Ordóñez, Andrea, Gómez Domínguez, Dolores, and Universidad de Sevilla. Departamento de Economía e Historia Económica
- Subjects
crédito ,credit crunch ,máximum likelihood ,disequilibrium models ,modelos de desequilibrio ,credit ,máxima verosimilitud - Abstract
El presente trabajo tiene como objetivo identificar la existencia de estrangulamiento crediticio, por el lado de la oferta o por el lado de la demanda, en los periodos de inestabilidad económica en el Ecuador durante los años 2006 – 2016. Se utilizó un modelo de desequilibrio estimado mediante Máxima Verosimilitud cuyos resultados demuestran la existencia de exceso de demanda o “credit crunch” durante el I trimestre del año 2009 y el IV trimestre del 2015. Los resultados indican que todas las variables incluidas tanto en la ecuación de la oferta como de la demanda son estadísticamente significativas; en cuanto a los signos esperados, la tasa de morosidad y la variación del precio del petróleo, por el lado de la oferta; y, la tasa de desempleo y la inflación, por el lado de la demanda se comportan de forma contraria a lo esperado, justificándose este comportamiento en función de rasgos característicos de la economía ecuatoriana. The present investigation aims to identify the existence of credit rationing, on the supply or on the demand side, in periods of economic instability in Ecuador during the years 2006 - 2016. It was used a disequilibrium model and it was estimated through Maximum Likelihood, the results show the existence of excess demand or "credit crunch" during the first trimestrer of 2009 and fourth trimestrer of 2015. The results indicate that all the variables included. in both the supply and demand equations, are statistically significant; regarding the expected signs, the non-performing loans rate and the oil price variation, on the supply side; and the unemployment rate and inflation, on the demand side, behave contrary to expectations, justifying this behavior based on characteristic features of the Ecuadorian economy. Universidad de Sevilla. Máster Universitario en Consultoría Económica y Análisis Aplicado
- Published
- 2020
13. Automatic Differentiation and Interval Arithmetic for Estimation of Disequilibrium Models.
- Author
-
JERRELL, MAX
- Abstract
Nonlinear estimation problems have a unknown number of stationary points. Interval arithmetic is a promising method that eliminates all but the global optimum. Automatic differentiation provides users with a convenient method of computing the gradient and Hessian of nonlinear functions. These two can be combined to provide an efficient and convenient global optimization process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. Stabilizing chaos in a dynamic macroeconomic model
- Author
-
Leo Kaas
- Subjects
Stabilization policy ,Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management ,Economics and Econometrics ,Chaotic dynamical systems ,General equilibrium theory ,jel:E32 ,E62 ,Disequilibrium ,Nonlinear system ,Macroeconomic model ,Nonlinear dynamics ,Income tax ,ddc:330 ,Economics ,medicine ,medicine.symptom ,Mathematical economics ,Controlling chaos ,Control methods ,Disequilibrium models - Abstract
Within a macroeconomic disequilibrium model it turns out that stationary and simple adaptive policies are not capable of stabilizing efficient steady states and lead to periodic or irregular fluctuations for large sets of policy parameters. The application of recent control methods for chaotic dynamical systems shows that the government can, in principle, stabilize an unstable Walrasian equilibrium in a short time by varying income tax rates or government expenditures. Different stabilizing policies are analyzed and compared with regard to their efficiency.
- Published
- 1998
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. The Impact of ICT on the Italian Productivity Dynamics
- Author
-
Daniela, Federici, Giannetti, MARIA MADDALENA, Saltari, Enrico, and Clifford, Wymer
- Subjects
Technological adoption ,Continuous-time econometrics ,Technological adoption, Disequilibrium models, Continuous-time econometrics ,Disequilibrium models - Published
- 2011
16. A Disequilibrium Growth Cycle Model with Differential Savings
- Author
-
Serena Sordi
- Subjects
growth cycle, differential savings, limit cycle, disequilibrium models ,limit cycle ,growth cycle ,differential savings ,disequilibrium models ,jel:C61 ,jel:E10 ,jel:E32 - Abstract
This paper extends Goodwin’s growth cycle model by assuming both differential savings propensities and disequilibrium in the goods market. It is shown that both modifications entail an increase in the dimensionality of the dynamical system of the model. By applying the existence part of the Hopf bifurcation theorem, the possibility of persistent and bounded cyclical paths for the resulting 4-dimensional dynamical system is then established. With the help of numerical simulation some evidence is finally given that the limit cycle emerging from the Hopf bifurcation is stable.
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
17. Credit Rationing in the Corporate Bank Loan Market: Short Term vs. Long Term Bank Debt Rationing
- Author
-
STEIJVERS, Tensie and VOORDECKERS, Wim
- Subjects
credit rationing ,disequilibrium models ,small business finance ,debt maturity - Abstract
We investigate the empirical significance of credit rationing for SMEs over the period 1994-2001 using a panel data set consisting of 1,000 Belgian SMEs. We estimate a demand-supply disequilibrium model and are the first to differentiate between short and long term bank debt rationing. Our results indicate that 30.6% of the SMEs are credit rationed for long term debt. In general, these firms could be characterized as fast-growing firms, experiencing a growth delay in the aftermath of credit rationing. Only 7.8% of the SMEs would experience short term bank debt rationing, being less creditworthy firms, creating little value and cash flow.
- Published
- 2007
18. Bayesian inference in dynamic disequilibrium models: an application to the Polish credit market
- Author
-
Bauwens, Luc, Lubrano, Michel, and UCL - CORE - Center for Operations Research and Econometrics
- Subjects
Bayesian inference ,Gibbs sampler ,Latent variables ,Statistics::Computation ,Disequilibrium models ,Credit rationing - Abstract
We review Bayesian inference for dynamic latent variable models using the data augmentation principle. We detail the difficulties of simulating dynamic latent variables in a Gibbs sampler. We propose an alternative specification of the dynamic disequilibrium model which leads to a simple simulation procedure and renders Bayesian inference fully operational. Identification issues are discussed. We conduct a specification search using the posterior deviance criterion of Spiegelhalter, Best, Carlin, and van der Linde (2002) for a disequilibrium model of the Polish credit market.
- Published
- 2006
19. Bayesian inference in dynamic disequilibrium models: an application to the Polish credit market
- Author
-
UCL - CORE - Center for Operations Research and Econometrics, Bauwens, Luc, Lubrano, Michel, UCL - CORE - Center for Operations Research and Econometrics, Bauwens, Luc, and Lubrano, Michel
- Abstract
We review Bayesian inference for dynamic latent variable models using the data augmentation principle. We detail the difficulties of simulating dynamic latent variables in a Gibbs sampler. We propose an alternative specification of the dynamic disequilibrium model which leads to a simple simulation procedure and renders Bayesian inference fully operational. Identification issues are discussed. We conduct a specification search using the posterior deviance criterion of Spiegelhalter, Best, Carlin, and van der Linde (2002) for a disequilibrium model of the Polish credit market.
- Published
- 2006
20. RACIAL DISCRIMINATION IN HIRE/PURCHASE LENDING IN APARTHEID SOUTH AFRICA
- Author
-
Schreiner, Mark, Graham, Douglas H., Cortes-Fontcuberta, Manuel, Coetzee, Gerhard K., and Vink, Nick
- Subjects
South Africa ,Consumer finance ,disequilibrium models ,truncated and censored models ,Financial Economics ,racial discrimination - Abstract
A partial-observability model finds evidence of racial discrimination by retailers of consumer durables in apartheid South Africa. In particular, black households are 13 percentage points more likely to demand a hire/purchase loan but not to have one supplied than are other households, all else equal.
- Published
- 1997
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
21. The Price, Output and Exchange Rate-Overshooting Effects of Monetary, Fiscal and Exchange Intervention Policy in a Two-Country Disequilibrium Model
- Author
-
Rankin, Neil
- Subjects
Disequilibrium Models ,Exchange Rates Overshooting Monetary Policy ,Fiscal Policy ,Wage Rigidity - Abstract
Monetary, fiscal and exchange intervention policy are examined in a symmetric, two-country, two-period model. Money wages are rigid in period one, causing unemployment. In each period there is a single world output, traded in a perfectly competitive world market. The exchange rate is flexible, and there is perfect capital mobility with perfect foresight. Aoki's method is used to obtain comparative static results, which include as special cases small open and closed economies. Whereas monetary policy effects in this model are consistent with the Mundell-Fleming-Dornbusch framework, fiscal policy always causes higher domestic output and a nominal depreciation, and may well lower foreign output.
- Published
- 1987
Catalog
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.