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Summary: Numerous plant species are expanding their native ranges due to anthropogenic environmental change. Because cytotypes of polyploid complexes often show similar morphologies, there may be unnoticed range expansions (i.e. cryptic invasions) of one cytotype into regions where only the other cytotype is native.We critically revised herbarium specimens of diploid and tetraploid Centaurea stoebe, collected across Europe between 1790 and 2023. Based on their distribution in natural and relict habitats and phylogeographic data, we estimated the native ranges of both cytotypes.Diploids are native across their entire European range, whereas tetraploids are native only to South‐Eastern Europe and have recently expanded their range toward Central Europe. The proportion of tetraploids has exponentially increased over time in their expanded but not in their native range. This cryptic invasion predominantly occurred in ruderal habitats and enlarged the climatic niche of tetraploids toward a more oceanic climate.We conclude that spatio‐temporally explicit assessments of range shifts, habitat preferences and niche evolution can improve our understanding of cryptic invasions. We also emphasize the value of herbarium specimens for accurate estimation of species´ native ranges, with fundamental implications for the design of research studies and the assessment of biodiversity trends. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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Premise: The ecological conditions that constrain plants to an environmental niche are assumed to be constant through time. While the fossil record has been used previously to test for niche conservatism of woody flowering plants, additional studies are needed in other plant groups especially since they can provide insight with paleoclimatic reconstructions, high biodiversity in modern terrestrial ecosystems, and significant contributions to agriculture. Methods: We tested climatic niche conservatism across time by characterizing the climatic niches of living herbaceous ginger plants (Zingiberaceae) and woody dawn redwood (Metasequoia) against paleoniches reconstructed based on fossil distribution data and paleoclimatic models. Results: Despite few fossil Zingiberaceae occurrences in the latitudinal tropics, unlike living Zingiberaceae, extinct Zingiberaceae likely experienced paratropical conditions in the higher latitudes, especially in the Cretaceous and Paleogene. The living and fossil distributions of Metasequoia largely remain in the upper latitudes of the northern hemisphere. The Zingiberaceae shifted from an initial subtropical climatic paleoniche in the Cretaceous, toward a temperate regime in the late Cenozoic; Metasequoia occupied a more consistent climatic niche over the same time intervals. Conclusions: Because of the inconsistent climatic niches of Zingiberaceae over geologic time, we are less confident of using them for taxonomic‐based paleoclimatic reconstruction methods like nearest living relative, which assume a consistent climatic niche between extant and extinct relatives; we argue that the consistent climatic niche of Metasequoia is more appropriate for these reconstructions. Niche conservatism cannot be assumed between extant and extinct plants and should be tested further in groups used for paleoclimatic reconstructions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Andean uplift and the concomitant aridification drove the rapid diversification of several plant lineages that were able to colonize warmer and drier habitats at low elevations and wetter and colder habitats at high elevations. These transitions may be facilitated by shifts in plant strategies to cope with drought and cold, which in turn can trigger episodes of accelerated species diversification. Here, we used four nuclear DNA markers to infer phylogenetic relationships of 80 Adesmia species of annuals, perennial herbs, shrubs and small shrubs that occur in Chile and Argentina. We reconstructed ancestral states for area, climatic niche and growth form to explore how Andean uplift and aridification promoted Adesmia diversification. We also performed logistic and linear regression analyses between different components of growth form (life span, woodiness and plant height) and climate. Finally, we estimated speciation rates across the phylogeny. Our results suggest that the ancestor of Chilean Adesmia was a perennial herb that probably originated in the high Andes of northern and central Chile. The low elevations of Central Chile were colonized in the late Miocene, whereas the high latitudes of Patagonia and the hyperarid coastal Atacama Desert were colonized repeatedly since Pliocene by lineages with different growth forms. Multiple and bidirectional transitions between annual and perennial habits and between herbaceous and woody habits were detected. These shifts were not correlated with climate, suggesting that the different growth forms are alternative and successful strategies to survive unfavorable seasons of both desert and high Andes. Net diversification analysis indicated a constant rate of diversification, suggesting that the high species diversity of Adesmia that occur in Chile is due to a uniform speciation process rather than to accelerated episodes of speciation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding the impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of species is a fundamental requirement for biodiversity conservation and resource management. Quercus oxyphylla, an evergreen oak endemic to China, plays a crucial role in maintaining the ecological stability in subtropical regions and high economic value attributed to its dark and high‐density heartwood, but the existing resources are close to endangered. Currently, limited knowledge exists regarding its distribution and potential influences of climate change on suitable areas. This study utilized 63 occurrence records and Biomod2 platform, to predict changes in suitable areas for Q. oxyphylla under future climate change. The results revealed that (1) Q. oxyphylla showed a pattern of three disjunctive geographical centers in the eastern subregion of subtropical evergreen broad‐leaved forest region (IVA): Qinling‐Daba Mountains, Nanling Mountains and Wuyi Mountains center. Currently, the highly suitable areas concentrated in two zones divided by the Yangtze River, that is, the northern subtropical evergreen and deciduous broad‐leaved forest zone (IVAii) and the mid‐subtropical evergreen broad‐leaved forest zone (IVAi). (2) The temperature‐related variables, such as annual temperature range (Bio7), the mean diurnal range (Bio2), and annual mean temperature (Bio1), were identified as the key determinants of the distribution pattern. Because of its considerable climatic variations in temperature and water conditions, Q. oxyphylla's habitat displayed a wider climate niche and strong physiological tolerance to climate change. (3) Under future climate scenarios, the suitable area of the species was expected to overall expand with significant regional differences. The suitable area in IVAi was expected to expand significantly northward while that in IVAii was expected to gradually shrink. To address the impact of climate change, it is necessary to develop conservation plans focused around the three distribution centers, implement localized and regional conservation policies, and conduct educational outreach among local people. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the environmental and economic costs caused by invasive bird species, it is crucial to document their initial stages of invasion and manage them before control efforts become unfeasible. In this study, we conducted extensive sampling in search of the African collared dove (Streptopelia roseogrisea) in three regions of Mexico: The Northwest, "El Bajío" (central Mexico), and the Southeast. We documented five records of this species in two northwestern states (Sonora and Baja California) and analyzed additional sightings from citizen science and scientific literature to evaluate its presence and geographic distribution in Mexico. Streptopelia roseogrisea has been reported in nine Mexican states (32 records), with its first record occurring in 2000 in Tijuana, Baja California. The species is invading Mexico on two fronts: from populations established in the southern United States expanding southwards into northern Mexico, and individuals escaped/released from captivity invading central Mexico. Additionally, we used temperature and precipitation data to determine its climatic niche in Mexico. We compared it with the climatic niches of the United States populations and with the climatic space of its original distribution range in Africa and the Arabian Peninsula. We found that the climatic niche of the Mexico and the Southern United States populations is similar, and did not overlap with the climatic space present in its original geographic distribution. This suggests that niche models based on the climate of its original distribution could fail to predict the invasibility of this species in North America. Although S. roseogrisea does not seem to constitute a high-risk invader, it is important to document its early invasion process and take action before it spreads throughout the country, as it recently happened with the Eurasian collared-dove (S. decaocto). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Facilitation is an ecological interaction that has allowed plant lineages to survive past climate aridification. This same interaction can be expected to buffer the effects of current climate change, which is tending to become more arid in the Mediterranean basin. However, facilitation may wane when stress conditions are extreme. Here we argue that the erosion of the facilitation signal between Quercus ilex and its nurses detected by García‐Fayos et al. (2020) along 50 years in the eastern Iberian Peninsula may have been due to the reversion of facilitation to competition imposed by an increasingly arid climate. To support this speculation, we reconstructed the climatic niche of Q. ilex and its nurses as well as the local climate change occurring in the populations studied. We found that the decreasing trend in precipitation is pushing Q. ilex out of its climatic optimum in the stressful (semi‐arid) but not in the mild (sub‐humid) habitats. These results suggest that facilitation will be unable to mitigate the effects of climate change, especially those related to aridification. However, other scenarios linking climatic change with herbivory and rural abandonment should be considered to fully understand the past, present and future of facilitation interactions. Reconstructing past interactions can serve as an early warning signal about the future of populations in the face of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Species severely under‐represented in fossil pollen records leave gaps in interpretations and reconstructions of past vegetation. These 'silent taxa' leave little or no trace due to low pollen production, dispersal, preservation and taxonomic resolution. An approach for including them is through associating them with other species with reliable pollen representation. Here, we demonstrate a method for selecting such a proxy species for the Holocene using modern vegetation data. Location: New Zealand. Taxon: Beilschmiedia tawa (A.Cunn.) Benth. & Hook. F. ex Kirk (Lauraceae). Methods: We used vegetation plot data to perform a pairwise co‐occurrence analysis of the New Zealand indigenous forest metacommunity to identify species with a strong positive association with Beilschmiedia tawa (tawa), a common tree severely under‐recorded in the pollen record. For those species, we then modelled their realised climatic niches to identify species with high niche overlap. We discuss how well those species could be interpreted from the Holocene fossil pollen record based on the representation of their pollen taxa. Results: Knightia excelsa (rewarewa; Proteaceae) is a potential proxy for B. tawa in Holocene fossil pollen records, and other, range‐limited species may provide community‐specific proxies. We show combining resampling with sub‐sampling is a robust method for reducing the high false positive rate associated with large co‐occurrence analyses (1000+ sites) by limiting the sample size to 100 sites. Main Conclusions: We show that the palaeoecology of silent taxa can be studied via proxy species, allowing their past distributions to be better understood. We highlight the importance of modelling many aspects of the realised niche to understand the usefulness and limitations of the silent–proxy association. Future research should focus on testing the underlying assumptions of the silent–proxy relationship so that models built on modern data can confidently be applied to palaeoecological data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Phenotypic plasticity can be adaptive in fluctuating environments by providing rapid environment–phenotype matching and this applies particularly in seasonal environments. African Bicyclus butterflies have repeatedly colonized seasonal savannahs from ancestral forests around the late Miocene, and many species now exhibit seasonal polyphenism. On a macroevolutionary scale, it can be expected that savannah species will exhibit higher plasticity because of experiencing stronger environmental seasonality than forest species. We quantified seasonality using environmental niche modeling and surveyed the degree of plasticity in a key wing pattern element (eyespot size) using museum specimens. We showed that species occurring in highly seasonal environments display strong plasticity, while species in less seasonal or aseasonal environments exhibit surprisingly variable degrees of plasticity, including strong to no plasticity. Furthermore, eyespot size plasticity has a moderate phylogenetic signal and the ancestral Bicyclus likely exhibited some degree of plasticity. We propose hypotheses to explain the range of plasticity patterns seen in less seasonal environments and generate testable predictions for the evolution of plasticity in Bicyclus. Our study provides one of the most compelling cases showing links between seasonality and phenotypic plasticity on a macroevolutionary scale and the potential role of plasticity in facilitating the colonization of novel environments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: The climatic niche is associated with diversification in many groups of animals and plants. However, the relationships between climatic‐niche breadth evolution, climatic‐niche position evolution, and speciation remain underexplored. It is particularly unclear whether changes in climatic‐niche breadth are related to diversification. We tested two hypotheses relating niche breadth, niche position, and speciation using climatic data in Squamata (lizards and snakes), one of the largest radiations of tetrapods. These hypotheses were: (1) the oscillation hypothesis (niche breadth changes along with niche position and speciation) and (2) the musical‐chairs hypothesis (niche breadth remains relatively constant when niche position changes during speciation). Location: Global. Taxon: Squamata (lizards and snakes). Methods: We estimated rates of speciation and evolutionary rates for both climatic‐niche position and climatic‐niche breadth for 5320 squamate species. We tested relationships among these rates using Bayesian phylogenetic generalised linear‐mixed models. Results: Higher speciation rates were associated with higher rates of evolution in niche position and in niche breadth. Faster rates of change in niche breadth were related to narrower niches and faster rates of change in niche position. Main Conclusions: Our results support the oscillation hypothesis to explain the relationships between speciation and changes in climatic‐niche position and climatic‐niche breadth. We found that species that changed climatic‐niche breadths more rapidly: (1) speciated faster; (2) evolved towards narrower niche breadths; and (3) changed climatic‐niche positions more rapidly. These results suggest that oscillation between wider and narrower niches is coupled with climatic‐niche divergence and speciation. These conclusions may apply to many other groups of plants and animals in which speciation is often related to climatic‐niche divergence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Premise: Competition from naturalized species and habitat loss are common threats to native biodiversity and may act synergistically to increase competition for decreasing habitat availability. We use Hawaiian dryland ferns as a model for the interactions between land‐use change and competition from naturalized species in determining habitat availability. Methods: We used fine‐resolution climatic variables and carefully curated occurrence data from herbaria and community science repositories to estimate the distributions of Hawaiian dryland ferns. We quantified the degree to which naturalized ferns tend to occupy areas suitable for native species and mapped the remaining available habitat given land‐use change. Results: Of all native species, Doryopteris angelica had the lowest percentage of occurrences of naturalized species in its suitable area while D. decora had the highest. However, all Doryopteris spp. had a higher percentage overlap, while Pellaea ternifolia had a lower percentage overlap, than expected by chance. Doryopteris decora and D. decipiens had the lowest proportions (<20%) of suitable area covering native habitat. Discussion: Areas characterized by shared environmental preferences of native and naturalized ferns may decrease due to human development and fallowed agricultural lands. Our study demonstrates the value of place‐based application of a recently developed correlative ecological niche modeling approach for conservation risk assessment in a rapidly changing and urbanized island ecosystem. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Temperature is one of the main drivers shaping species diversity and assembly processes. Yet, site‐specific effects of the local microclimate on species and trait compositions of insect communities have rarely been assessed along macroclimatic temperature clines. Location: Bavarian Alps, Germany. Methods: Bayesian joint species distribution models were applied to investigate how ecological and morphological traits drive variation in the climatic niches of 32 Orthoptera species on 93 grassland sites with contrasting microclimatic conditions along a steep elevational macroclimatic gradient in an Alpine region in Central Europe. Results: Species richness and abundance decreased along the elevational macroclimatic gradient, and both benefitted from warm microclimate. Interactive effects of elevation and microclimate on the abundance were, however, species‐specific, and partly mediated by traits: Warm microclimatic conditions facilitated the occurrence of demanding xerophilic and late‐hatching species, resulting in marked community dissimilarities at mid‐elevations where colder sites harboured only a subset of the species. The latter mainly occurred at low elevations together with long‐winged species. Abundance peaks of non‐xerophilic species were further upslope when microclimate was warm. Intraspecifically, the body sizes and wing lengths of the larger females, but not the males, decreased with elevation akin the community mean, and brown colour morphs were more frequent at sites with warm microclimate. Main Conclusions: Our nuanced results reveal that trait‐dependent responses of species to microclimate play a key role in the assembly and structuring of insect communities along macroclimatic gradients. Since microclimate preferences changed with elevation, we conclude that species temperature niches are narrower than the elevational range suggests and both macro‐ and microclimatic conditions must be considered when predicting species responses to climate change. Microclimatic contrasts among sites at similar elevations enhanced species turnover mediated by moisture preferences and phenology, highlighting the importance of mountains for conservation as climatic refugia where species with diverging niches can persist in proximity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Andean uplift and the concomitant aridification drove the rapid diversification of several plant lineages that were able to colonize warmer and drier habitats at low elevations and wetter and colder habitats at high elevations. These transitions may be facilitated by shifts in plant strategies to cope with drought and cold, which in turn can trigger episodes of accelerated species diversification. Here, we used four nuclear DNA markers to infer phylogenetic relationships of 80 Adesmia species of annuals, perennial herbs, shrubs and small shrubs that occur in Chile and Argentina. We reconstructed ancestral states for area, climatic niche and growth form to explore how Andean uplift and aridification promoted Adesmia diversification. We also performed logistic and linear regression analyses between different components of growth form (life span, woodiness and plant height) and climate. Finally, we estimated speciation rates across the phylogeny. Our results suggest that the ancestor of Chilean Adesmia was a perennial herb that probably originated in the high Andes of northern and central Chile. The low elevations of Central Chile were colonized in the late Miocene, whereas the high latitudes of Patagonia and the hyperarid coastal Atacama Desert were colonized repeatedly since Pliocene by lineages with different growth forms. Multiple and bidirectional transitions between annual and perennial habits and between herbaceous and woody habits were detected. These shifts were not correlated with climate, suggesting that the different growth forms are alternative and successful strategies to survive unfavorable seasons of both desert and high Andes. Net diversification analysis indicated a constant rate of diversification, suggesting that the high species diversity of Adesmia that occur in Chile is due to a uniform speciation process rather than to accelerated episodes of speciation.

Speciation and diversification patterns in angiosperms are frequently shaped by niche evolution. Centaurium Hill is a Mediterranean genus with ca. 25 species, of which 60% are polyploids (tetra- and hexaploids), distributed mainly in the Mediterranean Basin and in areas with temperate and arid climates of Asia, Europe, North-Central Africa and North America. The evolutionary history of this genus has been studied using morphological, biogeographical and molecular approaches, but its climatic niche characterization and its relation with genome evolution (chromosome number and ploidy level) has not been addressed yet. Thus, this study aims to identify the role of the evolution of climatic niche, ploidy level, life cycle and floral traits in the diversification of Centaurium. Climatic niche characterization involved estimating present climate preferences using quantitative data and reconstructing ancestral niches to evaluate climatic niche shifts. The evolution of climatic niche towards selective optima determined by ploidy level (three ploidy levels) and different binary traits (polyploidy, floral size, floral display, herkogamy and life cycle) was addressed under the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model. Chromosome number evolution was inferred using the ChromoSSE model, testing if changes are clado- or anagenetic. Chromosome number evolution and its link with cladogenesis, life cycle and floral traits was modeled on the phylogeny. The reconstruction of the ancestral niches shows that Centaurium originated in a mild climate and diversified to both humid and cold as well as to dry and warmer climates. Niche conservatism was estimated in the climatic niche of the ancestors, while the climatic niche of the current taxa experienced transitions from their ancestors’ niche. Besides, the evolution of climatic niche towards multiple selective optima determined by the studied traits was supported, life cycle optima receiving the highest support. The reconstruction of chromosome number transitions shows that the rate of speciation process resulting from chromosomal changes (chromosomal cladogenesis) is similar to that of non-chromosomal cladogenesis. Additionally, dependent evolution of floral size, floral display and herkogamy with chromosome number variation was supported. In conclusion, polyploidization is a crucial process in the Mediterranean region that assisted speciation and diversification into new areas with different climates, entailing niche shifts and evolution of reproductive strategies.

Summary: C4 photosynthesis is a key innovation in land plant evolution, but its immediate effects on population demography are unclear. We explore the early impact of the C4 trait on the trajectories of C4 and non‐C4 populations of the grass Alloteropsis semialata.We combine niche models projected into paleoclimate layers for the last 5 million years with demographic models based on genomic data.The initial split between C4 and non‐C4 populations was followed by a larger expansion of the ancestral C4 population, and further diversification led to the unparalleled expansion of descendant C4 populations. Overall, C4 populations spread over three continents and achieved the highest population growth, in agreement with a broader climatic niche that rendered a large potential range over time. The C4 populations that remained in the region of origin, however, experienced lower population growth, rather consistent with local geographic constraints. Moreover, the posterior transfer of some C4‐related characters to non‐C4 counterparts might have facilitated the recent expansion of non‐C4 populations in the region of origin.Altogether, our findings support that C4 photosynthesis provided an immediate demographic advantage to A. semialata populations, but its effect might be masked by geographic contingencies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The contrasting hydraulic traits observed among different plant life forms are shaped by entangled environmental and evolutionary processes. However, we lack understanding of the relative importance of life form, climate and phylogeny in explaining the variance of hydraulic traits.We analysed seven hydraulic traits and eleven climatic variables of 150 Fabaceae species representing three life forms from 62 sites worldwide, using phylogenetic comparative analyses and variance partitioning.The phylogenetic signal found in most traits disappeared after considering life form, indicating that phylogenetic conservatism in traits originated from the divergence among life forms. The trait‐climate relationships were also phylogenetically dependent, implying that trait responses are driven by climate and phylogeny together. Variance partitioning showed that phylogeny and climate explained greater trait variation than life form did.Synthesis. The climate‐driven hydraulic trait responses in Fabaceae still existed with phylogeny being considered, suggesting that this large family may be particularly sensitive to climate change. Our results emphasise the need to include phylogeny in plant hydraulic adaptation studies under future climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ramalina farinacea is a widely distributed epiphytic lichen from the Macaronesian archipelagos to Mediterranean and Boreal Europe. Previous studies have indicated a specific association between R. farinacea and Trebouxia microalgae species. Here, we examined the symbiotic interactions in this lichen and its closest allies (the so-called "R. farinacea group") across ten biogeographic subregions, spanning diverse macroclimates, analyzing the climatic niche of the primary phycobionts, and discussing the specificity of these associations across the studied area. The most common phycobionts in the "R. farinacea group" were T. jamesii and T. lynnae, which showed a preference for continentality and insularity, respectively. The Canarian endemic R. alisiosae associated exclusively with T. lynnae, while the other Ramalina mycobionts interacted with both microalgae. The two phycobionts exhibited extensive niche overlap in an area encompassing Mediterranean, temperate Europe, and Macaronesian localities. However, T. jamesii occurred in more diverse climate types, whereas T. lynnae preferred warmer and more humid climates, often close to the sea, which could be related to its tolerance to salinity. With the geographical perspective gained in this study, it was possible to show how the association with different phycobionts may shape the ecological adaptation of lichen symbioses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Differences in the number of alien plant species in different locations may reflect climatic and other controls that similarly affect native species and/or propagule pressure accompanied with delayed spread from the point of introduction. We set out to examine these alternatives for Himalayan plants, in a phylogenetic framework. We build a database of alien plant distributions for the Himalaya. Focusing on the well‐documented regions of Jammu & Kashmir (west) and Bhutan (east) we compare alien and native species for (1) richness patterns, (2) degree of phylogenetic clustering, (3) the extent to which species‐poor regions are subsets of species‐rich regions and (4) continental and climatic affinities/source. We document 1470 alien species (at least 600 naturalised), which comprise ~14% of the vascular plants known from the Himalaya. Alien plant species with tropical affinities decline in richness with elevation and species at high elevations form a subset of those at lower elevations, supporting location of introduction as an important driver of alien plant richness patterns. Separately, elevations which are especially rich in native plant species are also rich in alien plant species, suggesting an important role for climate (high productivity) in determining both native and alien richness. We find no support for the proposition that variance in human disturbance or numbers of native species correlate with alien distributions. Results imply an ongoing expansion of alien species from low elevation sources, some of which are highly invasive. Several reasons have been proposed for why alien species richness patterns vary across the globe, but they are rarely compared in a comprehensive test. Here we build a complete database of Himalayan alien plant species and show that both location of introduction and climate per se are likely important in explaining elevational and geographical patterns of species diversity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Short-term adaptive evolution represents one of the primary mechanisms allowing species to persist in the face of global change. Predicting the adaptive response at the species level requires reliable estimates of the evolutionary potential of traits involved in adaptive responses, as well as understanding how evolutionary potential varies across a species' range. Theory suggests that spatial variation in the fitness landscape due to environmental variation will directly impact the evolutionary potential of traits. However, empirical evidence on the link between environmental variation and evolutionary potential across a species range in the wild is lacking. In this study, we estimate multivariate evolutionary potential (via the genetic variance–covariance matrix, or G-matrix) for six morphological and life history traits in 10 wild populations of great tits (Parus major) distributed across Europe. The G-matrix significantly varies in size, shape, and orientation across populations for both types of traits. For life history traits, the differences in G-matrix are larger when populations are more distant in their climatic niche. This suggests that local climates contribute to shaping the evolutionary potential of phenotypic traits that are strongly related to fitness. However, we found no difference in the overall evolutionary potential (i.e. G-matrix size) between populations closer to the core or the edge of the distribution area. This large-scale comparison of G-matrices across wild populations emphasizes that integrating variation in multivariate evolutionary potential is important to understand and predict species' adaptive responses to new selective pressures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change is favouring the northward shift of Mediterranean oaks which are expanding their ranges at their leading edges. However, Mediterranean oaks have recalcitrant seeds (desiccation sensitive) that do not form seed banks, depending on climate conditions after seed fall and interactions between genetic determinants to germinate. Here we investigate the potential adaptation of Quercus suber range-wide populations to increasing spring temperature in germination timing and rates. We sowed 701 acorns from 9 populations from 10 mother trees each, at 15, 20 and 25 °C and monitored germination daily during 90 days. We modelled germination timing through Cox's proportional-hazards models, assessed populations' adaptation to spring temperature transfer distances and quantified the effect of acorn mass and storage duration on germination probability and timing with fixed-effects models. We used the mixed-effects models to predict germination climatic niches under current and RCP 8.5 2080 scenarios. Differences in germination timing were due to both the population origin and temperature treatment; germination rates showed a sub-optimality towards warmer-than-origin temperatures. The timing of germination decreased along with spring temperatures increment, with germination in 2080 predicted to occur 12 days earlier than to date in central Iberia. Warmer spring temperatures significantly accelerate the germination of recalcitrant Mediterranean species, which could alter seedlings' developmental environment and ultimately populations' regeneration and species composition. As such, germination timing should receive more attention from scientists and stakeholders and should be included in forest vulnerability assessments and assisted migration programs aiming at long-term forest regeneration to adapt forests to climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Key message J. sabina var. balkanensis, that is of hybrid origin, and its maternal progenitor J. sabina var. sabina are genetically distinct with respect to cpDNA, SNP, and SilicoDArT loci. Mostly non-overlapping distributions of the sabina and balkanensis varieties are the result of their different climatic requirements. Context Juniperus sabina L. is present in the Eurasian mountains, but its range is severely fragmented. In Europe, two varieties of J. sabina occur: var. sabina and var. balkanensis, the latter being an allotetraploid hybrid between the diploid var. sabina and a tetraploid ancestor of Juniperus thurifera L. The distribution of the two varieties is mostly disjunct. Aims Assess the taxonomic affiliation and genetic differentiation of the populations of var. sabina and var. balkanensis in Europe and Asia using cpDNA, SilicoDArT, and SNP markers. Identify climatic niches of both juniper varieties in Europe. Methods Altogether, 21,134 SilicoDArT, 8,579 SNP, and four cpDNA loci were used. Seven climatic variables were compared in sites inhabited by var. balkanensis and the two parental species. Results The SilicoDArTs and SNPs revealed a pattern of population differentiation that was congruent with the cpDNA analysis. The hybrid var. balkanensis occupies habitats with higher temperatures and intermediate levels of precipitation compared to both parental taxa. Conclusion The low genetic variation and significant genetic differentiation among J. sabina populations likely result from the restriction of gene flow imposed by the mountain ranges. The balkanensis variety is able to cope with hot and dry climates probably thanks to the admixture of J. thurifera genes.

Passiflora foetida is a climbing vine, native to the Neotropical Region that is causing major economic and ecological damage in Australia, where it is rapidly spreading. Traditional control options, such as cutting, manual uprooting, and herbicide applications are only effective for local management. Currently, the plant bug Engytatus passionarius is the most promising biological control agent. Specificity tests performed in its native range in Argentina suggest it is highly specific to the plant, and it has not been observed in the field associated with other plants. As climate determines the establishment of insects, knowing if the environmental conditions suit their requirements is key to introducing a species in a region. Also, an overlap between the climatic niches of species is an indicator of similar requirements. To explore the possibilities of a successful establishment of E. passionarius in Australia, ecological niche models (ENM) were built for the plant bug and for the vine and their overlap was measured. The ENM projected to Australia recognized suitable environmental conditions for the establishment of E. passionarius in several regions where P. foetida is present, both for current and future scenarios. Moreover, the niche of the plant bug is almost completely overlapped with that of the vine. All the aforementioned evidence seems to indicate that E. passionarius has a good chance to become an effective biological control agent of P. foetida.

Introduction: Ranavirus disease, caused by viruses within the genus Ranavirus (Iridoviridae), is considered a globally emerging infectious disease linked to mass mortality events in both wild and cultured ectothermic vertebrates. Surveillance work is, however, limited in Asia hence prevalence and the dynamics of the disease remain poorly understood. To understand disease burden and the potential biotic and abiotic drivers in southern China region, we conducted a systematic surveillance of the ranavirus across Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region (GAR). Methods: For this, we used a multifaceted approach involving screening of amphibians and other potential hosts, diagnostic tests, phylogenetic analyses, prevalence estimation, co-infection assessments, and climatic niche analyses. Over one thousand individuals were sampled across 25 sampling sites. Results: We found ninety-two individuals from 18 species of ectothermic vertebrates to be infected with ranavirus. Two lineages were responsible - Rana nigromaculata ranavirus and tiger frog virus were identified using phylogenetic analysis based on the major capsid protein (MCP) gene fragment. Out of these two lineages, the presence of tiger frog virus is rare as we came across only one case. We also found evidence of a co-infection with ranavirus and Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis that can be highly detrimental to host populations; possibly the first such documentation in Asia. Our niche modelling analysis suggests that precipitation seasonality plays an important role in ranavirus prevalence in GAR - southwestern, southeastern, central and northeastern regions of GAR can be considered to be optimum habitats for ranaviruses. Infection rates in wild frog species have reached 100% in some areas, even in nature reserves. Discussion: Our research also indicates that culture facilities and pet markets are frequently infected, serving as likely vectors for the regional and global spread of ranaviruses. The knowledge generated suggests the need for systematic surveillance, stringent biosecurity measures, and control of international animal trade to prevent further transmission and protection of biodiversity and aquaculture industries across Asia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Key message: J. sabina var. balkanensis, that is of hybrid origin, and its maternal progenitor J. sabina var. sabina are genetically distinct with respect to cpDNA, SNP, and SilicoDArT loci. Mostly non-overlapping distributions of the sabina and balkanensis varieties are the result of their different climatic requirements. Context: Juniperus sabina L. is present in the Eurasian mountains, but its range is severely fragmented. In Europe, two varieties of J. sabina occur: var. sabina and var. balkanensis, the latter being an allotetraploid hybrid between the diploid var. sabina and a tetraploid ancestor of Juniperus thurifera L. The distribution of the two varieties is mostly disjunct. Aims: Assess the taxonomic affiliation and genetic differentiation of the populations of var. sabina and var. balkanensis in Europe and Asia using cpDNA, SilicoDArT, and SNP markers. Identify climatic niches of both juniper varieties in Europe. Methods: Altogether, 21,134 SilicoDArT, 8,579 SNP, and four cpDNA loci were used. Seven climatic variables were compared in sites inhabited by var. balkanensis and the two parental species. Results: The SilicoDArTs and SNPs revealed a pattern of population differentiation that was congruent with the cpDNA analysis. The hybrid var. balkanensis occupies habitats with higher temperatures and intermediate levels of precipitation compared to both parental taxa. Conclusion: The low genetic variation and significant genetic differentiation among J. sabina populations likely result from the restriction of gene flow imposed by the mountain ranges. The balkanensis variety is able to cope with hot and dry climates probably thanks to the admixture of J. thurifera genes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Improved estimation of climate niches is critical, given climate change. Plant adaptation to climate depends on their physiological traits and their distributions, yet traits are rarely used to inform the estimation of species climate niches, and the power of a trait‐based approach has been controversial, given the many ecological factors and methodological issues that may result in decoupling of species' traits from their native climate.For 107 species across six ecosystems of California, we tested the hypothesis that mechanistic leaf and wood traits can robustly predict the mean of diverse species' climate distributions, when combining methodological improvements from previous studies, including standard trait measurements and sampling plants growing together at few sites. Further, we introduce an approach to quantify species' trait‐climate mismatch.We demonstrate a strong power to predict species mean climate from traits. As hypothesized, the prediction of species mean climate is stronger (and mismatch lower) when traits are sampled for individuals closer to species' mean climates.Improved resolution of species' climate niches based on mechanistic traits can importantly inform conservation of vulnerable species under the threat of climatic shifts in upcoming decades. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

IntroductionRanavirus disease, caused by viruses within the genus Ranavirus (Iridoviridae), is considered a globally emerging infectious disease linked to mass mortality events in both wild and cultured ectothermic vertebrates. Surveillance work is, however, limited in Asia hence prevalence and the dynamics of the disease remain poorly understood. To understand disease burden and the potential biotic and abiotic drivers in southern China region, we conducted a systematic surveillance of the ranavirus across Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous region (GAR).MethodsFor this, we used a multifaceted approach involving screening of amphibians and other potential hosts, diagnostic tests, phylogenetic analyses, prevalence estimation, co-infection assessments, and climatic niche analyses. Over one thousand individuals were sampled across 25 sampling sites.ResultsWe found ninety-two individuals from 18 species of ectothermic vertebrates to be infected with ranavirus. Two lineages were responsible – Rana nigromaculata ranavirus and tiger frog virus were identified using phylogenetic analysis based on the major capsid protein (MCP) gene fragment. Out of these two lineages, the presence of tiger frog virus is rare as we came across only one case. We also found evidence of a co-infection with ranavirus and Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis that can be highly detrimental to host populations; possibly the first such documentation in Asia. Our niche modelling analysis suggests that precipitation seasonality plays an important role in ranavirus prevalence in GAR – southwestern, southeastern, central and northeastern regions of GAR can be considered to be optimum habitats for ranaviruses. Infection rates in wild frog species have reached 100% in some areas, even in nature reserves.DiscussionOur research also indicates that culture facilities and pet markets are frequently infected, serving as likely vectors for the regional and global spread of ranaviruses. The knowledge generated suggests the need for systematic surveillance, stringent biosecurity measures, and control of international animal trade to prevent further transmission and protection of biodiversity and aquaculture industries across Asia.

IntroductionHerbaceous plant species constitute an essential element of the flora of European beech (Fagus sylvatica) forests. There is increasing evidence that rapidly changing climate is likely to modify the spatial distribution of plant species. However, we lack understanding of the impact that climate change might have on beech forest herbs across the European continent. We investigated the possible effects of predicted increasing rates of global warming and altered precipitation regimes on 71 forest herbs closely associated with beech forests, but with varying biogeographic and climatic niche attributes.MethodsBy using a total of 394,502 occurrence records and an ensemble of species distribution models (SDMs), we quantified the potential current distribution and future (2061-2080) range shifts in climatic suitability (expressed as occurrence probability, OP) according to two climate change scenarios (moderate SSP2-4.5 and severe SSP5-8.5).ResultsOverall, precipitation of the warmest quarter and temperature seasonality were the most influential predictors in shaping current distribution patterns. For SSP5-8.5 scenario, all studied species experienced significant reductions (52.9% on average) in the total size of highly suitable areas (OP >0.75). However, the magnitude and directions of changes in the climatic suitability were highly species-specific; few species might even increase OP in the future, particularly in case of SSP2-4.5 scenario. The SDMs revealed the most substantial decline of climatic suitability at the trailing edges in southern Europe. We found that climatic suitability is predicted to show unidirectional northward shift and to move toward higher elevations. The gain/loss ratio was generally higher for narrow-ranged species compared to widespread taxa.DiscussionOur findings are contextualized with regards to potential confounding factors (dispersal limitation, microclimatic buffering) that may mitigate or accelerate climate change impacts. Given the low long-distance migration ability, many beech forest herbs are unlikely to track the velocity with which macroclimatic isotherms are moving toward higher latitudes, making this species group particularly vulnerable to climate change.

Seasonally dry tropical forests (STDFs) are a main component of open seasonally dry areas in South America and their biogeography is understudied compared to evergreen forests. In this work, we identify vascular plant species with long-distance disjunctions across STDF patches of South America based on information available in online repositories and on species taxonomy and distribution, to explore species’ biogeographic patterns. Specifically, we combine distribution data from the Brazilian Flora 2020 Project (BFG) and the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) to identify species with a peri-Amazonian distribution, and then use species distribution models to discuss possible scenarios of peri-Amazonian distributions under Pleistocene climatic fluctuations. We identified 81 candidate species for peri-Amazonian distributions in STDFs, including shrubs, herbs, trees and lianas, and provided a summary of their main fruit dispersion syndrome based on the literature to identify prevalent dispersal patterns. The study species responded differently to Pleistocene climatic fluctuations, with both contractions and expansions through time in different rates and do not show consistent larger distributions during past climate conditions. Our results show that a peri-Amazonian distribution is also present in growth-forms other than trees. Also, the prevalence of species with long-distance dispersal strategies such as wind or vertebrate-dispersed can suggest, although biased for Neotropical taxa, an alternative scenario of long-distance dispersal, possibly using stepping-stones of azonal vegetation. We argue that such an alternative scenario, especially for species disjunct with long-dispersal abilities, should be considered to test if STDF disjunctions are relics of a past widespread distribution or not.

Aim: Evolutionary studies of oceanic island endemics are usually focused on lineages that have experienced in situ radiation, while those that speciated once on the island or archipelago but have not further diversified (single‐species endemics) remain understudied. The Macaronesian archipelagos, in the Atlantic Ocean, are home to significant numbers of single‐species endemics. The genus Hedera L. (12 species) includes three single‐species endemics from three Macaronesian archipelagos with putatively independent origins. Here, we tested the role of phylogenetic niche conservatism in their evolution. To that end, we (1) reconstructed the spatio‐temporal origin of Macaronesian ivies using phylogenomics, and (2) assessed the role of climatic niche during their colonization and speciation. Location: Azores, Canary Islands, Madeira, western Mediterranean. Taxon: Hedera spp. Methods: We used 166 samples representing all Hedera species to generate genotyping‐by‐sequencing (GBS) libraries and performed time‐calibrated phylogenomic and biogeographic analyses. Climatic preferences and climatic niche evolution were assessed using a geo‐referenced database of the western ivy species (2,297 records). Results: Independent and asynchronous colonization and speciation were estimated for the three Macaronesian ivies, resulting in different degrees of phylogenetic and climatic niche differentiation: H. canariensis displayed an early divergence (7.5–12 Ma) and high phylogenetic and niche isolation; H. azorica had intermediate phylogenetic isolation and niche divergence from its closest relative H. helix (4.4–6.8 Ma) and H. maderensis was embedded within the climatically similar H. iberica (2.8–4.6 Ma). A strong phylogenetic signal was suggested for climatic niche in the western clade of Hedera, where the three Macaronesian ivies are placed. Main Conclusions: The three Macaronesian ivies represent the evolutionary stages leading to the emergence of single‐species island endemics. Climatic niche conservatism appears to be involved in the evolution of single‐species endemics, first by facilitating island colonization, and then by limiting in situ diversification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although the Balkan Peninsula belongs to the most mountainous regions of Europe, phylogeographic structure of its alpine flora remains insufficiently understood, especially for species distributed both in the western and eastern parts of the Peninsula. We analyzed Campanula orbelica, a Balkan endemic typical of high-mountain siliceous grasslands, based on the population genetic structure, climatic niche modeling at the species- and intraspecific level, and niche hindcasting back to the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; 20 kya). Our data reveal a clear phylogeographic pattern with three geographically coherent genetic groups: (i) the most divergent and spatially restricted lineage of the Pirin mountains (east), (ii) neighboring Rila mountains and other eastern Balkan massifs (Rhodopes, Stara Planina, Vitoša), and (iii) the most geographically disjunct mountains of the Scardo-Pindhic range (Šar Planina and Korab) in the west. This pattern indicates multiple refugia and isolated evolutionary centers within the Balkan Peninsula mountains, with the eastern part of the range as likely ancestral area, and an early dispersion into the western region, which formed the main geographical disjunction. The genetic divergence was only partly correlated with geographical isolation, clear dispersal barriers, or climatic niche shifts, suggesting contrasting isolation/dispersal dynamics in various parts of the range. Climatic niche overlap was low among eastern vs. western groups, which correlates with the longest spatial distance and significant genetic divergence, while niche characteristic of the Pirin lineage was a subset of the adjacent Rila lineage niche. High genetic divergence of the Pirin populations was also not correlated with persistent gaps in potential distributions but hypothetically may have been triggered by diversified (limestone/silicate) bedrock conditions. Our results highlight the need for high-mountain phylogeographic surveys in the eastern part of the Balkan Peninsula, to assess the biogeographical relevance of isolation patterns and definition of evolutionarily important units in the high-mountain flora. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding how plants respond to thermal stress is central to predicting plant responses and community dynamics in natural ecosystems under projected scenarios of climate change. Although physiological tolerance is suggested to evolve slower than climatic niches, this comparison remains to be addressed in plants using a phylogenetic comparative approach. In this study, we compared i) the evolutionary rates of physiological tolerance to extreme temperatures with ii) the corresponding rates of climatic niche across three major vascular plant groups. We further accounted for the potential effects of hardening when examining the association between physiological and climatic niche rates. We found that physiological cold tolerance evolves faster than heat tolerance in all three groups. The coldest climatic-niche temperatures evolve faster than the warmest climatic-niche temperatures. Importantly, evolutionary rates of physiological cold tolerance were faster than rates of change in climatic niches. However, an inverse association between physiological cold tolerance and responding climatic niche for plants without hardening was detected. Our results indicated that plants may be sensitive to changes in warmer temperatures due to the slower evolutionary rates of heat tolerance. This pattern has deep implications for the framework that is being used to estimate climate-related extinctions over the upcoming century. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Caucasian rock lizards (Darevskia) are a speciose group with 42 described species from the Caucasus Mountain region. We selected 11 species from Georgia and adjacent territories to explore whether their distribution depends on the distribution of congeneric taxa. We estimated two measures for each species pair: (1) niche overlap between all pairs of the studied species; (2) the extent of contact between the ranges of individual species. We then calculated the correlation between these measurements and the time of divergence between the species. The results showed that in sympatric and parapatric (but not allopatric) species, there is a highly significant correlation between the divergence time and the extent of the contact, as well as between the divergence time and the overlap of suitable habitats. The ranges of the evolutionarily closest species have the smallest extent of contact. Species separated later have overlapping ranges, although are separated by altitude. The most distant species, irrespective of their phenotype, are commonly found in the same location. We suggest that a gradual increase in the contact extent is compensated for by increasing the effectiveness of other mechanisms of niche shift or behavioural isolation and hence the frequency of potentially deleterious interspecific contacts is kept low. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Oceanic islands possess unique floras with high proportions of endemic species. Island floras are expected to be severely affected by changing climatic conditions as species on islands have limited distribution ranges and small population sizes and face the constraints of insularity to track their climatic niches. We aimed to assess how ongoing climate change affects the range sizes of oceanic island plants, identifying species of particular conservation concern. Location: Canary Islands, Spain. Methods: We combined species occurrence data from single‐island endemic, archipelago endemic and nonendemic native plant species of the Canary Islands with data on current and future climatic conditions. Bayesian Additive Regression Trees were used to assess the effect of climate change on species distributions; 71% (n = 502 species) of the native Canary Island species had models deemed good enough. To further assess how climate change affects plant functional strategies, we collected data on woodiness and succulence. Results: Single‐island endemic species were projected to lose a greater proportion of their climatically suitable area (x ̃ = −0.36) than archipelago endemics (x ̃ = −0.28) or nonendemic native species (x ̃ = −0.26), especially on Lanzarote and Fuerteventura, which are expected to experience less annual precipitation in the future. Moreover, herbaceous single‐island endemics were projected to gain less and lose more climatically suitable area than insular woody single‐island endemics. By contrast, we found that succulent single‐island endemics and nonendemic natives gain more and lose less climatically suitable area. Main Conclusions: While all native species are of conservation importance, we emphasise single‐island endemic species not characterised by functional strategies associated with water use efficiency. Our results are particularly critical for other oceanic island floras that are not constituted by such a vast diversity of insular woody species as the Canary Islands. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Species depend upon a constrained set of environmental conditions, or environmental niches, for survival and reproduction that are being increasingly perturbed or lost under rapid climatic change. Seasonal environments, which require species to withstand shifting conditions or track their niches via movement, can offer an important system to study the range of biological responses to potentially cope with climate change. Here, we develop a novel methodological framework to identify niche‐tracking strategies, including the tracking of niche position and breadth, using a uniquely well‐sampled system of 619 New World bird species. Location: Western Hemisphere. Time period: 1980–2020. Major taxa studied: Birds (Aves). Methods: At continental scales, we identify the tracking of both environmental niche position and breadth and assess its phylogenetic and functional underpinning. Partitioning niche position and breadth tracking can inform whether climatic means or extremes constrain seasonal niches. Results: We uncover four primary niche‐tracking strategies, including the tracking of environmental niche position, niche breadth, both or neither. Species that track niche position most often also track niche breadth, but nearly 40% only track one component and 26% only track niche breadth and not position. There is only limited phylogenetic determinism to this variation, but a strong association with ecological and functional attributes that differs between niche position versus niche breadth tracking. Main conclusions: The observed diversity in type and strength of environmental niche‐tracking strategies points to highly differing sensitivity to ongoing climatic change, with narrow trackers of both position and breadth particularly susceptible. The trait associations of niche tracking imply significant functional consequences for communities and ecosystems as impending climate change affects some strategies more strongly than others. Seasonal environments and their diversity of niche‐tracking strategies offer exceptionally dynamic systems for understanding the biological responses and consequences of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simple Summary: Two species belonging to the genus Pseudaulacaspis MacGillivray, 1921 (Hemiptera: Diaspididae), Pseudaulacaspis pentagona (Targioni Tozzetti, 1886) and Pseudaulacaspis prunicola (Maskell, 1895) are well-known pests for a great variety of ornamental plants and fruit trees worldwide. Both are notorious pests and significantly similar in morphology characteristics, life cycle, and ecological conditions, making it quite challenging to distinguish between the two species. In this paper, we implemented an integrative approach combining morphological, molecular, and ecological niche analyses in order to species delimitation. Overall, our findings indicate that the results further underpin the notion that the two species are closely related but distinct. We show that the integration of multiple approaches is useful in identifying morphologically similar species of the genus Pseudaulacaspis, overcoming the difficulties encountered when using traditional taxonomy alone. Pseudaucalaspis pentagona and P. prunicola are notorious pests and commonly feed on various ornamental plants and fruit trees worldwide. The two species share many host-plant species, and are similar in morphological characteristics and life cycle, making it difficult to distinguish to distinguish between them. In this study, morphological characteristics, molecular evidence, and ecological niches were used to define these species. We performed PCA analysis on 22 morphological characteristics that allowed the delineation of the species. We then sequenced the COI gene of both species revealing five populations of P. pentagona and one population of P. prunicola, and the higher support rate could distinguish the two species. We also identified the potential distribution area of the two species based on the MaxEnt niche model, which showed that the degree of niche overlap was high, but that they occupied different niches. Ultimately, we combined three lines of evidence to show that the two species are distinctly different. This study supports species definition using combined morphology, genetics, and ecology and provides a theoretical basis for the effective control of these two pests in the future. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Quaternary glaciations had great impacts on the historical biogeography of small mammal species. Recent studies have showed the effects of these climatic cycles on the diversification of several Neotropical rodents, but these have focused on species whose distributions do not encompass the tropical Andes. Thus, the influences of these climatic dynamics on the evolutionary history of tropical Andean rodent species remain unknown. The effects of these climatic changes were addressed on Aepeomys lugens and A. reigi, two Thomasomyine endemics from the Cordillera de Mérida in the Venezuelan Andes. The past potential geographic distribution of both species was inferred using an ecological niche modeling approach. The estimations obtained indicated that the availability of the suitable climatic conditions for these taxa has varied in size and location during the last 140,000 years. The spatial projection of the niche models onto the climatic scenarios explored indicates that the effects over the historical distributions were smaller in A. lugens than in A. reigi. These results show that the current geographic distribution of both Andean rodents conceals complex biogeographic histories, and characterizations of the demographic history and genetic diversity will be required to understand the evolution of the genus Aepeomys in the Andes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The biology and distribution patterns of the Sahelian mantid species Nilomantis floweri are still insufficiently known. For the first time, records are confirmed of this species from Iran and the distribution map of its native range is updated. Records are compiled from the Sahel zone of North Africa, the Arabian Peninsula, and Iran. Detailed information on its biology, oothecal characteristics, male genitalia variation, and intraspecific molecular diversity in the mitochondrial gene cytochrome c oxidase are provided, and ecological niche modelling was used to gain insight into the overall species distribution and understand its climatic niche limits. Genetic analysis revealed only one haplotype shared between Iran and Oman. The Iranian populations likely represent two distinct clusters, both more related to the diverse Oman haplotypes than to each other. Based on new data, N. floweri appears to be mostly associated with coastal areas in southwestern Asia, with the vast majority of records found along the Red Sea, Persian Gulf, and Oman Gulf coasts. This distribution contrasts markedly with N. floweri records in the Sahel, where most collections have been reported in the transitional zone between the southern Sahara and arid thorn savannah, far off the coast. This study contributes to a comprehensive understanding of this still enigmatic mantid species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Determining the factors that pre-adapt plant species to successfully establish and spread outside of their native ranges constitutes a powerful approach with great potential for management. While this source-area approach accounts for the bias associated with species' regions of origin, it has been only implemented in pools of species known to be established elsewhere. We argue that, in regions with well-known introduction histories, such as the Mediterranean Biome, the consideration of co-dominant non-introduced species as a control group allows a better understanding of the invasion process. For this purpose, we used occurrence data from GBIF and trait data from previous studies to find predictors of establishment and invasion. We compare the frequency, climatic niche and functional traits of 149 co-dominant plant species in their native region in southern Spain, considering whether they have colonised other Mediterranean-climate regions or not and their level of invasion. We found that large native ranges and diverse climatic niches were the best predictors of species establishment abroad. Moreover, coloniser species had longer bloom periods, higher growth rates and greater resource acquisition, whereas coloniser species becoming invasive had also greater reproductive height and nitrogen use efficiency. This framework has the potential to improve prediction models and management practices to prevent the harmful impacts from species in invaded communities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Significant changes in species elevational ranges in mountains have been repeatedly documented, yet the direction, magnitude and drivers of these shifts remain controversial. Presently, there is still lacking evidence about the general nature of species elevational range shifts in eastern Eurasia in response to anthropogenic climate change. By using historical specimen records and recent field observations for 735 seed plant species across 29 China's mountains, we assessed changes in species' elevational centroids and their drivers. Location: China. Time Period: 1950–2018. Major Taxa Studied: Seed plant species. Methods: The elevation records of all sampled occurrences in each mountain during the two time periods were estimated, and the null models were developed to test the sampling bias. Ecological niche models (ENMs) were used to evaluate the relative importance of climate factors in constraining each species distribution. Generalized linear models (GLMs) to test the relationships between the centroid elevational range shifts of species and different divers. Results: We found that 54% of the species shifting upward and 46% downhill. However, species' elevational shifts significantly differed among species and mountains. Herbaceous and lowland species moved upward faster than woody and high‐elevation species. Species in temperate mountains and in mountains with taller elevational gradients moved upward, while species in subtropical mountains and in mountains with shorter elevational gradients moved downward. Precipitation changes experienced by species, species' climatic adaptations, several species' functional traits and mountain size all contributed to explain the magnitude of species' centroid elevational range shifts. Main Conclusions: Our results highlight complex biodiversity redistribution of seed plants across Chinese mountains, not necessarily conforming to the trend of species upward shifts in elevation. Changes in precipitation regimes may blur the simplistic assumption of isotherm tracking. This study fills an important geographic shortfall for our understanding of biodiversity redistribution under anthropogenic climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: Species geographical range sizes play a crucial role in determining species vulnerability to extinction. Although several mechanisms affect range sizes, the number of biotic interactions and species climatic tolerance are often thought to play discernible roles, defining two dimensions of the Hutchinsonian niche. Yet, the relative importance of the trophic and the climatic niche for determining species range sizes is largely unknown. Location: Central and northern Europe. Time period: Present. Major taxa studied: Gall‐inducing sawflies and their parasitoids. Methods: We use data documenting the spatial distributions and biotic interactions of 96 herbivore species, and their 125 parasitoids, across Europe and analyse the relationship between species range size and the climatic and trophic dimensions of the niche. We then compare the observed relationships with null expectations based on species occupancy to understand whether the relationships observed are an inevitable consequence of species range size or if they contain information about the importance of each dimension of the niche on species range size. Results: We find that both niche dimensions are positively correlated with species range size, with larger ranges being associated with wider climatic tolerances and larger numbers of interactions. However, diet breadth appears to more strongly limit species range size. Species with larger ranges have more interactions locally and they are also able to interact with a larger diversity of species across sites (i.e. higher β‐diversity), resulting in a larger number of interactions at continental scales. Main conclusions: We show for the first time how different aspects of species diet niches are related to their range size. Our study offers new insight into the importance of biotic interactions in determining species spatial distributions, which is critical for improving understanding and predictions of species vulnerability to extinction under the current rates of global environmental change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding the mechanisms underlying species distributions and coexistence is both a priority and a challenge for biodiversity hotspots such as the Neotropics. Here, we highlight that Müllerian mimicry, where defended prey species display similar warning signals, is key to the maintenance of biodiversity in the c. 400 species of the Neotropical butterfly tribe Ithomiini (Nymphalidae: Danainae). We show that mimicry drives large‐scale spatial association among phenotypically similar species, providing new empirical evidence for the validity of Müller's model at a macroecological scale. Additionally, we show that mimetic interactions drive the evolutionary convergence of species climatic niche, thereby strengthening the co‐occurrence of co‐mimetic species. This study provides new insights into the importance of mutualistic interactions in shaping both niche evolution and species assemblages at large spatial scales. Critically, in the context of climate change, our results highlight the vulnerability to extinction cascades of such adaptively assembled communities tied by positive interactions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The assumption that climatic growing requirements of invasive species are conserved between their native and non-native environment is a key ecological issue in the evaluation of invasion risk. We conducted a growth chamber experiment to compare the effect of water regime and temperature on the growth and mortality of native and invasive populations of common gorse seedlings (Ulex europaeus L.). Seeds were sampled from 20 populations of five areas from both native (continental France and Spain) and non-native areas (New Zealand, Canary and Reunion islands). The seedlings were grown over 36 days in two temperature treatments (ambient and elevated) combined with two water treatments (irrigated or droughted). The elevated temperature (ET) was defined as the highest temperature observed at the niche margin in the different countries. While ET increased seedlings growth, the drought treatment increased mortality rate and limited seedlings growth. Under ET and drought, native populations showed a greater mortality rate (53%) than invasive populations (16%). Invasive seedlings also showed higher above- and belowground development than native ones under these constrained climatic conditions. While phenotypic plasticity did not differ between native and invasive populations, the difference between populations in terms of total dry mass could be related to differences in the climate of origin (precipitation in particular). Assessing the importance of phenotypic changes between populations within invasive species is crucial to identify the margins of their climatic distribution range and to highlight areas where management efforts should be concentrated in order to limit its spread. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Biomes are climatically and biotically distinctive macroecological units that formed over geological time scales. Their features consolidate them as 'evolutionary scenarios', with their own diversification dynamics. Under the concept of phylogenetic niche conservatism, we assessed, for the first time, the evolution of biome occupation in birds. We aimed to analyse patterns of adaptation to different climatic regimes and the determinant factors for colonization of emerging biomes by clades from different ancestral biomes. In this work, we reconstructed the biome occupation history of two clades of birds (Galliformes and Falconiformes) under an integrative perspective through a comprehensive review of ecological, phylogenetic, palaeontological and biogeographical evidence. Our findings for both groups are consistent with a scenario of phylogenetic biome conservatism and highlight the importance of changes in climate during the Miocene in the adaptation and evolution of climatic niches. In particular, our results indicate high biome conservatism associated with biomes situated in some of the extremes of the global climate gradient (evergreen tropical rainforest, steppe and tundra) for both bird taxa. Finally, the historical dynamics of tropical seasonal biomes, such as tropical deciduous woodlands and savannas, appear to have played a preponderant role during the diversification processes of these bird lineages. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim of study: Detecting possible small-scale soil effects on height growth of single trees in monospecific stands of three important tree species (Abies alba, Fagus sylvatica, and Picea abies). Area of study: 37 mature stands along an ecological gradient in Southern Germany from the cold and wet “optimal niche zone” to warmer and drier niche zones, including gravelly soils with poor water supply. Material and methods: Measurement of achieved height and age of 15 to 20 sample trees per stand. Estimation of the available water capacity of the soil (AWC) in close proximity to sample trees based on soil texture following the German soil survey guidelines. Examining height growth depending on niche zone and AWC. Main results: On sites (stand level) with the lowest water regime, height growth increased significantly with AWC of microsites. The estimated effect on height growth over the whole range of AWC values was almost 8 m at those sites. In contrast, the effect was negative on optimal sites. For intermediate and marginal sites, the effect was positive, albeit not significant for marginal sites. Research highlights: To our knowledge this is the first study about small-scale effects of AWC on height growth of single trees in temperate European forests. Small-scale soil variability should be considered in future scientific studies and practical evaluation, involving single tree performance at stands with low water regime. This seems particularly important in genetic environmental associations studies and in the process of selecting trees for breeding purposes in such stands.

The introduction and expansion of the Asian yellow-legged hornet (Vespa velutina nigrithorax) in Europe poses concern for multiple reasons, including biodiversity conservation. In addition to the predation of native insects (e.g., bees and wasps), this species may compete with native hornets due to an overlap of their climatic and trophic niches. The aim of this study is to investigate the realised climatic niche of V. v. nigrithorax and its response to climatic conditions and to evaluate the degree of overlap with the niches of the two native Vespa species present in Europe, Vespa crabro and Vespa orientalis. The niches of both native species partially overlap with the niche of the invasive species (Schoener's D, 0.43 for V. crabro and 0.28 for V. orientalis), although some differences can be detected. V. crabro appears to be more adapted to cold and dry conditions than the invasive species, and V. orientalis is more adapted to arid climates. These differences may provide a competitive advantage to both native species in areas with a lower environmental suitability for V. v. nigrithorax, in the probable event that this species continues to spread, reaching all areas predicted to be suitable in Europe and in the Mediterranean basin. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Species distribution models are the most widely used tool to predict species distributions for species conservation and assessment of climate change impact. However, they usually do not consider intraspecific ecological variation exhibited by many species. Overlooking the potential differentiation among groups of populations may lead to misplacing any conservation actions. This issue may be particularly relevant in species in which few populations with potential local adaptation occur, as in species with disjunct populations. Here, we used ecological niche modeling to analyze how the projections of current and future climatically suitable areas of 12 plant species can be affected using the whole taxa occurrences compared to occurrences from geographically disjunct populations. Niche analyses suggest that usually the disjunct group of populations selects the climatic conditions as similar as possible to the other according to climate availability. Integrating intraspecific variability only slightly increases models' ability to predict species occurrences. However, it results in different predictions of the magnitude of range change. In some species, integrating or not integrating intraspecific variability may lead to opposite trend in projected range change. Our results suggest that integrating intraspecific variability does not strongly improve overall models' accuracy, but it can result in considerably different conclusions about future range change. Consequently, accounting for intraspecific differentiation may enable the detection of potential local adaptations to new climate and so to design targeted conservation strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The hydraulic traits of a plant species may reflect its climate adaptations. Southwest China is considered as a biodiversity hotpot of the genus Quercus (oak). However, the hydraulic adaptations of Asian oaks to their climate niches remain unclear. Ten common garden-grown oak species with distinct natural distributions in eastern Asia were used to determine their stem xylem embolism resistance (water potential at 50% loss of hydraulic conductivity, P 50), stem hydraulic efficiency (vessel anatomy and sapwood specific hydraulic conductivity (K s)) and leaf anatomical traits. We also compiled four key functional traits: wood density, hydraulic-weighted vessel diameter, K s and P 50 data for 31 oak species from previous literature. We analyzed the relationship between hydraulic traits and climatic factors over the native ranges of 41 oak species. Our results revealed that the 10 Asian oak species, which are mainly distributed in humid subtropical habitats, possessed a stem xylem with low embolism resistance and moderate hydraulic efficiency. The deciduous and evergreen species of the 10 Asian oaks differed in the stem and leaf traits related to hydraulic efficiency. K s differed significantly between the two phenological groups (deciduous and evergreens) in the 41-oak dataset. No significant difference in P 50 between the two groups was found for the 10 Asian oaks or the 41-oak dataset. The oak species that can distribute in arid habitats possessed a stem xylem with high embolism resistance. K s negatively related to the humidity of the native range of the 10 Asian oaks, but showed no trend when assessing the entire global oak dataset. Our study suggests that stem hydraulic conductivity and embolism resistance in Quercus species are shaped by their climate niche. Our findings assist predictions of oak drought resistance with future climate changes for oak forest management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change may be a major threat to global biodiversity, especially to tropical species. Yet, why tropical species are more vulnerable to climate change remains unclear. Tropical species are thought to have narrower physiological tolerances to temperature, and they have already experienced a higher estimated frequency of climate‐related local extinctions. These two patterns suggest that tropical species are more vulnerable to climate change because they have narrower thermal niche widths. However, no studies have tested whether species with narrower climatic niche widths for temperature have experienced more local extinctions, and if these narrower niche widths can explain the higher frequency of tropical local extinctions. Here, we test these ideas using resurvey data from 538 plant and animal species from 10 studies. We found that mean niche widths among species and the extent of climate change (increase in maximum annual temperatures) together explained most variation (>75%) in the frequency of local extinction among studies. Surprisingly, neither latitude nor occurrence in the tropics alone significantly predicted local extinction among studies, but latitude and niche widths were strongly inversely related. Niche width also significantly predicted local extinction among species, as well as among and (sometimes) within studies. Overall, niche width may offer a relatively simple and accessible predictor of the vulnerability of populations to climate change. Intriguingly, niche width has the best predictive power to explain extinction from global warming when it incorporates coldest yearly temperatures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The biosynthesis of secondary metabolites in plants, especially that of phenolic compounds, is stimulated to protect against several environmental stress factors such as cold temperatures, drought, and UV-irradiance. As a result, when a species occurs under different climatic conditions, differences in phenolic accumulation are expected across species distribution in response to the environmental cues. However, our understanding of phenolic compounds' natural variation is limited, as most of our knowledge on secondary metabolite biosynthesis stems from experimental studies conducted under controlled conditions. In this study we analyze phenolic content and its relation to climatic and geographic variation in three closely related Hedera species (H. helix , H. hibernica and H. iberica) across their southwestern range limits in the Iberian Peninsula (82 populations, 401 individuals). The Iberian Peninsula concentrates the highest global species richness of Hedera , with the three species sharing range boundaries along the latitudinal and longitudinal climatic gradient of the region. We found that the three species exhibited different climatic and geographic patterns of phenolic content variation in the study area. The phenolic production in H. helix increased with elevation in relation to the decrease of temperature and the increase of temperature contrast, whereas in H. hibernica varies with latitude in relation to summer temperature and precipitation regimes, increasing in areas with no summer drought. In contrast, we did not find any environmental variables associated with phenolic content in H. iberica , likely due to its narrow geographic and climatic range and a higher influence of microclimatic conditions. Although the three Hedera species are closely related, our results suggest that leaf phenolic production may be triggered by different environmental conditions in each species. Our study underscores the species-specific nature of phenolic compounds' role in plant stress response. • Closely related species show varying phenolic patterns in response to environmental cues. • Phenolic content in H. hibernica increased with latitude and higher precipitation. • Phenolic content in H. helix increased with elevation and lower temperatures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]