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Objective: We aimed to create an imaging biomarker for knee shape using knee dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans and investigate its potential association with subsequent total knee replacement (TKR), independently of radiographic features of knee osteoarthritis and established risk factors. Methods: Using a 129-point statistical shape model, knee shape (expressed as a B-score) and minimum joint space width (mJSW) of the medial joint compartment (binarized as above or below the first quartile) were derived. Osteophytes were manually graded in a subset of images and an overall score was assigned. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the associations of B-score, mJSW and osteophyte score with TKR risk, adjusting for age, sex, height and weight. Results: The analysis included 37,843 individuals (mean age 63.7 years). In adjusted models, B-score was associated with TKR: each unit increase in B-score, reflecting one standard deviation from the mean healthy shape, corresponded to a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.25 (2.08, 2.43), while a lower mJSW had a HR of 2.28 (1.88, 2.77). Among the 6719 images scored for osteophytes, mJSW was replaced by osteophyte score in the most strongly predictive model for TKR. In ROC analyses, a model combining B-score, osteophyte score, and demographics outperformed a model including demographics alone (AUC ​= ​0.87 vs 0.73). Conclusions: Using statistical shape modelling, we derived a DXA-based imaging biomarker for knee shape that was associated with kOA progression. When combined with osteophytes and demographic data, this biomarker may help identify individuals at high risk of TKR, facilitating targeted interventions.

Summary: Background: Hip minimum joint space width (mJSW) provides a proxy for cartilage thickness. This study aimed to conduct a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of mJSW to (i) identify new genetic determinants of mJSW and (ii) identify which mJSW loci convey hip osteoarthritis (HOA) risk and would therefore be of therapeutic interest. Methods: GWAS meta-analysis of hip mJSW derived from plain X-rays and DXA was performed, stratified by sex and adjusted for age and ancestry principal components. Mendelian randomisation (MR) and cluster analyses were used to examine causal effect of mJSW on HOA. Findings: 50,745 individuals were included in the meta-analysis. 42 SNPs, which mapped to 39 loci, were identified. Mendelian randomisation (MR) revealed little evidence of a causal effect of mJSW on HOA (ORIVW 0.98 [95% CI 0.82–1.18]). However, MR-Clust analysis suggested the null MR estimates reflected the net effect of two distinct causal mechanisms cancelling each other out, one of which was protective, whereas the other increased HOA susceptibility. For the latter mechanism, all loci were positively associated with height, suggesting mechanisms leading to greater height and mJSW increase the risk of HOA in later life. Interpretations: One group of mJSW loci reduce HOA risk via increased mJSW, suggesting possible utility as targets for chondroprotective therapies. The second group of mJSW loci increased HOA risk, despite increasing mJSW, but were also positively related to height, suggesting they contribute to HOA risk via a growth-related mechanism. Funding: Primarily funded by the Medical Research Council and Wellcome Trust.

Abstract Accurate vascular input function (VIF) derivation is essential in brain dynamic contrast-enhanced (DCE) MRI. The optimum site for VIF estimation is, however, debated. This study sought to compare VIFs extracted from the internal carotid artery (ICA) and its branches with an arrival-corrected vascular output function (VOF) derived from the superior sagittal sinus (VOFSSS). DCE-MRI datasets from sixty-six patients with different brain tumours were retrospectively analysed and plasma gadolinium-based contrast agent (GBCA) concentration-time curves used to extract VOF/VIFs from the SSS, the ICA, and the middle cerebral artery. Semi-quantitative parameters across each first-pass VOF/VIF were compared and the relationship between these parameters and GBCA dose was evaluated. Through a test–retest study in 12 patients, the repeatability of each semiquantitative VOF/VIF parameter was evaluated; and through comparison with histopathological data the accuracy of kinetic parameter estimates derived using each VOF/VIF and the extended Tofts model was also assessed. VOFSSS provided a superior surrogate global input function compared to arteries, with greater contrast-to-noise (p

This study aimed to develop and evaluate a new DCE-MRI processing technique that combines LEGATOS, a dual-temporal resolution DCE-MRI technique, with multi-kinetic models. This technique enables high spatial resolution interrogation of flow and permeability effects, which is currently challenging to achieve. Twelve patients with neurofibromatosis type II-related vestibular schwannoma (20 tumours) undergoing bevacizumab therapy were imaged at 1.5 T both before and at 90 days following treatment. Using the new technique, whole-brain, high spatial resolution images of the contrast transfer coefficient (Ktrans), vascular fraction (vp), extravascular extracellular fraction (ve), capillary plasma flow (Fp), and the capillary permeability-surface area product (PS) could be obtained, and their predictive value was examined. Of the five microvascular parameters derived using the new method, baseline PS exhibited the strongest correlation with the baseline tumour volume (p = 0.03). Baseline ve showed the strongest correlation with the change in tumour volume, particularly the percentage tumour volume change at 90 days after treatment (p < 0.001), and PS demonstrated a larger reduction at 90 days after treatment (p = 0.0001) when compared to Ktrans or Fp alone. Both the capillary permeability-surface area product (PS) and the extravascular extracellular fraction (ve) significantly differentiated the ‘responder’ and ‘non-responder’ tumour groups at 90 days (p < 0.05 and p < 0.001, respectively). These results highlight that this novel DCE-MRI analysis approach can be used to evaluate tumour microvascular changes during treatment and the need for future larger clinical studies investigating its role in predicting antiangiogenic therapy response.

Introduction: Alpha angle (AA) is a widely used imaging measure of hip shape that is commonly used to define cam morphology, a bulging of the lateral aspect of the femoral head. Cam morphology has shown strong associations with hip osteoarthritis (OA) making the AA a clinically relevant measure. In both clinical practice and research studies, AA tends to be measured manually which can be inconsistent and time-consuming. Objective: We aimed to (i) develop an automated method of deriving AA from anterior-posterior dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans; and (ii) validate this method against manual measures of AA. Methods: 6,807 individuals with left hip DXAs were selected from UK Biobank. Outline points were manually placed around the femoral head on 1,930 images before training a Random Forest-based algorithm to place the points on a further 4,877 images. An automatic method for calculating AA was written in Python 3 utilising these outline points. An iterative approach was taken to developing and validating the method, testing the automated measures against independent batches of manually measured images in sequential experiments. Results: Over the course of six experimental stages the concordance correlation coefficient, when comparing the automatic AA to manual measures of AA, improved from 0.28 [95% confidence interval 0.13-0.43] for the initial version to 0.88 [0.84-0.92] for the final version. The inter-rater kappa statistic comparing automatic versus manual measures of cam morphology, defined as AA ³≥60°, improved from 0.43 [80% agreement] for the initial version to 0.86 [94% agreement] for the final version. Conclusions: We have developed and validated an automated measure of AA from DXA scans, showing high agreement with manually measuring AA. The proposed method is available to the wider research community from Zenodo.