Search

Additional file 1. Contains Tables S1-S4 and Figures S1-S6, providing further information on data sources, model structures and results of sensitivity analyses.

This dataset comprises 1,040,752 measurements, collated from 9,544 sampling locations in 46 countries and representing 10,635 species. The data was collated from 115 existing spatial comparisons of local-scale biodiversity exposed to different intensities and types of anthropogenic pressures, from terrestrial sites around the world. The database was assembled as part of the PREDICTS project - Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems; https://www.nhm.ac.uk/our-science/our-work/biodiversity/predicts.html This release is an addition to the data presented with The 2016 release of the PREDICTS database (available on the NHM Data Portal: https://data.nhm.ac.uk/dataset/the-2016-release-of-the-predicts-database).

Parasitoids are a significant mortality factor in the population dynamics of many arthropods involved in key ecological processes such as herbivore-plant and predator-prey interactions. Parasitoids are therefore widely used in biocontrol programs. Global change phenomena influence these natural and anthropocentric roles of parasitoids and here we review the effects of the main drivers and their interplay. Land use intensification modifies landscape structure and elevates agroecosystem loads of fertilisers and pesticides creating risks for parasitism and loss of biocontrol services. Climate change can affect parasitoids directly, affecting physiology and survival, or indirectly via phenological and other effects (plant chemistry, herbivore-induced plant volatiles HIPVs) on their hosts, endosymbionts and plants. Biological invasions have the potential to modify native host-parasitoid systems and elevate risk of novel pest dynamics, requiring restoration of biocontrol. The interplay between these global change drivers may thus exacerbate the overall risk to parasitism in future agricultural landscapes. To make more accurate predictions, future studies could focus on the impact of interacting global change drivers on parasitoids and the biocontrol services they provide. Moreover, host and parasitoid specificity appear to be a key driver in assessing the effects of global change on parasitoids.

National audience; Les interactions plantes-pollinisateurs, en conditionnant la reproduction sexuée de la majoritédes plantes à fleurs, sont essentielles tant au bien-être humain qu’au bon fonctionnement desécosystèmes. Pourtant, elles sont menacées par l’agriculture intensive et l’homogénéisation despaysages. La préservation en milieu agricole d’habitats favorables aux plantes sauvages et auxpollinisateurs, comme les bordures enherbées permanentes ou les bandes fleuries, pourraitpermettre de conserver les systèmes de pollinisation. Cette thèse associe l’écologie des réseauxet la génétique des populations pour évaluer l’influence de la composition du paysage agricole(habitats semi-naturels, diversité culturale) sur la capacité des bordures des champs à soutenirdes systèmes fonctionnels de pollinisation. Approchée ici comme une fonction de la structuredu réseau d’interactions, la fonctionnalité est mesurée à travers les composantes quantitative(nombre de graines) et qualitative (diversité génétique de la descendance) de la reproductiond’une plante sauvage focale, le bleuet. Basé sur deux expérimentations de terrain en Côte-d'Or(France), l'une à l'échelle d’une ferme expérimentale gérée en agroécologie (2019) et l'autre àl’échelle du paysage (8 sites sélectionnés selon un gradient d'hétérogénéité du paysage en2020), le projet cherche ainsi à établir un lien entre le paysage, la structure du réseau depollinisation, le transport du pollen, la production de graines et la diversité génétique desdescendants de bleuets implantés dans les bordures des champs. Enfin, pour améliorer lacompréhension des processus phénologiques et écologiques qui déterminent ces liens, l’analyseintègrera et comparera différentes échelles biologiques (individu, espèce, groupe fonctionnel)et temporelles (saison, périodes phénologiques) d’étude.

Multiple anthropogenic challenges threaten nature's contributions to human well-being. Agricultural expansion and conventional intensification are degrading biodiversity and ecosystem functions, thereby undermining the natural foundations on which agriculture is itself built. Averting the worst effects of global environmental change and assuring ecosystem benefits, requires a transformation of agriculture. Alternative agricultural systems to conventional intensification exist, ranging from adjustments to efficiency (e.g. sustainable intensification) to a redesign (e.g. ecological intensification, climate-smart agriculture) of the farm management system. These alternatives vary in their reliance on nature or technology, the level of systemic change required to operate, and impacts on biodiversity, landscapes and agricultural production. Different socio-economic, ecological and political settings mean there is no universal solution, instead there are a suite of interoperable practices that can be adapted to different contexts to maximise efficiency, sustainability and resilience. Social, economic, technological and demographic issues will influence the form of sustainable agriculture and effects on landscapes and biodiversity. These include: (1) the socio-technical-ecological architecture of agricultural and food systems and trends such as urbanisation in affecting the mode of production, diets, lifestyles and attitudes; (2) emerging technologies, such as gene editing, synthetic biology and 3D bioprinting of meat; and (3) the scale or state of the existing farm system, especially pertinent for smallholder agriculture. Agricultural transformation will require multifunctional landscape planning with cross-sectoral and participatory management to avoid unintended consequences and ultimately depends on people's capacity to accept new ways of operating in response to the current environmental crisis.