Search

Displacement monitoring method of reservoir dam is a key research topic at present. In order to better display the overall efficiency of horizontal displacement and vertical displacement monitoring, a numerical simulation analysis method of ecological monitoring of small reservoir dam based on the maximum entropy algorithm is proposed. The virtual value is calculated by the maximum entropy algorithm, and the probability distribution function of random variables is obtained. The comprehensive prediction model of ecological monitoring results is constructed by the probability distribution function, and the daily monitoring values of ecological history of small reservoir dams are obtained. The maximum entropy probability density function is used to calculate the initial moment of small reservoir displacement samples, calculate the abnormal probability of the dam, get the maximum entropy probability density, realize the unbiased distribution of simulation values, and complete the dam deformation monitoring of small reservoirs. The simulation experiment is verified by numerical simulation. The results show that this method can effectively monitor the horizontal and vertical displacement of the dam; monitor the water-level hydrograph of pressure pipes at each measuring point; and obtain the changes of ecological runoff, temperature difference, and sediment discharge around the dam of small reservoirs in real time, which provides data guarantee for improving the ecological added value of small reservoirs.

Objectives: To assess the efficacy and safety of colchicine versus placebo on reducing the risk of subsequent stroke after high risk non-cardioembolic ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack within the first three months of symptom onset (CHANCE-3)., Design: Multicentre, double blind, randomised, placebo controlled trial., Setting: 244 hospitals in China between 11 August 2022 and 13 April 2023., Participants: 8343 patients aged 40 years of age or older with a minor-to-moderate ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack and a high sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥2 mg/L were enrolled., Interventions: Patients were randomly assigned 1:1 within 24 h of symptom onset to receive colchicine (0.5 mg twice daily on days 1-3, followed by 0.5 mg daily thereafter) or placebo for 90 days., Main Outcome Measures: The primary efficacy outcome was any new stroke within 90 days after randomisation. The primary safety outcome was any serious adverse event during the treatment period. All efficacy and safety analyses were by intention to treat., Results: 4176 patients were assigned to the colchicine group and 4167 were assigned to the placebo group. Stroke occurred within 90 days in 264 patients (6.3%) in the colchicine group and 270 patients (6.5%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.98 (95% confidence interval 0.83 to 1.16); P=0.79). Any serious adverse event was observed in 91 (2.2%) patients in the colchicine group and 88 (2.1%) in the placebo group (P=0.83)., Conclusions: The study did not provide evidence that low-dose colchicine could reduce the risk of subsequent stroke within 90 days as compared with placebo among patients with acute non-cardioembolic minor-to-moderate ischaemic stroke or transient ischaemic attack and a high sensitivity C-reactive protein ≥2 mg/L., Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05439356., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at https://www.icmje.org/disclosure-of-interest/ and declare: support from National Key R&D Program of China, the National Natural Science Foundation of China, the Capital's Funds for Health Improvement and Research, and Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences; no financial relationships with any organisations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2019. Re-use permitted under CC BY. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)