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The pressure-time relation in the shock flow field of a near-earth air blast is complex. The triple point (TP) path is the physical boundary between the free and non-free shock flow fields. Accurately predicting the TP path is the basis for studying the evolution law of the reflection flow field and the guarantee of effectively assessing the damage power of the warhead. Based on the assumption that the Mach stem center is on the projection point of the blast center on the ground, the TP path calculation method was constructed by the geometric relationship. The unknown coefficients were solved using the existing TP data and the least square method. The TP prediction model proposed was compared with the existing ones on the calibration, new numerical simulation TP, and the measured real blast datasets. The error of the new numerical simulation TP data is within ±15% of the real value. The results show that the TP path prediction model proposed performs better. Most of its prediction results are within ±20% of three datasets compared to other models for the working conditions with the scaled height of burst from 0.397 to 2.777 m/kg1/3 and the horizontal scaled distance within 10 m/kg1/3 in the conventional cylindrical TNT explosion with the length-diameter of 1 in the air. The reliability of the prediction model is verified. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Competing Interests: The authors of this article and the planning committee members and staff have no relevant financial relationships with commercial interests to disclose.