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Background: The recent studies of the variations in the atmospheric column-averaged CO2 concentration ( X CO 2 ) above croplands and forests show a negative correlation between X CO 2 and Sun Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence (SIF) and confirmed that photosynthesis is the main regulator of the terrestrial uptake for atmospheric CO2. The remote sensing techniques in this context are very important to observe this relation, however, there is still a time gap in orbital data, since the observation is not daily. Here we analyzed the effects of several variables related to the photosynthetic capacity of vegetation on X CO 2 above São Paulo state during the period from 2015 to 2019 and propose a daily model to estimate the natural changes in atmospheric CO2. Results: The data retrieved from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2), NASA-POWER and Application for Extracting and Exploring Analysis Ready Samples (AppEEARS) show that Global Radiation (Qg), Sun Induced Chlorophyll Fluorescence (SIF) and, Relative Humidity (RH) are the most significant factors for predicting the annual X CO 2 cycle. The daily model of X CO 2 estimated from Qg and RH predicts daily X CO 2 with root mean squared error of 0.47 ppm (the coefficient of determination is equal to 0.44, p < 0.01). Conclusion: The obtained results imply that a significant part of daily X CO 2 variations could be explained by meteorological factors and that further research should be done to quantify the effects of the atmospheric transport and anthropogenic emissions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the advancement of remote sensing, it is now possible to identify and characterize greenhouse gas emissions under deferment land uses. Given the above, this study aimed to characterize the spatial–temporal variability and the main factors controlling the average atmospheric CO2 column (Xco2) in the macroregion of Ribeirão Preto (MRP), São Paulo, a significant sugarcane producer in Brazil. We obtained remote sensing data from January 2015 to December 2018. The variables used were Xco2 and sun-induced fluorescence of chlorophyll (SIF) by NASA's Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 satellite (OCO-2), relative humidity (RH), global radiation (Qg), and the average temperature at 2 m (T2m) by the NASA-POWER platform, and leaf area index (LAI) and evapotranspiration by Penman–Monteith (ET) by MODIS sensor. We evaluated the data in trimester's averages, where descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation and linear regression have been applied. The spatial distribution was made by the inverse distance weighted (IDW). The minimum (390.40 ± 0.41 ppm) and maximum (394.75 ± 0.34 ppm) mean of Xco2 was observed in the first quarter of 2015 and third quarter of 2017. The Xco2 obtained negative correlations with the SIF (−0.81), LAI (−0.81), RH (−0.74), ET (−0.84), and Qg (−0.51). Hotspots and coldspots of Xco2 tend to vary over the years. We conclude that the temporal variation of Xco2 above sugarcane areas in southern Brazil is well represented by a periodic function. Our results indicate photosynthesis and soil exposure after harvest are factors that could act as source and sink of CO2. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]