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Background: brain imaging done as part of standard care may have clinical utility beyond its immediate indication. Using delirium as an exemplar, we determined the predictive value of baseline brain imaging variables [white matter changes (WMC) and atrophy] for delirium risk on long-term follow-up after transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke in a population-based cohort study., Methods: surviving TIA/stroke participants in the Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC) were assessed prospectively for delirium during all hospitalisations over 6 months (2013-14). Using logistic regression, independent associations were determined between baseline OXVASC computed tomography or magnetic resonance brain imaging measures of WMC and cerebral atrophy (none/mild versus moderate/severe) and delirium adjusted for age, sex, baseline stroke severity, depression, illness severity and pre-admission cognition., Results: among 1,565 TIA/stroke survivors with 194 hospital admissions (158 patients, mean/standard deviation age at admission = 79.2/11.5 years), delirium occurred in 59 (37%). WMC and atrophy on baseline imaging were associated with delirium [odds ratio (OR) = 3.41, 1.21-5.85, P = 0.001 and OR = 2.50, 1.23-5.08, P = 0.01 (unadjusted) and OR = 2.67, 1.21-5.85, P = 0.02 and OR = 2.18, 1.00-4.73, P = 0.05 (adjusted age and sex)]. Associations were strengthened when analyses were restricted to patients hospitalised within 5 years of baseline brain imaging [OR = 6.04, 2.39-15.24, P < 0.0001 and OR = 4.64, 1.46-14.82, P = 0.009 (unadjusted)] but only WMC remained significant after adjustment for all covariates including pre-admission cognition (OR = 4.83, 1.29-18.13, P = 0.02 for Mini-Mental State Examination and OR = 5.15, 1.26-21.09, P = 0.02 for Montreal Cognitive Assessment)., Conclusions: WMC and atrophy on brain imaging done up to 5 years earlier predicted delirium and may have clinical utility in risk stratification. Associations with WMC but not atrophy were independent of pre-admission cognitive impairment., (© The Author(s) 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the British Geriatrics Society.)

Introduction: TIA and stroke cause cognitive impairment with a typical "vascular" pattern, including prominent frontal/executive deficits. Cognitive impairment is associated with increased delirium risk and the few available data suggest that executive dysfunction is important. We therefore determined the predictive value of both severity and pattern of cognitive deficits for delirium on long-term follow-up after TIA/stroke., Methods: Surviving TIA/stroke participants on October 1, 2013, in the Oxford Vascular Study (OXVASC) were assessed prospectively for delirium during all hospitalizations over the subsequent 6 months. Associations between OXVASC pre-admission mini-mental state examination (MMSE) and Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) scores, and delirium during hospitalizations on follow-up were determined using logistic regression adjusted for covariates, including demographic factors, history of depression, baseline stroke severity, and admission illness severity., Results: Among 1,565 TIA/stroke survivors, 158 patients (mean/SD age = 79.2/11.5 years) had ≥1 admission and 59 (37%) had ≥1 delirium episode. Mean/SD time between baseline TIA/stroke and admission was 4.7/3.6 years and between most recent OXVASC cognitive testing and admission was 1.7/1.8 years. MMSE and MoCA scores were associated with delirium: odds ratio (OR) = 1.16 (95% CI 1.07-1.27, p < 0.0001 per point decrease in MMSE) and OR = 1.20 (1.11-1.30, p < 0.0001 MoCA) and associations were robust to adjustment for all covariates, including stroke severity: OR = 1.11 (1.01-1.22, p = 0.03, MMSE) and OR = 1.15 (1.05-1.25, p = 0.003, MoCA). All 10 subtests on the MoCA and 4/11 on the MMSE were significantly associated with delirium with highest predictive value for frontal/executive and recall domains., Conclusions: Cognitive impairment of increasing severity after TIA/stroke predisposed to delirium particularly deficits in frontal/executive domains and recall. Long-term risk of delirium should be considered as part of the overall cerebrovascular disease burden., (© 2021 The Author(s). Published by S. Karger AG, Basel.)