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Under "dual-carbon" goals and rapid renewable energy growth, increasing start-stop frequency poses new challenges to safe operations of pumped-storage power plant equipment. Ensuring equipment safety and predictive maintenance under complex conditions urgently requires vibration warnings and trend forecasting for pumped-storage units. In this study, the measured vibration-signal characteristics of pumped-storage units in a strong background-noise environment are obtained using a noise-reduction method that integrates BA-VMD and wavelet thresholding. We monitored the vibration-signal data of hydroelectric units over a long period of time, and the measured vibration-signal characteristics of pumped-storage units in a strong background-noise environment are accurately obtained using a noise-reduction method that integrates BA-VMD and wavelet thresholding. In this paper, a BP neural network prediction model, a support vector machine (SVM) prediction model, a convolutional neural network (CNN) prediction model, and a long short-term memory network (LSTM) prediction model are used to predict the trend of vibration signals of the pumped-storage unit under different operating conditions. The model prediction effect is analyzed by using the different error evaluation functions, and the prediction results are compared with the predicted results of the four different methods. By comparing the prediction effects of the four different methods, it is concluded that LSTM has higher prediction accuracy and can predict the vibration trends of hydropower units more accurately. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Currently, the alarm functions of existing levee seepage monitoring systems are limited to single-parameter monitoring and lack rate-of-change alarms and correlation alarms. This can lead to false alarms, missed alarms, equipment failures, or unnecessary downtime. To enhance the intelligence of levee safety monitoring and seepage alarms, a levee seepage intelligent alarm system based on a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BILSTM) network model was designed and implemented. Firstly, data cleaning and preprocessing are carried out on the engineering safety monitoring operation data to reduce the influence of dirty data such as outliers and repetitive values on the accuracy of alarms. Secondly, for the correlation between the piezometric tube water levels of the levee and the Yangtze River water levels, a correlation analysis based on Mutual Information (MI) theory was conducted to minimize the effect of piezometric tube water level change delays on correlation. Finally, the BILSTM model was used to predict trends in these potentially abnormal data intervals. Based on engineering application requirements, alarm thresholds were established, and a multi-level alarm module was developed. Field operation test results show that the proposed method can accurately predict the piezometric tube water levels of levees, achieving intelligent alarms within the engineering safety monitoring system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate prediction of nitrogen oxide (NOx) emission is crucial for effectively controlling pollution in municipal solid waste incineration processes. However, it is challenging to construct a NOx emission prediction model with high prediction accuracy and easy engineering application. To address this, this paper proposes a robust and easily applicable NOx emission trend prediction model oriented to engineering applications, utilizing the partial least squares (PLS) method with the time series reconstruction and exponential weighting (TS‐EW‐PLS). The model is verified using operational data from an actual waste incineration process, and comparative analysis with the PLS model showed that the TS‐EW‐PLS model achieved a remarkable improvement of 27–38 % in prediction performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Computer Measurement & Control is the property of Magazine Agency of Computer Measurement & Control and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Vibration trend prediction of hydropower units is of great significance to ensure the safe and stable operation of hydropower units. To address the limitations of existing models for predicting the vibration trend of hydropower units. In this paper, we propose a combined trend prediction model based on adaptive multivariate variational mode decomposition (WOA-MVMD) and bidirectional short-duration memory neural network (BiLSTM). The model adopts multivariate variational modal decomposition (MVMD) to decompose multi-channel data synchronously, retains the coupling between the original data channels, adopts whale optimization algorithm (WOA) to optimize the selection of MVMD decomposition parameters, avoids the shortcomings caused by manual parameter selection, and realizes the optimal adaptive decomposition of vibration sequences. A series of IMF sub-sequences obtained from modal decomposition are normalized. Then the BiLSTM trend prediction network is established for each subsequence signal, and the final prediction result is obtained by superposition and reconstruction of the subsequence prediction results. Based on the actual operation data of a power station in China, the proposed model is proved and tested, and the high prediction accuracy of the proposed model has been verified. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Environmental capacity (EC) serves as the basis for environmental planning and management, as a key indicator for assessing environmental risk and quality, and as a foundation for achieving sustainable development. Studies on EC typically address agricultural or urban rather than pastoral areas, with few examining agro-pastoral areas. The EC of the Tibetan Plateau is particularly important, considering its importance as an agricultural area and ecological reserve. To address this gap, the Qingshizui area in Menyuan County, a typical agro–pastoral area on the Tibetan Plateau, was selected to quantify soil EC and its spatial distribution. In terms of the dynamic and static annual soil EC for this region, the heavy metals were ranked as follows, in ascending order: Cd, Hg, Co, As, Sb, Ni, Cu, Pb, Cr, and Zn. Most of the areas with high residual EC were in the west. For the 10 heavy metals, residual EC was significantly affected by geological background. For all the heavy metals except Zn and Hg, residual EC was significantly affected by soil type. The heavy metal elements in the agro-pastoral area’s soil are mildly enriched, suggesting minimal human impact. The composite EC index of this soil is 0.98, indicating an intermediate EC and low health risk. This study underscores that integrating agriculture and pastoralism can optimize land use and mitigate ecological pressures associated with these practices when done separately. Our research provides valuable insights for resource optimization, environmental conservation, and enhancing the welfare of farmers and herders in the Qinghai-Tibet region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Stock index trend prediction is a very important topic in the finance. The purpose of this paper is to compare six ensemble learning related techniques for stock index direction prediction, including four boosting methods (Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT)), one bagging method (Random Forest (RF)) and one tree-structured machine learning method (Decision Tree (DT)). The Shanghai Composite Index is chosen for experimental evaluation. A factor library of seventy-two technical factors, thirty-five macro factors and seven micro factors are our inputs. Our predictions are one month ahead, and each prediction model is evaluated by the Area Under Curve (AUC). The results indicate that ensemble learning techniques perform well in stock index prediction, with all AUC values above 0.5. RF is considered as the top algorithm with an AUC value of 0.7355 before feature selection and 0.6736 after feature selection. Also, we predict the stock index trend using a comprehensive factor library and three single factor libraries, respectively. The results show that forecasting stock index directions with a complete factor library is of great importance, which could achieve more stable forecasting results. This study contributes to literature in that it is, to the best of our knowledge, the first to make an extensive evaluation of ensemble learning related methods by constructing a comprehensive factor library and three single factor libraries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Currently, the alarm functions of existing levee seepage monitoring systems are limited to single-parameter monitoring and lack rate-of-change alarms and correlation alarms. This can lead to false alarms, missed alarms, equipment failures, or unnecessary downtime. To enhance the intelligence of levee safety monitoring and seepage alarms, a levee seepage intelligent alarm system based on a Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BILSTM) network model was designed and implemented. Firstly, data cleaning and preprocessing are carried out on the engineering safety monitoring operation data to reduce the influence of dirty data such as outliers and repetitive values on the accuracy of alarms. Secondly, for the correlation between the piezometric tube water levels of the levee and the Yangtze River water levels, a correlation analysis based on Mutual Information (MI) theory was conducted to minimize the effect of piezometric tube water level change delays on correlation. Finally, the BILSTM model was used to predict trends in these potentially abnormal data intervals. Based on engineering application requirements, alarm thresholds were established, and a multi-level alarm module was developed. Field operation test results show that the proposed method can accurately predict the piezometric tube water levels of levees, achieving intelligent alarms within the engineering safety monitoring system.

Abstract Mountainous ethnic tourism lands are important social-ecological system types. With tourism as the main disturbance factor, the theory of social-ecological system resilience provides a new way to realize the sustainable development of ethno-tourism in mountainous areas. This study divides the social-ecological system into social, economic, and ecological subsystems. It constructs an evaluation index system to assess the resilience of ethnic tourism destinations in mountainous areas, considering vulnerability and adaptability. We investigate 64 counties in the Wuling Mountain area and use set-pair analysis to assess the resilience index of the social-ecological system from 2000 to 2020 and reveal the temporal and spatial characteristics. Obstacle degree models and a genetic algorithm-back propagation neural network are utilized to determine the influencing factors and predict future development trends. The following results were obtained: (1) Temporally, the resilience index shows a steady upward trend, reaching a moderate level. The resilience of the social subsystem fluctuates and rises; the economic subsystem exhibits slow, fast, and slow growth rates with occasional abrupt changes; and the ecological subsystem demonstrates a stable, slightly increasing trend. (2) Spatially, the resilience index is high at the edges and low in the central area, exhibiting a concave distribution. Most counties have moderate or higher resilience. The social and ecological subsystems have low resilience in the south and high resilience in the north. The resilience of the economic subsystem is high at the edges and low in the central area. (3) On the distribution of major obstacle factors, the first two are similar at the county level, and the last three are significantly different. The similarity of the barrier factors is related to the degree of regional proximity of the county, and overall, the similarity is decreasing from north to south and from west to east in the distribution pattern within the area. and to a certain extent, it is affected by terrain and geomorphology. (4) The spatial distribution of the resilience index is similar in 2025 and 2030. The index decreases slightly and then increases annually, with a lower growth rate in the south than in the north. Lower values occur in the northern and southwestern parts, whereas higher values are observed around high-value areas. The region as a whole will develop in a coordinated and integrated manner in the future.

Background Intestinal infectious diseases are one of the common infectious diseases. Analysis and prediction of their epidemic status can provide certain reference for the prevention and treatment of intestinal infectious diseases. Objective To understand the incidence and mortality of three enteric infectious diseases, including diarrheal diseases, typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever, and invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella intestinal infections in China from 1990 to 2019, and to predict their morbidity and mortality from 2020 to 2030, so as to provide reference for the prevention and control of intestinal infectious diseases. Methods Based on the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Database (GBD), the incidence and mortality data of three enteric infectious diseases, including diarrheal diseases, typhoid fever and paratyphoid fever, and invasive non-typhoidal Salmonella intestinal infections in China from 1990 to 2019 were collected. The change rate (%) and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) were used to describe the changing trends of the above three intestinal infectious diseases. The autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA) was used to predict the morbidity and mortality of the above three enteric infectious diseases in China from 2020 to 2030. Results There was no statistically significant change in the incidence of diarrheal diseases from 1990 to 2019 (EAPC=0.09, P>0.05), while the incidence of typhoid fever, paratyphoid fever and invasive non-typhoid salmonella intestinal infections showed a downward trend (EAPC were -4.0% and -0.64% respectively, P

Abstract Green manufacturing has become a necessary way to promote new industrialization and realize the high-quality development of China’s manufacturing industry. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022, this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the green manufacturing development level and introduces the TOPSIS- Gray correlation method to comprehensively measure the green manufacturing development level of China as a whole and the four major regions in the eastern, central, western, and northeastern parts of the country. The regional differences, distribution dynamics and evolutionary trends of China's green manufacturing development level are also explored with the help of the Gini coefficient, kernel density estimation and Markov chain methods. Research Findings: (1) The green manufacturing development level in China is on an upward trend, with an overall spatial distribution pattern of “East is superior and West is inferior”. (2) There are regional differences in the green manufacturing development level in China, and the differences are widening, with interregional differences being the main reason for this overall difference. (3) The country as a whole, the central region and the western region are polarized to varying degrees, with the rest of the country showing an improvement in polarization. (4) Without considering spatial factors, the development of green manufacturing in each province experiences “club convergence” in the short term, and it is difficult to realize rapid development. Considering spatial factors, China's green manufacturing development level is generally characterized by “elevated in proximity to high levels and suppressed in proximity to low levels”, and in the long run, it shows a distribution trend toward the concentration of high values. The findings of this study can provide new ideas for promoting synergistic efficient development of green manufacturing in China.

As an ingenious convergence between the Internet of Things and social networks, the Social Internet of Things (SIoT) can provide effective and intelligent information services and has become one of the main platforms for people to spread and share information. Nevertheless, SIoT is characterized by high openness and autonomy, multiple kinds of information can spread rapidly, freely and cooperatively in SIoT, which makes it challenging to accurately reveal the characteristics of the information diffusion process and effectively control its diffusion. To this end, with the aim of exploring multi-information cooperative diffusion processes in SIoT, we first develop a dynamics model for multi-information cooperative diffusion based on the system dynamics theory in this paper. Subsequently, the characteristics and laws of the dynamical evolution process of multi-information cooperative diffusion are theoretically investigated, and the diffusion trend is predicted. On this basis, to further control the multi-information cooperative diffusion process efficiently, we propose two control strategies for information diffusion with control objectives, develop an optimal control system for the multi-information cooperative diffusion process, and propose the corresponding optimal control method. The optimal solution distribution of the control strategy satisfying the control system constraints and the control budget constraints is solved using the optimal control theory. Finally, extensive simulation experiments based on real dataset from Twitter validate the correctness and effectiveness of the proposed model, strategy and method.

Green manufacturing has become a necessary way to promote new industrialization and realize the high-quality development of China's manufacturing industry. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2022, this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the green manufacturing development level and introduces the TOPSIS- Gray correlation method to comprehensively measure the green manufacturing development level of China as a whole and the four major regions in the eastern, central, western, and northeastern parts of the country. The regional differences, distribution dynamics and evolutionary trends of China's green manufacturing development level are also explored with the help of the Gini coefficient, kernel density estimation and Markov chain methods. Research Findings: (1) The green manufacturing development level in China is on an upward trend, with an overall spatial distribution pattern of "East is superior and West is inferior". (2) There are regional differences in the green manufacturing development level in China, and the differences are widening, with interregional differences being the main reason for this overall difference. (3) The country as a whole, the central region and the western region are polarized to varying degrees, with the rest of the country showing an improvement in polarization. (4) Without considering spatial factors, the development of green manufacturing in each province experiences "club convergence" in the short term, and it is difficult to realize rapid development. Considering spatial factors, China's green manufacturing development level is generally characterized by "elevated in proximity to high levels and suppressed in proximity to low levels", and in the long run, it shows a distribution trend toward the concentration of high values. The findings of this study can provide new ideas for promoting synergistic efficient development of green manufacturing in China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Predicting what becomes popular on social media is crucial because it helps us understand future topics and public interests based on massive social data. Previous studies mainly focused on picking specific features and checking past statistic numbers, ignoring the hidden impact of messages passing along the complex relationships among different entities. People talk and connect with others on social media; thus, it is essential to consider how information spreads when studying social media networks. This work proposes a multi-layer temporal graph neural network (GNN) framework for predicting what will be popular on social media networks. This framework takes into account the way information spreads among different entities. The proposed method involves multi-layer relations and temporal information within a sequence of social media network snapshots. It learns the temporal representations of target entities in each snapshot and predicts how the popularity of a particular entity will change in future snapshots. The proposed method is evaluated with real-world data across four popularity trend prediction tasks. The experimental results prove that the proposed method performs better than various baselines, including traditional machine learning regression approaches, prior methods for popularity trend prediction, and other GNN models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Oil monitoring plays an important role in early maintenance of mechanical equipment on account of the fact that lubricating oil contains a large amount of wear information. However, due to extreme industrial environment and long-term service, the data history and the sample size of lubricating oil are very limited. Therefore, to address problems due to a lack of oil samples, this paper proposes a new prediction strategy that fuses the domain shifts with uncertainty (DSU) method and long short-term memory (LSTM) method. The proposed DSU-LSTM model combines the advantages of the DSU model, such as increasing data diversity and uncertainty, reducing the impact of independent or identical domains on neural network training, and mitigating domain changes between different oil data histories, with the advantages of LSTM in predicting time series, thereby improving prediction capability. To validate the proposed method, a case study with real lubricating oil data is conducted, and comparisons are given by calculating the root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean relative error (MRE) with LSTM, support vector machine (SVM), and DSU-SVM models. The results illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed DSU-LSTM method for lubricating oil, and the robustness of the prediction model can be improved as well. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With the rapid development of the fashion industry and the increasing diversification of consumer needs, accurately predicting the fashion trends of clothing elements has become an urgent problem in the field of art design. In order to solve these problems, this paper uses deep learning technology for fashion trend prediction and optimization of prediction models. Firstly, the EfficientNet-b7 model is constructed as an attribute predictor to accurately extract the attributes of clothing image elements. Then, based on user information, popular elements are grouped and counted to solve the problem of different populations having different opinions on popular trends. The prediction model is constructed based on the bidirectional long short-term memory network encoder decoder framework, which trains trend information as a whole and utilizes element coexistence relationships to assist in trend prediction. Meanwhile, the study uses random sampling method for clothing original adoption, and the experimental results show that the model considering coexistence relationship performs the best in terms of mean absolute error and mean absolute percentage error, which are 0.0132 and 14.68%, respectively. In addition, the model that introduces attention mechanism based on trend similarity has improved by 5.09% and 4.54% on two indicators compared to the latest model. The experimental results indicate that coexistence relationships can help improve the performance of prediction models. The attention mechanism based on trend similarity can further improve model performance by similarity comparison between historical information and changing trend, and selecting similar historical information as an important influencing factor for future trends. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Computer Measurement & Control is the property of Magazine Agency of Computer Measurement & Control and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

We present an Natural Language Processing based analysis on the phenomenon of "Meme Stocks", which has emerged as a result of the proliferation of neo-brokers like Robinhood and the massive increase in the number of small-scale stock investors. Such investors often use specific Social Media channels to share short-term investment decisions and strategies, resulting in partial collusion and planning of investment decisions. The impact of online communities on the stock prices of affected companies has been considerable in the short term. This paper has two objectives. Firstly, we chronologically model the discourse on the most prominent platforms. Secondly, we examine the potential for using collaboratively made investment decisions as a means to assist in the selection of potential investments.. To understand the investment decision-making processes of small-scale investors, we analyze data from Social Media platforms like Reddit, Stocktwits and Seeking Alpha. Our methodology combines Sentiment Analysis and Topic Modelling. Sentiment Analysis is conducted using VADER and a fine-tuned BERT model. For Topic Modelling, we utilize LDA, NMF and the state-of-the-art BERTopic. We identify the topics and shapes of discussions over time and evaluate the potential for leveraging information of the decision-making process of investors for trading choices. We utilize Random Forest and Neural Network Models to show that latent information in discussions can be exploited for trend prediction of stocks affected by Social Network driven herd behavior. Our findings provide valuable insights into content and sentiment of discussions and are a vehicle to improve efficient trading decisions for stocks affected from short-term herd behavior. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Promoting the coupling coordinated development of the digital economy and new-type urbanization is important for sustainable development in China. By constructing an indicator system of the coupling coordinated development of the digital economy and new-type urbanization based on panel data of China from 2013 to 2021, this study evaluates the coupling coordination degree of the two systems and identifies the influence of crucial driving factors. The results show that the coupling coordination degree of the two systems has increased over time for all regions, while the eastern region has been kept as the best and the western region the worst. In the next 5 years, the differences in the coupling coordination development of the two systems between regions are predicted to reduce gradually, and the central and western regions are catching up with the eastern region. The effects of key driving factors are gradually increasing, with economic development and technological innovation as the leading factors for the coupling coordination development of the two systems. These results are valuable for improving the policy measures to promote the coupling coordination development of the two systems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BackgroundIn the context of rapid economic and social development, there has been a continuous intensification of population aging, transformation of disease patterns, and wide application of new medical technologies. As a result, health expenditures in various countries have sharply soared. How to utilize limited medical resources to maximize the improvement of health levels has become a hot and challenging issue related to the well-being of all humanity. The relevant indicators of total health expenditure play a crucial role in monitoring and evaluating the fairness of health financing and health security in the region.ObjectiveThis study explores the changes in the main expenses that constitute China’s total health expenditure and uses indicators related to health expenditure to observe the changes and future development trends of China’s health expenditure. Based on this, the utilization of China’s health expenditure is monitored to identify possible problems, and thereby targeted suggestions for promoting the development of China’s health and wellness cause are put forward.MethodsBased on the comparison of previous literature, this paper analyzes the changes and future development trends in China’s health expenditure by using the relevant indicators of China’s health expenditure through the structural variation analysis method and the gray prediction model.ResultsThe results show that the scale of government, social, and out-of-pocket health expenditures has continuously expanded, with social health expenditures becoming the main funding source for total health expenditures. The burden of medical expenditures on individuals has been further reduced. In the institutional method of total health expenditures, hospital expenditures account for about 60% of the total and are the main component. The expenditures of health administration and medical insurance management institutions are the main driving force behind the growth of total health expenditures. However, the proportion of health expenditures in China’s GDP is relatively low, so more investment is needed in the healthcare sector, and the burden of individual medical expenses also needs to be continuously reduced.DiscussionIn the future, China should further increase its investment in the medical and health sector. Specifically, the government should persist in investing in fundamental medical and health services. Simultaneously, efforts should be made to establish a scientific cost control mechanism for pharmaceuticals and broaden financing channels for healthcare, such as accelerating the development of commercial health insurance.

Abstract Predicting what becomes popular on social media is crucial because it helps us understand future topics and public interests based on massive social data. Previous studies mainly focused on picking specific features and checking past statistic numbers, ignoring the hidden impact of messages passing along the complex relationships among different entities. People talk and connect with others on social media; thus, it is essential to consider how information spreads when studying social media networks. This work proposes a multi-layer temporal graph neural network (GNN) framework for predicting what will be popular on social media networks. This framework takes into account the way information spreads among different entities. The proposed method involves multi-layer relations and temporal information within a sequence of social media network snapshots. It learns the temporal representations of target entities in each snapshot and predicts how the popularity of a particular entity will change in future snapshots. The proposed method is evaluated with real-world data across four popularity trend prediction tasks. The experimental results prove that the proposed method performs better than various baselines, including traditional machine learning regression approaches, prior methods for popularity trend prediction, and other GNN models.

Abstract Cryptocurrency has become a popular trading asset due to its security, anonymity, and decentralization. However, predicting the direction of the financial market can be challenging, leading to difficult financial decisions and potential losses. The purpose of this study is to gain insights into the impact of Fibonacci technical indicator (TI) and multi-class classification based on trend direction and price-strength (trend-strength) to improve the performance and profitability of artificial intelligence (AI) models, particularly hybrid convolutional neural network (CNN) incorporating long short-term memory (LSTM), and to modify it to reduce its complexity. The main contribution of this paper lies in its introduction of Fibonacci TI, demonstrating its impact on financial prediction, and incorporation of a multi-classification technique focusing on trend strength, thereby enhancing the depth and accuracy of predictions. Lastly, profitability analysis sheds light on the tangible benefits of utilizing Fibonacci and multi-classification. The research methodology employed to carry out profitability analysis is based on a hybrid investment strategy—direction and strength by employing a six-stage predictive system: data collection, preprocessing, sampling, training and prediction, investment simulation, and evaluation. Empirical findings show that the Fibonacci TI has improved its performance (44% configurations) and profitability (68% configurations) of AI models. Hybrid CNNs showed most performance improvements particularly the C-LSTM model for trend (binary-0.0023) and trend-strength (4 class-0.0020) and 6 class-0.0099). Hybrid CNNs showed improved profitability, particularly in CLSTM, and performance in CLSTM mod. Trend-strength prediction showed max improvements in long strategy ROI (6.89%) and average ROIs for long-short strategy. Regarding the choice between hybrid CNNs, the C-LSTM mod is a viable option for trend-strength prediction at 4-class and 6-class due to better performance and profitability.

In order to effectively manage their customers, businesses need to thoroughly analyze the costs and advantages associated with various alternative expenditures and investments and determine the most effective way to allocate resources to marketing and sales activities over time. Those in charge of making decisions will reap the benefits of decision support models that estimate the value of the customer portfolio and tie expenses to customers' purchasing behavior. In the current work, various machine learning algorithms such as Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RT), Logistic Regression (LR), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and gradient boosting are used to predict customer behavior. The evaluation criteria considered in the work include precision, recall, F1-Score, and ROC-AUC. The accuracy values obtained for DT, RT, LR, SVM, and gradient boosting are 0.787, 0.806, 0.826, 0.826, and 0.823, respectively. The results emphasize RT and LR's good performance, while the values of 0.620, 1, 0.766, and 0.878 for the precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC-AUC score outperform the rest. The novelty of this work lies in employing a comprehensive set of machine learning algorithms to predict customer behavior, with a particular emphasis on the superior performance of RF and LR models, as demonstrated by their high precision, recall, F1-score, and ROC-AUC values.

Cryptocurrency has become a popular trading asset due to its security, anonymity, and decentralization. However, predicting the direction of the financial market can be challenging, leading to difficult financial decisions and potential losses. The purpose of this study is to gain insights into the impact of Fibonacci technical indicator (TI) and multi-class classification based on trend direction and price-strength (trend-strength) to improve the performance and profitability of artificial intelligence (AI) models, particularly hybrid convolutional neural network (CNN) incorporating long short-term memory (LSTM), and to modify it to reduce its complexity. The main contribution of this paper lies in its introduction of Fibonacci TI, demonstrating its impact on financial prediction, and incorporation of a multi-classification technique focusing on trend strength, thereby enhancing the depth and accuracy of predictions. Lastly, profitability analysis sheds light on the tangible benefits of utilizing Fibonacci and multi-classification. The research methodology employed to carry out profitability analysis is based on a hybrid investment strategy—direction and strength by employing a six-stage predictive system: data collection, preprocessing, sampling, training and prediction, investment simulation, and evaluation. Empirical findings show that the Fibonacci TI has improved its performance (44% configurations) and profitability (68% configurations) of AI models. Hybrid CNNs showed most performance improvements particularly the C-LSTM model for trend (binary-0.0023) and trend-strength (4 class-0.0020) and 6 class-0.0099). Hybrid CNNs showed improved profitability, particularly in CLSTM, and performance in CLSTM mod. Trend-strength prediction showed max improvements in long strategy ROI (6.89%) and average ROIs for long-short strategy. Regarding the choice between hybrid CNNs, the C-LSTM mod is a viable option for trend-strength prediction at 4-class and 6-class due to better performance and profitability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Social networks accelerate information communication in public health emergencies. Some negative information may cause an outbreak of public opinion crisis. Accurately predicting online public opinion trends can help the relevant departments take timely and effective measures to cope with risks. Therefore, this research proposes a prediction model incorporating the swarm intelligence optimization algorithm and the deep learning method. In this model, we improve the Harris Hawks Optimization (HHO) algorithm by introducing the Cauchy distribution function, the stochastic contraction exponential function, and the adaptive inertia weight. Then we utilize the improved HHO (IHHO) algorithm to optimize the hyperparameters of the deep learning method LSTM, including the learning rate and the number of neurons in the hidden layer. Finally, we construct the IHHO-LSTM model to make predictions in three public health emergencies. The experiments verify that the proposed model outperforms other single and hybrid models. The MAPE values reduce by 78.34%, 54.46%, and 46.42% relative to the average values of the three single models. Compared with the mean values of the two hybrid models, the MAPE values decrease by 47.69%, 18.45%, and 5.78%. The IHHO-LSTM model can be applied to public opinion early warning and reversal identification, providing a reference in public opinion management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

As a prestigious and unique journal on total quality management (TQM), Total Quality Management & Business Excellence (TQM&BE) has significantly contributed to theoretical and practical advancement. Retrieving 2588 literature from Scopus between 1990 and 2022, this paper applies CiteSpace and VOSviewer to analyze the publications per year and by geographic distribution, productive authors, highly cited literature, and related journals. Through combining content analysis, research content and hotspots of eight key themes are summarized. Additionally, this paper compares TQM&BE with seven journals on quality management, and predicts development potential of impact factor and quartile by ARIMA method. The results show the following: (1) With the growth in publications, TQM&BE has been gaining approval from numerous countries worldwide, especially in universities in China, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Sweden. (2) TQM&BE publishes many highly cited classics in areas such as frameworks of TQM, customer satisfaction, and improvement of quality innovation approaches, effectively expanding accumulation of achievements. (3) Sustainable quality management, excellence 4.0, role of e-service quality in customer loyalty, and upgradation of Kano model are its recent hotspots. (4) TQM&BE is projected to maintain high-speed growth in impact factor, while its academic authority will increasingly surpass other journals on quality management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Journal of Ecology & Rural Environment is the property of Journal of Ecology & Rural Environment Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

The quantitative analysis and prediction of spatiotemporal patterns of land use in Haihe River Basin are of great significance for land use and ecological planning management. To reveal the changes in land use and carbon stock, the spatial–temporal pattern of land use data in the Haihe River Basin from 2000 to 2020 was studied via Mann–Kendall (MK) trend analysis, the transfer matrix, and land use dynamic attitude. Through integrating the models of the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) and the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), the results of the spatial distribution of land use and carbon stock were obtained and compared with Cellular Automation (CA-Markov), and then applied to predict the spatial distribution in 2025. The results show the following: (1) The land use and land cover (LULC) changes in the Haihe River Basin primarily involve an exchange between cultivated land, forest, and grassland, as well as the conversion of cultivated land to built-up land. This transformation contributes to the overall decrease in carbon storage in the basin, which declined by approximately 1.20% from 2000 to 2020. (2) The LULC prediction accuracy of LSTM is nearly 2.00% higher than that of CA-Markov, reaching 95.01%. (3) In 2025, the area of grassland in Haihe River Basin will increase the most, while the area of cultivated land will decrease the most. The spatial distribution of carbon stocks is higher in the northwest and lower in the southeast, and the changing areas are scattered throughout the study area. However, due to the substantial growth of grassland and forest, the carbon stocks in the Haihe River Basin in 2025 will increase by about 10 times compared with 2020. The research results can provide a theoretical basis and reference for watershed land use planning, ecological restoration, and management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurately predicting trends in NOx emission is essential for effectively controlling pollution in municipal solid waste incineration (MSWI) power plants. However, the MSWI process exhibits notable dynamic nonlinearity, time series characteristics, and fluctuations that are distinct from those present in fossil fuel combustion processes. Therefore, the model must possess excellent capabilities in handling time series and nonlinear features while achieving adaptive updates to account for complex working conditions. To address these issues, we have developed a robust prediction model for NOx emission trends using the bi‐directional long short‐term memory (Bi‐LSTM) deep learning algorithm. This model encompasses maximum information coefficient and expert experience for input variables selection, parameter optimization using the linear inertial weight particle swarm algorithm (LDWPSO), and an adaptive update strategy based on probabilistic statistics. The prediction performance of this model was compared to that of the traditional and widely used backpropagation neural network (BPNN), extreme learning machine (ELM), and LSTM. Furthermore, we verified the adaptive update effect of the proposed model using additional data. The results demonstrate that the proposed model exhibits robust prediction and adaptive capabilities. This study's originality is presenting a satisfactory trend prediction for NOx emission from the MSWI process using an adaptive LDWPSO‐(Bi‐LSTM) model. It will be essential for the optimization and control of NOx emissions from the MSWI process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract Objectives Due to the limitations of Twitter, the expansion of Telegram channels, and the Telegram API’s easy use, Telegram comments have become prevalent. Telegram is one of the most popular social networks, unlike Twitter, which has no restrictions on sending messages, and experts can share their opinions and media. Some of these channels, managed by influencers of large companies, are very influential in the behavior of the market on various stocks, including cryptocurrencies. In this research, the opinion collection of 10 famous Telegram channels regarding the analysis of cryptocurrencies has been extracted. The sentiments of these opinions have been analyzed using the HDRB model. HDRB is a hybrid model of RoBERTa deep neural network, BiGRU, and attention layer used for sentiment analysis (SA). Analyzing the sentiments of these opinions is very important for understanding the future behavior of the market and managing the stock portfolio. The opinions of this dataset, published by experts in the field of cryptocurrencies, are precious, unlike the opinions that are extracted only by using the hashtag of the names of cryptocurrencies. On the other hand, the dataset related to cryptocurrencies, which has the opinions of experts and the polarity of their feelings, is very rare. Data description The dataset of this research is the sentiments of more than ten popular Telegram channels regarding a wide range of cryptocurrencies. These comments were collected through the Telegram API from December 2023 to March 2024. This data set contains an Excel file containing the text of the comments, the date of comment creation, the number of views, the compound score, the sentiment score, and the type of sentiment polarity. These opinions cover influencer analysis on a wide range of cryptocurrencies. Also, two Word files, one containing the description of the dataset columns and the other Python code for extracting comments from Telegram channels, are included in this dataset.

Electronic Nose (E-Nose) systems, widely applied across diverse fields, have revolutionized quality control, disease diagnostics, and environmental management through their odor detection and analysis capabilities. The decision and analysis of E-Nose systems often enabled by Machine Learning (ML) models that are trained offline using existing datasets. However, despite their potential, offline training efforts often prove intensive and may still fall short in achieving high generalization ability and specialization for considered application. To address these challenges, this paper introduces the e-rTPNN decision system, which leverages the Recurrent Trend Predictive Neural Network (rTPNN) combined with online transfer learning. The recurrent architecture of the e-rTPNN system effectively captures temporal dependencies and hidden sequential patterns within E-Nose sensor data, enabling accurate estimation of trends and levels. Notably, the system demonstrates the ability to adapt quickly to new data during online operation, requiring only a small offline dataset for initial learning. We evaluate the performance of the e-rTPNN decision system in two domains: beverage quality assessment and medical diagnosis, using publicly available wine quality and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) datasets, respectively. Our evaluation indicates that the proposed e-rTPNN achieves decision accuracy exceeding $97~\%$ while maintaining low execution times. Furthermore, comparative analysis against established Machine Learning (ML) models reveals that the e-rTPNN decision system consistently outperforms these models by a significant margin in terms of accuracy.

Under “dual-carbon” goals and rapid renewable energy growth, increasing start-stop frequency poses new challenges to safe operations of pumped-storage power plant equipment. Ensuring equipment safety and predictive maintenance under complex conditions urgently requires vibration warnings and trend forecasting for pumped-storage units. In this study, the measured vibration-signal characteristics of pumped-storage units in a strong background-noise environment are obtained using a noise-reduction method that integrates BA-VMD and wavelet thresholding. We monitored the vibration-signal data of hydroelectric units over a long period of time, and the measured vibration-signal characteristics of pumped-storage units in a strong background-noise environment are accurately obtained using a noise-reduction method that integrates BA-VMD and wavelet thresholding. In this paper, a BP neural network prediction model, a support vector machine (SVM) prediction model, a convolutional neural network (CNN) prediction model, and a long short-term memory network (LSTM) prediction model are used to predict the trend of vibration signals of the pumped-storage unit under different operating conditions. The model prediction effect is analyzed by using the different error evaluation functions, and the prediction results are compared with the predicted results of the four different methods. By comparing the prediction effects of the four different methods, it is concluded that LSTM has higher prediction accuracy and can predict the vibration trends of hydropower units more accurately.

Copyright of Geology & Exploration is the property of Geology & Exploration Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Numerous studies deal with spatial analysis of green innovation (GI). However, researchers have paid limited attention to analyzing the multi-scale evolution patterns and predicting trends of GI in China. This paper seeks to address this research gap by examining the multi-scale distribution and evolutionary characteristics of GI activities based on the data from 337 cities in China during 2000–2019. We used scale variance and the two-stage nested Theil decomposition method to examine the spatial distribution and inequalities of GI in China at multiple scales, including regional, provincial, and prefectural. Additionally, we utilized the Markov chain and spatial Markov chain to explore the dynamic evolution of GI in China and predict its long-term development. The findings indicate that GI in China has a multi-scale effect and is highly sensitive to changes in spatial scale, with significant spatial differences of GI decreasing in each scale. Furthermore, the spatiotemporal evolution of GI is influenced by both geospatial patterns and spatial scales, exhibiting the “club convergence” effect and a tendency to transfer to higher levels of proximity. This effect is more pronounced on a larger scale, but it is increasingly challenging to transfer to higher levels. The study also indicates a steady and sustained growth of GI in China, which concentrates on higher levels over time. These results contribute to a more precise understanding of the scale at which GI develops and provide a scientific basis and policy suggestions for optimizing the spatial structure of GI and promoting its development in China.

Oil monitoring plays an important role in early maintenance of mechanical equipment on account of the fact that lubricating oil contains a large amount of wear information. However, due to extreme industrial environment and long-term service, the data history and the sample size of lubricating oil are very limited. Therefore, to address problems due to a lack of oil samples, this paper proposes a new prediction strategy that fuses the domain shifts with uncertainty (DSU) method and long short-term memory (LSTM) method. The proposed DSU-LSTM model combines the advantages of the DSU model, such as increasing data diversity and uncertainty, reducing the impact of independent or identical domains on neural network training, and mitigating domain changes between different oil data histories, with the advantages of LSTM in predicting time series, thereby improving prediction capability. To validate the proposed method, a case study with real lubricating oil data is conducted, and comparisons are given by calculating the root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean relative error (MRE) with LSTM, support vector machine (SVM), and DSU-SVM models. The results illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed DSU-LSTM method for lubricating oil, and the robustness of the prediction model can be improved as well.

The negative public opinions and views on overseas direct investment (ODI) of a multinational enterprise (MNE) will damage the image of its brand and are likely to bring it serious economic and social losses. So, it is important for the MNE to understand the formation and spread mechanism of public opinion risk (POR) in order to effectively respond to and guide the public opinion. This research proposed a multifractal-based situation optimization method to explore the POR evolution based on the media-based negative sentiment on China's ODI. The sentiment measurement is obtained by a directed crawler for gathering the text of media reports corresponding to a certain ODI event using a URL knowledge base from the GDELT Event Database. Taking the public opinion crisis of the tax evasion incident of the local arm of China's MNE in India as an example, the experiments show that this method could dynamically monitor the POR event in real-time and help MNE guide the effective control and benign evolution of public opinion of the event. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Managing operations at a tea factory requires consistency and planning. This paper presents a complete platform that uses advanced machine learning methods specifically designed for the tea sector. Sales prediction, churn prediction, trend prediction, and smart inventory management are the four essential features of our solution. While using Neural Networks for Churn Prediction offers exact insights into customer churn, utilizing Gradient Boosting for Sales Prediction guarantees accurate revenue estimates. Linear regression models were used for trend prediction and smart inventory management to enable efficient utilization of resources and trend identification. With the help of this integrated system, tea companies can now operate more profitably and sustainably in a market that is always changing. This research acts as a beacon, demonstrating the revolutionary potential of data-driven management as operations in the tea industry evolve. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Journal of Railway Science & Engineering is the property of Journal of Railway Science & Engineering Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

A novel road slope monitoring and early warning system was developed by integrating 3D image recognition technology and 3D numerical modeling technology for monitoring and predicting slope deformation. It was applied for monitoring and early warning for a road slope in Nanping, Fujian, China. The system consists of equipment information management, data management, forecast and early warning, information release and model visualization modules. It can carry out point-surface-body monitoring, 3D model visualization, damage trend prediction and early warning of landslides. From year 2022, three rainfall events (January 22:19.8 mm/day, April 30:29.2 mm/day, and May 27:31.8 mm/day) were predicted and verified using this system. The results show that: (1) The displacement results of the severely deformed region predicted by numerical simulation are similar to the displacement results of image recognition. With the increase in rainfall intensity, the surface layer of some areas shed 0.18–1.1 m, and the error was within 15%; (2) The predicted position of the deformation area is consistent with the position identified by the image, all of which are at the top of the slope, and a small part is on the right side of the middle of the slope; (3) The fluctuation range of the displacement tangent angle of the three rainfall events is 0–44.32°, the slope is relatively stable as a whole, and it is in the stage of no warning. The successful implementation could provide a reference for slope disaster monitoring and early warning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In light of the pressing concerns about worldwide warming and environmental degradation, understanding the nexus between energy consumption and green development has become vital to fostering a low-carbon transition in energy consumption, and promoting environmentally friendly development. After exploring the connotations of energy consumption and green development, this paper constructed evaluation systems for energy consumption and green development. By leveraging quantitative methods; such as the entropy method, coupling coordination model, spatial Markov model, and gray model GM (1, 1); we conducted an empirical study into the dynamism and evolutionary trends in the coupling coordination degree between energy consumption and green development in China, spanning from 2006 to 2020. Our findings delineate several key trends: (1) overall, the levels of each system have witnessed a marked increase, with the average energy consumption slightly exceeding that of green development; (2) the coupling coordination degree has displayed a consistent rise over time, with spatial distribution patterns exhibiting a "higher in the south, lower in the north" and a "center-edge" characteristic; (3) the dynamic evolution of coupling coordination types manifests a stability, continuity, and heterogeneity, eliciting distinct effects across different neighbourhood types; (4) within the forecast period, the coupling coordination degree among Chinese provinces is projected to undergo further enhancement, with the majority of provinces transitioning from a barely coordinated stage to a coordinated development stage. Above all, to stimulate a more qualitative coupling coordination between energy consumption and green development, this paper provides relevant policy implications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Online social networks (OSNs) provide a platform for users to express opinions, discuss events and exchange ideas. However, the spread of misinformation in OSNs will interfere with users' judgment of useful information and may even cause significant economic losses to society. Exploring the spreading mechanism of misinformation in online social networks is the basis of eliminating the harm brought by misinformation to the network. Firstly, considering the influence of time delay on information spreading in real life, we propose a new misinformation spreading model to explore its spreading mechanism and describe its spreading process. Secondly, we provide the predictive method for studying the spread of misinformation in OSNs and theoretically demonstrate the stability of equilibrium points in the proposed information spreading model. Finally, we conduct simulation experiments based on a real dataset. The results show that compared to the benchmark model, our proposed model can reasonably explore the spreading mechanism and accurately predict the spreading trend of misinformation. Our proposed model and method can further establish a foundation for fast and effectively controlling the spread of misinformation and improving the controllability and efficiency of network communication and information spread. © 2023 Institute of Electrical Engineer of Japan and Wiley Periodicals LLC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To address the problem where the different operating conditions of hydropower units have a large influence on the parameters of the trend prediction model of the operating condition indicators, a support vector regression machine prediction model based on parameter adaptation is proposed in this paper. First, the Aquila optimizer (AO) is improved, and a sine chaotic map is introduced to influence the population initialization process. An improved adaptive weight factor is used to balance the local search and global search capabilities. Second, according to the power and the head, the operating conditions of the unit are refined into several typical sets of operating conditions. On this basis, an SVR model is established using the improved AO search algorithm proposed in this paper, and the prediction parameters under each of the operating condition are optimized to establish the data of the operating conditions and optimal parameters. Then a neural network is used to fit the working condition and the optimal prediction parameters. In addition, the nonlinear function mapping of the complex relationship between the two is constructed. Finally, the constructed mapping relationship is added to the traditional SVR, and an adaptive SVR prediction model suitable for changes in the working conditions of hydropower units is realized. Simulation results show that when compared to the traditional SVR prediction model, the adaptive SVR prediction model designed in this paper can automatically adjust the prediction parameters according to changes in the working conditions and achieve the goal of maintaining optimal prediction performance under different working conditions. In addition, it has the ability to accurately predict the development trend of the unit operating state index within a certain time scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Large Electric Machine & Hydraulic Turbine is the property of Large Electric Machine & Hydraulic Turbine Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)