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The continuous advancement of the dual carbon goal will lead to fundamental changes in China’s energy structure, with renewable energy emerging as the dominant force in the power supply system. As the proportion of installed capacity for renewable energy continues to increase, the absorption capacity and reasonable utilization rate of renewable energy will become a concern for all sectors of society. At present, the degree of utilization of renewable energy has emerged as a significant factor limiting the development of renewable energy sources. Due to variations in the power structure, load characteristics, and flexible adjustment resources across different regions, blindly pursuing full absorption or higher utilization of renewable energy as a goal can result in increased reserve costs for the system and limited economic benefits, and hinder the development of renewable energy. Therefore, the present study develops a generation–grid–load–storage collaborative planning model aimed at achieving economic optimization by setting different renewable energy utilization rates and obtains the installed capacity of renewable energy and storage under different conditions in the planned year of Gansu Province. The economic analysis indicates that the optimal utilization rate of renewable energy in Gansu Province is projected to decrease from 100% during the period of 2024–2028 to approximately 90% from 2040 to 2060. It serves as a valuable tool for informing the planning and economic development of renewable energy and storage initiatives in Gansu Province, facilitating the achievement of its dual-carbon objectives.

With the continuous development of large-scale wind and photovoltaic power worldwide, the net load fluctuation of systems is increasing, thereby imposing higher demands for power supply assurance and new energy consumption capacity within emerging power systems. It is imperative to establish a quantifiable and efficient model for planning new power systems, to propose an analytical approach for determining optimal evolutionary paths, and to advance research on flexible resource planning across wide areas. In this paper, based on the simplified operating characteristics of multi-type flexible resources, a source-grid-load-storage collaborative planning and evolution analysis framework is established. Secondly, the lowest total cost of the whole life cycle of the system is taken as the optimization goal, the multiple flexible resource investment decisions and production operation constraints of various flexible resources on all sides of the system are considered, and the source-grid-load-storage planning model is established. Then, through the investment decision-making strategy setting of the system in different planning level years, the evolutionary path analysis method of the whole life cycle economy and weighted environmental protection benefit of the system is given. Finally, by taking the sending-end power grid in Gansu Province as an example, a case study is carried out. Calculations of new energy, key channels within the province, energy storage capacity, and load-side response capacity requirements for 2025, 2030, and 2060 are optimized. Based on the above analysis, the optimal evolution path of the power grid is proposed. When considering the weighted benefits of economy and environmental protection, the greater the weight of environmental protection benefits, the greater the possibility of choosing a radical scheme. The model and method proposed in this paper can provide technical reference for the future development planning and evolution analysis of new power systems.

The irregular waves are simulated by using standard spectrum. Instantaneous value method, Fourier analysis method, least square method and "harbour hydrological code" are used to determine the moment force of coefficient CM and drag coefficient CD. Then CM and CD that linearized by Borgman L.E. equation are substituted into Morison equation. The time history curve of the wave force on the pile is calculated and compared with the measured wave force data under the action of irregular wave to analyze the advantages and disadvantages of several methods to determine CM and CD. The results show that the comparison between CM and CD determined by Fourier analysis and least square method is practical.