1. Predicting interplanetary shock arrivals at Earth, Mars, and Venus: A real-time modeling experiment following the solar flares of 5-14 December 2006
- Author
-
Karel Kudela, Wei Sun, Zdenka Smith, J. Balaz, Masatoshi Yamauchi, W. R. Courtney, Yoshifumi Futaana, Charles Deehr, Karoly Kecskemety, Rickard Lundin, Murray Dryer, S. Barabash, Devrie S. Intriligator, S. M. P. McKenna-Lawlor, and Craig D. Fry
- Subjects
Physics ,Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,biology ,Solar flare ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Solar cycle 23 ,Forestry ,Venus ,Mars Exploration Program ,Geophysics ,Aquatic Science ,Space weather ,Oceanography ,biology.organism_classification ,Solar wind ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Interplanetary magnetic field ,Interplanetary spaceflight ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] A 3-D, kinematic, solar wind model (Hakamada-Akasofu-Fry version 2 (HAFv.2)) is used to predict interplanetary shock arrivals at Venus, Earth, and Mars during a sequence of significant solar events that occurred in the interval 5–14 December 2006. Mars and Venus were on the opposite side of the Sun from Earth during this period. The shocks from the first two east limb events (5 and 6 December) were predicted to interact to form a single disturbance before reaching Earth and Venus. A single shock was indeed recorded at Earth only about 3 h earlier than had been predicted. The composite shock was predicted by HAFv.2 to arrive at Venus on 8 December at ∼0500 UT. Solar energetic particles (SEPs) were detected in Venus Express Analyzer of Space Plasmas and Energetic Atoms-4 data for some 3 d (from
- Published
- 2008
- Full Text
- View/download PDF