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1. Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent

Author

Svetlana Igosheva, Natalia Belyaeva, Aleksandra Krasnopevtseva, Aleksey Tomilin, Yuri Buyvolov, Tatiana Akimova, Aleksey Kudryavtsev, Irina Kozyr, Olga Rozhkova, Olga Ermakova, Yurij Tyukh, Evgeniy A. Davydov, Ozodbek Abduraimov, Elvira Kotlugalyamova, Mykhailo Motruk, Elena B. Pospelova, Natalia Korotkikh, Vladislav Timoshkin, Rustam Sibgatullin, Irina Fedchenko, Dmitrij Golovcov, Andrey S. Kuznetsov, Irina Nesterova, Tatyana Zubina, Galina Sokolova, Yuri Bykov, Miroslav Babushkin, Tomas Roslin, Helen Korolyova, Elena Smirnova, Sergei Stepanov, S. Sazonov, Evgeniy Meyke, Murad Kurbanbagamaev, Svetlana Bondarchuk, Sergey Kossenko, Darya Kiseleva, Vasyl Shevchyk, Alexander Hritankov, Elena Sitnikova, Oleg Bakin, Tatyana Gordeeva, Ludmila Dostoyevskaya, Irina Gaydysh, Margarita Kupriyanova, Coong Lo, Yuliia Kulsha, Vladimir Van, Elena Bochkareva, Mirabdulla Turgunov, Tatiana Filatova, Marina Yakovleva, Lilija Sultangareeva, Fedor Kazansky, P. D. Lebedev, Irina Megalinskaja, Akynaly Dubanaev, Elena Chakhireva, Elena Diadicheva, Aleksandra Esengeldenova, Juri Kurhinen, Tamara Nezdoliy, Maria Hällfors, Maxim Antipin, Alla Kozurak, Kirill Litvinov, Nicolay Zelenetskiy, Leonid Kolpashikov, Ksenia Shalaeva, Elena Andreeva, Vladimir Yakovlev, Ludmila Gromyko, Miroslava Sahnevich, Tatiana Polyanskaya, Viktor Mamontov, Valeri Sanko, Evgeniya Kaygorodova, Tatiana Tertitsa, Andrey Zahvatov, Nadezhda Kuyantseva, Anatoly Bobretsov, Oleg Mitrofanov, Elena Shujskaja, Aleksandr Ananin, Viktor Teplov, Valentina Teplova, Alexander Sukhov, Vladimir Hohryakov, Natalya Ivanova, Nadezhda Kutenkova, Yury Kalinkin, Gleb Tikhonov, Lidiya Makovkina, Lidia Epova, Alexey Pavlov, Anatolii Zheltukhin, Uliya Ivanova, María del Mar Delgado, Aleksandr Myslenkov, Evgeniya Bukharova, Guzalya Suleymanova, Gennady Bogdanov, Natalia Luzhkova, Irina Rybnikova, Nadezhda Goncharova, Nikolay Volodchenkov, Nataliya Skok, Yuri Rozhkov, Viktorija Teleganova, Aleksandr Minin, Vladimir Bobrov, Zoya Drozdova, Nina Belova, Irina Prokosheva, Svetlana Babina, Lidia Vetchinnikova, Svetlana Mayorova, Artur Meydus, Evgeny Kozlovsky, Violetta Strekalovskaya, Yurij Yarema, Ilya Prokhorov, Elena Ignatenko, Nadezhda Cherenkova, Tatyana Niroda, Vitalіy Stratiy, Valery Zakharov, Olga Chashchina, Oleg Evstigneev, Sergey Elsukov, Maksim Shashkov, Evgenii Korobov, Sergej Shubin, Ivan Putrashyk, Darya Panicheva, Klara Pavlova, Anatoliy Kutenkov, Ludmila Tselishcheva, Elena Ershkova, Vadim Bobrovskyi, Dmitry Tirski, Laura H. Antão, Vladimir Sopin, Olga Kuberskaya, Svetlana Skorokhodova, Svetlana Drovnina, Vladislav Vinogradov, Natalia Andriychuk, Sergey Kruglikov, Anatoliy Gavrilov, Anatoliy Vekliuk, Olga S Ermakova, Aleksandra Vasina, Anna Barabancova, Muzhigit Akkiev, Vladimir Kozsheechkin, Andrei Sivkov, Otso Ovaskainen, Polina Van, Azizbek Mahmudov, Anastasia A. Knorre, Julia Raiskaya, Evgeniya Bisikalova, Inna Basilskaja, Svetlana Chuhontseva, Anatoliy Shcherbakov, Vladimir Bolshakov, Alexander Samoylov, Igor N. Pospelov, Sergej Chistjakov, Viktor Demchenko, Natalia Nemtseva, Sergei Podolski, Alena Butunina, Gennadiy Kosenkov, Tatiana Novikova, Aleksandr Dobrolyubov, Andrej Tolmachev, Oksana Yantser, Yuriy Dubrovsky, Lyudmila Puchnina, Sergey Gashev, Natalia Sikkila, Violetta Fedotova, Zoya Selyunina, Evgeniy Larin, Inna Voloshina, Marina Rudenko, Elena Kulebyakina, Natalja Polikarpova, Aleksander Vasin, Yurii Spasovski, Olga Adrianova, Vitaly Grishchenko, Konstantin Arzamascev, Eliezer Gurarie, Svetlana Rykova, Elena E. Gorbunova, Nina Nasonova, Inna Sapelnikova, Marina Abadonova, Eugenia Yablonovska-Grishchenko, Anna Buyvolova, Tatjana Bespalova, Tura Xoliqov, University of Helsinki, Department of Agricultural Sciences, Biosciences, Spatial Foodweb Ecology Group, Research Centre for Ecological Change, Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Plant Adaptation and Conservation, Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science (HELSUS), Unit of Biodiversity Informatics, Otso Ovaskainen / Principal Investigator, Academy of Finland, European Commission, Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, Research Council of Norway, Kone Foundation, and Russian Academy of Sciences

Subjects
IMPACTS, 1171 Geosciences, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, AUTUMN, SEASON, Climate change, Ecosystem integrity, Environmental Science (miscellaneous), 01 natural sciences, Latitude, 03 medical and health sciences, Community ecology, skin and connective tissue diseases, 1172 Environmental sciences, 030304 developmental biology, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, Trophic level, Abiotic component, 0303 health sciences, CLIMATE-CHANGE, Ecology, Phenology, FLOWERING PHENOLOGY, COMMUNITY, VARIABILITY, Geography, Taxon, Habitat, 13. Climate action, TROPHIC LEVELS, sense organs, MARINE, Social Sciences (miscellaneous), RESPONSES
Abstract

Ongoing climate change can shift organism phenology in ways that vary depending on species, habitats and climate factors studied. To probe for large-scale patterns in associated phenological change, we use 70,709 observations from six decades of systematic monitoring across the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Among 110 phenological events related to plants, birds, insects, amphibians and fungi, we find a mosaic of change, defying simple predictions of earlier springs, later autumns and stronger changes at higher latitudes and elevations. Site mean temperature emerged as a strong predictor of local phenology, but the magnitude and direction of change varied with trophic level and the relative timing of an event. Beyond temperature-associated variation, we uncover high variation among both sites and years, with some sites being characterized by disproportionately long seasons and others by short ones. Our findings emphasize concerns regarding ecosystem integrity and highlight the difficulty of predicting climate change outcomes., The work was financially supported by the Academy of Finland, grants 250243 (O.O.), 284601 (O.O.), 309581 (O.O.); the European Research Council, ERC Starting Grant 205905 (O.O.) and Synergy Grant 856506 – LIFEPLAN (to O.O. and T.R.); Nordic Environment Finance Corporation Grant (O.O.); Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation Grant (O.O., T.R., M.H., L.A.); University of Helsinki HiLIFE Fellow Grant 2017–2020 (O.O.); and the Research Council of Norway through its Centres of Excellence Funding Scheme (223257) to O.O. via Centre for Biodiversity Dynamics; the Kone Foundation 44-6977 (M.D.) and 55-14839 (G.T.); a Spanish Ramon y Cajal grant RYC-2014-16263 (M.D.); the Federal Budget for the Forest Research Institute of Karelian Research Centre Russian Academy of Sciences 220-2017-0003, 0220-2017-0005 (L.V., S.S. and J.K.); the Russian Foundation for Basic Research Grant 16-08-00510 (L.K.), and the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation 0017-2019-0009 (Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences) (N.I., M. Shashkov).

Published
2021
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2. Differences in spatial versus temporal reaction norms for spring and autumn phenological events

Author

Olga Rozhkova, Elena Kulebyakina, Svetlana Babina, Olga Ermakova, Natalja Polikarpova, Anatolii Zheltukhin, Vladimir Bolshakov, Violetta Strekalovskaya, Olga Kuberskaya, Natalia Belyaeva, Aleksander Vasin, Darya Panicheva, Anatoliy Kutenkov, Elvira Kotlugalyamova, Artur Meydus, Aleksey Tomilin, Ludmila Tselishcheva, Mykhailo Motruk, Evgeny Kozlovsky, Yuri Buyvolov, Elena B. Pospelova, Natalia Korotkikh, Vadim Bobrovskyi, Anna Barabancova, Vitalіy Stratiy, Natalia Andriychuk, Margarita Kupriyanova, Dmitry Tirski, Klara Pavlova, Elena Andreeva, Tatyana Gordeeva, Ludmila Dostoyevskaya, Irina Kozyr, Yuriy Dubrovsky, Zoya Selyunina, Andrei Sivkov, Muzhigit Akkiev, Vladimir Kozsheechkin, Nataliya Skok, Viktorija Teleganova, Azizbek Mahmudov, Yurij Yarema, Elena Ershkova, Rustam Sibgatullin, Dmitrij Golovcov, Kirill Litvinov, Aleksey Kudryavtsev, Nadezhda Kuyantseva, Elena Shujskaja, Anastasia A. Knorre, Coong Lo, Mirabdulla Turgunov, Tatiana Filatova, Yurij Tyukh, Gennadiy Kosenkov, Aleksandra Esengeldenova, Lyudmila Puchnina, Tatyana Zubina, Alla Kozurak, Vladimir Hohryakov, Maxim Antipin, Svetlana Mayorova, Nikolay Volodchenkov, Eugenia Yablonovska-Grishchenko, Miroslava Sahnevich, Vladimir Yakovlev, Ludmila Gromyko, Tatiana Polyanskaya, Tatiana Novikova, Alexander Samoylov, Aleksandr Dobrolyubov, Helen Korolyova, Nicolay Zelenetskiy, Leonid Kolpashikov, S. Sazonov, Polina Van, Olga Adrianova, Evgeniy Meyke, Viktor Teplov, Valeri Sanko, Ilya Prokhorov, Elena Ignatenko, Tatyana Niroda, Nina Belova, Andrey Zahvatov, Aleksandr Ananin, Vitaly Grishchenko, Konstantin Arzamascev, María del Mar Delgado, Irina Prokosheva, Aleksandr Myslenkov, Yuri Rozhkov, Nadezhda Cherenkova, Svetlana Chuhontseva, Anna Buyvolova, Sergey Gashev, Natalya Ivanova, Nadezhda Kutenkova, Anatoliy Shcherbakov, Evgeniya Kaygorodova, Valentina Teplova, Nadezhda Goncharova, Oleg Mitrofanov, Svetlana Igosheva, Igor N. Pospelov, Sergej Chistjakov, Oleg Evstigneev, Sergey Elsukov, Maksim Shashkov, Ozodbek Abduraimov, Vladislav Timoshkin, Vasyl Shevchyk, Irina Fedchenko, Otso Ovaskainen, Galina Sokolova, Sergei Stepanov, Aleksandr Minin, Vladimir Bobrov, Sergey Kruglikov, Valery Zakharov, Miroslav Babushkin, Murad Kurbanbagamaev, Svetlana Bondarchuk, Lidiya Makovkina, Sergej Shubin, Zoya Drozdova, Tatjana Bespalova, Olga Chashchina, Yury Kalinkin, Natalia Sikkila, Alexander Hritankov, Ivan Putrashyk, Tura Xoliqov, Anatoliy Vekliuk, Evgenii Korobov, Alexey Pavlov, Yuliia Kulsha, Aleksandra Vasina, Aleksandra Krasnopevtseva, Marina Yakovleva, Lilija Sultangareeva, P. D. Lebedev, Gleb Tikhonov, Anatoly Bobretsov, Anatoliy Gavrilov, Andrej Tolmachev, Irina Megalinskaja, Uliya Ivanova, Viktor Mamontov, Lidia Epova, Gennady Bogdanov, Natalia Nemtseva, Tatiana Akimova, Sergei Podolski, Olga S Ermakova, Tatiana Tertitsa, Guzalya Suleymanova, Alexander Sukhov, Alena Butunina, Natalia Luzhkova, Tomas Roslin, Oksana Yantser, Evgeniya Bisikalova, Irina Rybnikova, Evgeniya Bukharova, Vladimir Sopin, Lidia Vetchinnikova, Darya Kiseleva, Inna Basilskaja, Evgeniy A. Davydov, Violetta Fedotova, Yuri Bykov, Vladimir Van, Sergey Kossenko, Juri Kurhinen, Elena Smirnova, Elena Bochkareva, Elena Sitnikova, Elena Chakhireva, Elena Diadicheva, Viktor Demchenko, Andrey S. Kuznetsov, Irina Nesterova, Fedor Kazansky, Irina Gaydysh, Tamara Nezdoliy, Svetlana Skorokhodova, Marina Abadonova, Svetlana Drovnina, Akynaly Dubanaev, Oleg Bakin, Ksenia Shalaeva, Eliezer Gurarie, Svetlana Rykova, Elena E. Gorbunova, Nina Nasonova, Inna Sapelnikova, Evgeniy Larin, Inna Voloshina, Marina Rudenko, Yurii Spasovski, Julia Raiskaya, Vladislav Vinogradov, Helsinki Institute of Sustainability Science (HELSUS), Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, and Research Centre for Ecological Change

Subjects
0106 biological sciences, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Climate Change, Lag, Population, Climate change, heating, Biology, COUNTERGRADIENT, phenology, 010603 evolutionary biology, 01 natural sciences, LOCAL ADAPTATION, PHENOTYPIC PLASTICITY, 1ST FLOWERING DATES, medicine, Animals, chilling, PLANT, education, METAANALYSIS, Ecosystem, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, Local adaptation, education.field_of_study, Phenotypic plasticity, CLIMATE-CHANGE, Multidisciplinary, EVOLUTIONARY SIGNIFICANCE, Ecology, Phenology, Temperature, Biological Sciences, Seasonality, medicine.disease, Adaptation, Physiological, ECOLOGICAL RESPONSES, plasticity, 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology, Spatial variability, TEMPERATURE-MEDIATED SHIFTS, Seasons, Environmental Monitoring, USSR
Abstract

European Research Council (ERC) Starting Grant 205905 (to O.O.) and Synergy Grant 856506—LIFEPLAN (to O.O. and T.R.); Spanish Ramón y Cajal Grant RYC-2014-16263 (to M.M.D.) (...), Delgado, M.D.M., Roslin, T., Tikhonov, G., Meyke, E., Lo, C., Gurarie, E., Abadonova, M., Abduraimov, O., Adrianova, O., Akimova, T., Akkiev, M., Ananin, A., Andreeva, E., Andriychuk, N., Antipin, M., Arzamascev, K., Babina, S., Babushkin, M., Bakin, O., Barabancova, A., Basilskaja, I., Belova, N., Belyaeva, N., Bespalova, T., Bisikalova, E., Bobretsovz, A., Bobrov, V., Bobrovskyi, V., Bochkareva, E., Bogdanov, G., Bolshakov, V., Bondarchuk, S., Bukharova, E., Butunina, A., Buyvolov, Y., Buyvolova, A., Bykov, Y., Chakhireva, E., Chashchina, O., Cherenkova, N., Chistjakov, S., Chuhontseva, S., Davydov, E.A., Demchenko, V., Diadicheva, E., Dobrolyubov, A., Dostoyevskaya, L., Drovnina, S., Drozdova, Z., Dubanaev, A., Dubrovsky, Y., Elsukov, S., Epova, L., Ermakova, O.S., Ermakova, O., Esengeldenova, A., Evstigneev, O., Fedchenko, I., Fedotova, V., Filatova, T., Gashev, S., Gavrilov, A., Gaydys, I., Golovcov, D., Goncharova, N., Gorbunova, E., Gordeeva, T., Grishchenko, V., Gromyko, L., Hohryakov, V., Hritankov, A., Ignatenko, E., Igosheva, S., Ivanova, U., Ivanova, N., Kalinkin, Y., Kaygorodova, E., Kazansky, F., Kiseleva, D., Knorrem, A., Kolpashikov, L., Korobov, E., Korolyova, H., Korotkikh, N., Kosenkov, G., Kossenko, S., Kotlugalyamova, E., Kozlovsky, E., Kozsheechkin, V., Kozurak, A., Kozyr, I., Krasnopevtseva, A., Krugliko, S., Kuberskaya, O., Kudryavtsev, A., Kulebyakina, E., Kulsha, Y., Kupriyanova, M., Kurbanbagamaev, M., Kutenkov, A., Kutenkova, N., Kuyantseva, N., Kuznetsov, A., Larin, E., Lebedev, P., Litvinov, K., Luzhkova, N., Mahmudov, A., Makovkina, L., Mamontov, V., Mayorova, S., Megalinskaja, I., Meydus, A., Minin, A., Mitrofanov, O., Motruk, M., Myslenkov, A., Nasonova, N., Nemtseva, N., Nesterova, I., Nezdoliy, T., Niroda, T., Novikova, T., Panicheva, D., Pavlov, A., Pavlova, K., Van, P., Podolski, S., Polikarpova, N., Tatiana Polyanskaya81, Pospelov, I., Pospelova, E., Prokhorov, I., Prokosheva, I., Puchnina, L., Putrashyk, I., Raiskaya, J., Rozhkov, Y., Rozhkova, O., Rudenko, M., Rybnikova, I., Rykova, S., Sahnevich, M., Samoylov, A., Sank, V., Sapelnikova, I., Sazonov, S., Selyunina, Z., Shalaeva, K., Shashkov, M., Shcherbakov, A., Shevchyk, V., Shubin, S., Shujskaja, E., Sibgatullin, R., Sikkilah, N., Sitnikova, E., Sivkov, A., Skok, N., Skorokhodova, S., Smirnova, E., Sokolova, G., Sopin, V., Spasovski, Y., Stepanov, S., Stratiy, V., Strekalovskaya, V., Sukhov, A., Suleymanova, G., Sultangareeva, L., Teleganova, V., Teplov, V., Teplova, V., Tertitsa, T., Timoshkin, V., Tirski, D., Tolmachev, A., Tomilin, A., Tselishcheva, L., Turgunov, M., Tyukh, Y., Van, V., Ershkova, E., Vasin, A., Vasina, A., Vekliuk, A., Vetchinnikova, L., Vinogradov, V., Volodchenko, N., Voloshina, I., Xoliqov, T., Yablonovska-Grishchenko, E., Yakovlev, V., Yakovleva, M., Yantser, O., Yarema, Y., Zahvatov, A., Zakharov, V., Zelenetskiy, N., Zheltukhin, A., Zubina, T., Kurhinen, J., Ovaskainen, O.

Published
2020
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3. Author Correction: Chronicles of nature calendar, a long-term and large-scale multitaxon database on phenology

Author

Elena Kulebyakina, Natalja Polikarpova, Kirill Litvinov, Vladimir Yakovlev, Ludmila Gromyko, Tatiana Polyanskaya, Aleksander Vasin, Akynaly Dubanaev, Dmitry Tirski, Anatoliy Shcherbakov, Valeri Sanko, Valery Zakharov, Evgeniy Larin, Inna Voloshina, Marina Rudenko, Lidiya Makovkina, Olga Chashchina, Azizbek Mahmudov, Svetlana Igosheva, Anastasia A. Knorre, Evgenii Korobov, Olga Rozhkova, Irina Fedchenko, Yurii Spasovski, Olga Ermakova, Artur Meydus, Violetta Fedotova, Aleksandr Myslenkov, Elena B. Pospelova, Natalia Korotkikh, Evgeny Kozlovsky, Alexander Samoylov, Miroslav Babushkin, Coong Lo, Mirabdulla Turgunov, Tatiana Filatova, Murad Kurbanbagamaev, Svetlana Bondarchuk, Aleksandra Esengeldenova, Ozodbek Abduraimov, Ksenia Shalaeva, Vladislav Timoshkin, Yurij Yarema, Nadezhda Goncharova, Galina Sokolova, Sergei Stepanov, Zoya Selyunina, Juri Kurhinen, Tomas Roslin, Elvira Kotlugalyamova, Yuliia Kulsha, Marina Yakovleva, Lilija Sultangareeva, Svetlana Chuhontseva, Yuriy Dubrovsky, Anatolii Zheltukhin, Mykhailo Motruk, Nikolay Volodchenkov, Lyudmila Puchnina, Eliezer Gurarie, P. D. Lebedev, Nina Belova, Irina Prokosheva, Tatyana Gordeeva, Svetlana Skorokhodova, Sergey Kossenko, Ludmila Dostoyevskaya, Svetlana Babina, Elena Sitnikova, Yuri Rozhkov, Svetlana Rykova, Igor N. Pospelov, Sergej Chistjakov, Nadezhda Cherenkova, Sergey Gashev, Vladimir Sopin, Olga Adrianova, Violetta Strekalovskaya, Irina Gaydysh, Natalia Sikkila, Viktor Teplov, Rustam Sibgatullin, Julia Raiskaya, Vitalіy Stratiy, Aleksandr Minin, Vitaly Grishchenko, Konstantin Arzamascev, Vladimir Bobrov, Marina Abadonova, Helen Korolyova, S. Sazonov, Evgeniy Meyke, Darya Panicheva, Dmitrij Golovcov, Tatiana Akimova, Natalia Belyaeva, Nicolay Zelenetskiy, Vladislav Vinogradov, Tatyana Zubina, Zoya Drozdova, Andrey Zahvatov, Anatoliy Kutenkov, Elena E. Gorbunova, Nina Nasonova, Leonid Kolpashikov, Gennadiy Kosenkov, Aleksey Tomilin, Elena Vargot, Anatoliy Vekliuk, Aleksandra Vasina, Yuri Buyvolov, Vasyl Shevchyk, Vladimir Hohryakov, Ludmila Tselishcheva, Andrej Tolmachev, Tatiana Novikova, Aleksandr Ananin, Oksana Yantser, Natalya Ivanova, Nadezhda Kutenkova, Van Vladimir, Polina Petrenko, Inna Sapelnikova, Aleksandr Dobrolyubov, Yury Kalinkin, Viktor Mamontov, Vadim Bobrovskyi, Svetlana Drovnina, Aleksey Kudryavtsev, Uliya Ivanova, Tatiana Tertitsa, Alexander Sukhov, Guzalya Suleymanova, Natalia Andriychuk, Otso Ovaskainen, Vladimir Bolshakov, Lidia Vetchinnikova, Gennady Bogdanov, Oleg Bakin, Natalia Luzhkova, Irina Rybnikova, Margarita Kupriyanova, Sergey Kruglikov, Andrey S. Kuznetsov, Irina Nesterova, María del Mar Delgado, Alla Kozurak, Miroslava Sahnevich, Aleksandra Krasnopevtseva, Gleb Tikhonov, Tatjana Bespalova, Evgeniy A. Davydov, Tura Xoliqov, Eugenia Yablonovska-Grishchenko, Anna Buyvolova, Yuri Bykov, Anatoliy Gavrilov, Elena Smirnova, Olga S Ermakova, Elena Andreeva, Oleg Mitrofanov, Darya Kiseleva, Nadezhda Kuyantseva, Elena Shujskaja, Elena Bochkareva, Fedor Kazansky, Alexander Hritankov, Irina Megalinskaja, Olga Kuberskaya, Irina Kozyr, Yurij Tyukh, Klara Pavlova, Oleg Evstigneev, Sergey Elsukov, Maksim Shashkov, Sergej Shubin, Ivan Putrashyk, Nataliya Skok, Viktorija Teleganova, Svetlana Mayorova, Ilya Prokhorov, Elena Ignatenko, Elena Chakhireva, Elena Diadicheva, Tatyana Niroda, Tamara Nezdoliy, Alexey Pavlov, Anatoly Bobretsov, Natalia Nemtseva, Lidia Epova, Sergei Podolski, Alena Butunina, Evgeniya Bukharova, Anna Barabancova, Maxim Antipin, Andrei Sivkov, Evgeniya Kaygorodova, Valentina Teplova, Evgeniya Bisikalova, Inna Basilskaja, Viktor Demchenko, Muzhigit Akkiev, and Vladimir Kozsheechkin

Subjects
Statistics and Probability, Data Descriptor, Databases, Factual, Republic of Belarus, Climate Change, Scale (descriptive set theory), Library and Information Sciences, Russia, Education, Combinatorics, Author Correction, Kyrgyzstan, lcsh:Science, Mathematics, Phenology, Published Erratum, Uzbekistan, Biodiversity, Biota, Term (time), Computer Science Applications, lcsh:Q, Seasons, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, Ukraine, Information Systems
Abstract

We present an extensive, large-scale, long-term and multitaxon database on phenological and climatic variation, involving 506,186 observation dates acquired in 471 localities in Russian Federation, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Belarus and Kyrgyzstan. The data cover the period 1890–2018, with 96% of the data being from 1960 onwards. The database is rich in plants, birds and climatic events, but also includes insects, amphibians, reptiles and fungi. The database includes multiple events per species, such as the onset days of leaf unfolding and leaf fall for plants, and the days for first spring and last autumn occurrences for birds. The data were acquired using standardized methods by permanent staff of national parks and nature reserves (87% of the data) and members of a phenological observation network (13% of the data). The database is valuable for exploring how species respond in their phenology to climate change. Large-scale analyses of spatial variation in phenological response can help to better predict the consequences of species and community responses to climate change., Measurement(s)phenological event • climateTechnology Type(s)digital curationFactor Type(s)geographic location • yearSample Characteristic - LocationRussia • Ukraine • Uzbekistan • Belarus • Kyrgyzstan Machine-accessible metadata file describing the reported data: 10.6084/m9.figshare.11687169

Published
2020
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4. Chronicles of nature calendar, a long-term and large-scale multitaxon database on phenology

Author

Viktor Teplov, Oleg Bakin, Andrey Zahvatov, Svetlana Skorokhodova, Aleksandr Ananin, Natalya Ivanova, Nadezhda Kutenkova, Van Vladimir, Olga Adrianova, Darya Kiseleva, Vitaly Grishchenko, Konstantin Arzamascev, Tomas Roslin, Andrey Kuznetsov, Elena E. Gorbunova, Svetlana Igosheva, Nina Nasonova, Anatoly Bobretsov, Elena Bochkareva, Elena Vargot, Inna Sapelnikova, Eliezer Gurarie, Sergey Kossenko, Svetlana Rykova, Fedor Kazansky, Andrej Tolmachev, Natalia Nemtseva, Sergei Podolski, Elena Sitnikova, Lidia Epova, Evgeniy Larin, Inna Voloshina, Marina Rudenko, Oksana Yantser, Alena Butunina, Svetlana Drovnina, Irina Gaydysh, Evgeniya Bisikalova, Ozodbek Abduraimov, Evgeniya Bukharova, Vladislav Vinogradov, Yurii Spasovski, Svetlana Chuhontseva, Gennady Bogdanov, Valery Zakharov, Yury Kalinkin, Inna Basilskaja, Vladislav Timoshkin, Oleg Evstigneev, Akynaly Dubanaev, Yuri Bykov, Elena Smirnova, Violetta Fedotova, Uliya Ivanova, Natalia Luzhkova, Kirill Litvinov, Sergey Elsukov, Maksim Shashkov, Olga Chashchina, Galina Sokolova, Sergei Stepanov, Irina Rybnikova, Elena Chakhireva, Tatjana Bespalova, Margarita Kupriyanova, Igor N. Pospelov, Sergej Chistjakov, Vladimir Yakovlev, Ludmila Gromyko, Elena Diadicheva, Elena Andreeva, Zoya Selyunina, Evgenii Korobov, Guzalya Suleymanova, Sergej Shubin, Yuriy Dubrovsky, Viktor Demchenko, Tatiana Polyanskaya, Valeri Sanko, Olga Rozhkova, Elena B. Pospelova, Natalia Korotkikh, Sergey Kruglikov, Irina Kozyr, Svetlana Babina, Ivan Putrashyk, Lyudmila Puchnina, Tamara Nezdoliy, Tura Xoliqov, Anna Barabancova, Alla Kozurak, Elena Kulebyakina, Natalja Polikarpova, Nadezhda Kuyantseva, Olga Ermakova, Ksenia Shalaeva, Nikolay Volodchenkov, Lidia Vetchinnikova, Coong Lo, Yurij Tyukh, Tatiana Akimova, Natalia Belyaeva, Irina Fedchenko, Elena Shujskaja, Mirabdulla Turgunov, Tatiana Filatova, Gennadiy Kosenkov, Sergey Gashev, Violetta Strekalovskaya, Aleksandra Esengeldenova, Miroslava Sahnevich, Nataliya Skok, Viktorija Teleganova, Aleksey Tomilin, Aleksander Vasin, Tatyana Gordeeva, Alexey Pavlov, Yuri Buyvolov, Andrei Sivkov, Ludmila Dostoyevskaya, Natalia Sikkila, Svetlana Mayorova, Tatiana Novikova, Miroslav Babushkin, Aleksandr Dobrolyubov, Ilya Prokhorov, Murad Kurbanbagamaev, Svetlana Bondarchuk, Marina Abadonova, Elena Ignatenko, Yuri Rozhkov, Tatyana Niroda, Vitalіy Stratiy, Aleksey Kudryavtsev, Klara Pavlova, Anatoliy Gavrilov, Oleg Mitrofanov, Alexander Hritankov, Aleksandr Myslenkov, Elvira Kotlugalyamova, Nicolay Zelenetskiy, Leonid Kolpashikov, Olga S Ermakova, Anatolii Zheltukhin, Vladimir Bolshakov, Mykhailo Motruk, Maxim Antipin, Dmitry Tirski, Muzhigit Akkiev, Vladimir Kozsheechkin, Yuliia Kulsha, Marina Yakovleva, Lilija Sultangareeva, Eugenia Yablonovska-Grishchenko, Evgeniya Kaygorodova, P. D. Lebedev, Irina Megalinskaja, Valentina Teplova, Nadezhda Goncharova, Rustam Sibgatullin, Anna Buyvolova, Otso Ovaskainen, Vladimir Hohryakov, Anatoliy Shcherbakov, Olga Kuberskaya, Dmitrij Golovcov, Tatyana Zubina, Aleksandr Minin, Julia Raiskaya, María del Mar Delgado, Vladimir Bobrov, Zoya Drozdova, Vladimir Sopin, Artur Meydus, Evgeny Kozlovsky, Azizbek Mahmudov, Anastasia A. Knorre, Yurij Yarema, Alexander Samoylov, Aleksandra Krasnopevtseva, Gleb Tikhonov, Evgeniy A. Davydov, Anatoliy Vekliuk, Aleksandra Vasina, Polina Petrenko, Irina Nesterova, Natalia Andriychuk, Viktor Mamontov, Nina Belova, Irina Prokosheva, Tatiana Tertitsa, Alexander Sukhov, Nadezhda Cherenkova, Helen Korolyova, S. Sazonov, Evgeniy Meyke, Lidiya Makovkina, Vasyl Shevchyk, Darya Panicheva, Anatoliy Kutenkov, Ludmila Tselishcheva, Juri Kurhinen, Vadim Bobrovskyi, Research Centre for Ecological Change, Otso Ovaskainen / Principal Investigator, Organismal and Evolutionary Biology Research Programme, Unit of Biodiversity Informatics, and University of Helsinki

Subjects
IMPACTS, 0106 biological sciences, Statistics and Probability, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Climate change, Library and Information Sciences, computer.software_genre, 010603 evolutionary biology, 01 natural sciences, Education, HISTORY, lcsh:Science, 1172 Environmental sciences, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, Trophic level, Nature reserve, CLIMATE-CHANGE, Database, Phenology, Biota, Computer Science Applications, Term (time), Geography, TROPHIC LEVELS, 1181 Ecology, evolutionary biology, Period (geology), lcsh:Q, Spatial variability, SENSITIVITY, Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty, computer, RESPONSES, Information Systems
Abstract

The work was funded by Academy of Finland, grants 250243, 284601, 309581 (OO); the European Research Council, ERC Starting Grant 205905 (OO); Nordic Environment Finance Corporation Grant (OO); Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation Grant (OO and TR); University of Helsinki HiLIFE Fellow Grant 2017–2020 (OO); the Kone Foundation 44-6977 (MD); Spanish Ramon y Cajal grant RYC-2014-16263 (MD); the Federal Budget for the Forest Research Institute of Karelian Research Centre Russian Academy of Sciences 220-2017-0003,0220-2017-0005 (LV, SS and JK); the Russian Foundation for Basic Research Grant 16-08-00510 (LK), and the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation 0017-2019-0009 (Keldysh Institute of Applied Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences) (NI, MSh)., Ovaskainen, O., Meyke, E., Lo, C., Tikhonov, G., Delgado, M.M., Roslin, T., Gurarie, E., Abadonova, M., Abduraimov, O., Adrianova, O., Akimova, T., Akkiev, M., Ananin, A., Andreeva, E., Andriychuk, N., Antipin, M., Arzamascev, K., Babina, S., Babushkin, M., Bakin, O., Barabancova, A., Basilskaja, I., Belova, N., Belyaeva, N., Bespalova, T., Bisikalova, E., Bobretsov, A., Bobrov, V., Bobrovskyi, V., Bochkareva, E., Bogdanov, G., Bolshakov, V., Bondarchuk, S., Bukharova, E., Butunina, A., Buyvolov, Y., Buyvolova, A., Bykov, Y., Chakhireva, E., Chashchina, O., Cherenkova, N., Chistjakov, S., Chuhontseva, S., Davydov, E.A., Demchenko, V., Diadicheva, E., Dobrolyubov, A., Dostoyevskaya, L., Drovnina, S., Drozdova, Z., Dubanaev, A., Dubrovsky, Y., Elsukov, S., Epova, L., Ermakova, O.S., Ermakova, O., Esengeldenova, A., Evstigneev, O., Fedchenko, I., Fedotova, V., Filatova, T., Gashev, S., Gavrilov, A., Gaydysh, I., Golovcov, D., Goncharova, N., Gorbunova, E., Gordeeva, T., Grishchenko, V., Gromyko, L., Hohryakov, V., Hritankov, A., Ignatenko, E., Igosheva, S., Ivanova, U., Ivanova, N., Kalinkin, Y., Kaygorodova, E., Kazansky, F., Kiseleva, D., Knorre, A., Kolpashikov, L., Korobov, E., Korolyova, H., Korotkikh, N., Kosenkov, G., Kossenko, S., Kotlugalyamova, E., Kozlovsky, E., Kozsheechkin, V., Kozurak, A., Kozyr, I., Krasnopevtseva, A., Kruglikov, S., Kuberskaya, O., Kudryavtsev, A., Kulebyakina, E., Kulsha, Y., Kupriyanova, M., Kurbanbagamaev, M., Kutenkov, A., Kutenkova, N., Kuyantseva, N., Kuznetsov, A., Larin, E., Lebedev, P., Litvinov, K., Luzhkova, N., Mahmudov, A., Makovkina, L., Mamontov, V., Mayorova, S., Megalinskaja, I., Meydus, A., Minin, A., Mitrofanov, O., Motruk, M., Myslenkov, A., Nasonova, N., Nemtseva, N., Nesterova, I., Nezdoliy, T., Niroda, T., Novikova, T., Panicheva, D., Pavlov, A., Pavlova, K., Petrenko, P., Podolski, S., Polikarpova, N., Polyanskaya, T., Pospelov, I., Pospelova, E., Prokhorov, I., Prokosheva, I., Puchnina, L., Putrashyk, I., Raiskaya, J., Rozhkov, Y., Rozhkova, O., Rudenko, M., Rybnikova, I., Rykova, S., Sahnevich, M., Samoylov, A., Sanko, V., Sapelnikova, I., Sazonov, S., Selyunina, Z., Shalaeva, K., Shashkov, M., Shcherbakov, A., Shevchyk, V., Shubin, S., Shujskaja, E., Sibgatullin, R., Sikkila, N., Sitnikova, E., Sivkov, A., Skok, N., Skorokhodova, S., Smirnova, E., Sokolova, G., Sopin, V., Spasovski, Y., Stepanov, S., Stratiy, V.І., Strekalovskaya, V., Sukhov, A., Suleymanova, G., Sultangareeva, L., Teleganova, V., Teplov, V., Teplova, V., Tertitsa, T., Timoshkin, V., Tirski, D., Tolmachev, A., Tomilin, A., Tselishcheva, L., Turgunov, M., Tyukh, Y., Vladimir, V., Vargot, E., Vasin, A., Vasina, A., Vekliuk, A., Vetchinnikova, L., Vinogradov, V., Volodchenkov, N., Voloshina, I., Xoliqov, T., Yablonovska-Grishchenko, E., Yakovlev, V., Yakovleva, M., Yantser, O., Yarema, Y., Zahvatov, A., Zakharov, V., Zelenetskiy, N., Zheltukhin, A., Zubina, T., Kurhinen, J.

Published
2020
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5. Spring phenology in boreal Eurasia over a nearly century time scale

Author

Nicolas Delbart, Ian Woodward, Dennis G. Dye, Violetta Fedotova, Shaun Quegan, Laurent Kergoat, Thuy Le Toan, and Ghislain Picard

Subjects
Global and Planetary Change, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Ecology, Phenology, Global warming, Taiga, 0211 other engineering and technologies, Northern Hemisphere, Climate change, 02 engineering and technology, 15. Life on land, 01 natural sciences, Latitude, Geography, Boreal, 13. Climate action, Climatology, Temperate climate, Environmental Chemistry, 021101 geological & geomatics engineering, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, General Environmental Science
Abstract

It has been widely reported that tree leaves have tended to appear earlier in many regions of the northern hemisphere in the last few decades, reflecting climate warming. Satellite observations revealed an 8-day advance in leaf appearance date between 1982 and 1991 in northern latitudes. In situ observations show that leaf appearance dates in Europe have advanced by an average of 6.3 days from 1959 to 1996. Modelling of leaf appearance on the basis of temperature also shows a marked advance in temperate and boreal regions from 1955 to 2002. However, before 1955, reported studies of phenological variations are restricted to local scale. Modelling, ground observations and satellite observations are here combined to analyse phenological variations in Eurasian taiga over nearly a century. The trend observed by remote sensing consists mainly in a shift at the end of the 1980s, reflecting a shift in winter and spring temperature. In western boreal Eurasia, a trend to earlier leaf appearance is evident since the mid-1930s, although it is discontinuous. In contrast, the strong advance in leaf appearance detected over Central Siberia using satellite data in 1982–1991 is strengthened by late springs in 1983–1984; moreover, in this region the green-up timing has displayed successive trends with opposite signs since 1920. Thus, such strong trend is not unusual if considered locally. However, the recent advance is unique in simultaneously affecting most of the Eurasian taiga, the leaf appearance dates after 1990 being the earliest in nearly a century in most of the area.

Published
2007
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6. Remote sensing of spring phenology in boreal regions: A free of snow-effect method using NOAA-AVHRR and SPOT-VGT data (1982–2004)

Author

Violetta Fedotova, Thuy Le Toan, Nicolas Delbart, and Laurent Kergoat

Subjects
010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Advanced very-high-resolution radiometer, Phenology, 0211 other engineering and technologies, Soil Science, Geology, 02 engineering and technology, Vegetation, 15. Life on land, Snow, 01 natural sciences, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, Greening, Boreal, 13. Climate action, Snowmelt, Environmental science, Computers in Earth Sciences, 021101 geological & geomatics engineering, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, Remote sensing
Abstract

Measurements of spring phenological dates in boreal regions using NDVI can be affected by snowmelt. This impacts the analysis of interannual variations in phenology and the estimates of annual carbon fluxes. For these two objectives, snowmelt effect must be removed from the phenological detection. We propose a methodology for determining the date of onset of greening in the 1982–2004 period using SPOT-VEGETATION (VGT) and NOAA Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) data. From 1998 onwards, the date of onset of greening is taken as the date at which the Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), calculated from SPOT-VGT near and short-wave infrared bands, starts increasing. This index decreases with snowmelt but increases with vegetation greening. For the 1982–2001 period, the date of onset of greening is the date at which AVHRR-NDVI equals a pixel specific threshold (PST), determined using the results of the NDWI method in the years common to the two datasets. The methods are validated using in situ measurements of the dates of leaf appearance. RMSE of 6.7 and 7.8 days, respectively, is found using NDWI-VGT and PST-NOAA methodologies, and the difference between the two methodologies in the common years is small. Very importantly, the dates are not biased. The interannual variations of the 23-year spring phenology dataset on the study area in northern Eurasia are analysed. In average over the study area, an advance of 8 days and a delay of 3.6 days are, respectively, found over the periods 1982–1991 and 1993–2004. These results confirm and complete previous studies about the greening trend, remove the uncertainty due to snow, and may improve carbon budget calculations.

Published
2006
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