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The present study aimed to explore the effect of carnitine supplementation on body weight in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and predict an appropriate dosage schedule using a machine-learning approach. Data were obtained from literature mining and the rates of body weight change from the initial values were selected as the therapeutic index. The maximal effect (Emax) model was built up as the machine-learning model. A total of 242 patients with PCOS were included for analysis. In the machine-learning model, the Emax of carnitine supplementation on body weight was −3.92%, the ET50 was 3.6 weeks, and the treatment times to realize 25%, 50%, 75%, and 80% (plateau) Emax of carnitine supplementation on body weight were 1.2, 3.6, 10.8, and 14.4 weeks, respectively. In addition, no significant relationship of dose-response was found in the dosage range of carnitine supplementation used in the present study, indicating the lower limit of carnitine supplementation dosage, 250 mg/day, could be used as a suitable dosage. The present study first explored the effect of carnitine supplementation on body weight in patients with PCOS, and in order to realize the optimal therapeutic effect, carnitine supplementation needs 250 mg/day for at least 14.4 weeks.

Aims. The present study is aimed at exploring the effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors on weight in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and therapeutic regimen recommendations. Methods. 20,019 patients with T2DM were enrolled. The maximal effect (Emax) models, whose evaluation index was change rate of body weight from baseline value, were used to analyze data using nonlinear mixed effect modeling (NONMEM). Results. For SGLT-2 inhibitors, canagliflozin, empagliflozin, ertugliflozin, ipragliflozin, luseogliflozin and tofogliflozin, the Emax, and treatment duration to reach half of the maximal effects (ET50) were -3.72% and 3.35 weeks, -5.59% and 16.8 weeks, -2.84% and 3.42 weeks, -3.43% and 3.09 weeks, -3.04% and 4.38 weeks, and -2.45% and 3.16 weeks, respectively. In addition, for T2DM patients, 100 mg/day canagliflozin needs to be taken 13.4 weeks for the plateau of effect on weight; 10 mg/day empagliflozin needs to be taken 67.2 weeks for the plateau of effect on weight; 5 mg/day ertugliflozin needs to be taken 13.68 weeks for the plateau of effect on weight; 50 mg/day ipragliflozin needs to be taken 12.36 weeks for the plateau of effect on weight; 2.5 mg/day luseogliflozin needs to be taken 17.52 weeks for the plateau of effect on weight; 20 mg/day tofogliflozin needs to be taken 12.64 weeks for the plateau of effect on weight. Conclusions. This was the first study to explore effects of SGLT-2 inhibitors on weight in T2DM; meanwhile, the optimum dosages and treatment durations on weight from canagliflozin, empagliflozin, ertugliflozin, ipragliflozin, luseogliflozin, and tofogliflozin were recommended, respectively.

The purpose of this study was to analyze the time course and dose effect from metformin on body mass index (BMI) in children and adolescents by model-based meta-analysis (MBMA). Searching randomized controlled trial (RCT) studies of metformin on BMI in children and adolescents. The change rates of BMI from baseline values were used as indicator of evaluating metformin efficacy. A total of 18 RCT studies, 1,228 children and adolescents, were included for analysis, including patients with obesity, patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver, and patients with precocity. In order to achieve better effect of metformin on BMI in children and adolescents, the present study recommended that for patients with obesity, 1,000 mg/day metformin was required for at least 15.2 weeks and 60.8 weeks to achieve the plateau of metformin effect; for patients with type 1 diabetes mellitus, 1,000 mg/day metformin was required for at least 25.2 weeks and 100.8 weeks to achieve the plateau of metformin effect; for patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver, 1,000 mg/day metformin was required for at least 6.57 weeks and 26.28 weeks to achieve the plateau of metformin effect; for patients with precocity, 425 mg/day metformin was required for at least 12.4 weeks and 49.6 weeks to achieve the plateau of metformin effect. It was the first time to analyze the time course and dose effect from metformin on BMI and to recommend dosage and duration of treatment for metformin in children and adolescents with different disease types.