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Objective:Birth weight, fetal growth and placental function influence cognitive development. The gradient of these associations is understudied, especially among those with a birth weight considered appropriate-for-gestational age. The aim of this study was to evaluate the associations between birth-weight centile and intellectual development in term/near-term infants across the entire birth-weight spectrum, in order to provide a basis for better understanding of the long-term implications of fetal growth restriction and reduced placental function.Methods:This was a population-based cohort study of 266 440 liveborn singletons from uncomplicated pregnancies, delivered between 36 and 42 weeks of gestation. Perinatal data were obtained from the Dutch Perinatal Registry over the period 2003–2008 and educational data for children aged approximately 12 years were obtained from Statistics Netherlands over the period 2016–2019. Regression analyses were conducted to assess the association of birth-weight centile with school performance. The primary outcomes were mean school performance score, on a scale of 501–550, and proportion of children who reached higher secondary school level.Results:Mean school performance score increased gradually with increasing birth-weight centile, from 533.6 in the 1st–5th birth-weight-centile group to 536.8 in the 81st–85th birth-weight-centile group. Likewise, the proportion of children at higher secondary school level increased with birth-weight centile, from 43% to 57%. Compared with the 81st–85th birth-weight-centile group, mean school performance score and proportion of children at higher secondary school level were significantly lower in all birth-weight-centile groups below the 80th centile, after adjusting for confounding factors.Conclusions:Birth-weight centile is associated positively with school performance at 12 years of age across the entire birth-weight spectrum, well beyond the conventional and arbitrary cut-offs for suspected fetal growth restriction. This underlines the importance of developing better tools to diagnose fetal growth restriction and reduced placental function, and to identify those at risk for associated short- and long-term consequences. © 2023 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

INTRODUCTION: Heavy menstrual bleeding (HMB) affects a quarter of all women, with half having no structural cause. Dutch guidelines recommend a stepped care approach to the management of such idiopathic HMB, starting with medication or a levonorgestrel-releasing intrauterine device (LNG-IUD), before progressing to endometrial ablation, and ultimately, hysterectomy. However, practice variation between hospitals could lead to suboptimal health outcomes and increased healthcare costs for some women.OBJECTIVES: To evaluate adherence to stepped care for women with idiopathic HMB and to identify practice variation among Dutch hospitals.STUDY DESIGN: This population-based cross-sectional study used Dutch insurance claims data from primary and secondary care for all women with idiopathic HMB referred to a gynecologist between January 2019 and December 2020. We calculated the average number of treatments in the 3 years before each treatment step at each hospital, making adjustments for age, socioeconomic status, and ethnicity. Variation in medical practice was measured by the coefficient of variation (CV).RESULTS: We studied 20,715 women treated with LNG-IUDs (56%), endometrial ablation (36%), laparoscopic hysterectomy (13%), or vaginal hysterectomy (4%) in 93 hospitals. Before endometrial ablation, on average 47% used medication (hospital range 27%-71%; CV 0.17) and 16% used an LNG-IUD (hospital range 8%-29%, CV 0.32). Before hysterectomy, 52% (hospital range 28%-65%, CV 0.16) used medication, 21% (hospital range 6%-38%, CV 0.35) used an LNG-IUD, and 23% underwent endometrial ablation (hospital range 0%-59%, CV 0.55). On average, women underwent 0.63 (hospital range 0.36-1.00, adjusted rate 0.40-0.98, CV 0.17) and 0.96 (hospital range 0.56-1.45, adjusted rate 0.56-1.44, CV 0.18) treatments before endometrial ablation and hysterectomy, respectively.CONCLUSIONS: Considerable practice variation exists among Dutch hospitals in the stepped care approach to idiopathic HMB. Improving adherence to this approach could improve quality of care and reduce costs.

STUDY QUESTIONWhat are the long-term outcomes after allocation to use of gonadotrophins versus clomiphene citrate (CC) with or without IUI in women with normogonadotropic anovulation and clomiphene failure?SUMMARY ANSWERAbout four in five women with normogonadotropic anovulation and CC failure had a live birth, with no evidence of a difference in pregnancy outcomes between the allocated groups.WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADYCC has long been used as first line treatment for ovulation induction in women with normogonadotropic anovulation. Between 2009 and 2015, a two-by-two factorial multicentre randomized clinical trial in 666 women with normogonadotropic anovulation and six cycles of CC failure was performed (M-ovin trial). This study compared a switch to gonadotrophins with continued treatment with CC for another six cycles, with or without IUI within 8 months. Switching to gonadotrophins increased the chance of conception leading to live birth by 11% over continued treatment with CC after six failed ovulatory cycles, at a cost of €15 258 per additional live birth. The addition of IUI did not significantly increase live birth rates.STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATIONIn order to investigate the long-term outcomes of switching to gonadotrophins versus continuing treatment with CC, and undergoing IUI versus continuing with intercourse, we conducted a follow-up study. The study population comprised all women who participated in the M-ovin trial.PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODSThe participating women were asked to complete a web-based questionnaire. The primary outcome of this study was cumulative live birth. Secondary outcomes included clinical pregnancies, multiple pregnancies, miscarriage, stillbirth, ectopic pregnancy, fertility treatments, neonatal outcomes and pregnancy complications.MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCEWe approached 564 women (85%), of whom 374 (66%) responded (184 allocated to gonadotrophins; 190 to CC). After a median follow-up time of 8 years, 154 women in the gonadotrophin group had a live birth (83.7%) versus 150 women in the CC group (78.9%) (relative risk (RR) 1.06, 95% CI 0.96–1.17). A second live birth occurred in 85 of 184 women (49.0%) in the gonadotrophin group and in 85 of 190 women (44.7%) in the CC group (RR 1.03, 95% CI 0.83–1.29). Women allocated to gonadotrophins had a third live birth in 6 of 184 women (3.3%) and women allocated to CC had a third live birth in 14 of 190 women (7.4%). There were respectively 12 and 11 twins in the gonadotrophin and CC groups. The use of fertility treatments in the follow-up period was comparable between both groups. In the IUI group, a first live birth occurred in 158 of 192 women (82.3%) and while in the intercourse group, 146 of 182 women (80.2%) reached at least one live birth (RR: 1.03 95% CI 0.93–1.13; 2.13%, 95% CI −5.95, 10.21).LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTIONWe have complete follow-up results for 57% of the women.There were 185 women who did not respond to the questionnaire, while 102 women had not been approached due to missing contact details. Five women had not started the original trial.WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGSWomen with normogonadotropic anovulation and CC failure have a high chance of reaching at least one live birth. In terms of pregnancy rates, the long-term differences between initially switching to gonadotrophins are small compared to continuing treatment with CC.STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)The original study received funding from the Dutch Organization for Health Research and Development (ZonMw number: 80-82310-97-12067). A.H. reports consultancy for development and implementation of a lifestyle App, MyFertiCoach, developed by Ferring Pharmaceutical Company. M.G. receives unrestricted grants for scientific research and education from Ferring, Merck and Guerbet. B.W.M. is supported by an NHMRC Investigatorgrant (GNT1176437). B.W.M. reports consultancy for ObsEva and Merck and travel support from Merck. All other authors have nothing to declare.TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERThis follow-up study was registered in the OSF Register, https://osf.io/pf24m. The original M-ovin trial was registered in the Netherlands Trial Register, number NTR1449.

BACKGROUND: Tubal ectopic pregnancies can cause substantial morbidity or even death. Current treatment is with methotrexate or surgery. Methotrexate treatment fails in approximately 30% of women who subsequently require rescue surgery. Gefitinib, an epidermal growth factor receptor inhibitor, might improve the effects of methotrexate. We assessed the efficacy of oral gefitinib with methotrexate, versus methotrexate alone, to treat tubal ectopic pregnancy. METHODS: We performed a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial across 50 UK hospitals. Participants diagnosed with tubal ectopic pregnancy were administered a single dose of intramuscular methotrexate (50 mg/m2) and randomised (1:1 ratio) to 7 days of additional oral gefitinib (250 mg daily) or placebo. The primary outcome, analysed by intention to treat, was surgical intervention to resolve the ectopic pregnancy. Secondary outcomes included time to resolution of ectopic pregnancy and serious adverse events. This trial is registered at the ISRCTN registry, ISCRTN 67795930. FINDINGS: Between Nov 2, 2016, and Oct 6, 2021, 328 participants were allocated to methotrexate and gefitinib (n=165) or methotrexate and placebo (n=163). Three participants in the placebo group withdrew. Surgical intervention occurred in 50 (30%) of 165 participants in the gefitinib group and in 47 (29%) of 160 participants in the placebo group (adjusted risk ratio 1·15, 95% CI 0·85 to 1·58; adjusted risk difference -0·01, 95% CI -0·10 to 0·09; p=0·37). Without surgical intervention, median time to resolution was 28·0 days in the gefitinib group and 28·0 days in the placebo group (subdistribution hazard ratio 1·03, 95% CI 0·75 to 1·40). Serious adverse events occurred in five (3%) of 165 participants in the gefitinib group and in six (4%) of 162 participants in the placebo group. Diarrhoea and rash were more common in the gefitinib group. INTERPRETATION: In women with a tubal ectopic pregnancy, adding oral gefitinib to parenteral methotrexate does not offer clinical benefit over methotrexate and increases minor adverse reactions. FUNDING: National Institute of Health Research.

BACKGROUND Several GnRH antagonist protocols are currently used during COS in the context of ART treatments; however, questions remain regarding whether these protocols are comparable in terms of efficacy and safety. OBJECTIVE AND RATIONALE A systematic review followed by a pairwise and network meta-analyses were performed. The systematic review and pairwise meta-analysis of direct comparative data according to the PRISMA guidelines evaluated the effectiveness of different GnRH antagonist protocols (fixed Day 5/6 versus flexible, ganirelix versus cetrorelix, with or without hormonal pretreatment) on the probability of live birth and ongoing pregnancy after COS during ART treatment. A frequentist network meta-analysis combining direct and indirect comparisons (using the long GnRH agonist protocol as the comparator) was also performed to enhance the precision of the estimates. SEARCH METHODS The systematic literature search was performed using Embase (Ovid), MEDLINE (Ovid), Cochrane Central Register of Trials (CENTRAL), SCOPUS and Web of Science (WOS), from inception until 23 November 2021. The search terms comprised three different MeSH terms that should be present in the identified studies: GnRH antagonist; assisted reproduction treatment; randomized controlled trial (RCT). Only studies published in English were included. OUTCOMES The search strategy resulted in 6738 individual publications, of which 102 were included in the systematic review (corresponding to 75 unique studies) and 73 were included in the meta-analysis. Most studies were of low quality. One study compared a flexible protocol with a fixed Day 5 protocol and the remaining RCTs with a fixed Day 6 protocol. There was a lack of data regarding live birth when comparing the flexible and fixed GnRH antagonist protocols or cetrorelix and ganirelix. No significant difference in live birth rate was observed between the different pretreatment regimens versus no pretreatment or between the different pretreatment protocols. A flexible GnRH antagonist protocol resulted in a significantly lower OPR compared with a fixed Day 5/6 protocol (relative risk (RR) 0.76, 95% CI 0.62 to 0.94, I2 = 0%; 6 RCTs; n = 907 participants; low certainty evidence). There were insufficient data for a comparison of cetrorelix and ganirelix for OPR. OCP pretreatment was associated with a lower OPR compared with no pretreatment intervention (RR 0.79, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.92; I2 = 0%; 5 RCTs, n = 1318 participants; low certainty evidence). Furthermore, in the network meta-analysis, a fixed protocol with OCP resulted in a significantly lower OPR than a fixed protocol with no pretreatment (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.71 to 0.99; moderate quality evidence). The surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA) scores suggested that the fixed protocol with no pretreatment is the antagonist protocol most likely (84%) to result in the highest OPR. There was insufficient evidence of a difference between fixed/flexible or OCP pretreatment/no pretreatment interventions regarding other outcomes, such as ovarian hyperstimulation syndrome and miscarriage rates. WIDER IMPLICATIONS Available evidence, mostly of low quality and certainty, suggests that different antagonist protocols should not be considered as equivalent for clinical decision-making. More trials are required to assess the comparative effectiveness of ganirelix versus cetrorelix, the effect of different pretreatment interventions (e.g. progestins or oestradiol) or the effect of different criteria for initiation of the antagonist in the flexible protocol. Furthermore, more studies are required examining the optimal GnRH antagonist protocol in women with high or low response to ovarian stimulation.

To verify the accuracy of an online algorithm using Bayes' theorem for diagnosing ectopic pregnancy (EP) using human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), ultrasound, and clinical data in a real cohort.A retrospective cohort study.Gynecologic emergency unit in a tertiary teaching hospital.First-trimester pregnant women who attended the gynecologic emergency unit for any reason. Those who had13 weeks of pregnancy confirmed by a recent positive pregnancy test; a digital image or electronic report of transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) obtained from hospital database; and a follow-up with a pathology report or a clinical resolution of a confirmed pregnancy were included in the study. Clinical signs and symptoms, the presence of risk factors for EP, the TVUS findings in each consultation, and the hCG levels were independent variables obtained from the electronic medical records. From these data, the pretest probability, based on the clinical presentation and risk factors, and the likelihood ratio for each variable were calculated for their use in the algorithm, yielding a posttest probability.Not applicable.The accuracy of the online algorithm to identify cases of EP using clinical signs and symptoms, the presence of risk factors for EP, the TVUS findings in each consultation, and the hCG levels. The main outcome was EP, confirmed either by pathology report or by the presence of fetal heartbeat or gestational sac outside the uterine cavity.Between January 1, 2009 and December 27, 2016, 2,495 women were analyzed, and the algorithm was applied to 2,185 of them. The incidence of EP was 8.5% (212/2,495); 310 women were excluded because they were submitted to surgery with decision thresholds95%. The algorithm was applied to 2,185 women. Just one case remained inconclusive after 3 consultations, and it was considered as an error in prediction. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy values (95% confidence interval) of the algorithm were 98.9% (96.1%-99.8%), 98.9% (98.3%-99.2%), and 98.9% (98.3%-99.2%), respectively.The accuracy of the Bayesian algorithm to confirm or rule out EP is excellent. Online Nomogram https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jStXlMBjbPyDf6_W0deKGKQLZHU5EFAe8rLhNVPuJuY/edit?usp=sharing.

Background: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are associated with cardiovascular disease later in life. Given that hypertensive disorders of pregnancy often occur at a relatively young age, there might be an opportunity to use preventive measures to reduce the risk of early cardiovascular disease and mortality. The aim of this study was to assess the risk of cardiovascular mortality in women after a hypertensive disorder of pregnancy. Methods: In this population-based cohort study, the Netherlands Perinatal Registry (PRN) and the national death registry at the Dutch Central Bureau for Statistics were linked. We analysed women in the Netherlands with a first birth during 1995–2015 to determine the association between cardiovascular mortality and hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (based on recorded diastolic blood pressure or proteinuria, or both). We analysed the association between the highest diastolic blood pressure measured in pregnancy and cardiovascular mortality and constructed survival curves to assess cardiovascular mortality after hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, specifically pre-eclampsia and gestational hypertension. To differentiate between the severity of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, cardiovascular mortality was assessed in women with a combination of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy with preterm birth (gestational age

As the burden of misconduct in medical research is increasingly recognised, questions have been raised about how best to address this problem. Whilst there are existing mechanisms for the investigation and management of misconduct in medical literature, they are inadequate to deal with the magnitude of the problem. Journal editors and publishers play an essential role in protecting the veracity of the medical literature. Whilst ethical guidance for journal editors and publishers is important, it is not as readily enforceable as legal obligations might be. This article questions the legal obligations that might exist for journal editors and publishing companies with respect to ensuring the veracity of the published literature. Ultimately, there is no enforceable legal obligation in Australia, the United Kingdom, or the United States. In light of this, more robust mechanisms are needed to deliver greater confidence and transparency in the investigative process, the management of concerns or findings of misconduct and the need to cleanse the literature. We show that the law disincentivises journals and publishers from ensuring truth in their publications. There are harmful consequences for medical care and public confidence in the medical profession and health care system when the foundations of medical science are questionable.

To investigate the relationship between the embryo frozen time and live birth rate (LBR) in women having a freeze-all cycle.Retrospective cohort study.Academic hospital.Women who underwent their first vitrified-warmed cycles from January 2013 to December 2019.Embryo storage time.The primary outcome was the LBR.A total of 14,928 women were eligible for the analysis. Women with the frozen time of transferred embryos for 2-5 months were associated with a higher LBR compared with other groups. The results were confirmed by an inverted U curve in the restricted cubic splines before as well as after adjustment for covariables, which suggested that an embryo storage time of 3-4 months was associated with the highest LBR. Subgroup analyses demonstrated that the inverted U curve relationship between embryo storage time and LBR was only observed in women with the high response. Sensitivity analyses in women with at least one good-quality embryo for transfer, in women aged36 years at embryo transfer, or in women with double cleavage embryo transfer showed that the association remained valid. The association was weakened in women with single blastocyst transfer probably because of the small sample size in these women.An inverted U-shaped relationship was found between embryo storage time and treatment success in women with high ovarian response in freeze-all embryo transfer cycles. Prolonged storage time of6 months was associated with reduced pregnancy rates.

Introduction: Cervical length is an important predictor of spontaneous preterm birth. So far, the best way to measure cervical length has not been established. We aimed to compare the incidence of short cervical length between three methods of cervical length measurement with and without the inclusion of cervico-isthmic complex (CIC) (six methods in total) and to determine the positive predictive value for spontaneous preterm birth. Material and Methods: We performed a prospective single-center cohort study in women with a singleton pregnancy between August 2014 and December 2018. During the routine fetal anomaly scan (18–22 weeks), women were offered transvaginal ultrasound for cervical length measurement to screen for the risk of spontaneous preterm birth. Each cervix was measured in six different ways: single-line, two-line, and tracing method between the internal and external os of the cervix with and without CIC. We evaluated the predictive value of the different measurements for spontaneous delivery before 37 weeks using positive predictive values. Results: Our final study population comprised 1,691 women. The overall rate of preterm birth 8 mm between the techniques (41.04 mm [SD 7.1] with one-line without CIC and 49.18 [SD 9.05] mm with trace with CIC) with an incidence of short cervical length below p = 0.18). The positive predictive values for spontaneous preterm birth Conclusion: Different measurement methods for cervical length resulted in statistically significant differences in measured cervical length. Depending on the chosen cut-off this translates to different incidences of short cervical length and influences the number of women designated as high risk for preterm birth and receiving treatment. For interpretation and comparability between (inter-) national studies, it is important to adequately report on the employed technique. Future research should focus on determining the optimal measuring technique and a universal method of measurement.

Worldwide reports have produced conflicting data on perinatal outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic. This systematic review and meta-analysis addressed the effect of mitigation measures against COVID-19 on preterm birth, stillbirth, low birth weight, and NICU admission during the first nine months of the pandemic. A search was performed using MEDLINE, Embase and SCOPUS for manuscripts published up until 24th May 2021. Studies that reported perinatal outcomes (preterm birth, stillbirth, low birth weight, NICU admission) during the COVID-19 pandemic with a pre-pandemic control period were included. Risk of bias assessment was performed using ROBINS-I tool. RevMan5 was used to perform meta-analysis with random-effects models. A score of the stringency of mitigation measures was calculated from the Oxford COVID-19 Government Response Tracker. Thirty-eight studies of moderate to serious risk of bias were included, with varied methodology, analysis and regional mitigation measures, using stringency index scores. There was no overall effect on preterm birth at less than 37 weeks (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-1.00). However, there was a reduction in preterm birth at less than 37 weeks (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.81-0.98) and 34 weeks (OR 0.56, 95% CI 0.37-0.83) for iatrogenic births and in singleton pregnancies. There was also a significant reduction in preterm births at less than 34 weeks in studies with above median stringency index scores (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.58-0.88). There was no effect on risk of stillbirth (OR 1.04, 95% CI 0.90-1.19) or birth weight. NICU admission rates were significantly reduced in studies with above median stringency index scores (OR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78-0.97). The reduction in preterm births in regions with high mitigation measures against SARS-CoV-2 infection is likely driven by a reduction in iatrogenic births. Variability in study design and cohort characteristics need to be considered for future studies to allow further investigation of population level health measures of perinatal outcomes.

BackgroundMelbourne, Australia, recorded one of the longest and most stringent pandemic lockdowns in 2020, which was associated with an increase in preterm stillbirths among singleton pregnancies. Twin pregnancies may be particularly susceptible to the impacts of pandemic disruptions to maternity care due to their higher background risk of adverse perinatal outcomes.ObjectiveTo compare the rates of adverse perinatal outcomes in twin pregnancies exposed and unexposed to lockdown restrictions in Melbourne.Study DesignMulticenter retrospective cohort study of all twin pregnancies birthing in public maternity hospitals in Melbourne. We compared perinatal outcomes between a pre- pandemic group (‘unexposed’) and two lockdown-exposed groups: exposure 1 from 22 March 2020 to 21 March 2021 and exposure 2 from 22 March 2021 to 27 March 2022. We analyzed routinely-collected maternity data on all twin births≥20 weeks where outcomes were available for both infants. The primary outcomes were rates of preterm birth+0to 40+0of their pregnancy occurred entirely during each lockdown-exposure period. Perinatal outcomes were calculated per infant; maternal outcomes were calculated per pregnancy.ResultsWe included 2267 women birthing twins. Total preterm birthsrdcentile (5.7% vs 6.0%; aRR 1.00, 95%CI 0.98-1.02 p=0.74) or neonatal intensive care unit admissions in the exposure 1 group compared to the pre-pandemic group. In contrast, when comparing the pre-pandemic group with exposure 2 group, there was no significant difference in the rates of preterm birthConclusionsMelbourne’s first lockdown-exposure period was associated with fewer twin preterm births

STUDY QUESTION What is the capacity of the change between Day 1 and Day 4 post-treatment serum human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG) levels for predicting single-dose methotrexate treatment success in tubal ectopic pregnancy? SUMMARY ANSWER Any fall in Days 1–4 serum hCG signified an 85% (95% CI 76.8–90.6) likelihood of treatment success for women with tubal ectopic pregnancy (initial hCG of ≥1000 and ≤5000 IU/l) managed with single-dose methotrexate. WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY For those with tubal ectopic pregnancy managed by single-dose methotrexate, current guidelines advocate intervention if Days 4–7 hCG fails to fall by >15%. The trajectory of hCG over Days 1–4 has been proposed as an early indicator that predicts treatment success, allowing early reassurance for women. However, almost all prior studies of Days 1–4 hCG changes have been retrospective. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION This was a prospective cohort study of women with tubal ectopic pregnancy (pre-treatment hCG of ≥1000 and ≤5000 IU/l) managed with single-dose methotrexate. The data were derived from a UK multicentre randomized controlled trial of methotrexate and gefitinib versus methotrexate and placebo for treatment of tubal ectopic pregnancy (GEM3). For this analysis, we include data from both treatment arms. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS Participants were categorized according to single-dose methotrexate treatment success or failure. Treatment success for this analysis was defined as complete and uneventful resolution of tubal ectopic pregnancy to serum hCG MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE A total of 322 women with tubal ectopic pregnancy were treated with single-dose methotrexate. The overall single-dose methotrexate treatment success rate was 59% (n = 189/322). For any fall in serum hCG on Days 1–4, likelihood ratios were >3, while for any fall of serum hCG >20% on Days 1–7, likelihood ratios reached 5. Any rise of serum hCG on Days 1–7 and 4–7 strongly reduced the chance of success. Any fall in Days 1–4 hCG predicted single-dose methotrexate treatment success with a sensitivity of 58% and specificity 84%, resulting in positive and negative predictive values of 85% and 57%, respectively. Any rise in Days 1–4 serum hCG LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION Our findings may be limited by intervention bias resulting from existing guidelines which influences evaluation of hCG changes reliant on Day 7 serum hCG levels. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS Examining a large prospective cohort, we show the value of Days 1–4 serum hCG changes in predicting single-dose methotrexate treatment success in tubal ectopic pregnancy. We recommend that clinicians provide early reassurance to women who have a fall or only a modest ( STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) This project was supported by funding from the Efficacy and Mechanism Evaluation programme, a Medical Research Council and National Institute for Health Research partnership (grant reference number 14/150/03). A.W.H. has received honoraria for consultancy for Ferring, Roche, Nordic Pharma and AbbVie. W.C.D. has received honoraria from Merck and Guerbet and research funding from Galvani Biosciences. L.H.R.W. has received research funding from Roche Diagnostics. B.W.M. is supported by a NHMRC Investigator grant (GNT1176437). B.W.M. also reports consultancy for ObsEva and Merck and travel support from Merck. The other authors declare no competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER This study is a secondary analysis of the GEM3 trial (ISRCTN Registry ISRCTN67795930).

Objective: To determine whether hysteroscopic niche resection (HNR) and expectant management are suitable in women with fertility desire and a niche with a residual myometrium thickness (RMT) ≥ 2.5 mm. Study design: This retrospective cohort study was conducted at International Peace Maternity and Child Health Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China between September 2016 and December 2021. We reported the fertility outcomes between women (with fertility desire and a niche with RMT ≥ 2.5 mm) who received HNR or expectant management. Results: We studied 166 women, of whom 72 accepted HNR and 94 accepted expectant management. The HNR group included more symptomatic women, in terms of postmenstrual spotting or infertility. No differences were found regarding niche measures before treatment. The live birth rate was comparable in both groups (HNR versus expectant management as 55.5% versus 45.7%, risk ratio = 1.48, 95% Cl 0.80–2.75, p = 0.21). The pregnancy rate was higher in HNR group than that in expectant management group (n = 72.2% versus n = 56.4%, risk ratio = 2.01, 95% CI 1.04–3.88, p = 0.04). In a subgroup of women with infertility before entry in the study, HNR resulted in a significant higher live birth rate (p = 0.04) and pregnancy rate (p = 0.01). Conclusion: In women with infertility with a symptomatic niche with RMT ≥ 2.5 mm, HNR may be superior to expectant management. This retrospective cohort biased selection against a randomized study, our results still need to be validated in the future with larger clinical multicenter randomized controlled trials.

Introduction: The incidence of induction of labor, for both medical reasons and as an elective procedure, has been rising and a further increase in induction of labor following the ARRIVE trial may be expected. The effects of induction of labor at term on childhood neurodevelopment, however, are not well studied. We aimed to study the influence of elective induction of labor for each week of gestation separately from 37 to 42 weeks on offspring school performance at 12 years of age after uncomplicated pregnancies. Material and methods: We performed a population-based study among 226 684 liveborn children from uncomplicated singleton pregnancies, born from 37+0 to 42+0 weeks of gestation in cephalic presentation in 2003–2008 (no hypertensive disorders, diabetes or birthweight ≤p5) in the Netherlands. Children with congenital anomalies, of non-white mothers and born after planned cesarean section were excluded. Birth records were linked with national data on school achievement. We compared, using a fetus-at-risk approach and per week of gestation, school performance score and secondary school level at age 12 in those born after induction of labor to those born after non-intervention, ie spontaneous onset of labor in the same week plus all those born at later gestations. Education scores were standardized to a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1 and adjusted in the regression analyses. Results: For each gestational age up to 41 weeks, induction of labor was associated with decreased school performance scores compared with non-intervention (at 37 weeks −0.05 SD, 95% confidence interval [CI] −0.10 to −0.01 SD; adjusted for confounding factors). After induction of labor, fewer children reached higher secondary school level (at 38 weeks 48% vs 54%; adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.88, 95% CI 0.82–0.94). Conclusions: In women with uncomplicated pregnancies at term, consistently, at every week of gestation from 37 to 41 weeks, induction of labor is associated with lower offspring school performance at age 12 and lower secondary school level compared with non-intervention, although residual confounding may remain. These long-term effects of induction of labor should be incorporated in counseling and decision making.

Contains fulltext : 287686.pdf (Publisher’s version ) (Open Access) OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of depression, anxiety, and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) years after hyperemesis gravidarum (HG) and its association with HG severity. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This prospective cohort study consisted of a follow-up of 215 women admitted for HG, who were eligible to participate in a randomized controlled trial and either declined or agreed to be randomized between 2013 and 2016 in 19 hospitals in the Netherlands. Participants completed the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) six weeks postpartum and during follow-up and the PTSD checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5) during follow-up. An anxiety or depression score ≥8 is indicative of an anxiety or depression disorder and a PCL-5 ≥ 31 indicative of PTSD. Measures of HG severity were symptom severity (PUQE-24: Pregnancy Unique Quantification of Emesis), weight change, duration of admissions, readmissions, and admissions after the first trimester. RESULTS: About 54/215 participants completed the HADS six weeks postpartum and 73/215 participants completed the follow-up questionnaire, on average 4.5 years later. Six weeks postpartum, 13 participants (24.1%) had an anxiety score ≥8 and 11 participants (20.4%) a depression score ≥8. During follow-up, 29 participants (39.7%) had an anxiety score ≥8, 20 participants (27.4%) a depression score ≥8, and 16 participants (21.9%) a PCL-5 ≥ 31.Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that for every additional point of the mean PUQE-24 three weeks after inclusion, the likelihood of having an anxiety score ≥8 and PCL-5 ≥ 31 at follow-up increased with OR 1.41 (95% CI: 1.10;1.79) and OR 1.49 (95% CI: 1.06;2.10) respectively. CONCLUSION: Depression, anxiety, and PTSD symptoms are common years after HG occurred.

To assess the performance of placental, fetal and maternal cardiovascular markers in the prediction of adverse perinatal and maternal outcomes in women with suspected or confirmed pre-eclampsia.This was a prospective prognostic accuracy study of women with suspected or confirmed pre-eclampsia who underwent a series of investigations to measure maternal hemodynamic indices, mean arterial pressure, augmentation index, ophthalmic artery peak systolic velocity (PSV) ratio, uterine artery pulsatility index (UtA-PI), fetal biometric and Doppler parameters, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1) and placental growth factor (PlGF). The performance of these markers, individually or in combination, in predicting adverse perinatal and maternal outcomes was then assessed using receiver-operating-characteristics (ROC)-curve analysis. Adverse maternal outcome was defined as one or more of severe hypertension, admission to the intensive care unit, eclampsia, placental abruption, HELLP syndrome, disseminated intravascular coagulation, platelets 100 × 10We recruited 126 women with suspected (n = 31) or confirmed (n = 95) pre-eclampsia at a median gestational age of 33.9 weeks (interquartile range, 30.9-36.3 weeks). Pregnancies with adverse perinatal outcome compared to those without had a higher median UtA-PI (1.3 vs 0.8; P 0.001), ophthalmic artery PSV ratio (0.8 vs 0.7; P = 0.01) and umbilical artery PI percentile (82.0 vs 68.5; P 0.01) and lower median estimated fetal weight percentile (4.0 vs 43.0; P 0.001), abdominal circumference percentile (4.0 vs 63.0; P 0.001), middle cerebral artery PI percentile (28.0 vs 58.5; P 0.001) and cerebroplacental ratio percentile (18.0 vs 46.5; P 0.001). Pregnancies with adverse perinatal outcome also had a higher median sFlt-1 (8208.0 pg/mL vs 4508.0 pg/mL; P 0.001), lower PlGF (27.2 pg/mL vs 76.3 pg/mL; P 0.001) and a higher sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (445.4 vs 74.4; P 0.001). The best performing individual marker for predicting adverse perinatal outcome was the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (area under the ROC curve (AUC), 0.87 (95% CI, 0.81-0.93)), followed by estimated fetal weight (AUC, 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.89)). Women who experienced adverse maternal outcome had a higher median sFlt-1 level (7471.0 pg/mL vs 5131.0 pg/mL; P 0.001) and sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (204.3 vs 93.3; P 0.001) and a lower PlGF level (37.0 pg/mL vs 66.1 pg/mL; P = 0.01) and estimated fetal weight percentile (16.5 vs 37.0; P = 0.04). All markers performed poorly in predicting adverse maternal outcome, with sFlt-1 (AUC, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.60-0.79)) and sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (AUC, 0.69 (95% CI, 0.59-0.78)) demonstrating the best individual performance. The addition of cardiovascular, fetal or other placental indices to the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio did not improve the prediction of adverse maternal or perinatal outcomes.The sFlt-1/PlGF ratio performs well in predicting adverse perinatal outcomes but is a poor predictor of adverse maternal outcomes in women with suspected or diagnosed pre-eclampsia. The addition of cardiovascular or fetal indices to the model is unlikely to improve the prognostic performance of the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio. © 2022 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.

STUDY QUESTION What is the impact of uterine malformations on reproductive and neonatal outcomes of IVF/ICSI–frozen embryo transfer? SUMMARY ANSWER Unification defective uteri are associated with poorer neonatal outcomes including higher preterm delivery rate and lower birthweight, and septate uteri are associated with worse fertility outcomes including higher miscarriage and lower live birth rates (LBRs). WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY Several studies have investigated the negative effects of uterine malformations on pregnancy outcomes. However, an all-round and definitive conclusion has not been reached yet owing to the relatively low incidence of the disease and the heterogeneity of study populations, especially among women undergoing ART. STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION This was a retrospective cohort study including 411 women with congenital uterine anomalies and 14 936 women with a normal uterus who underwent first frozen-thawed embryo transfer cycles of IVF/ICSI from July 2008 to August 2019. We compared reproductive outcomes. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS Reproductive outcomes of women with uterine malformations were studied through three propensity score-matched comparisons (patients with bicorporeal uterus, septate uterus and hemi-uterus [bicorporeal, septate and hemi-uterus groups, respectively] along with corresponding control groups without uterine malformations). We also compared pregnancy and neonatal outcomes, and performed subgroup analysis addressing didelphus, bicornuate uteri and septate uteri before and after surgery independently. MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE Compared to the matched control group, women with a bicorporeal uterus had a significantly lower LBR (24.4% versus 34.8%, odds ratio (OR) 0.61 [95% CI: 0.37, 1.00], P = 0.048). The incidence of miscarriage and preterm delivery was higher but not statistically significant (29.0% versus 18.1%, OR 1.85 [95% CI: 0.82, 4.19], P = 0.135; 22.6% versus 9.9%, OR 2.64 [95% CI: 1.07, 6.52], P = 0.063, respectively). In addition, the bicorporeal group had a significantly lower gestational age, higher caesarean rate and lower birthweight than bicorporeal control. Women with a septate uterus had comparable clinical pregnancy rates to controls (43.3% versus 49.9%, OR 0.77 [95% CI: 0.57, 1.04], P = 0.091), increased miscarriage rates (23.5% versus 13.0%, OR 2.05 [95% CI: 1.18, 3.58], P = 0.010) and lower LBRs (29.4% versus 42.2%, OR 0.57 [95% CI: 0.41, 0.79], P = 0.001). In both singleton and twins pregnancies, pregnancy and neonatal outcomes were comparable between women with a septate uterus and control. Women with a hemi-uterus had a tendency for lower clinical pregnancy rate (36.8% versus 42.3%, OR 0.80 [95% CI: 0.52, 1.21], P = 0.287) and LBR (29.8% versus 33.1%, OR 0.86 [95% CI: 0.55, 1.34], P = 0.502), compared to women without malformations. The incidences of miscarriage and preterm delivery, respectively, were 16.7% versus 16.6% (OR 1.01 [95% CI: 0.41, 2.47], P = 0.989), and 9.5% versus 11.4% (OR 0.82 [95% CI: 0.27, 2.51], P = 1) in women with a hemi-uterus as compared to control. LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION This was a single-centre, retrospective study in which neonatal data were extracted from parental questionnaires. The information on uteri septum type and surgery methods was poorly presented, with limited detail. In patients with uterine malformations, the number of babies with birth defects and twin pregnancies was relatively small, limiting the power of the study. WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS Compared to patients with a normal uterus, women with uterine malformation have poorer reproductive outcomes. Pregnant women with a uterine anomaly need to be managed as high-risk pregnancies and followed with appropriate obstetric review. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S) This work was supported by the National Ministry of Technology (2018YFC1003000), the Elite Team Project of Ninth People’s Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine (JY201801), Shanghai Sailing Program (21YF1423200) and the Fundamental Research Program Funding of Ninth People’s Hospital affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine (JYZZ117). B.W.M. is supported by an NHMRC Investigatorgrant (GNT1176437). B.W.M. reports consultancy (with stock options) for ObsEva. B.W.M. has received research funding from Ferring and Merck. The authors declare no other competing interests. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER N/A.

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There is an increasing interest in the evaluation of prognostic and predictive biomarkers for personalizing cancer care. The literature on the trial designs for evaluation of these markers is diverse and there is no consensus in the classification or nomenclature. We set this study to review the literature systematically, to identify the proposed trial designs, and to develop a classification scheme. We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Methodology Register, and MathSciNet up to January 2013 for articles describing these trial designs. In each eligible article, we identified the trial designs presented and extracted the term used for labeling the design, components of patient flow (marker status of eligible participants, intervention, and comparator), study questions, and analysis plan. Our search strategy resulted in 88 eligible articles, wherein 315 labels had been used by authors in presenting trial designs; 134 of these were unique. By analyzing patient flow components, we could classify the 134 unique design labels into four basic patient flow categories, which we labeled with the most frequently used term: single-arm, enrichment, randomize-all, and biomarker-strategy designs. A fifth category consists of combinations of the other four patient flow categories. Our review showed that a considerable number of labels has been proposed for trial designs evaluating prognostic and predictive biomarkers which, based on patient flow elements, can be classified into five basic categories. The classification system proposed here could help clinicians and researchers in designing and interpreting trials evaluating predictive biomarkers, and could reduce confusion in labeling and reporting. Clin Cancer Res; 19(17); 4578–88. ©2013 AACR.

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IntroductionIn 2021, we learnt about the problems in studies on ivermectin and hydrocholoroquine in COVID-19. We noticed an appreciable number of unfunded randomised clinical trials (RCTs) on the treatment of COVID-19 conducted across three centres in Egypt (Tanta University, Assiut University, Ain-shams University) on COVID-19 patients with similar inclusion criteria and overlapping time frames. Dr Sherief M Abd-Elsalam ran seven such RCTs across these three centres; four of these RCTs have since been retracted. We therefore set out to systematically analyse the integrity of all RCTs (co-)authored by Dr Abd-Elsalam, in particular 23 RCTs on Gastroenterology and Hepatology. MethodsWe searched PubMed, Google Scholar, Scopus and clinical trial registries for RCTs published by Dr Sherief M Abd-Elsalam, affiliated with the Department of Tropical Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Faculty of Medicine, Tanta University, Tanta, Egypt. We assessed trial registration, tables for identical data values, statistical errors, and improbable data trends. We assessed the probability of true randomization by assessing baseline characteristics through a Monte Carlo Analysis. ResultsWe report on 30 published randomized control trials (RCTs) of Dr. Sherief Abd-Elsalam, in particular 23 RCTs on Gastroenterology and Hepatology. We found important issues in all RCTs examined. Of these 23 RCTs, 10 RCTs had substantial trial registration inconsistencies. Only one of these 10 RCTs has been retracted to date. We found nine RCTs with substantial statistical mistakes, five RCTs with similarities between tables unlikely to happen by chance, four RCTs with implausible Gaussian distributions, three RCTs in which almost all dichotomous variables had even values, while part of at least one study was plagiarized. Monte Carlo analysis indicated that the probability that distribution of baseline characteristics due to randomisation was 0.0000228. According to the trial registration, Dr. Abd-Elsalam is coordinating 76 clinical trials with 45 trials currently marked as ‘Recruiting’ and 17 trials marked as ‘Unknown Status’ as of November 2022.InterpretationWe strongly recommend a thorough investigation of the data integrity of all RCTs by Dr Sherief M Abd-Elsalam by journal editors. Until the completion of such an investigation, we suggest that none of these studies are used to inform clinical practice.

Background Antenatal corticosteroids (ACS) are widely prescribed to improve outcomes following preterm birth. Significant knowledge gaps surround their safety, long-term effects, optimal timing and dosage. Almost half of women given ACS give birth outside the “therapeutic window” and have not delivered over 7 days later. Overtreatment with ACS is a concern, as evidence accumulates of risks of unnecessary ACS exposure. Methods The Consortium for the Study of Pregnancy Treatments (Co-OPT) was established to address research questions surrounding safety of medications in pregnancy. We created an international birth cohort containing information on ACS exposure and pregnancy and neonatal outcomes by combining data from four national/provincial birth registers and one hospital database, and follow-up through linked population-level data from death registers and electronic health records. Results and discussion The Co-OPT ACS cohort contains 2.28 million pregnancies and babies, born in Finland, Iceland, Israel, Canada and Scotland, between 1990 and 2019. Births from 22 to 45 weeks’ gestation were included; 92.9% were at term (≥ 37 completed weeks). 3.6% of babies were exposed to ACS (67.0% and 77.9% of singleton and multiple births before 34 weeks, respectively). Rates of ACS exposure increased across the study period. Of all ACS-exposed babies, 26.8% were born at term. Longitudinal childhood data were available for 1.64 million live births. Follow-up includes diagnoses of a range of physical and mental disorders from the Finnish Hospital Register, diagnoses of mental, behavioural, and neurodevelopmental disorders from the Icelandic Patient Registers, and preschool reviews from the Scottish Child Health Surveillance Programme. The Co-OPT ACS cohort is the largest international birth cohort to date with data on ACS exposure and maternal, perinatal and childhood outcomes. Its large scale will enable assessment of important rare outcomes such as perinatal mortality, and comprehensive evaluation of the short- and long-term safety and efficacy of ACS.

BackgroundRandomised controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating ectopic pregnancy have different outcomes which are defined and measured in diverse ways, which limits their ability to inform evidence-based clinical practice.ObjectiveTo address methodological deficiencies in published RCTs and systematic reviews, this study has developed a core outcome set to guide future research in ectopic pregnancy.DesignTo identify potential outcomes, we performed a comprehensive literature review and interviews with individuals with lived experience in ectopic pregnancy. Potential core outcomes were then entered into a three-round Delphi survey. 154 participants from six continents, comprising healthcare professionals, researchers, and individuals with lived experience in ectopic pregnancy, completed all three rounds of the Delphi survey. Outcomes were prioritised at three consensus development meetings and recommendations were developed on how to report these outcomes where possible.SubjectsHealthcare professionals, researchers, and individuals with lived experience in ectopic pregnancyResultsSix outcomes reached full consensus, including treatment success, resolution time, number of additional interventions, adverse events, mortality and severe morbidity, and treatment satisfaction.ConclusionThe core outcome set with six outcomes for ectopic pregnancy will help standardise reporting of clinical trials, facilitate implementation of findings into clinical practice, and enhance patient centred care.

Objectives: To develop a checklist to screen, for trustworthiness, papers reporting the results of randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Design: A screening tool was developed using the four-stage approach proposed by Moher et al. This included defining the scope, reviewing the evidence base, suggesting a list of items from piloting, and holding a consensus meeting as part of a Delphi method. The initial checklist was set-up by a core group who had been involved in the assessment of dubious RCTs for several years. We piloted this in a Delphi panel of several stakeholders, including health professionals, reviewers, journal editors, policymakers, researchers and evidence-synthesis specialists. Each member was asked to score three articles with the checklist and the the results were then discussed in two Delphi sessions. Results: The Trustworthiness in RAndomised Clinical Trials (TRACT) checklist includes seven domains that are applicable to every RCT: governance, author group, plausibility of intervention usage, timeframe, drop-out rates, baseline characteristics and outcomes. Each domain contains two or three signalling questions that can be answered as either no concerns, some concerns/no information, or major concerns. If a study is assessed and found to have significant concerns, then editors or reviewers should consider a more thorough investigation, including assessment of original individual participant data. Conclusions: The TRACT checklist is the first checklist developed in a formal process to detect trustworthiness issues in RCTs. It might help editors, publishers and researchers to screen for such issues in submitted or published RCTs in a transparent and replicable manner.

Research indicates that soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase 1 (sFLT-1) and placental growth factor (PLGF) have diagnostic and prognostic significance for women with preeclampsia. However, sparse research has studied these biomarkers in women with preexisting comorbidities such as chronic hypertension, diabetes mellitus, systemic lupus erythematosus and chronic kidney disease. We undertook a prospective longitudinal cohort study to compare the sFLT-1: PlGF ratio between women with and without comorbidities who did and did not go on to develop preeclampsia. We found that women with comorbidities may develop preeclampsia with a milder elevation in sFLT-1: PlGF than do women without comorbidities. This has clinical and research implications.