1. A Method for Predicting the Surface Subsidence Duration and the Maximum Subsidence Velocity.
- Author
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Zhang, Yanjun, Wang, Fei, Yan, Yueguan, Zhu, Yuanhao, Dai, Linda, and Kong, Jiayuan
- Subjects
LAND subsidence ,ENGINEERING design ,CRITICAL velocity ,STANDARD deviations ,SURFACE stability - Abstract
The surface subsidence duration and the maximum subsidence velocity are critical indicators to evaluate the stability and severity of surface damage. Precisely predicting them is important for guiding engineering design and protecting ground infrastructure. Traditional manual measurement methods are time-consuming and laborious, and the existing empirical formulas have low accuracy and poor applicability. Therefore, a new prediction method was established in this paper. Measured data from 30 mining areas were used for verification. The results show that the predicted surface subsidence duration is basically consistent with the measured value. The standard deviation of the two is 61 d, and the relative standard deviation is 6.6%. The predicted surface maximum subsidence velocity is basically consistent with the measured value. The standard deviation of the two is 10.0 mm/d, and the relative standard deviation is 1.6%. The surface subsidence duration and the maximum subsidence velocity are positively correlated with the coal seam thickness, negatively and positively correlated with the mining speed, and positively and negatively correlated with the mining depth. The mining speed and mining depth have the same sensitivity to the two indicators, and the coal seam thickness is more sensitive to the surface subsidence duration. Furthermore, construction within the subsidence basin may further contribute to surface subsidence. Therefore, land reuse measures should be implemented following the predicted surface subsidence duration in this paper. This study addresses the knowledge gap in this field by deriving theoretical formulas for surface subsidence duration and maximum subsidence velocity. In the absence of sufficient measured data, engineers can calculate predicted values in combination with geological mining conditions and develop appropriate mining plans based on the extent of surface subsidence. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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