1. Thyroid lobectomy as a cost-effective approach in low-risk papillary thyroid cancer versus active surveillance.
- Author
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Youssef MR, Attia AS, Omar M, Aboueisha M, Freeman MN, Shama M, and Kandil E
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Computer Simulation, Female, Humans, Male, Markov Chains, Middle Aged, Models, Economic, Quality-Adjusted Life Years, Thyroid Cancer, Papillary economics, Thyroid Cancer, Papillary mortality, Thyroid Gland pathology, Thyroid Gland surgery, Thyroid Neoplasms economics, Thyroid Neoplasms mortality, Thyroidectomy economics, Thyroidectomy methods, United States epidemiology, Watchful Waiting economics, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Thyroid Cancer, Papillary therapy, Thyroid Neoplasms therapy, Thyroidectomy statistics & numerical data, Watchful Waiting statistics & numerical data
- Abstract
Background: An ongoing debate exists over the optimal management of low-risk papillary thyroid cancer. The American Thyroid Association supports the concept of active surveillance to manage low-risk papillary thyroid cancer; however, the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance has not yet been established. We sought to perform a cost-effectiveness analysis comparing active surveillance versus surgical intervention for patients in the United States., Methods: A Markov decision tree model was developed to compare active surveillance and thyroid lobectomy. Our reference case is a 40-year-old female who was diagnosed with unifocal (<15 mm), low-risk papillary thyroid cancer. Probabilistic outcomes, costs, and health utilities were determined using an extensive literature review. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $50,000/quality-adjusted life year gained. Sensitivity analyses were performed to account for uncertainty in the model's variables., Results: Lobectomy provided a final effectiveness of 21.7/quality-adjusted life years, compared with 17.3/quality-adjusted life years for active surveillance. Furthermore, incremental cost effectiveness ratio for lobectomy versus active surveillance was $19,560/quality-adjusted life year (
- Published
- 2022
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