1. Changes in plant community composition lag behind climate warming in lowland forests
- Author
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Jean-Claude Pierrat, Romain Bertrand, Jean-Claude Gégout, Patrice de Ruffray, Christian Piedallu, Gabriela Riofrio-Dillon, Claude Vidal, Jonathan Lenoir, Laboratoire d'Etudes des Ressources Forêt-Bois (LERFoB), Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-AgroParisTech, Ecoinformatics & Biodiversity Group, Department of Bioscience, Aarhus University [Aarhus], Institut de biologie moléculaire des plantes (IBMP), Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), We thank J.-D. Bontemps and P. Merian for comments, V. Perez, F. Lebourgeois and E. K. Cavalheri for help in the compilation of the meteorological database, V. Perez for technical support in GIS, I. Seynave for management of the EcoPlant database, H. Brisse, J. Drapier and F. Morneau for contributions to the Sophy and NFI databases, and all who have participated in the conception of the EcoPlant, Sophy and NFI databases. The phytoecological database (EcoPlant) was funded by the French Institute of Agricultural, Forest and Environmental Engineering (ENGREF, AgroParisTech), the National Forest Department (ONF), and the French Agency for Environment and Energy Management (ADEME). J. L. acknowledges a grant from the Danish Council for Independent Research - Natural Sciences (272-07-0242 to J.-C. Svenning). This study was funded through a PhD grant to R. B. by ADEME and the Regional Council of Lorraine., AgroParisTech-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), and Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Strasbourg (UNISTRA)
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0106 biological sciences ,multidisciplinary sciences ,[SDV.SA]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Agricultural sciences ,science and technology ,Time Factors ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Species distribution ,Climate change ,010603 evolutionary biology ,01 natural sciences ,Global Warming ,History, 21st Century ,Models, Biological ,écologie ,Trees ,Altitude ,Ecosystem ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Multidisciplinary ,Habitat fragmentation ,botanique ,Ecology ,climate science ,Global warming ,Temperature ,Plant community ,15. Life on land ,History, 20th Century ,Plants ,Biota ,Geography ,plant science ,13. Climate action ,Threatened species ,France ,ecology ,science climatique - Abstract
Climate change is driving latitudinal and altitudinal shifts in species distribution worldwide(1,2), leading to novel species assemblages(3,4). Lags between these biotic responses and contemporary climate changes have been reported for plants and animals(5). Theoretically, the magnitude of these lags should be greatest in lowland areas, where the velocity of climate change is expected to be much greater than that in highland areas(6). We compared temperature trends to temperatures reconstructed from plant assemblages (observed in 76,634 surveys) over a 44-year period in France (1965-2008). Here we report that forest plant communities had responded to 0.54 degrees C of the effective increase of 1.07 degrees C in highland areas (500-2,600 m above sea level), while they had responded to only 0.02 degrees C of the 1.11 degrees C warming trend in lowland areas. There was a larger temperature lag (by 3.1 times) between the climate and plant community composition in lowland forests than in highland forests. The explanation of such disparity lies in the following properties of lowland, as compared to highland, forests: the higher proportion of species with greater ability for local persistence as the climate warms(7), the reduced opportunity for short-distance escapes(8,9), and the greater habitat fragmentation. Although mountains are currently considered to be among the ecosystems most threatened by climate change (owing to mountaintop extinction), the current inertia of plant communities in lowland forests should also be noted, as it could lead to lowland biotic attrition(10).
- Published
- 2011
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