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Background Acute hydrocephalus may decrease cerebral perfusion by increasing intracranial pressure. Computed tomography perfusion (CTP) has become a significant adjunct in evaluating regional and global cerebral blood flow (CBF). Purpose To investigate the changes in cerebral perfusion parameters and maximum contrast enhancement (MCE) in patients with hydrocephalus with ventriculoperitoneal shunt (VPS). Material and Methods We performed brain CTP in 45 patients, including those with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)-induced hydrocephalus with VPS (n = 14, G1), hydrocephalus (not related to SAH) with VPS (n = 11, G2), SAH-induced hydrocephalus without VPS (n = 10, G3), and hydrocephalus (not related to SAH) without VPS (n = 10, G4). We measured the cerebral perfusion in the frontal white matter (FWM), centrum semiovale, basal ganglia (BG), and eight cortical lesions of interest and compared the differences in CTP parameters among the groups. Results Between the four groups, cerebral blood volume and MCE in the left FWM and CBF in the right FWM increased significantly in G1 and G2 who underwent VP shunt compared to G3 and G4, whereas perfusion significantly reduced in G3 and G4 who did not undergo VP shunt compared to G1 and G2. MCE in the left BG significantly increased in G2 and decreased in G3 and G4. SAH-induced hydrocephalus showed a lower perfusion than hydrocephalus (not related to SAH) in FWM. Conclusions Perfusion changes in patients with hydrocephalus after VP shunt were seen in the FWM and BG, which appears to be the result of the hydrocephalus reducing brain perfusion in the deep part of the brain. We concluded that SAH slows brain perfusion recovery.

This study compared the effects of a real-world multidisciplinary intervention with additional exercise or nutritional elements and investigated the effectiveness of a booster intervention after weight regain. A total of 242 children and adolescents (age- and sex-specific body mass index [BMI] ≥ 85th percentile, mean age: 10.82 years, 60% male) were allocated to three groups: usual care, exercise, or nutrition. Six-month active treatment with 1:1 session and a maintenance stage with group activities were repeated twice to comprise a 24-month intervention. The primary outcome was change % of the BMI z-score (zBMI). A total of 110 (45.4%) participants completed the 24-month intervention. A mixed-effects model analysis indicated no significant interaction effect of the intervention group and treatment phase on the zBMI change % (p = 0.976). However, there was a significant main effect of the treatment phase on zBMI change % at 6 months (β = −2.98, [95% CI, −5.69–0.27]), 18 months (β = −3.99, [95% CI, −6.76–1.22]), and 24 months (β = −3.23, [95% CI, −5.94–0.52]; p = 0.042). The improvements in zBMI, body fat %, and cardiometabolic markers were observed only among males. Whereas the additive effect of intensive exercise or nutritional feedback was not detected in the long term, a booster intervention with 1:1 counseling was effective even after weight regain during the maintenance period. It may be useful to combine individualized counseling with a less intensive form of group care for long-term maintenance in a real-world setting.

Background Reoperation is one of the key factors affecting postoperative clinical outcomes. The reoperation rates of cervical surgeries might be different from those of lumbar surgeries due to the anatomical and biomechanical differences. However, there has been no study to compare the reoperation rate between them. The purpose is to compare reoperation rates after fusion surgeries for degenerative spinal diseases depending on the anatomic region of cervical and lumbar spines. Method We used the Korean Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service national database. Subjects were included if they had any of the primary procedures of fusion combined with the procedure of decompression procedures under the diagnosis of degenerative diseases (n = 42,060). We assigned the patients into two groups based on anatomical regions: cervical and lumbar fusion group (n = 11,784 vs 30,276). The primary endpoint of reoperation was the repeat of any aforementioned fusion procedures. Age, gender, presence of diabetes, associated comorbidities, and hospital types were considered potential confounding factors. Results The reoperation rate was higher in the patients who underwent lumbar fusion surgery than in the patients who underwent cervical fusion surgery during the entire follow up period (p = 0.0275). A similar pattern was found during the late period (p = 0.0468). However, in the early period, there was no difference in reoperation rates between the two groups. Associated comorbidities and hospital type were noted to be risk factors for reoperation. Conclusions The incidence of reoperation was higher in the patients who underwent lumbar fusion surgery than those who underwent cervical fusion surgery for degenerative spinal diseases.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine health disparities between prisoners and the general population in Korea.METHODS: We sought to estimate the prevalence of 17 physical and mental diseases using the nationwide medication prescription dataset among the total population of prisoners (n=57,541) in Korea. Age- and sex- standardized prevalence ratios (SPRs) were estimated to compare the disease prevalence between the prisoners and the general population. The disease prevalence for the general population was calculated from the prescription dataset for a representative of the Korean population (n=926,246) from the 2013 Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort. Furthermore, the prevalence of these diseases was compared between prisoners and a low-income segment of the general population (n=159,781).RESULTS: Compared to the general population, prisoners had higher prevalence of almost all physical and mental diseases, including hyperlipidemia (SPR, 20.18; 95% confidence interval [CI], 19.43 to 20.94), pulmonary tuberculosis (SPR, 9.58; 95% CI, 7.91 to 11.50), diabetes (SPR, 6.13; 95% CI, 5.96 to 6.31), cancer (SPR, 2.36; 95% CI, 2.07 to 2.68), and depression (SPR, 46.73; 95% CI, 44.14 to 49.43). When compared with the low-income population segment, higher prevalence were still found among prisoners for most diseases, including pulmonary tuberculosis (SPR, 6.39; 95% CI, 5.27 to 7.67) and depression (SPR, 34.71; 95% CI, 32.79 to 36.72).CONCLUSIONS: We found that prisoners were more likely to be unhealthy than the general population, even in comparison with a low-income segment of the general population in Korea.

Objective We aimed to assess the effectiveness of the first 6 months of a 24 month multidisciplinary intervention program including circuit training and a balanced diet in children and adolescents with obesity. Methods A quasi-experimental intervention trial included 242 participants (age [mean±standard deviation]: 11.3±2.06 years, 97 girls) of at least 85th percentile of age- and sex-specific body mass index (BMI). Participants were grouped into three to receive usual care (usual care group), exercise intervention with circuit training (exercise group), or intensive nutritional and feedback intervention with a balanced diet (nutritional group). Primary outcome was BMI z-score, while secondary outcomes included body composition, cardiometabolic risk markers, nutrition, and physical fitness. Results Among the participants, 80.6% had a BMI ≥ the 97th percentile for age and sex. The BMI z-score of the overall completers decreased by about 0.080 after 6 months of intervention (p < 0.001). After the intervention, both exercise and nutritional groups had significantly lower BMI z-scores than the baseline data by about 0.14 and 0.075, respectively (p < 0.05). Significant group by time interaction effects were observed between exercise versus usual care group in BMI z-score (β, -0.11; 95% confidence interval (CI), -0.20 to -0.023) and adiponectin (β, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.58); and between nutritional versus usual care group in waist circumference (β, -3.47; 95% CI, -6.06 to -0.89). No statistically significant differences were observed in any of the other secondary outcomes assessed. Conclusion Multidisciplinary intervention including circuit training and a balanced diet for children and adolescents with obesity reduced the BMI z-score and improved cardiometabolic risk markers such as adiponectin and waist circumference.

Purpose: To investigate the non-pathological opacification of the cavernous sinus (CS) on brain computed tomography angiography (CTA) and compare it with flow-related signal intensity (FRSI) on time-of-flight magnetic resonance angiography (TOF-MRA). Methods: Opacification of the CS was observed in 355 participants who underwent CTA and an additional 77 participants who underwent examination with three diagnostic modalities: CTA, TOF-MRA, and digital subtraction angiography (DSA). Opacification of the CS, superior petrosal sinus (SPS), inferior petrosal sinus (IPS), and pterygoid plexus (PP) were also analyzed using a five-point scale. The Wilcoxon test was used to determine the frequencies of the findings on each side. Additionally, the findings on CTA images were compared with those on TOF-MRA images in an additional 77 participants without dural arteriovenous fistula (DAVF) using weighted kappa (&kappa, ) statistics. Results: Neuroradiologists identified non-pathological opacification of the CS (n = 100, 28.2%) on brain CTA in 355 participants. Asymmetry of opacification in the CS was significantly correlated with the grade difference between the right and left CS, SPS, IPS, and PP (p &lt, 0.0001 for CS, p &lt, 0.0001 for SPS, p &lt, 0.0001 for IPS, and p &lt, 0.05 for PP). Asymmetry of the opacification and FRSI in the CS was observed in 77 participants (CTA: n = 21, 27.3%, TOF-MRA: n = 22, 28.6%). However, there was almost no agreement between CTA and TOF-MRA (&kappa, = 0.10, 95% confidence interval: &minus, 0.12&ndash, 0.32). Conclusion: Asymmetry of non-pathological opacification and FRSI in the CS may be seen to some extent on CTA and TOF-MRA due to anatomical variance. However, it shows minimal reliable association with the FRSI on TOF-MRA.

Recent studies reported conflicting results on the association of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) with dementia and Parkinson’s disease in patients with prostate cancer (Pca). Therefore, this study aimed to investigate whether use of gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist (GnRHa) increases the risk of both diseases. A nationwide population cohort study was conducted involving newly diagnosed patients with Pca %who started ADT with GnRHa (GnRHa users, n = 3,201) and control (nonusers, n = 4,123) between January 1, 2012, and December 31, 2016, using data from the National Health Insurance Service. To validate the result, a hospital cohort of patients with Pca consisting of GnRHa users (n = 205) and nonusers (n = 479) in a tertiary referral center from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2016, were also analyzed. Traditional and propensity score-matched Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the effects of ADT on the risk of dementia and Parkinson’s disease. In univariable analysis, risk of dementia was associated with GnRHa use in both nationwide and hospital validation cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 1.696; 95% CI, 1.425–2.019, and HR, 1.352; 95% CI, 1.089–1.987, respectively). In a nationwide cohort, ADT was not associated with dementia in both traditional and propensity score-matched multivariable analysis, whereas in a hospital validation cohort, ADT was associated with dementia only in unmatched analysis (HR, 1.203; 95% CI, 1.021–1.859) but not in propensity score-matched analysis. ADT was not associated with Parkinson’s disease in either nationwide and validation cohorts. This population-based study suggests that the association between GnRHa use as ADT and increased risk of dementia or Parkinson’s disease is not clear, which was also verified in a hospital validation cohort.

We analyzed cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) rates, deaths preceded by CPR, and survival trends after in-hospital CPR, using a sample of nationwide Korean claims data for the period 2003 to 2013. The Korean National Health Insurance Service–National Sample Cohort is a stratified random sample of 1,025,340 subjects selected from among approximately 46 million Koreans. We evaluated the annual incidence of CPR per 1000 admissions in various age groups, hospital deaths preceded by CPR, and survival rate following in-hospital CPR. Analyses of the relationships between survival and patient and hospital characteristics were performed using logistic regression analysis. A total of 5918 in-hospital CPR cases from 2003 to 2013 were identified among eligible patients. The cumulative incidence of in-hospital CPR was 3.71 events per 1000 admissions (95% confidence interval 3.62–3.80). The CPR rate per 1000 admissions was highest among the oldest age group, and the rate decreased throughout the study period in all groups except the youngest age group. Hospital deaths were preceded by in-hospital CPR in 18.1% of cases, and the rate decreased in the oldest age group. The survival-to-discharge rate in all study subjects was 11.7% during study period, while the 6-month and 1-year survival rates were 8.0% and 7.2%, respectively. Survival tended to increase throughout the study period; however, this was not the case in the oldest age group. Age and malignancy were associated with lower survival rates, whereas myocardial infarction and diabetes mellitus were associated with higher survival rates. Our result shows that hospital deaths were preceded by in-hospital CPR in 18.1% of case, and the survival-to-discharge rate in all study subjects was 11.7% during the study period. Survival tended to increase throughout the study period except for the oldest age group. Our results provide reliable data that can be used to inform judicious decisions on the implementation of CPR, with the ultimate goal of optimizing survival rates and resource utilization.

Severe neurological sequelae occur in patients with carbon monoxide (CO) intoxication; however, whether the latter increases the long-term risk of developing ischemic stroke is unclear. We investigated the association between CO intoxication and ischemic stroke using data from the Korean National Health Information Database.We performed a retrospective, nested case-control study of 27,984 individuals treated for CO intoxication and 27,984 sex- and age-matched controls. Initially, we calculated the overall incidence and hazard ratio (HR) of ischemic stroke using conditional logistic regression. Thereafter, we calculated the incidences and HRs according to covariates and follow-up periods.The CO intoxication group had a significantly higher risk of developing ischemic stroke than the control group (adjusted HR 2.31, 95% CI [confidence interval] = 2.01-2.65). Male sex (adjusted HR 2.73, 95% CI = 2.23-3.34), age40 (adjusted HR 3.53, 95% CI = 2.15-5.82), low income (adjusted HR 2.55, 95% CI = 1.56-4.15), comorbidities (adjusted HR 2.59, 95% CI = 1.48-4.52), and current smokers (adjusted HR 3.55, 95% CI = 1.67-7.60) had a higher risk of ischemic stroke. The risk of ischemic stroke was highest within 2 years after CO intoxication (adjusted HR 7.47, 95% CI = 2.76-20.26), and even6 years after, the risk remained significantly higher than in the control group (adjusted HR 1.84, 95% CI = 1.53-2.20).CO intoxication and the long-term risk of ischemic stroke are associated.

PurposeWe analyzed the nationwide longitudinal data to explore body mass index (BMI) growth trajectories and the time of adiposity rebound (AR).MethodsPersonal data of 84,005 subjects born between 2008 and 2012 were obtained from infant health check-ups which were performed at 5, 11, 21, 33, 45, 57, and 69 months. BMI 00trajectories of each subject were made according to sex and birth weight (Bwt) and the timing of AR was defined as the lowest BMI occurred. Subjects were divided according to Bwt and AR timing as follows: very low birth weight (VLBW), 0.5 kg ≤ Bwt ≤ 1.5 kg; low birth weight (LBW), 1.5 kg < Bwt ≤ 2.5 kg; non-LBW, 2.5 kg < Bwt ≤ 5.0 kg; early AR, before 45 months; moderate AR, at 57 months; and late AR, not until 69 months.Main resultsMedian time point of minimum BMI was 45 months, and the prevalence rates of early, moderate, and late AR were 63.0%, 16.6%, and 20.4%, respectively. BMI at the age of 57 months showed a strong correlation with AR timing after controlling for Bwt (P< 0.001). Sugar-sweetened beverage intake at 21 months (P= 0.02) and no-exercise habit at 57 months (P< 0.001) showed correlations with early AR. When VLBW and LBW subjects were analyzed, BMI at 57 months and breastfeeding at 11 months were correlated with rapid weight gain during the first 5 months (bothP< 0.001).ConclusionsBased on this first longitudinal study, the majority of children showed AR before 57 months and the degree of obesity at the age of 57 months had a close correlation with early AR or early weight during infancy.

Background Significant dropout rates remain a serious concern in pediatric weight control program, but few studies have identified predictors of dropout. Aims The objective of the study is to identify factors associated with dropout from a pediatric lifestyle modification weight control program at different phases. Methods Data on overweight and obese participants (n = 242) aged 11–18 years in the Intervention for Childhood and Adolescent Obesity via Activity and Nutrition (ICAAN) study were collected at baseline, 6-months, and 24-months through self-report and a laboratory test. Logistic regression analysis was performed for those who dropped out during the first 6-months, and multivariate generalized estimating equation analysis identified longitudinal factors associated with those who dropped out after 24 months. Results Lower family functioning (OR = 2.30, 95% CI [1.18−4.46]), exercise group (OR = 0.36, 95% CI [0.15−0.86]), lower initial attendance rate (OR = 6.09, 95% CI [2.94−12.6]), and non-self -referral pathways (OR = 2.35, 95% CI [1.05−5.27]) were significantly associated with 6-month dropouts. For late dropout, lower family functioning (OR = 1.71, 95% CI [1.06−2.77]) and lower initial attendance rates (OR = 2.06, 95% CI [1.12−3.81]) remained significant. Conclusion Family function and initial attendance rate were associated with lower dropout rates. Developing a supportive family environment and focusing on the early-stage factors at the intervention’s outset may reduce overall dropout rates in obesity prevention intervention.

Background The objective of this study was to investigate whether androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) with gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist (GnRHa) in prostate cancer (Pca) patients is associated with cardiovascular disease in the cohort based from the entire Korean population. Methods Using the Korean National Health Insurance database, we conducted an observational study of 579,377 men who sought treatment for Pca between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2016. After excluding patients with previously diagnosed cardiovascular disease or who had undergone chemotherapy, we extracted the data from 2,053 patients who started GnRHa (GnRHa users) and 2,654 men who were newly diagnosed with Pca (GnRHa nonusers) between July 1, 2012, and December 31, 2012, with follow-up through December 31, 2016. The primary outcomes were cerebrovascular attack (CVA) and ischemic heart disease (IHD). Results GnRHa users were older, were more likely to reside in rural areas, had lower socioeconomic status, and had more comorbidities than nonusers (all P < 0.050). Although GnRHa users had an increased incidence of CVA and IHD (P = 0.013 and 0.048, respectively) in univariate analysis, GnRHa use was not associated with the outcomes in multivariate analysis. Furthermore, the cumulative duration of ADT was not associated with the outcomes whereas the associations between age at diagnosis with all diseases were significant. Conclusion Our complete enumeration of the Korean Pca population shows that ADT is not associated with increased risks of cardiovascular disease., Graphical Abstract

Background/Aims The Republic of Korea is a country where the hemodialysis population is growing rapidly. It is believed that the numbers of treatments related to vascular access-related complications are also increasing. This study investigated the current status of treatment and medical expenses for vascular access in Korean patients on hemodialysis. Methods This was a descriptive observational study. We inspected the insurance claims of patients with chronic kidney disease who underwent hemodialysis between January 2008 and December 2016. We calculated descriptive statistics of the frequencies and medical expenses of procedures for vascular access. Results The national medical expenses for access-related treatment were 7.12 billion KRW (equivalent to 6.36 million USD) in 2008, and these expenses increased to 42.12 billion KRW (equivalent to 37.67 million USD) in 2016. The population of hemodialysis patients, the annual frequency of access-related procedures, and the total medical cost for access-related procedures increased by 1.6-, 2.6-, and 5.9-fold, respectively, over the past 9 years. The frequency and costs of access care increased as the number of patients on hemodialysis increased. The increase in vascular access-related costs has largely been driven by increased numbers of percutaneous angioplasty. Conclusions The increasing proportion of medical costs for percutaneous angioplasty represents a challenge in the management of end-stage renal disease in Korea. It is essential to identify the clinical and physiological aspects as well as anatomical abnormalities before planning angioplasty. A timely surgical correction could be a viable option to control the rapid growth of access-related medical expenses.

Objectives:The aim of this study was to investigate the combined effects of long working hours and low job control on self-rated health.Methods:We analyzed employees’ data obtained from the third Korean Working Conditions Survey (KWCS). Multiple survey logistic analysis and postestimation commands w

AIM Body mass index (BMI) is regarded as a predictor of life expectancy and a determinant of mortality. However, the effect of age on BMI-related mortality remains unclear. The aim of the present study was to examine the prognostic effect of BMI to mortality risk among Korean older persons. METHODS Data were collected from the Korean National Health Insurance Services' Senior Cohort database. This study analyzed the data of 79 341 men and 91 298 women aged ≥65 years who underwent health examinations in the 2007 fiscal year. Individual mortality was identified 5 years after 2008. The participants were stratified into seven groups according to basal BMI. Hazard ratios of death were calculated through Cox proportional hazards model after adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, exercise, alcohol intake and income. RESULTS During the 5-year follow up, 11 651 men and 7 235 women died. In both sexes, a lower BMI had a higher hazard ratio (HR), but the trend of increasing HR at high BMI was not clear. For men, the lowest HR was 0.79 (95% CI 0.71-0.87) at a BMI of 27.5-30.0 kg/m2 . For women, the lowest HR was 0.84 (95% CI 0.78-0.91) at a BMI of 25.0-27.5 kg/m2 . For both sexes, the relative mortality risk was associated with a lower BMI. CONCLUSIONS A high BMI is not associated with increased mortality in older adults aged ≥65 years, whereas a lower BMI is associated with an increased mortality risk in later life in this population. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2018; 18: 538-546.

Background We assessed the nutritional risks among children hospitalised with acute burn injuries and their associated clinical outcomes using three nutritional risk screening (NRS) tools: Screening Tool for Risk of Impaired Nutritional Status and Growth (STRONGKIDS), Pediatric Yorkhill Malnutrition Score (PYMS) and Screening Tool for the Assessment for Malnutrition in Pediatrics (STAMP). Methods This prospective cross-sectional study was conducted from October 2015 to November 2016, in a regional burn centre. Patients were screened by two independent observers, using the three NRS tools. Results A total of 100 children aged 3 months to 16.5 years were included. STRONGKIDS identified 16% of patients as having high risk, with being identified 45% by PYMS and 44% by STAMP. After adjustment for confounding factors in multivariate regression analysis, patients in the high-risk group had significantly longer median (SD) lengths of stay [medium versus high risk: STRONGKIDS, 9.5 (6.6) versus 15.0 (24.2) days; PYMS, 8.5 (4.4) versus 13.0 (16.1) days; STAMP, 9.0 (5.7) versus 11.0 (17.4) days] and greater median (SD) weight loss [medium versus high risk: STRONGKIDS, 0.15 (0.8) versus -0.35 (0.8) kg; STAMP, 0.5 (0.7) versus 0 (0.1) kg] than patients in the medium-risk group (P < 0.05). The strengths of agreement in the nutritional risk classification between the two observers were good (κ for STRONGKIDS = 0.61; PYMS = 0.79; STAMP = 0.75) (P < 0.01). Conclusions The STRONGKIDS, PYMS and STAMP tools could be useful and practical for determining which hospitalised children with acute burn injuries will need additional nutritional intervention.

Background The organizational justice model can evaluate job stressor from decision-making process, attitude of managerial or senior staff toward their junior workers, and unfair resource distribution. Stress from organizational injustice could be harmful to workers' mental health. The purpose of this study is to explore the association between organizational justice and depressive symptoms in a securities company. Methods To estimate organizational justice, a translated Moorman's organizational justice evaluation questionnaire (Korean) was employed. Cronbach's α coefficient was estimated to assess the internal consistency of the translated questionnaire. To assess depressive symptoms, the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression (CES-D) scale was used. The link between the sub-concepts of the organizational justice model and depressive symptoms was assessed utilizing multiple logistic regression models. Results The risk of depressive symptoms was significantly higher among workers with higher levels of all subcategory of organizational injustice. In the full adjusted model odds ratio (OR) of higher level of procedural injustice 2.79 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.58-4.90), OR of the higher level of relational injustice 4.25 (95% CI, 2.66-6.78), OR of higher level of distributional injustice 4.53 (95% CI, 2.63-7.83) respectively. Cronbach's α coefficient of the Korean version was 0.93 for procedural justice, 0.93 for relational justice, and 0.95 for distributive justice. Conclusions A higher level of organizational injustice was linked to higher prevalence of depressive symptoms among workers in a company of financial industry.

This study aimed to develop a multidisciplinary lifestyle intervention program targeted at children and adolescents with moderate to severe obesity, and assess the additional effects of exercise intervention when compared to usual care. Overall, the 103 enrolled participants were &ge, 85th percentile of age and sex-specific body mass index (BMI). Participants were divided into groups that received 16 weeks of either usual care or exercise intervention. The BMI z-score of the overall completers decreased by about 0.05 after the 16-week intervention (p = 0.02). After the intervention, only the exercise group had a significantly lower BMI z-score than the baseline score by about 0.1 (p = 0.03), but no significant group by time interaction effects were observed. At the 16-week follow-up, significant group by time interaction effects were observed in percentage body fat (%BF) (&beta, = &minus, 1.52, 95%CI = &minus, 2.58&ndash, &minus, 0.45), lean body mass (LM) (&beta, = 1.20, 95%CI = 0.12&ndash, 2.29), diastolic blood pressure (&beta, 5.24, 95%CI = &minus, 9.66&ndash, 0.83), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (&beta, 1.67, 95%CI = &minus, 2.77&ndash, 1.01), and wall sit test score (&beta, = 50.74, 95%CI = 32.30&ndash, 69.18). We developed a moderate-intensity intervention program that can be sustained in the real-world setting and is practically applicable to both moderate and severe obesity. After interventions, the exercise group had lower %BF and cardiometabolic risk markers, and higher LM and leg muscle strength compared to the usual care group.

Objective The reoperation rate after lumbar degenerative disease surgery is low. It is difficult to find statistical differences in reoperation rates according to the different diagnoses of lumbar degenerative diseases. National population-based database overcomes the statistical problem by its large cohorts with longitudinal follow-up in a nation. The purpose was to compare the reoperation rates after single-level lumbar spinal posterior decompression and fusion surgeries depending on different preoperative diagnoses of lumbar degenerative disease. Patients and methods: We used the Korean Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service national database. The study population was the patients with a diagnosis of a degenerative lumbar disease who underwent single-level decompression and fusion from January 1, 2011, to June 30, 2016. We classified the patients into one of three groups based on diagnosis codes of lumbar disc herniation, spondylolisthesis, or spinal stenosis. A reoperation was defined as repeated decompression and fusion. We considered age, sex, the presence of diabetes, osteoporosis, associated comorbidities, and hospital types as potential confounding factors. Results The reoperation rate was higher in patients with spinal stenosis than in those with lumbar disc herniation. However, there was no difference in the reoperation rate between the patients with lumbar disc herniation and those with spondylolisthesis. Male gender and hospital type were risk factors for reoperation. Conclusion The incidence of reoperation was dependent on the diagnostic subgroups of lumbar degenerative diseases. This information can help surgeons accurately communicate with their patients and enhance the preoperative informed consent process.

Background We comprehensively profiled cytogenetic abnormalities in multiple myeloma (MM) and analyzed the relationship between cytogenetic abnormalities of undetermined prognostic significance and established prognostic factors. Methods The karyotype of 333 newly diagnosed MM cases was analyzed in association with established prognostic factors. Survival analysis was also performed. Results MM with abnormal karyotypes (41.1%) exhibited high international scoring system (ISS) stage, frequent IgA type, elevated IgG or IgA levels, elevated calcium levels, elevated creatine (Cr) levels, elevated β2-microglobulin levels, and decreased Hb levels. Structural abnormalities in chromosomes 1q, 4, and 13 were independently associated with elevated levels of IgG or IgA, calcium, and Cr, respectively. Chromosome 13 abnormalities were associated with poor prognosis and decreased overall survival. Conclusions This is the first study to demonstrate that abnormalities in chromosomes 1q, 4, and 13 are associated with established factors for poor prognosis, irrespective of the presence of other concurrent chromosomal abnormalities. Chromosome 13 abnormalities have a prognostic impact on overall survival in association with elevated Cr levels. Frequent centromeric breakpoints appear to be related to MM pathogenesis.

Objectives: Exposure to volatile organic compounds such as trichloroethylene(TCE) and perchloroethylene(PCE), along with Agent Orange, that were issued around Camp Carroll US Army Base situated in Waegwan, Chilgok-gun, Gyeongsangbuk-do Province, Korea. The main objective of this study was to assess the exposure to TCE and PCE of residents of the area surrounding Camp Carroll. Methods: The TCE, PCE and trichloroethanol(TCEOH) concentrations in blood and trichlroroacetic acid(TCA) and TCEOH concentrations in urine were measured and analyzed in a total of 1,033 residents around Camp Carroll. TCA and TCEOH are metabolites of TCE and PCE, respectively. The information on demographic characteristics and exposure variables in relation to underground water were obtained through a questionnaire completed by the subjects. Results: TCE, PCE and TCEOH concentrations were not detected in blood. Detection rates of TCA and TECOH concentrations in urine were 98.5% and 36.6%, respectively. Creatinine-corrected average TCA and TCEOH concentrations were 12.23±23.81 μg/g and 0.66±4.31 μg/g, respectively. A significant difference was not shown between the drinking group and no drinking group for underground water, which was assumed as a potential route of exposure to TCE and PCE through the consumption of ground water. However, females drinking ground water showed a significantly higher mean level of TCA in urine than did males. There was no significant difference according to drinking ground water as a potential source of exposure to TCE and PCE in residents around Camp Carroll. Conclusions: Considering the statistical analysis of factors affecting exposure to TCE and PCE in ground water along with previous reports, TCA in urine as exposure to TCE and PCE might not be appropriate because it is found in chlorinated drinking water. Therefore, TCA concentration in urine may be the result of drinking of chlorinated water.

There is a low incidence of reoperation after surgery. It is difficult to detect statistical differences between reoperation rates of different lumbar fusion surgeries. National population-based databases provide large, longitudinally followed cohorts that may help overcome this challenge. The purpose is to compare the repeat decompression and fusion rate after surgery for degenerative lumbar diseases according to different surgical fusion procedures based on national population-based databases and elucidate the risk factor for repeat decompression and fusions. The Korean Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service database was used. Patients diagnosed with degenerative lumbar diseases and who underwent single-level fusion surgeries between January 1, 2011, and June 30, 2016, were included. They were divided into two groups based on procedure codes: posterolateral fusion or posterior/transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion. The primary endpoint was repeat decompression and fusion. Age, sex, the presence of diabetes, osteoporosis, associated comorbidities, and hospital types were considered potential confounding factors. The repeat decompression and fusion rate was not different between the patients who underwent posterolateral fusion and those who underwent posterior/transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion. Old age, male sex, and hospital type were noted to be risk factors. The incidence of repeat decompression and fusion was independent on the fusion method.

The purpose of this study was to identify the normative values of ganglion cell-inner plexiform layer (GCIPL) thickness in healthy Korean children using swept-source optical coherence tomography (SS-OCT) and to investigate the correlations of age, refractive error, axial length (AL), retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness and cup-to-disc (C/D) ratio with GCIPL thickness. Children aged between 3 and 17 who had visited our pediatric ophthalmology clinic were enrolled. Each subject underwent full ophthalmic examinations including RNFL thickness, C/D ratio and GCIPL thickness measurement by SS-OCT as well as AL measurement by partial-coherence interferometry. A total of 254 eyes of 127 children were included. The mean average GCIPL thickness was 71.5 ± 5.35 μm; the thickest sector was the superonasal and the thinnest the inferior. According to multivariate regression analysis, average GCIPL thickness was significantly associated with spherical equivalent and RNFL thickness (P

Background The Korea Radiation Effect & Epidemiology Cohort - The resident cohort (KREEC-R) study concluded that there is no epidemiological or causal evidence supporting any increase in cancer risks resulting from radiation from Korean nuclear power plants (NPPs). But the risks of thyroid cancer in women were significantly higher in residents living near NPPs than control. Debate about the cause of the pattern of thyroid cancer incidence in women is ongoing and some researchers argue that detection bias influenced the result of KREEC-R study. Therefore there was a need to investigate whether residents living near NPPs who were assessed in the KREEC-R were actually tested more often for thyroid cancer. We evaluated the possibility of detection bias in the finding of the KREEC-R study based on materials available at this time. Methods Using the KREEC-R raw data, we calculated age standardized rates (ASRs) of female thyroid cancer and re-analyzed the results of survey on the use of medical services. We also marked the administrative districts of residents who received the Radiation Health Research Institute (RHRI) health examinations and those in which thyroid cancer case occurred as per the Chonnam National University Research Institute of Medical Sciences (RIMS) final report on maps where the locations of NPPs and 5 km-radii around them were also indicated. And we compared the incidence rates of Radiation-induced cancer measured between the first period when RHRI health examinations were not yet implemented, and the second period when the RHRI health examinations were implemented. Results The ASR for the far-distance group, which comprised residents living in areas outside the 30 km radius of the NPPs, increased rapidly after 2000; however, that of the exposed group, which comprised residents living within a 5 km radius of the NPPs, started to increase rapidly even before 1995. The frequencies of the use of medical services were significantly higher in the intermediate proximate group, which comprised residents living within a 5–30 km radius of the NPPs, than in the exposed group in women. In case of female thyroid cancer, the second period ASR was higher than the first period ASR, but in case of female liver cancer and female stomach cancer no significant difference were observed between the periods. On map, many administrative districts of residents who received RHRI health examinations and most administrative districts in which thyroid cancer case occurred on RIMS final report were outside 5 km-radii around NPPs. Conclusions We could not find any evidence supporting the assertion that detection bias influenced the increased risks of female thyroid cancer observed in the exposed group of the KREEC-R study, as opposed to the control group.

BACKGROUND The emergence of multidrug-resistant, Gram-negative bacteria has resulted in reconsideration of colistimethate sodium (CMS) as a last resort for treatment of such infections. However, acute kidney injury (AKI) may represent a major limiting adverse effect of use of CMS. Early AKI detection in CMS-treated patients can help prevent progression to acute failure and reduce the need of renal replacement therapy. We hypothesized that plasma neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) may be an early biomarker of AKI in CMS-treated patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS This prospective cohort study included patients aged ≥20 years who received intravenous CMS between March 2014 and November 2015. AKI was defined according to Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes criteria. The primary endpoint was the difference between the average time to AKI onset based on serum creatinine and empirically derived plasma NGAL levels. RESULTS Among 109 CMS-treated patients, 23 patients (mean age, 61.3 ± 16.1 years; men, 65.2%) were evaluated. Thirteen (56.5%) patients fulfilled the AKI criteria. The mean time to AKI onset based on serum creatinine after CMS initiation was 78.15 ± 30.49 hours. AKI was detected approximately 22 hours earlier using plasma NGAL than when using serum creatinine as an indicator of AKI (P = 0.035). The baseline plasma NGAL level was 264.0 ± 167.3 ng/mL and 192.7 ± 65.3 ng/mL in patients with and without AKI, respectively (P = 0.218). The area under the curve for plasma NGAL level at 56 hours was 0.796 (95% confidence interval, 0.609-0.983; P = 0.017), with a sensitivity and specificity of 69.2% and 90.0%, respectively (cutoff value, 285 ng/mL). CONCLUSION NGAL level was found to be a strong predictor of AKI. This study provides additional evidence of the utility of NGAL for AKI in patients with treated CMS. Plasma NGAL represent sensitive and specific predictive early biomarkers for AKI in patient treated CMS.

Background: A 20-year follow-up study on cancer incidence among people living near nuclear power plants in South Korea ended in 2011 with a finding of significantly, but inconsistently, elevated thyroid cancer risk for females. Reanalysis of the original study was carried out to examine the dose–response relationship further, and to investigate any evidence of detection bias. Methods: In addition to replicating the original Cox proportional hazards models, nested case-control analysis was carried out for all subjects and for four different birth cohorts to examine the effects of excluding participants with pre-existing cancer history at enrollment. The potential for detection bias was investigated using the records of medical utilization and voluntary health checks of comparison groups. Results: The overall risk profile of the total sample was similar to that of the original study. However, in the stratified analysis of four birth cohorts, the cancer risk among people living near nuclear power plants became higher in younger birth cohorts. This was especially true for thyroid cancers of females (hazard ratio (HR) 3.38) and males (HR 1.74), female breast cancers (HR 2.24), and radiation-related cancers (HR 1.59 for males, HR 1.77 for females), but not for radiation-insensitive cancers (HR 0.59 for males, HR 0.98 for females). Based on medical records and health check reports, we found no differences between comparison groups that could have led to detection bias. Conclusions: The overall results suggest elevated risk of radiation-related cancers among residents living near nuclear power plants, controlling for the selective survival effect. This is further supported by the lack of evidence of detection bias and by records of environmental exposure from radiation waste discharge.

This study aimed to validate body composition analysis using bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) against dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) in children with obesity and to compare agreement between BIA and DXA according to their degree of obesity. Three hundred and sixteen children aged 6-17 years participated in the Intervention for Childhood and Adolescents Obesity via Activity and Nutrition study. We divided participants by body mass index (BMI) percentile (group 1: mild to moderate obesity; group 2: severe obesity) and compared body composition variables, eg, percentage of body fat (%BF), fat mass (FM), and fat-free mass (FFM) using BIA and DXA. The %BF and FM of BIA were significantly lower (-1.8% and -0.8 kg, respectively), and the FFM of BIA was significantly higher (1.4 kg) than those of DXA. There were significant negative relationships between the absolute value of differences from BIA and DXA and BMI z-scores in %BF, FM, and FFM (regression coefficient [β]: -1.39, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -1.81 to -0.97; β: -0.34, 95%CI: -0.61 to -0.06; β: -0.73, 95%CI: -1.03 to -0.44, respectively). The gap of body compositions between BIA and DXA decreased as participants became more obese, and the differences of FM in boys with severe obesity and the differences of %BF and FFM in girls with severe obesity were much less than those in children with mild to moderate obesity. In conclusion, the agreement between DXA and BIA was better for children with severe obesity than for children with mild to moderate obesity.

Background In 2011, two roads in a residential area in Seoul were found to be contaminated with the radionuclide cesium-137 (137Cs). In response to public concerns, an epidemiological study was conducted. Methods The standardized cancer incidence ratios in the affected and neighboring regions were calculated based on the central cancer registry. Households in the region were sampled using the random stratified sampling technique, and questionnaires were administered to family members, via home visit and via students in elementary to high schools. Information on duration of residency and frequency of use of the roads was applied to calculate cumulative radiation exposure dose from the roads, alongside with the reported 137Cs contamination amounts. Information on past medical history, perceived risk, anxiety and psychological stress was also obtained. Of the 31,053 residents, 8,875 were analyzed. To examine possible associations between radiation exposure and health problems, logistic regression adjusted for covariates were performed with consideration of the sampling design, population weight and stratification. Results No significant association was found between self-informed diseases, including cancers, and estimated radiation exposure dose. According to an increase of radiation level, a significant increase in anxiety in all and a decline in the psychosocial wellbeing of the adults was noted. The risk perception level was higher in the elderly, females, the less educated, and the highest exposed individuals. Conclusion This study provides a basis for risk communication with residents and community environmental health policy., Graphical Abstract

Background The erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) as measured using the Westergren method is extremely elevated in patients with monoclonal gammopathy (MG) owing to the abundance of positively charged paraproteins. However, it has not been determined if the ESR is likewise high in patients with MG when measured using alternate ESR methods. Methods The ESR was measured using both the modified Westergren and microhemagglutination method (TEST1) in 36 patients with MG and in 159 individuals with other diseases. Results Erythrocyte sedimentation rates measured by the Westergren vs microhemagglutination methods showed substantial, but not remarkably high correlation. ESR measured using the Westergren method was higher in MG than in non-MG patients; however, ESR measured using microhemagglutination was not different in the 2 groups, resulting in a larger ΔESR (microhemagglutination ESR-Westergren ESR) in MG patients. When considered as continuous variables, none of the tested interfering plasma proteins (C-reactive protein, globulin, or fibrinogen) showed substantial correlations with Westergren or microhemagglutination ESRs. MG and low hematocrit were the only factors independently associated with ΔESR on multivariate analysis. Conclusion We demonstrated, for the first time, that the ESR as measured by microhemagglutination is not elevated in patients with MG compared with those without. The ESR does not correlate with a particular plasma protein, showing that its measurement is multifactorial. The presence of MG is an independent factor for ΔESR.

Background: Although the hummingbird sign (HBS) is a distinctive feature of progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) VS. idiopathic Parkinson’s disease (IPD) and other parkinsonian disorders, there are no consensus criteria for its identification. Objective: To develop consensus criteria for the HBS to enable accurate communication between researchers and physicians, we developed a new radiologic rating scale for the HBS (the HBS-RS), and the inter-rater reliability (IRR) and diagnostic validity of the HBS-RS were evaluated. Methods: Two raters blinded to the clinical diagnoses reviewed T1 midsagittal magnetic resonance images of 133 patients with IPD (n = 93) or PSP (n = 40). The existence of the HBS was assessed in two steps that were separated by two weeks; the first was based on their own experience and the second was according to the HBS-RS. The HBS-RS comprises 4 items (contour of the third ventricle floor, shape of the beak, shape of the hummingbird head, and midbrain atrophy), with weighted scores from 0t o 2. Results: The IRR of individual items in the HBS-RS and of the composite scores showed moderate-to-good agreement (Cohen’s kappa [κ], 0.479–0.766) and were observed to be highest for the contour of the third ventricle floor. The sensitivities and specificities varied depending on the cut-off for each item or for the composite scores. The sensitivities for each item were high (85.0–92.5) at a low cut-off (0 VS. 1 or 2). The specificities reached more than 80% when the composite scores of the HBS-RS were used. Receiver operating characteristic curves for the total HBS-RS scores showed fair diagnostic accuracy for PSP (AUC, 0.76 and 0.73). Conclusions: The HBS-RS is a simple and measurable visual assessment tool to identify the HBS, with adjustable diagnostic validity for PSP. The results suggest that the HBS-RS may be used for objective measurements of the HBS in research and in the clinic.

The BRAF (V600E) mutation is the most prevalent type of genetic alteration that has been identified in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC); in addition, previous immunohistochemical studies have revealed the overexpression of p53 protein in PTC. The aim of the present study was to investigate the prevalence of the BRAF (V600E) mutation and the expression of p53 in PTC, as well as to determine any associations between these two factors and the clinicopathological features of PTC. The study was performed on 66 PTC patients who underwent surgical tumor resection between January and December 2012. Polymerase chain reaction-based DNA amplification was used to analyze extracted DNA from the tumor specimens in order to determine the prevalence of the BRAF (V600E) mutation. In addition, immunohistochemical analysis was employed in order to evaluate the protein expression of p53 in sections of tumor tissue. Furthermore, statistical analysis was performed in order to determine any associations among the BRAF (V600E) mutation prevalence, p53 overexpression and the clinicopathological features of PTC patients, including age, gender, tumor size, multiplicity, lymph node metastasis and extrathyroidal extension. The results revealed that the BRAF (V600E) mutation was observed in 50 (75.8%) of the 66 PTC patients and overexpression of p53 was found in 52 (78.8%) of 66 cases. No significant correlations were observed between the BRAF (V600E) mutation or p53 protein overexpression and the clinicopathological features of patients. However, the BRAF (V600E) mutation demonstrated noteworthy, but non-significant, correlations with the overexpression of p53 (P=0.0854) and extrathyroidal extension (P=0.0661). In addition, a significant correlation was observed between lymph node metastasis and bilaterality (P=0.0280). In conclusion, the present study demonstrated that the BRAF (V600E) mutation and overexpression of p53 were not significantly correlated with clinicopathological features of PTC, although notable associations were identified between BRAF (V600E) mutation and overexpression of p53 as well as extrathyroidal extension. In addition, lymph node metastasis was significantly associated with bilaterality.

Purpose: DNA deacetylation by histone deacetylase (HDAC) is an important mechanism involved in the oncogenic tumorigene­ sis of breast cancer. Previous studies have reported an associa­ tion of the estrogen receptor (ER) with HDACs and demonstrat­ ed the efficacy of HDAC inhibitors for the treatment of breast cancers via in vitro experiments. In this study, we examined the association of HDAC expression with clinicopathological para­ meters and disease­specific survival. Methods: Immunohisto­ chemical (IHC) analysis of HDAC1, HDAC2, HDAC3, and HDAC6 was performed using tissue microarrays in 300 invasive ductal carcinomas. IHC scoring was determined by multiplication of the intensity (0 to 3) and the proportion (0 to 4) of staining, and we classified tumors into low­ and high­HDAC expression groups. Results: High expression of HDAC1 was correlated with the mo­ lecular subtype (p= 0.001) and human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2) amplification ( p= 0.012). High expression of HDAC6 was correlated with a younger age (p< 0.001), ER expression (p= 0.025), progesterone receptor expression (p= 0.034), molecular subtype (p= 0.023), and HER2 amplification (p= 0.011). High HDAC1 expression was correlated with luminal A tumors (p= 0.001), while high HDAC6 expression was more common in lu­ minal B tumors (p= 0.023). Although the expression of HDACs did not exhibit prognostic significance in the entire cohort, high expression of HDAC1 and HDAC6 was associated with im­ proved overall survival (OS) in patients with ER­positive tumors (p= 0.017 and p= 0.029, respectively), and high expression of HDAC2 was correlated with improved OS in ER­negative tumors (p= 0.048) on univariate analysis. Furthermore, high HDAC6 ex­ pression was associated with improved disease­free survival (p= 0.048) on multivariate analysis. Conclusion: HDAC1 expression is significantly correlated with the molecular subtypes of tumors, with the highest expression being observed in luminal A tumors. HDAC6 is a significantly correlated with ER expression and the molecular subtype, thereby supporting the estrogen regulatory property of HDAC6. HDAC1 and HDAC6 expression are good prognostic factors for ER­positive tumors.

PURPOSE The purpose of this study was to correlate the quantitative analysis of cochlear signal intensity (SI) on 3-dimensional fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (3D-FLAIR) and contrast-enhanced (CE) 3D-FLAIR images with results of the pure tone audiometry (PTA) test in patients with Meniere's disease (MD). MATERIALS AND METHODS Over a 3-year period, 123 patients with MD underwent 3-Tesla (3 T) temporal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), including 3D-FLAIR and CE-FLAIR sequences. The SI of membranous labyrinth of the cochlea in both ears of each patient was measured by drawing a region of interest (ROI) with a seed growing technique. The correlation between measured cochlear SIs on 3D-FLAIR and CE-FLAIR images, contrast enhancement index (CEI), and contrast enhancement ratio (CER) and clinical findings and pre- and post-treatment PTA results were assessed. RESULTS Cochlear signal ratios of symptomatic ears on 3D-FLAIR and CE-FLAIR images were significantly higher than those of asymptomatic ears (P

Backgroud Malignant mesothelioma is a malignant tumour on the pleura or the peritoneum caused mostly by asbestos. Although asbestos is not currently used in Korea, the incidence of mesothelioma is increasing due to its long latent period. This study was the first to predict the future incidence of malignant mesothelioma in Korea over the next 20 years. Method Mesothelioma incidence data from 1995–2014 was acquired from the Korea Central Cancer Registry (KCCR). Demographic data was acquired from the Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) for 1995–2034. An APC model with Moller’s power-link function was utilised to estimate the future incidence of mesothelioma. Result It was predicted that 2684 and 1270 new cases of mesothelioma in men and women would occur over the next 20 years. For both sexes, the mesothelioma incidence rate was predicted to be greater in 2030–2034 (men, 0.622; women, 0.224) compared to that in 2010–2014 (men, 0.280; women, 0.152). The age-standardised incidence rate (ASR) was predicted to be slightly greater in 2030–2034 (men, 0.229; women, 0.109) relative to the rate in 2010–2014 (men, 0.216; women, 0.104) in both sex. The changes in mesothelioma incidence were mostly caused by changes in the population structure of Korea due to ageing and not by changes in the mesothelioma risk ratio. Conclusion The projected mesothelioma incidence continuously increases in Korea over the next 20 years. Although it was not related to an increase in the mesothelioma risk ratio, continuous preventive efforts are necessary.

Background Clinicians who perform radiation therapy (RT) are exposed to radiation, which may negatively affect their health. The present study reports a case of acute lymphoblastic leukemia in a healthcare provider who was exposed to radiation at work; we also present a literature review of this topic. Case presentation A 45-year-old patient, who had been a radiation oncologist and had been exposed to radiation while performing brachytherapy 10 years ago, complained of chest pain and was suspected of having leukemia based on the results of a blood test in an outpatient clinic. He was diagnosed with acute lymphoblastic leukemia, and subsequently underwent chemotherapy. However, the case died during treatment. Through epidemiological investigation, it was found that the case’s cumulative exposure dose based on personal exposure and spatial dose measured during the work period was in the range of 6.08–12.15 mSv. Conclusions Based on the following considerations, acute lymphoblastic leukemia was highly correlated with the level of radiation to which the case was exposed while performing brachytherapy on patients with cancer. Firstly, the latent period of acute lymphoblastic leukemia in the case closely matched the latency time reported in previous published studies (5–10 years). In addition, numerous studies have reported significantly higher relative risks of cancer among clinicians who perform RT compared with the general population. The case was also atypically exposed to radiation through his hands, despite wearing protective equipment. Lastly, the case’s coworkers were also found to have been exposed to high levels of radiation. Investigation into the influence of radiation exposure through atypical routes during RT on the health of clinicians is recommended.

Malignant mesothelioma is a malignant tumor on the pleura or the peritoneum caused mostly by asbestos. Although asbestos is not currently used in South Korea, the incidence of mesothelioma is increasing due to its long latent period. This study predicted the incidence of malignant mesothelioma in South Korea over the next 20 years using an age-period-cohort (APC) model. Data regarding mesothelioma incidence from 1994–2013 were acquired from the Korea Central Cancer Registry (KCCR). Demographic data, including prospective resident data, were acquired from the Korean Statistical Information Service (KOSIS) for 1994–2033. An APC model with Moller’s power-link function was utilized to predict the incidence of mesothelioma. It was predicted that 2,380 and 1,199 new cases of mesothelioma in men and women, respectively, would occur over the next 20 years. For both sexes, the mesothelioma incidence rate was predicted to be greater in 2029–2033 compared to that in 2009–2013 (men, 0.282 vs 0.563; women, 0.155 vs 0.217). For men, the age-standardized incidence rate was predicted to be slightly greater in 2029–2033 relative to the rate in 2009–2013 (0.228 vs 0.235), while the age-standardized incidence rate in women decreased within the same timeframe (0.113 vs 0.109). The changes in mesothelioma incidence were mostly caused by changes in the population structure due to aging and not by changes in the mesothelioma risk ratio. The results of this study project a continuous increase in mesothelioma incidence in South Korea over the next 20 years. Although the projected increase in mesothelioma incidence was not related to an increase in the mesothelioma risk ratio, continuous preventive efforts are necessary to reduce the exposure to asbestos and prevent the trend from worsening.