Scotton, WJ, Shand, C, Todd, E, Bocchetta, M, Cash, DM, VandeVrede, L, Heuer, H, Costantini, AA, Houlden, H, Kobylecki, C, Hu, MTM, Leigh, N, Boeve, BF, Dickerson, BC, Tartaglia, CM, Litvan, I, Grossman, M, Pantelyat, A, Huey, ED, Irwin, DJ, Fagan, A, Baker, SL, Toga, AW, Young, AL, Oxtoby, N, Alexander, DC, Rowe, JB, Morris, HR, Boxer, AL, Rohrer, JD, Wijeratne, PA, PROSPECT Consortium, and 4RTNI Consortium
Data availability: Source data are not publicly available but non-commercial academic researcher requests may be made to the chief investigators of the seven source studies, subject to data access agreements and conditions that preserve participant anonymity. The underlying SuStaIn model code is publicly available at https://github.com/ucl-pond/pySuStaIn.68 . Supplementary data: available online at: https://academic.oup.com/braincomms/article/5/2/fcad048/7067775#398676040 . Copyright © The Author(s) 2023. To better understand the pathological and phenotypic heterogeneity of progressive supranuclear palsy and the links between the two, we applied a novel unsupervised machine learning algorithm (Subtype and Stage Inference) to the largest MRI data set to date of people with clinically diagnosed progressive supranuclear palsy (including progressive supranuclear palsy–Richardson and variant progressive supranuclear palsy syndromes). Our cohort is comprised of 426 progressive supranuclear palsy cases, of which 367 had at least one follow-up scan, and 290 controls. Of the progressive supranuclear palsy cases, 357 were clinically diagnosed with progressive supranuclear palsy–Richardson, 52 with a progressive supranuclear palsy–cortical variant (progressive supranuclear palsy–frontal, progressive supranuclear palsy–speech/language, or progressive supranuclear palsy–corticobasal), and 17 with a progressive supranuclear palsy–subcortical variant (progressive supranuclear palsy–parkinsonism or progressive supranuclear palsy–progressive gait freezing). Subtype and Stage Inference was applied to volumetric MRI features extracted from baseline structural (T1-weighted) MRI scans and then used to subtype and stage follow-up scans. The subtypes and stages at follow-up were used to validate the longitudinal consistency of subtype and stage assignments. We further compared the clinical phenotypes of each subtype to gain insight into the relationship between progressive supranuclear palsy pathology, atrophy patterns, and clinical presentation. The data supported two subtypes, each with a distinct progression of atrophy: a ‘subcortical’ subtype, in which early atrophy was most prominent in the brainstem, ventral diencephalon, superior cerebellar peduncles, and the dentate nucleus, and a ‘cortical’ subtype, in which there was early atrophy in the frontal lobes and the insula alongside brainstem atrophy. There was a strong association between clinical diagnosis and the Subtype and Stage Inference subtype with 82% of progressive supranuclear palsy–subcortical cases and 81% of progressive supranuclear palsy–Richardson cases assigned to the subcortical subtype and 82% of progressive supranuclear palsy–cortical cases assigned to the cortical subtype. The increasing stage was associated with worsening clinical scores, whilst the ‘subcortical’ subtype was associated with worse clinical severity scores compared to the ‘cortical subtype’ (progressive supranuclear palsy rating scale and Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale). Validation experiments showed that subtype assignment was longitudinally stable (95% of scans were assigned to the same subtype at follow-up) and individual staging was longitudinally consistent with 90% remaining at the same stage or progressing to a later stage at follow-up. In summary, we applied Subtype and Stage Inference to structural MRI data and empirically identified two distinct subtypes of spatiotemporal atrophy in progressive supranuclear palsy. These image-based subtypes were differentially enriched for progressive supranuclear palsy clinical syndromes and showed different clinical characteristics. Being able to accurately subtype and stage progressive supranuclear palsy patients at baseline has important implications for screening patients on entry to clinical trials, as well as tracking disease progression. W.J.S. is supported by a Wellcome Trust Clinical PhD fellowship (220582/Z/20/Z). C.S. is supported by the UK Research and Innovation Medical Research Council (MR/S03546X/1). M.B. is supported by a fellowship award from the Alzheimer’s Society, UK (AS-JF-19a-004-517), and the UK Dementia Research Institute. D.M.C. is supported by the UK Dementia Research Institute, as well as Alzheimer’s Research UK (ARUK-PG2017-1946), and the University College London/University College London Hospitals, National Institute for Health and Care Research Biomedical Research Centre. H.H. is supported by the National Institutes of Health (R01AG038791, U19AG063911). A.L.Y. is supported by a Skills Development Fellowship from the Medical Research Council (MR/T027800/1). N.P.O. is a UK Research and Innovation Future Leaders Fellow (MR/S03546X/1). L.V.V. is supported by the National Institutes of Health (R01AG038791, K23AG073514) and the Alzheimer’s Association. D.C.A. is supported by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EP/M020533/1), Medical Research Council (MR/T046422/1), and Wellcome Trust (UNS113739). J.B.R. is supported by the Wellcome Trust (220258), National Institute for Health and Care Research Cambridge Biomedical Research Centre (BRC-1215-20014), PSP Association, Evelyn Trust, and Medical Research Council (SUAG051 R101400). H.R.M. is supported by Parkinson’s UK, Cure Parkinson’s Trust, PSP Association, CBD Solutions, Drake Foundation, Medical Research Council, and the Michael J Fox Foundation. A.L.B. is supported by the National Institutes of Health (U19AG063911, R01AG038791, R01AG073482, and U24AG057437), the Rainwater Charitable Foundation, the Bluefield Project to Cure FTD, and the Alzheimer’s Association and the Association for Frontotemporal Degeneration. J.D.R. is supported by the Miriam Marks Brain Research UK Senior Fellowship and has received funding from a Medical Research Council Clinician Scientist Fellowship (MR/M008525/1) and the National Institute for Health and Care Research Rare Disease Translational Research Collaboration (BRC149/NS/MH). P.A.W. is supported by a Medical Research Council Skills Development Fellowship (MR/T027770/1). The Dementia Research Centre is supported by Alzheimer’s Research UK, Alzheimer’s Society, Brain Research UK, and The Wolfson Foundation. This work was supported by the National Institute for Health and Care Research University College London Hospitals Biomedical Research Centre, the Leonard Wolfson Experimental Neurology Centre (LWENC) Clinical Research Facility, and the UK Dementia Research Institute, which receives its funding from UK DRI Ltd., funded by the UK Medical Research Council, Alzheimer’s Society, and Alzheimer’s Research UK. The PROSPECT study is funded by the PSP Association and CBD Solutions. The 4-Repeat Tauopathy Neuroimaging Initiative (4RTNI) and FTLDNI are funded by the National Institutes of Health Grant (R01 AG038791) and through generous contributions from the Tau Research Consortium. Both are coordinated through the University of California, San Francisco, Memory and Aging Center. 4RTNI data are disseminated by the Laboratory for Neuro Imaging at the University of Southern California.