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Short-term load forecasting plays an important role in power system scheduling, optimization, and maintenance, but no existing typical method can consistently maintain high prediction accuracy. Hence, fusing different complementary methods is increasingly focused on. To improve forecasting accuracy and stability, these features that affect the short-term power system are firstly extracted as prior knowledge, and the advantages and disadvantages of existing methods are analyzed. Then, three typically methods are used for short-term power load forecasting, and their interaction and complementarity are studied. Finally, the Choquet integral (CI) is used to fuse the three existing complementarity methods. Different from other fusion methods, the CI can fully utilize the interactions and complementarity among different methods to achieve consistent forecasting results, and reduce the disadvantages of a single forecasting method. Essentially, a CI with n inputs is equivalent to n! constrained feedforward neural networks, leading to a strong generalization ability in the load prediction process. Consequently, the CI-based method provides an effective way for the fusion forecasting of short-term load in power systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Given a set of data objects, the fuzzy c-means (FCM) partitional clustering algorithm is favored due to easy implementation, rapid response, and feasible optimization. However, FCM fails to reflect either the importance degree of the individual data objects or that of the clusters. Numerous variants of FCM have been proposed to address these issues. However, most of them cannot effectively apply the available information on data objects or clusters. In this paper, a double-constraint fuzzy clustering algorithm is proposed to reflect the importance degrees of both individual data objects and clusters. By incorporating double constraints into each data object and cluster, the objective function of FCM is reformulated and its realization equation is mathematically conducted. Consequently, the clustering accuracy of FCM is improved by applying the available information on both data objects and clusters. Especially, the proposed algorithm effectively addresses the limitations inherent in the existing variants of FCM. The experimental results validate the effectiveness, implementation, and robustness of the new fuzzy clustering algorithm. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]