1. Predict the number of annual generations of Spodoptera Littoralis (Boisd.) Based on future temperature changes.
- Author
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El-Sayed, A. A., Nada, M. M., and Amer, A. E.
- Subjects
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SPODOPTERA littoralis , *SEA Island cotton , *INSECT traps , *HIGH temperatures , *FIELD research - Abstract
The study was done to find out what would happen to the number of generations of adult Spodoptera littoralis (Boisd.) moths if the temperature went up in 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100. This was done by doing a comparison field study in Sharkyia Governorate for four years, from 2018 to 2021.The adult moths' population recorded nine generations. The general averages of generation time and coefficient variance were 40 ± 17; 35 ± 10 and CV by 42.2; 28.4 days, respectively. The general average of thermal heat units was 556 ± 5; 558 ± 3 and CV by 0.9; 0.5 units, respectively. In the predicted years, in 2025 to 2100, the average generational duration ranged between 33 and 37 days, with a standard deviation ranging between 11 and 14 days, and CV values at 33.5 to 38.3 day less than that in the field study. The generations' time was 48 days in the field study, while the values decreased to 44 days in 2025 and continued to decline in 2050, 2075, and 2100 to 40, 37, and 33 days, respectively. The period for generation growth in the expected years was shorter than in the field study years, so the generations will occur earlier. The thermal constant remained nearly constant across generations and from peak to peak, while the thermal units in the year increased from 5024 units in the average of four years of field study to 5366, 5659, 5881, and 6065 units in the expected years 2025, 2050, 2075, and 2100, respectively. In 2025, S. littoralis adult moths recorded nine generations; it increased to ten in 2050, continued at ten in 2075, and increased to eleven generations in 2100. There is an inverse relationship between temperatures and the number of days required to complete the growth of the generation, that is, the higher the temperature, the fewer the days required to complete the generation period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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