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We extend the work on optimal investment and consumption of a population considered in [2] to a general stochastic setting over a finite time horizon. We incorporate the Cobb-Douglas production function in the capital dynamics while the consumption utility function and the drift rate in the population dynamics can be general, in contrast with [2, 30, 31]. The dynamic programming formulation yields an unconventional nonlinear Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation, in which the Cobb-Douglas production function as the coefficient of the gradient of the value function induces the mismatching of power rates between capital and population. Moreover, the equation has a very singular term, essentially a very negative power of the partial derivative of the value function with respect to the capital, coming from the optimization of control, and their resolution turns out to be a complex problem not amenable to classical analysis. To show that this singular term, which has not been studied in any physical systems yet, does not actually blow up, we establish new pointwise generalized power laws for the partial derivative of the value function. Our contribution lies in providing a theoretical treatment that combines both the probabilistic approach and theory of partial differential equations to derive the pointwise upper and lower bounds as well as energy estimates in weighted Sobolev spaces. By then, we accomplish showing the well-posedness of classical solutions to a non-canonical parabolic equation arising from a long-lasting problem in macroeconomics., Comment: 60 pages

We prove the global-in-time well-posedness for a broad class of mean field game problems, which is beyond the special linear-quadratic setting, as long as the mean field sensitivity is not too large. Through the stochastic maximum principle, we adopt the FBSDE approach to investigate the unique existence of the corresponding equilibrium strategies. The corresponding FBSDEs are first solved locally in time, then by controlling the sensitivity of the backward solutions with respect to the initial condition via some suitable apriori estimates for the corresponding Jacobian flows, the global-in-time solution is warranted. Further analysis on these Jacobian flows will be discussed to establish the regularities, such as linear functional differentiability, of the respective value functions that leads to the ultimate classical well-posedness of the master equation on $\mathbb{R}^d$. To the best of our knowledge, it is the first article to deal with the mean field game problem, as well as its associated master equation, with general cost functionals having quadratic growth under the small mean field effect. In this current approach, we directly impose the structural conditions on the cost functionals, rather than conditions on the Hamiltonian. The advantages of this are threefold: (i) compared with imposing conditions on Hamiltonian, the structural conditions imposed in this work are easily verified, and less demanding on the regularity requirements of the cost functionals while solving the master equation; (ii) the displacement monotonicity is basically just a direct consequence of small mean field effect in the structural conditions; and (iii) when the mean field effect is not that small, we can still provide an accurate lifespan for the local existence. The method in this work can be readily extended to the case with nonlinear drift and non-separable cost functionals.

This article studies linear-quadratic Stackelberg games between two dominating players (or equivalently, leaders) and a large group of followers, each of whom interacts under a mean field game (MFG) framework. Unlike the conventional major-minor player game, the mean field term herein is endogenously affected by the two leaders simultaneously. These homogeneous followers are non-cooperative, whereas the two leaders can either compete or cooperate with each other, which are respectively formulated as a Nash and a Pareto game. The complete solutions of the leader-follower game can be expressed in terms of the solutions of some non-symmetric Riccati equations. Notably, our analysis suggests that both modes of interactions between leaders has their own merits and neither of them is always more favourable to the community of followers. In our knowledge, a comparative study of the effect of different modes of governance on the society is relatively rare in the existing literature, we here provide its first preliminary quantitative analysis; under a broad class of practically relevant models, we provide sufficient conditions to decide whether cooperation or competition between leaders is more favourable to the followers. Being in common with modern folklore, the relative merits of the two Stackelberg games depend on whether the interests between the two leaders and the followers align among themselves. Representative numerical examples are also supplemented.

We study the well-posedness of a system of forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) corresponding to a degenerate mean field type control problem, when the diffusion coefficient depends on the state together with its measure and also the control. Degenerate mean field type control problems are rarely studied in the literature. Our method is based on a lifting approach which embeds the control problem and the associated FBSDEs in Wasserstein spaces into certain Hilbert spaces. We use a continuation method to establish the solvability of the FBSDEs and that of the G\^ateaux derivatives of this FBSDEs. We then explore the regularity of the value function in time and in measure argument, and we also show that it is the unique classical solution of the associated Bellman equation. We also study the higher regularity of the linear functional derivative of the value function, by then, we obtain the classical solution of the mean field type master equation.

This article presents the variant of the approach introduced in the recent work of Bensoussan, Wong, Yam and Yuan [13] to the generic first-order mean field game problem. A major contribution here is the provision of new crucial a priori estimates, whose establishment is fundamentally different from the mentioned work since the associated forward-backward ordinary differential equation (FBODE) system is notably different. In addition, we require monotonicity conditions intimately on the coefficient functions but not on the Hamiltonians to handle their non-separable nature and nonlinear dynamics; as tackling Hamiltonians directly, it potentially dissolves much useful information. Compared with the assumptions used in [13], we introduce an additional requirement that the first-order derivative of the drift function in the measure variable cannot be too large relative to the convexity of the running cost function; this requirement only arises when the Hamiltonian is non-separable, and this phenomenon can also be seen in the existing literature. On the other hand, we require less here for the second-order differentiability of the coefficient functions in comparison to that in [13]. Our approach involves first demonstrating the local existence of a solution over small time interval, followed by the provision of new crucial a priori estimates for the sensitivity of the backward equation with respect to the initial condition of forward dynamics; and finally, smoothly gluing the local solutions together to form a global solution. In addition, we establish the local and global existence and uniqueness of classical solutions for the mean field game and its master equation., Comment: Both this work and arXiv:2305.11848 apply a similar approach to investigate the global-in-time well-posedness of two significant problems in mean field theory, namely mean field games in this work, and the mean field type control problems in arXiv:2305.11848

We provide a thorough study of a general class of linear-quadratic extended mean field games and control problems in any dimensions where the mean field terms are allowed to be unbounded and there are also presence of cross terms in the objective functionals. Our investigation focuses on the unique existence of equilibrium strategies for the extended mean field problems by employing the stochastic maximum principle approach and the appropriate fixed point argument. We provide two distinct proofs, accompanied by two sufficient conditions, that establish the unique existence of the equilibrium strategy over a global time horizon. Both conditions emphasize the importance of sufficiently small coefficients of sensitivity for the cross term, of state and control, and mean field term. To determine the required magnitude of these coefficients, we utilize the singular values of appropriate matrices and Weyl's inequalities. The present proposed theory is consistent with the classical one, namely, our theoretical framework encompasses classical linear-quadratic stochastic control problems as particular cases. Additionally, we establish sufficient conditions for the unique existence of solutions to a particular class of non-symmetric Riccati equations, and we illustrate a counterexample to the existence of equilibrium strategies. Furthermore, we also apply the stochastic maximum principle approach to examine linear-quadratic extended mean field type stochastic control problems. Finally, we conduct a comparative analysis between our method and the alternative master equation approach, specifically addressing the efficacy of the present proposed approach in solving common practical problems, for which the explicit forms of the equilibrium strategies can be obtained directly, even over any global time horizon.

In this paper, we study the maximum principle of mean field type control problems when the volatility function depends on the state and its measure and also the control, by using our recently developed method. Our method is to embed the mean field type control problem into a Hilbert space to bypass the evolution in the Wasserstein space. We here give a necessary condition and a sufficient condition for these control problems in Hilbert spaces, and we also derive a system of forward-backward stochastic differential equations.

In this article, by using several new crucial {\it a priori} estimates which are still absent in the literature, we provide a comprehensive resolution of the first order generic mean field type control problems and also establish the global-in-time classical solutions of their Bellman and master equations. Rather than developing the analytical approach via tackling the Bellman and master equation directly, we apply the maximum principle approach by considering the induced forward-backward ordinary differential equation (FBODE) system; indeed, we first show the local-in-time unique existence of the solution of the FBODE system for a variety of terminal data by Banach fixed point argument, and then provide crucial a priori estimates of bounding the sensitivity of the terminal data for the backward equation by utilizing a monotonicity condition that can be deduced from the positive definiteness of the Schur complement of the Hessian matrix of the Lagrangian in the lifted version and manipulating first order condition appropriately; this uniform bound over the whole planning horizon $[0,T]$ allows us to partition $[0,T]$ into a number of sub-intervals with a common small length and then glue the consecutive local-in-time solutions together to form the unique global-in-time solution of the FBODE system. The regularity of the global-in-time solution follows from that of the local ones due to the regularity assumptions on the coefficient functions. Moreover, the regularity of the value function will also be shown with the aid of the regularity of the solution couple of the FBODE system and the regularity assumptions on the coefficient functions, with which we can further deduce that this value function and its linear functional derivative satisfy the Bellman and master equations, respectively., Comment: This new version corrected some typos with further clarifications after comments received

In this article, we provide an original systematic global-in-time analysis of mean field type control problems on $\mathbb{R}^n$ with generic cost functionals by the modified approach but not the same, firstly proposed in [7], as the ``lifting'' idea introduced by P. L. Lions. As an alternative to the recent popular analytical method by tackling the master equation, we resolve the control problem in a certain proper Hilbert subspace of the whole space of $L^2$ random variables, it can be regarded as tangent space attached at the initial probability measure. The present work also fills the gap of the global-in-time solvability and extends the previous works of [7,11] which only dealt with quadratic cost functionals in control; the problem is linked to the global solvability of the Hilbert-space-valued forward-backward stochastic differential equation (FBSDE), which is solved by variational techniques here. We also rely on the Jacobian flow of the solution to this FBSDE to establish the regularities of the value function, including its linearly functional differentiability, which leads to the classical well-posedness of the Bellman equation. Together with the linear functional derivatives and the gradient of the linear functional derivatives of the solution to the FBSDE, we also obtain the classical well-posedness of the master equation.

In this article, we propose a new class of consistent tests for $p$-variate normality. These tests are based on the characterization of the standard multivariate normal distribution, that the Hessian of the corresponding cumulant generating function is identical to the $p\times p$ identity matrix and the idea of decomposing the information from the joint distribution into the dependence copula and all marginal distributions. Under the null hypothesis of multivariate normality, our proposed test statistic is independent of the unknown mean vector and covariance matrix so that the distribution-free critical value of the test can be obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. We also derive the asymptotic null distribution of proposed test statistic and establish the consistency of the test against different fixed alternatives. Last but not least, a comprehensive and extensive Monte Carlo study also illustrates that our test is a superb yet computationally convenient competitor to many well-known existing test statistics.

We provide a comprehensive study of a nonparametric likelihood ratio test on whether a random sample follows a distribution in a prespecified class of shape-constrained densities. While the conventional definition of likelihood ratio is not well-defined for general nonparametric problems, we consider a working sub-class of alternative densities that leads to test statistics with desirable properties. Under the null, a scaled and centered version of the test statistic is asymptotic normal and distribution-free, which comes from the fact that the asymptotic dominant term under the null depends only on a function of spacings of transformed outcomes that are uniform distributed. The nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) under the hypothesis class appears only in an average log-density ratio which often converges to zero at a faster rate than the asymptotic normal term under the null, while diverges in general test so that the test is consistent. The main technicality is to show these results for log-density ratio which requires a case-by-case analysis, including new results for k-monotone densities with unbounded support and completely monotone densities that are of independent interest. A bootstrap method by simulating from the NPMLE is shown to have the same limiting distribution as the test statistic.

We extend the work \cite{bensoussan2019control} by two of the coauthors, which dealt with a deterministic control problem for which the Hilbert space could be generic and investigated a novel form of the `lifting' technique proposed by P. L. Lions. In \cite{bensoussan2019control}, we only showed the local existence and uniqueness of solutions to the FBODEs in the Hilbert space which were associated to the control problems with drift function consisting of the control only. In this article, we establish the global existence and uniqueness of the solutions to the FBODEs in Hilbert space corresponding to control problems with separable drift function which is nonlinear in state and linear in control. We shall also prove the sufficiency of the Pontryagin Maximum Principle and derive the corresponding Bellman equation. Besides, we shall show an analogue in the stationary case. Finally, by using the `lifting' idea as in \cite{stochasticv2,stochasticv1}, we shall apply the result to solve the linear quadratic mean field type control problems, and to show the global existence of the corresponding Bellman equations., Comment: Invited book chapter in Stochastic Analysis, Filtering, and Stochastic Optimization: A Commemorative Volume to Honor Mark H. A. Davies' Contributions

Optimal control problem is typically solved by first finding the value function through Hamilton-Jacobi equation (HJE) and then taking the minimizer of the Hamiltonian to obtain the control. In this work, instead of focusing on the value function, we propose a new formulation for the gradient of the value function (value-gradient) as a decoupled system of partial differential equations in the context of continuous-time deterministic discounted optimal control problem. We develop an efficient iterative scheme for this system of equations in parallel by utilizing the properties that they share the same characteristic curves as the HJE for the value function. For the theoretical part, we prove that this iterative scheme converges linearly in $L_\alpha^2$ sense for some suitable exponent $\alpha$ in a weight function. For the numerical method, we combine characteristic line method with machine learning techniques. Specifically, we generate multiple characteristic curves at each policy iteration from an ensemble of initial states, and compute both the value function and its gradient simultaneously on each curve as the labelled data. Then supervised machine learning is applied to minimize the weighted squared loss for both the value function and its gradients. Experimental results demonstrate that this new method not only significantly increases the accuracy but also improves the efficiency and robustness of the numerical estimates, particularly with less amount of characteristics data or fewer training steps.

We survey in this article the connections between Machine Learning and Control Theory. Control Theory provide useful concepts and tools for Machine Learning. Conversely Machine Learning can be used to solve large control problems. In the first part of the paper, we develop the connections between reinforcement learning and Markov Decision Processes, which are discrete time control problems. In the second part, we review the concept of supervised learning and the relation with static optimization. Deep learning which extends supervised learning, can be viewed as a control problem. In the third part, we present the links between stochastic gradient descent and mean-field theory. Conversely, in the fourth and fifth parts, we review machine learning approaches to stochastic control problems, and focus on the deterministic case, to explain, more easily, the numerical algorithms.

We propose a new approach to studying classical solutions of the Bellman equation and Master equation for mean field type control problems, using a novel form of the "lifting" idea introduced by P.-L. Lions. Rather than studying the usual system of Hamilton-Jacobi/Fokker-Planck PDEs using analytic techniques, we instead study a stochastic control problem on a specially constructed Hilbert space, which is reminiscent of a tangent space on the Wasserstein space in optimal transport. On this Hilbert space we can use classical control theory techniques, despite the fact that it is infinite dimensional. A consequence of our construction is that the mean field type control problem appears as a special case. Thus we preserve the advantages of the lifiting procedure, while removing some of the difficulties. Our approach extends previous work by two of the coauthors, which dealt with a deterministic control problem for which the Hilbert space could be generic.

The classical stochastic control problem under partial information can be formulated as a control problem for Zakai equation, whose solution is the unnormalized conditional probability distribution of the state of the system. Zakai equation is a stochastic Fokker-Planck equation. Therefore, the problem to be solved is similar to that met in Mean Field Control theory. Since Mean Field Control theory is much posterior to the development of Stochastic Control with partial information, the tools, techniques, and concepts obtained in the last decade, for Mean Field Games and Mean field type Control theory, have not been used for the control of Zakai equation. Our objective is to connect the two theories. We get the power of new tools, and we get new insights for the problem of stochastic control with partial information. For mean field theory, we get new interesting applications, but also new problems. Indeed, Mean Field Control Theory leads to very complex equations, like the Master equation, which is a nonlinear infinite dimensional P.D.E., for which general theorems are hardly available, although active research in this direction is performed. Direct methods are useful to obtain regularity results. We will develop in detail the LQ regulator problem, but since we cannot just consider the Gaussian case, well-known results, such as the separation principle is not available. An important result is available in the literature, due to A. Makowsky. It describes the solution of Zakai equation for linear systems with general initial condition (non-gaussian). We show that the separation principle can be extended for quadratic pay-off functionals, but the Kalman filter is much more complex than in the gaussian case. Finally we compare our work to the work of E. Bandini et al. and we show that the example E. Bandini et al. provided does not cover ours. Our system remains nonlinear in their setting., Comment: 29 pages

In the presence of a missing response, reweighting the complete case subsample by the inverse of nonmissing probability is both intuitive and easy to implement. When the population totals of some auxiliary variables are known and when the inclusion probabilities are known by design, survey statisticians have developed calibration methods for improving efficiencies of the inverse probability weighting estimators and the methods can be applied to missing data analysis. Model-based calibration has been proposed in the survey sampling literature, where multidimensional auxiliary variables are first summarized into a predictor function from a working regression model. Usually, one working model is being proposed for each parameter of interest and results in different sets of calibration weights for estimating different parameters. This paper considers calibration using multiple working regression models for estimating a single or multiple parameters. Contrary to a common belief that overfitting hurts efficiency, we present three rather unexpected results. First, when the missing probability is correctly specified and multiple working regression models for the conditional mean are posited, calibration enjoys an oracle property: the same semiparametric efficiency bound is attained as if the true outcome model is known in advance. Second, when the missing data mechanism is misspecified, calibration can still be a consistent estimator when any one of the outcome regression models is correctly specified. Third, a common set of calibration weights can be used to improve efficiency in estimating multiple parameters of interest and can simultaneously attain semiparametric efficiency bounds for all parameters of interest. We provide connections of a wide class of calibration estimators, constructed based on generalized empirical likelihood, to many existing estimators in biostatistics, econometrics and survey sampling and perform simulation studies to show that the finite sample properties of calibration estimators conform well with the theoretical results being studied., Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/13-STS461 the Statistical Science (http://www.imstat.org/sts/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)