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2 results on '"Zuqin Zhang"'

1. Forecasting the cumulative number of COVID-19 deaths in China: a Boltzmann function-based modeling study

Author

Qi Ying, Yuanyuan Gao, Wei Yao, Cheng Long, Xinmiao Fu, and Zuqin Zhang

Subjects
Microbiology (medical), China, 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), Epidemiology, Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), Pneumonia, Viral, 01 natural sciences, Betacoronavirus, 03 medical and health sciences, 0103 physical sciences, Humans, Medicine, Cities, Pandemics, 010301 acoustics, Models, Statistical, 030505 public health, SARS-CoV-2, business.industry, Concise Communication, COVID-19, Confidence interval, Infectious Diseases, Regression Analysis, Coronavirus Infections, 0305 other medical science, business, Forecasting, Demography
Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak is ongoing in China. Here, Boltzmann function-based analyses reveal the potential total numbers of COVID-19 deaths: 3,260 (95% confidence interval [CI], 3187–3394) in China; 110 (95% CI, 109–112) in Hubei Province; 3,174 (95% CI, 3095–3270) outside Hubei; 2,550 (95% CI, 2494–2621) in Wuhan City; and 617 (95% CI, 607–632) outside Wuhan.

Published
2020

2. Wuhan and Hubei COVID-19 mortality analysis reveals the critical role of timely supply of medical resources

Author

Cheng Long, Xinmiao Fu, Zuqin Zhang, Wei Yao, and Yan Wang

Subjects
0301 basic medicine, Microbiology (medical), medicine.medical_specialty, 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak, China, Time Factors, Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), 030106 microbiology, Pneumonia, Viral, 03 medical and health sciences, Betacoronavirus, 0302 clinical medicine, Acute care, Environmental health, Pandemic, Health care, Medicine, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Pandemics, business.industry, SARS-CoV-2, Mortality rate, COVID-19, medicine.disease, Hospitals, Infectious Diseases, Equipment and Supplies, Medical emergency, business, Coronavirus Infections
Abstract

We report that COVID-19 mortality and recovery rates in Hubei Province, China exponentially decays (R2>0.93) and grows (R2>0.95), respectively. A great number of newly supplied medical resources, including more than 42000 aided health workers, over 26000 makeshift beds and 23000 acute care beds, enabled overwhelming patients to be treated effectively in hospitals. This may inform other countries to deal with the coming COVID-19 pandemic when patients are overwhelming the local health care system.

Published
2020

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