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Background: The number of deceased donor kidney transplants has been increasing and is at a record high, yet nonuse of kidneys recovered for transplantation has risen to 25.8% following circular kidney allocation system based on 250-nautical-mile circles implemented on March 15, 2021 (KAS250)., Methods: Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data, we studied all deceased donor kidneys recovered for transplant from March 15, 2019, to January 31, 2023. We calculated the association of multiple factors with kidney nonuse, including increasing recovery of kidneys from nonideal donors, delays in offer acceptance observed under KAS250, and impacts of COVID-19., Results: In the 2 y before KAS250, the nonuse rate was 21.2%. Had this rate continued, 2334 more kidneys would have been transplanted through January 2023. We estimated that about 769 of these nonused kidneys (33%) were associated with offer acceptance delays under KAS250; about 994 of these nonused kidneys (43%) were associated with increased prevalence of nonideal donors: donation after circulatory death donors, older donors, and donors with elevated peak serum creatinine; and about 542 of these nonused kidneys (23%) were associated with an otherwise unexplained gradual upward trend in nonuse of recovered kidneys across the pre-KAS250 and KAS250 eras. The overall impact of COVID-19 on the nonuse rate was not significant., Conclusions: The rise in kidney nonuse rate was significantly associated with both increased recovery of nonideal donors, and with KAS250 allocation complexity and delays. Increasing recovery of kidneys from nonideal donors benefits patients because recovering more kidneys increases the number of kidneys available for transplant., Competing Interests: S.E.G. and D.N.V. were supported by a grant from the Mendez National Institute of Transplantation Foundation. A.B.M., D.L.S., and S.E.G. were supported by grant R01DK132395 from the National Institutes of Health. The other authors declare no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2024 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved.)

Recent changes to liver allocation replaced donor service areas with circles as the geographic unit of allocation. Circle-based allocation might increase the number of transplantation centers and candidates required to place a liver, thereby increasing the logistical burden of making and responding to offers on organ procurement organizations and transplantation centers. Circle-based allocation might also increase distribution time and cold ischemia time (CIT), particularly in densely populated areas of the country, thereby decreasing allocation efficiency. Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipient data from 2019 to 2021, we evaluated the number of transplantation centers and candidates required to place livers in the precircles and postcircles eras, nationally and by donor region. Compared with the precircles era, livers were offered to more candidates (5 vs. 9; p  < 0.001) and centers (3 vs. 5; p  < 0.001) before being accepted; more centers were involved in the match run by offer number 50 (9 vs. 14; p  < 0.001); CIT increased by 0.2 h (5.9 h vs. 6.1 h; p  < 0.001); and distribution time increased by 2.0 h (30.6 h vs. 32.6 h; p  < 0.001). Increased burden varied geographically by donor region; livers recovered in Region 9 were offered to many more candidates (4 vs. 12; p  < 0.001) and centers (3 vs. 8; p  < 0.001) before being accepted, resulting in the largest increase in CIT (5.4 h vs. 6.0 h; p  < 0.001). Circle-based allocation is associated with increased logistical burdens that are geographically heterogeneous. Continuous distribution systems will have to be carefully designed to avoid exacerbating this problem., (Copyright © 2022 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.)

In the presence of informative right censoring and time-dependent covariates, we estimate the survival function in a fully nonparametric fashion. We introduce a novel method for incorporating multiple observations per subject when estimating the survival function at different covariate values and compare several competing methods via simulation. The proposed method is applied to survival data from people awaiting liver transplant., Competing Interests: The authors report no potential conflict of interest., (This work was authored as part of the Contributor's official duties as an Employee of the United States Government and is therefore a work of the United States Government. In accordance with 17 USC. 105, no copyright protection is available for such works under US Law.)

Status 1A liver transplant candidates are given the highest medical priority for the allocation of deceased donor livers. Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) policy requires physicians to certify that a candidate has a life expectancy without a transplant of less than 7 days for that candidate to be given status 1A. Additionally, candidates receiving status 1A must have one of six medical conditions listed in policy. Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data from all prevalent liver transplant candidates from 2010 to 2020, we used a bias-corrected Kaplan-Meier model to calculate the survival of status 1A candidates and to determine their life expectancy without a transplant. We found that status 1A candidates have a life expectancy without a transplant of 24 (95% CI 20-46) days-over three times longer than what policy requires for status 1A designation. We repeated the analysis for subgroups of status 1A candidates based on the medical conditions that grant status 1A. We found that none of these subgroups met the life expectancy requirement. Harmonizing OPTN policy with observed data would sustain the integrity of the allocation process., (© 2021 The American Society of Transplantation and the American Society of Transplant Surgeons.)

Background and Aims: Scores from the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD), which are used to prioritize candidates for deceased donor livers, are widely acknowledged to be negatively correlated with the 90-day survival rate without a liver transplant. However, inconsistent and outdated estimates of survival probabilities by MELD preclude useful applications of the MELD score., Approach and Results: Using data from all prevalent liver waitlist candidates from 2016 to 2019, we estimated 3-day, 7-day, 14-day, 30-day, and 90-day without-transplant survival probabilities (with confidence intervals) for each MELD score and status 1A. We used an adjusted Kaplan-Meier model to avoid unrealistic assumptions and multiple observations per person instead of just the observation at listing. We found that 90-day without-transplant survival has improved over the last decade, with survival rates increasing >10% (in absolute terms) for some MELD scores. We demonstrated that MELD correctly prioritizes candidates in terms of without-transplant survival probability but that status 1A candidates' short-term without-transplant survival is higher than that of MELD 40 candidates and lower than that of MELD 39 candidates. Our primary result is the updated survival functions themselves., Conclusions: We calculated without-transplant survival probabilities for each MELD score (and status 1A). The survival function is an invaluable tool for many applications in liver transplantation: awarding of exception points, calculating the relative demand for deceased donor livers in different geographic areas, calibrating the pediatric end-stage liver disease score, and deciding whether to accept an offered liver., (© 2021 by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. This article has been contributed to by US Government employees and their work is in the public domain in the USA.)

Background: Methods for the detection of the temporal and spatial generation of painful symptoms are needed to improve the diagnosis and treatment of painful neuropathies and to aid preclinical screening of molecular therapeutics., Methods: In this study, we utilized in vivo luminescent imaging of NF-κB activity and serum cytokine measures to investigate relationships between the NF-κB regulatory network and the presentation of painful symptoms in a model of neuropathy., Results: The chronic constriction injury model led to temporal increases in NF-κB activity that were strongly and non-linearly correlated with the presentation of pain sensitivities (i.e. mechanical allodynia and thermal hyperalgesia). The delivery of NEMO-binding domain peptide reduced pain sensitivities through the inhibition of NF-κB activity in a manner consistent with the demonstrated non-linear relationship. Importantly, the combination of non-invasive measures of NF-κB activity and NF-κB-regulated serum cytokines produced a highly predictive model of both mechanical (R(2) = 0.86) and thermal (R(2) = 0.76) pain centred on the NF-κB regulatory network (NF-κB, IL-6, CXCL1)., Conclusions: Using in vivo luminescent imaging of NF-κB activity and serum cytokine measures, this work establishes NF-κB and NF-κB-regulated cytokines as novel multivariate biomarkers of pain-related sensitivity in this model of neuropathy that may be useful for the rapid screening of novel molecular therapeutics., (© 2015 European Pain Federation - EFIC®)

A simple method was developed for detection of Bacillus anthracis (BA) endospores and for differentiation of them from other species in the Bacillus cereus group. Chemical profiles that include lipids (i.e., fatty acids), carbohydrates (i.e., sugars), and the spore-specific biomarker, dipicolinic acid, were generated by one-step thermochemolysis (TCM) at 140 °C in 5 min to provide specific biomarker signatures. Anthrose, which is a biomarker characteristic of the B. cereus group of bacteria, was determined from a fragment produced by TCM. Surprisingly, several virulent BA strains contained very low levels of anthrose, which confounded their detection. A statistical discrimination algorithm was constructed using a combination of biomarkers, which was robust against different growth conditions (medium and temperature). Fifteen endospore-forming Bacillus species were confirmed in a statistically designed test (~90%) using the algorithm, including six BA strains (four virulent isolates), five B. thuringiensis (BT) isolates, and one isolate each for B. cereus (BC), B. mycoides (BM), B. atrophaeus (BG), and B. subtilis (BS). The detection limit for B. anthracis was found to be 50,000 endospores, on the basis of the GC/MS detection limits for 3-methyl-2-butenoic acid methyl ester, which is the biomarker derived from TCM of anthrose., (© 2011 American Chemical Society)