1. Severity of Asymptomatic Carotid Stenosis and Risk of Ipsilateral Hemispheric Ischaemic Events: Results from the ACSRS Study
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Nicolaides, A, Kakkos, S, Griffin, M, Sabetai, M, Dhanjil, S, Tegos, T, Thomas, D, Giannoukas, A, Geroulakos, G, Georgiou, N, Francis, S, Ioannidou, E, Doré, C, Adovasio, R, Ziani, B, Aló, E, Cicilioni, C, Ambrosio, G, Andreev, A, Andreozzi, G, Verlato, F, Camporese, G, Arosio, E, Barkauskas, E, Barros D'Sa, A, Brannigan, P, Batchvarova, V, Dramov, A, Belardi, P, Novelli, G, Simoni, G, Bell, P, Bornstein, N, Bouchier Hayes, D, Fitzgerald, P, Cairols, M, Cao, P, DeRango, P, Carboni, G, Geoffredo, C, Catalano, M, Chambers, B, Goetzmann, M, Dickinson, A, Clement, D, Bobelyn, M, Coccheri, S, Conti, E, Diamantopolous, E, Andreadis, E, Middleton, L, Pantziaris, M, Tyllis, T, Minar, E, Willfort, A, Moggi, L, Nenci, G, Radicchia, S, Norgren, L, Ribbie, E, Novo, S, Tantillo, R, Olinic, D, Paaske, W, Pagnan, A, Pauletto, P, Pagliara, V, Pettina, G, Pratesi, C, Matticari, S, Polivka, J, Sevcik, P, Poredos, P, Blinc, A, Videcnik, V, Pujia, A, Raso, A, Rispoli, P, Conforti, M, Robinson, T, Dennis, M, Rosfors, S, Rudofsky, G, Schroeder, T, Gronholdt, M, Finocchi, C, Rodriguez, G, Dimakakos, P, Kotsis, T, Eikelboom, B, Entz, L, Ferrari Bardilleas, n, Aloi, T, Salerno, M, Fernandes, J., BIASI, GIORGIO MARIA, MINGAZZINI, PAOLO, Nicolaides, A, Kakkos, S, Griffin, M, Sabetai, M, Dhanjil, S, Tegos, T, Thomas, D, Giannoukas, A, Geroulakos, G, Georgiou, N, Francis, S, Ioannidou, E, Doré, C, Adovasio, R, Ziani, B, Aló, E, Cicilioni, C, Ambrosio, G, Andreev, A, Andreozzi, G, Verlato, F, Camporese, G, Arosio, E, Barkauskas, E, Barros D'Sa, A, Brannigan, P, Batchvarova, V, Dramov, A, Belardi, P, Novelli, G, Simoni, G, Bell, P, Biasi, G, Mingazzini, P, Bornstein, N, Bouchier Hayes, D, Fitzgerald, P, Cairols, M, Cao, P, Derango, P, Carboni, G, Geoffredo, C, Catalano, M, Chambers, B, Goetzmann, M, Dickinson, A, Clement, D, Bobelyn, M, Coccheri, S, Conti, E, Diamantopolous, E, Andreadis, E, Middleton, L, Pantziaris, M, Tyllis, T, Minar, E, Willfort, A, Moggi, L, Nenci, G, Radicchia, S, Norgren, L, Ribbie, E, Novo, S, Tantillo, R, Olinic, D, Paaske, W, Pagnan, A, Pauletto, P, Pagliara, V, Pettina, G, Pratesi, C, Matticari, S, Polivka, J, Sevcik, P, Poredos, P, Blinc, A, Videcnik, V, Pujia, A, Raso, A, Rispoli, P, Conforti, M, Robinson, T, Dennis, M, Rosfors, S, Rudofsky, G, Schroeder, T, Gronholdt, M, Finocchi, C, Rodriguez, G, Dimakakos, P, Kotsis, T, Eikelboom, B, Entz, L, Ferrari Bardilleas, N, Aloi, T, Salerno, M, Fernandes, J, NICOLAIDES A N, KAKKOS S K, GRIFFIN M, SABETAI M, DHANJIL S, TEGOS T, THOMAS D J, GIANNOUKAS A, GEROULAKOS G, GEORGIOU N, FRANCIS S, IOANNIDOU E, and NOVO S
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Risk ,medicine.medical_specialty ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Carotid Stenosi ,Predictive Value of Test ,Carotid endarterectomy ,Severity of Illness Index ,Asymptomatic ,Brain Ischemia ,chemistry.chemical_compound ,Cerebrovascular Accident ,medicine.artery ,Internal medicine ,Severity of illness ,NASCET ,MED/22 - CHIRURGIA VASCOLARE ,medicine ,Carotid ,Stenosis ,Medicine(all) ,Ultrasonography, Doppler, Duplex ,Creatinine ,business.industry ,Risk Factor ,Incidence (epidemiology) ,medicine.disease ,major clinical study ,Ultrasonography, Duplex, Doppler ,chemistry ,Predictive value of tests ,Cardiology ,Surgery ,ECST ,Radiology ,Internal carotid artery ,medicine.symptom ,Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine ,business ,Human - Abstract
Objectives. This study determines the risk of ipsilateral ischaemic neurological events in relation to the degree of asymptomatic carotid stenosis and other risk factors. Methods. Patients (n = 1115) with asymptomatic internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis greater than 50% in relation to the bulb diameter were followed up for a period of 6-84 (mean 37.1) months. Stenosis was graded using duplex, and clinical and biochemical risk factors were recorded. Results. The relationship between ICA stenosis and event rate is linear when stenosis is expressed by the ECST method, but S-shaped if expressed by the NASCET method. In addition to the ECST grade of stenosis (RR 1.6; 95% CI 1.21-2.15), history of contralateral TIAs (RR 3.0; 95% CI 1.90-4.73) and creatinine in excess of 85 μmol/L (RR 2.1; 95% CI 1.23-3.65) were independent risk predictors. The combination of these three risk factors can identify a high-risk group (7.3% annual event rate and 4.3% annual stroke rate) and a low risk group (2.3% annual event rate and 0.7% annual stroke rate). Conclusions. Linearity between ECST percent stenosis and risk makes this method for grading stenosis more amenable to risk prediction without any transformation not only in clinical practice but also when multivariable analysis is to be used. Identification of additional risk factors provides a new approach to risk stratification and should help refine the indications for carotid endarterectomy. © 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
- Published
- 2005
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