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Your search keyword '"Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.)"' showing total 4 results
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4 results on '"Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.)"'

1. Rapid increase in the risk of heat-related mortality

Author

Lüthi, S. (Samuel), Fairless, C. (Christopher), Fischer, E. M. (Erich M.), Scovronick, N. (Noah), Armstrong, B. (Ben), De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M. (Micheline), Guo, Y. L. (Yue Leon), Guo, Y. (Yuming), Honda, Y. (Yasushi), Huber, V. (Veronika), Kyselý, J. (Jan), Lavigne, E. (Eric), Royé, D. (Dominic), Ryti, N. (Niilo), Silva, S. (Susana), Urban, A. (Aleš), Gasparrini, A. (Antonio), Bresch, D. N. (David N.), Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.), Lüthi, S. (Samuel), Fairless, C. (Christopher), Fischer, E. M. (Erich M.), Scovronick, N. (Noah), Armstrong, B. (Ben), De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M. (Micheline), Guo, Y. L. (Yue Leon), Guo, Y. (Yuming), Honda, Y. (Yasushi), Huber, V. (Veronika), Kyselý, J. (Jan), Lavigne, E. (Eric), Royé, D. (Dominic), Ryti, N. (Niilo), Silva, S. (Susana), Urban, A. (Aleš), Gasparrini, A. (Antonio), Bresch, D. N. (David N.), and Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.)

Abstract

Heat-related mortality has been identified as one of the key climate extremes posing a risk to human health. Current research focuses largely on how heat mortality increases with mean global temperature rise, but it is unclear how much climate change will increase the frequency and severity of extreme summer seasons with high impact on human health. In this probabilistic analysis, we combined empirical heat-mortality relationships for 748 locations from 47 countries with climate model large ensemble data to identify probable past and future highly impactful summer seasons. Across most locations, heat mortality counts of a 1-in-100 year season in the climate of 2000 would be expected once every ten to twenty years in the climate of 2020. These return periods are projected to further shorten under warming levels of 1.5 °C and 2 °C, where heat-mortality extremes of the past climate will eventually become commonplace if no adaptation occurs. Our findings highlight the urgent need for strong mitigation and adaptation to reduce impacts on human lives.

Published
2023

2. Hitze- und Trockensommer in der Schweiz : Ursachen und Folgen der Jahrhundertsommer 1947, 2003 und 2018

Author

Imfeld, Noemi, Stucki, Peter, Brönnimann, Stefan, Bader, Stephan, Bürgi, Matthias, Calanca, Pierluigi, Gubler, Stefanie, Holzkämper, Annelie, Hövel, Laura, Isotta, Francesco, Kestenholz, Christoph, Kotlarski, Sven, Mastai, Alina, Nussbaumer, Samuel U, Raible, Christoph C, Röthlisberger, Matthias, Scherrer, Simon C, Staub, Kaspar, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M, Vogel, Martha-Marie, Imfeld, N ( Noemi ), Stucki, P ( Peter ), Brönnimann, S ( Stefan ), Bader, S ( Stephan ), Bürgi, M ( Matthias ), Calanca, P ( Pierluigi ), Gubler, S ( Stefanie ), Holzkämper, A ( Annelie ), Hövel, L ( Laura ), Isotta, F ( Francesco ), Kestenholz, C ( Christoph ), Kotlarski, S ( Sven ), Mastai, A ( Alina ), Nussbaumer, S U ( Samuel U ), Raible, C C ( Christoph C ), Röthlisberger, M ( Matthias ), Scherrer, S C ( Simon C ), Staub, K ( Kaspar ), Vicedo-Cabrera, A M ( Ana M ), Vogel, M ( Martha-Marie ), Imfeld, Noemi, Stucki, Peter, Brönnimann, Stefan, Bader, Stephan, Bürgi, Matthias, Calanca, Pierluigi, Gubler, Stefanie, Holzkämper, Annelie, Hövel, Laura, Isotta, Francesco, Kestenholz, Christoph, Kotlarski, Sven, Mastai, Alina, Nussbaumer, Samuel U, Raible, Christoph C, Röthlisberger, Matthias, Scherrer, Simon C, Staub, Kaspar, Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana M, Vogel, Martha-Marie, Imfeld, N ( Noemi ), Stucki, P ( Peter ), Brönnimann, S ( Stefan ), Bader, S ( Stephan ), Bürgi, M ( Matthias ), Calanca, P ( Pierluigi ), Gubler, S ( Stefanie ), Holzkämper, A ( Annelie ), Hövel, L ( Laura ), Isotta, F ( Francesco ), Kestenholz, C ( Christoph ), Kotlarski, S ( Sven ), Mastai, A ( Alina ), Nussbaumer, S U ( Samuel U ), Raible, C C ( Christoph C ), Röthlisberger, M ( Matthias ), Scherrer, S C ( Simon C ), Staub, K ( Kaspar ), Vicedo-Cabrera, A M ( Ana M ), and Vogel, M ( Martha-Marie )

Published
2022

3. Evaluation of the ERA5 reanalysis-based Universal Thermal Climate Index on mortality data in Europe

Author

Urban, A. (Aleš), Di Napoli, C. (Claudia), Cloke, H. L. (Hannah L.), Kyselý, J. (Jan), Pappenberger, F. (Florian), Sera, F. (Francesco), Schneider, R. (Rochelle), Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.), Acquaotta, F. (Fiorella), Ragettli, M. S. (Martina S.), Íñiguez, C. (Carmen), Tobias, A. (Aurelio), Indermitte, E. (Ene), Orru, H. (Hans), Jaakkola, J. J. (Jouni J. K.), Ryti, N. R. (Niilo R. I.), Pascal, M. (Mathilde), Huber, V. (Veronika), Schneider, A. (Alexandra), de’ Donato, F. (Francesca), Michelozzi, P. (Paola), Gasparrini, A. (Antonio), Urban, A. (Aleš), Di Napoli, C. (Claudia), Cloke, H. L. (Hannah L.), Kyselý, J. (Jan), Pappenberger, F. (Florian), Sera, F. (Francesco), Schneider, R. (Rochelle), Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.), Acquaotta, F. (Fiorella), Ragettli, M. S. (Martina S.), Íñiguez, C. (Carmen), Tobias, A. (Aurelio), Indermitte, E. (Ene), Orru, H. (Hans), Jaakkola, J. J. (Jouni J. K.), Ryti, N. R. (Niilo R. I.), Pascal, M. (Mathilde), Huber, V. (Veronika), Schneider, A. (Alexandra), de’ Donato, F. (Francesca), Michelozzi, P. (Paola), and Gasparrini, A. (Antonio)

Abstract

Air temperature has been the most commonly used exposure metric in assessing relationships between thermal stress and mortality. Lack of the high-quality meteorological station data necessary to adequately characterize the thermal environment has been one of the main limitations for the use of more complex thermal indices. Global climate reanalyses may provide an ideal platform to overcome this limitation and define complex heat and cold stress conditions anywhere in the world. In this study, we explored the potential of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI) based on ERA5 — the latest global climate reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) — as a health-related tool. Employing a novel ERA5-based thermal comfort dataset ERA5-HEAT, we investigated the relationships between the UTCI and daily mortality data in 21 cities across 9 European countries. We used distributed lag nonlinear models to assess exposure-response relationships between mortality and thermal conditions in individual cities. We then employed meta-regression models to pool the results for each city into four groups according to climate zone. To evaluate the performance of ERA5-based UTCI, we compared its effects on mortality with those for the station-based UTCI data. In order to assess the additional effect of the UTCI, the performance of ERA5-and station-based air temperature (T) was evaluated. Whilst generally similar heat- and cold-effects were observed for the ERA5-and station-based data in most locations, the important role of wind in the UTCI appeared in the results. The largest difference between any two datasets was found in the Southern European group of cities, where the relative risk of mortality at the 1st percentile of daily mean temperature distribution (1.29 and 1.30 according to the ERA5 vs station data, respectively) considerably exceeded the one for the daily mean UTCI (1.19 vs 1.22). These differences were mainly due to the effect o

Published
2021

4. Ambient carbon monoxide and daily mortality:a global time-series study in 337 cities

Author

Chen, K. (Kai), Breitner, S. (Susanne), Wolf, K. (Kathrin), Stafoggia, M. (Massimo), Sera, F. (Francesco), Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.), Guo, Y. (Yuming), Tong, S. (Shilu), Lavigne, E. (Eric), Matus, P. (Patricia), Valdes, N. (Nicolas), Kan, H. (Haidong), Jaakkola, J. J. (Jouni J. K.), Ryti, N. R. (Niilo R., I), Huber, V. (Veronika), Scortichini, M. (Matteo), Hashizume, M. (Masahiro), Honda, Y. (Yasushi), Nunes, B. (Baltazar), Madureira, J. (Joana), Holobaca, I. H. (Iulian Horia), Fratianni, S. (Simona), Kim, H. (Ho), Lee, W. (Whanhee), Tobias, A. (Aurelio), Iniguez, C. (Carmen), Forsberg, B. (Bertil), Astrom, C. (Christofer), Ragettli, M. S. (Martina S.), Guo, Y. L. (Yue-Liang Leon), Chen, B.-Y. (Bing-Yu), Li, S. (Shanshan), Milojevic, A. (Ai), Zanobetti, A. (Antonella), Schwartz, J. (Joel), Bell, M. L. (Michelle L.), Gasparrini, A. (Antonio), Schneider, A. (Alexandra), Chen, K. (Kai), Breitner, S. (Susanne), Wolf, K. (Kathrin), Stafoggia, M. (Massimo), Sera, F. (Francesco), Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M. (Ana M.), Guo, Y. (Yuming), Tong, S. (Shilu), Lavigne, E. (Eric), Matus, P. (Patricia), Valdes, N. (Nicolas), Kan, H. (Haidong), Jaakkola, J. J. (Jouni J. K.), Ryti, N. R. (Niilo R., I), Huber, V. (Veronika), Scortichini, M. (Matteo), Hashizume, M. (Masahiro), Honda, Y. (Yasushi), Nunes, B. (Baltazar), Madureira, J. (Joana), Holobaca, I. H. (Iulian Horia), Fratianni, S. (Simona), Kim, H. (Ho), Lee, W. (Whanhee), Tobias, A. (Aurelio), Iniguez, C. (Carmen), Forsberg, B. (Bertil), Astrom, C. (Christofer), Ragettli, M. S. (Martina S.), Guo, Y. L. (Yue-Liang Leon), Chen, B.-Y. (Bing-Yu), Li, S. (Shanshan), Milojevic, A. (Ai), Zanobetti, A. (Antonella), Schwartz, J. (Joel), Bell, M. L. (Michelle L.), Gasparrini, A. (Antonio), and Schneider, A. (Alexandra)

Abstract

Summary Background: Epidemiological evidence on short-term association between ambient carbon monoxide (CO) and mortality is inconclusive and limited to single cities, regions, or countries. Generalisation of results from previous studies is hindered by potential publication bias and different modelling approaches. We therefore assessed the association between short-term exposure to ambient CO and daily mortality in a multicity, multicountry setting. Methods: We collected daily data on air pollution, meteorology, and total mortality from 337 cities in 18 countries or regions, covering various periods from 1979 to 2016. All included cities had at least 2 years of both CO and mortality data. We estimated city-specific associations using confounder-adjusted generalised additive models with a quasi-Poisson distribution, and then pooled the estimates, accounting for their statistical uncertainty, using a random-effects multilevel meta-analytical model. We also assessed the overall shape of the exposure–response curve and evaluated the possibility of a threshold below which health is not affected. Findings: Overall, a 1 mg/m³ increase in the average CO concentration of the previous day was associated with a 0·91% (95% CI 0·32–1·50) increase in daily total mortality. The pooled exposure–response curve showed a continuously elevated mortality risk with increasing CO concentrations, suggesting no threshold. The exposure–response curve was steeper at daily CO levels lower than 1 mg/m³, indicating greater risk of mortality per increment in CO exposure, and persisted at daily concentrations as low as 0·6 mg/m³ or less. The association remained similar after adjustment for ozone but was attenuated after adjustment for particulate matter or sulphur dioxide, or even reduced to null after adjustment for nitrogen dioxide. Interpretation: This international study is by far the largest epidemiological investigation on short-term CO-related mortality. We found significant associations

Published
2021

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